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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5533681012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

21.74  +1.06 (+5.13%)

After market: 21.96 +0.22 (+1.01%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall MP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated MP against 152 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While MP seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, MP is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MP had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year MP has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MP reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years MP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MP has a Return On Assets (-2.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
MP has a Return On Equity (-5.57%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.58%
ROE -5.57%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)7.03%
ROA(5y)2.48%
ROE(3y)12.39%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 14.22%, MP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.14% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MP has grown nicely.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for MP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.22%
OM growth 3Y-29.19%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.74%
GM growth 5YN/A
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for MP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

MP has an Altman-Z score of 2.20. This is not the best score and indicates that MP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MP has a Altman-Z score of 2.20. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MP outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
MP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating MP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.88, MP is not doing good in the industry: 88.28% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.2
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.06%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 6.93 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MP has a better Current ratio (6.93) than 87.59% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 6.13 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MP's Quick ratio of 6.13 is amongst the best of the industry. MP outperforms 87.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.93
Quick Ratio 6.13
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MP have decreased strongly by -142.68% in the last year.
The Revenue for MP has decreased by -39.73% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, MP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.58% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-142.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-39.73%
Revenue growth 3Y23.58%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%19.82%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 41.60% on average per year.
MP is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 34.50% yearly.
EPS Next Y-211.4%
EPS Next 2Y-43.21%
EPS Next 3Y33.49%
EPS Next 5Y41.6%
Revenue Next Year-26.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.06%
Revenue Next 3Y30.17%
Revenue Next 5Y34.5%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MP. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MP's earnings are expected to grow with 33.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-43.21%
EPS Next 3Y33.49%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (1/30/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 21.96 +0.22 (+1.01%)

21.74

+1.06 (+5.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Inst Owners65.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.58%
Ins Owners12.57%
Ins Owner Change3.8%
Market Cap3.55B
Analysts82.86
Price Target23.55 (8.33%)
Short Float %18.28%
Short Ratio7.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-35.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(2)8.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-24%
Min EPS beat(4)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(4)54.84%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)515.07%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)350.77%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)13.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)52.21%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)52.21%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.41%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.12%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)20.13%
PT rev (1m)4.13%
PT rev (3m)3.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-418.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 19.28
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.33
P/tB 3.36
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.35
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.02
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.52
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.19
OCFYN/A
SpS1.13
BVpS6.52
TBVpS6.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.58%
ROE -5.57%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.22%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.03%
ROA(5y)2.48%
ROE(3y)12.39%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.5%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-29.19%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.74%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 292.11%
Cap/Sales 118.3%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.93
Quick Ratio 6.13
Altman-Z 2.2
F-Score1
WACC10.06%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)917.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)625.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-142.68%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-400%
EPS Next Y-211.4%
EPS Next 2Y-43.21%
EPS Next 3Y33.49%
EPS Next 5Y41.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-39.73%
Revenue growth 3Y23.58%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%19.82%
Revenue Next Year-26.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.06%
Revenue Next 3Y30.17%
Revenue Next 5Y34.5%
EBIT growth 1Y-310.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.5%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-278.03%
EBIT Next 3Y107.74%
EBIT Next 5Y87.32%
FCF growth 1Y-364.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-108.94%
OCF growth 3Y166.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A