MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
23.8 USD
-0.16 (-0.67%)
23.85 USD
+0.05 (+0.21%)
Overall MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MOS against 84 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MOS.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.98%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.62%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of MOS (3.05%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is above the industry average of 6.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS has a Profit Margin of 10.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOS outperforms 86.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.60%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.65%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 72.62% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.87 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.87) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC7.64%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS's Current ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 86.90% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.40, MOS is doing worse than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.16%, which is quite good.
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 47.88% yearly.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.82%.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.25% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.56, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 89.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.83, MOS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
92.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.67%.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -29.96% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.46.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, MOS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
23.8
-0.16 (-0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.7%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.55B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (47.18%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.87 | ||
| P/B | 0.59 | ||
| P/tB | 0.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.46%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY11.47%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.56%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score6
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.59.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.