MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

Current stock price

29 USD
+1.33 (+4.81%)
Last:

This MOS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MOS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MOS was profitable.
  • MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.21%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS has a Return On Equity of 4.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of MOS (4.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is in line with the industry average of 6.47%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MOS has a Profit Margin of 4.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 71.08% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MOS (8.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 15.78%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 72.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. MOS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is destroying value.
  • MOS has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
  • MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.94. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.94, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.41, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.94
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.78%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOS's Current ratio of 1.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOS has a worse Quick ratio (0.47) than 93.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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5

3. MOS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.14% over the past year.
  • MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.60% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, MOS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.36% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.01% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. MOS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MOS is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.83.
  • MOS's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 87.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.96.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.42, MOS is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 62.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say MOS is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.83
Fwd PE 15.42
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 89.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.01
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.59
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%

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5

5. MOS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.81%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.08, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, MOS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 34.62%!
  • MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MOS pays out 51.86% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.86%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MOS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (3/17/2026, 12:02:08 PM)

29

+1.33 (+4.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.39%
Inst Owner Change-1.4%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change2.12%
Market Cap9.21B
Revenue(TTM)12.05B
Net Income(TTM)540.70M
Analysts72
Price Target32.94 (13.59%)
Short Float %6.08%
Short Ratio2.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
DP51.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date05-21
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-24.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-19.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.82%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.45%
PT rev (1m)-0.22%
PT rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-62.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-31.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.99%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.83
Fwd PE 15.42
P/S 0.76
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 11.16
P/B 0.76
P/tB 0.83
EV/EBITDA 6.01
EPS(TTM)2.26
EY7.79%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY6.49%
FCF(TTM)-1.68
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY8.96%
SpS37.96
BVpS38.06
TBVpS34.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.59
Graham Number43.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROCE 5.26%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.06%
ROICexgc 4.27%
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)10.23%
ROICexgc(3y)5.1%
ROICexgc(5y)10.92%
ROCE(3y)6.19%
ROCE(5y)12.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.83%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.35
Cap/Depr 129.48%
Cap/Sales 11.28%
Interest Coverage 5.61
Cash Conversion 38.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.94
F-Score7
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)132.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%
EBIT growth 1Y73.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.55%
EBIT growth 5Y10.58%
EBIT Next Year66.16%
EBIT Next 3Y21.82%
EBIT Next 5Y10.17%
FCF growth 1Y-1227.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-36.51%
OCF growth 3Y-40.6%
OCF growth 5Y-12.22%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 12.83 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.76.


What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.