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MP MATERIALS CORP (MP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5533681012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

22.53  -1.48 (-6.16%)

After market: 22.9 +0.37 (+1.64%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to MP. MP was compared to 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. MP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. MP is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MP has reported negative net income.
MP had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MP reported negative net income in multiple years.
MP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MP has a Return On Assets (-2.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MP (-5.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.58%
ROE -5.57%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MP's Gross Margin of 14.22% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MP outperforms 43.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MP has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for MP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.22%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
MP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
MP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MP Yearly Shares OutstandingMP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
MP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.46 indicates that MP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.46, MP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.41% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that MP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.88, MP is doing worse than 87.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.01%
MP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

MP has a Current Ratio of 6.93. This indicates that MP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MP (6.93) is better than 87.32% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 6.13 indicates that MP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 6.13, MP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 6.93
Quick Ratio 6.13
MP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -218.42%.
Looking at the last year, MP shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -19.55% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 22.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-218.42%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-500%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%48.01%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 61.52% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 56.46% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y49.27%
EPS Next 2Y93.64%
EPS Next 3Y80.25%
EPS Next 5Y61.52%
Revenue Next Year66.27%
Revenue Next 2Y73.72%
Revenue Next 3Y65.55%
Revenue Next 5Y56.46%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
MP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year MP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
MP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MP Per share dataMP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MP's earnings are expected to grow with 80.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y93.64%
EPS Next 3Y80.25%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MP does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MP MATERIALS CORP

NYSE:MP (3/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 22.9 +0.37 (+1.64%)

22.53

-1.48 (-6.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners73.95%
Inst Owner Change16.11%
Ins Owners11.47%
Ins Owner Change2.19%
Market Cap3.68B
Analysts82.86
Price Target24.54 (8.92%)
Short Float %15.82%
Short Ratio5.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-35.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(2)8.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-24%
Min EPS beat(4)-80.11%
Max EPS beat(4)54.84%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)515.07%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)350.77%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)13.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)52.21%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)52.21%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.41%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.12%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)20.13%
PT rev (1m)2.14%
PT rev (3m)9.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-45.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-105.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-237.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.76%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 19.98
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.45
P/tB 3.48
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.45
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.52
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.19
OCFYN/A
SpS1.13
BVpS6.52
TBVpS6.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.58%
ROE -5.57%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.22%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.72%
ROA(5y)3.25%
ROE(3y)5.87%
ROE(5y)5.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-58.54%
GM growth 5Y-17%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 292.11%
Cap/Sales 118.3%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 6.93
Quick Ratio 6.13
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score1
WACC10.01%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)827.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)663.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)62.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-218.42%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-500%
EPS Next Y49.27%
EPS Next 2Y93.64%
EPS Next 3Y80.25%
EPS Next 5Y61.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-15%
Revenue growth 5Y22.67%
Sales Q2Q%48.01%
Revenue Next Year66.27%
Revenue Next 2Y73.72%
Revenue Next 3Y65.55%
Revenue Next 5Y56.46%
EBIT growth 1Y-310.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year134.75%
EBIT Next 3Y64.61%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.14%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-129.29%
OCF growth 3Y-49.23%
OCF growth 5YN/A