MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

Current stock price

24.2 USD
+0.09 (+0.37%)
Last:

This MOS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MOS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MOS was profitable.
  • MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.21%, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 4.47%, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.01%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is in line with the industry average of 6.49%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MOS has a Profit Margin of 4.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
  • MOS has a Operating Margin (8.95%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.78%, MOS is doing worse than 71.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. MOS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOS is destroying value.
  • MOS has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.41) is better than 69.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.88
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC11.11%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MOS (1.32) is worse than 80.49% of its industry peers.
  • MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. MOS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 14.14%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.60% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, MOS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.36% in the last year.
  • MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.01% yearly.
  • MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-26%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue Next Year7.87%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. MOS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.71, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 93.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.95, MOS is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.47, MOS is valued correctly.
  • 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.71
Fwd PE 14.47
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.48
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MOS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.56%.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.01. MOS pays more dividend than 85.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 34.62%, which is quite nice.
  • MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MOS has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.86%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MOS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (4/21/2026, 2:55:07 PM)

24.2

+0.09 (+0.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners96.16%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change2.12%
Market Cap7.68B
Revenue(TTM)12.05B
Net Income(TTM)540.70M
Analysts68
Price Target31.65 (30.79%)
Short Float %6.59%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
DP51.86%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date05-21
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-24.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-19.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.82%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.45%
PT rev (1m)-3.9%
PT rev (3m)-4.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.71
Fwd PE 14.47
P/S 0.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9.32
P/B 0.64
P/tB 0.69
EV/EBITDA 5.48
EPS(TTM)2.26
EY9.34%
EPS(NY)1.67
Fwd EY6.91%
FCF(TTM)-1.68
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY10.73%
SpS37.96
BVpS38.06
TBVpS34.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number43.9935 (81.79%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROCE 5.26%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.06%
ROICexgc 4.27%
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)10.23%
ROICexgc(3y)5.1%
ROICexgc(5y)10.92%
ROCE(3y)6.19%
ROCE(5y)12.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.83%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.35
Cap/Depr 129.48%
Cap/Sales 11.28%
Interest Coverage 5.61
Cash Conversion 38.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.88
F-Score7
WACC11.11%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)132.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
EPS Next Y-26%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year7.87%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%
EBIT growth 1Y73.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.55%
EBIT growth 5Y10.58%
EBIT Next Year61.72%
EBIT Next 3Y20.38%
EBIT Next 5Y10.17%
FCF growth 1Y-1227.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-36.51%
OCF growth 3Y-40.6%
OCF growth 5Y-12.22%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MOSAIC CO/THE?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to decline by -26% in the next year.


Is the dividend of MOSAIC CO/THE sustainable?

The dividend rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 51.86%.