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MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock

23.92 USD
-0.94 (-3.78%)
Last: 12/16/2025, 10:34:10 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. MOS scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

MOS's Return On Assets of 4.98% is amongst the best of the industry. MOS outperforms 81.93% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Return On Equity of 9.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOS outperforms 80.72% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.05%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.19% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 5.95%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.98%
ROE 9.62%
ROIC 3.05%
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

MOS has a Profit Margin of 10.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOS outperforms 87.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.60%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.60% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 15.65%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 72.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.6%
PM (TTM) 10.33%
GM 15.65%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.89 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.89, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.42% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
MOS has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.35) than 72.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.89
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC7.71%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Current ratio of 1.14. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 85.54% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.40, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 95.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.4
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.82%.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.25% on average per year.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.61, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 84.34% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.55. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.76.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.61
Fwd PE 8.76
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

MOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 90.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.35
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -26.84% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.66, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, MOS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.49%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (12/16/2025, 10:34:10 AM)

23.92

-0.94 (-3.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-04 2025-11-04/amc
Earnings (Next)02-25 2026-02-25/amc
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.7%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.59B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (46.45%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.49%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date12-04 2025-12-04 (0.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.61
Fwd PE 8.76
P/S 0.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.9
P/B 0.59
P/tB 0.65
EV/EBITDA 5.35
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.41%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY11.42%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.49%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.98%
ROE 9.62%
ROCE 5.06%
ROIC 3.05%
ROICexc 3.07%
ROICexgc 3.24%
OM 8.6%
PM (TTM) 10.33%
GM 15.65%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.17
Cap/Depr 122.57%
Cap/Sales 10.96%
Interest Coverage 5.49
Cash Conversion 52.73%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 1.89
F-Score6
WACC7.71%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.61 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.59.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.