MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

Current stock price

23.59 USD
-2.61 (-9.96%)
At close:
23.6487 USD
+0.06 (+0.25%)
After Hours:

This MOS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MOS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • MOS's Return On Assets of 2.21% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Return On Equity of 4.47% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • MOS has a Return On Invested Capital (4.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is in line with the industry average of 6.41%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MOS's Profit Margin of 4.49% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 71.08% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
  • MOS has a Operating Margin (8.95%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
  • MOS's Gross Margin of 15.78% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 72.29% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. MOS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOS is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MOS remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.91) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.41. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 71.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.91
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.76%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOS has a Current ratio of 1.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MOS (0.47) is worse than 93.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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5

3. MOS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.14% over the past year.
  • MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.60% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, MOS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.36% in the last year.
  • MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.01% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. MOS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.44, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
  • 87.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, MOS is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.54, which indicates a correct valuation of MOS.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than 66.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.44
Fwd PE 12.54
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.8
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%

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5

5. MOS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.36%.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.08.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.36%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 34.62%, which is quite nice.
  • MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.86%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MOS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (3/20/2026, 8:11:05 PM)

After market: 23.6487 +0.06 (+0.25%)

23.59

-2.61 (-9.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.39%
Inst Owner Change-1.4%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change2.12%
Market Cap7.49B
Revenue(TTM)12.05B
Net Income(TTM)540.70M
Analysts72
Price Target32.94 (39.64%)
Short Float %6.08%
Short Ratio2.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.36%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
DP51.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date05-21
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-24.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-19.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.82%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.45%
PT rev (1m)-0.22%
PT rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-62.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-31.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.99%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.44
Fwd PE 12.54
P/S 0.62
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9.08
P/B 0.62
P/tB 0.68
EV/EBITDA 5.8
EPS(TTM)2.26
EY9.58%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY7.97%
FCF(TTM)-1.68
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY11.01%
SpS37.96
BVpS38.06
TBVpS34.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
Graham Number43.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROCE 5.26%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.06%
ROICexgc 4.27%
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)10.23%
ROICexgc(3y)5.1%
ROICexgc(5y)10.92%
ROCE(3y)6.19%
ROCE(5y)12.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.83%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.35
Cap/Depr 129.48%
Cap/Sales 11.28%
Interest Coverage 5.61
Cash Conversion 38.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.91
F-Score7
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)132.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%
EBIT growth 1Y73.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.55%
EBIT growth 5Y10.58%
EBIT Next Year66.16%
EBIT Next 3Y21.82%
EBIT Next 5Y10.17%
FCF growth 1Y-1227.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-36.51%
OCF growth 3Y-40.6%
OCF growth 5Y-12.22%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.44 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.62.


What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.