MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:MOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US61945C1036 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall MOS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MOS against 85 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. MOS is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.76%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.71% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Return On Equity of 1.52%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 44.71% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MOS (2.02%) is worse than 68.24% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is in line with the industry average of 7.05%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.02%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.76% | ||
| ROE | 1.52% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
MOS's Profit Margin of 1.57% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 44.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
MOS's Operating Margin of 5.59% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 61.18% of its industry peers.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 13.59%, MOS is doing worse than 74.12% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.57% | ||
| GM | 13.59% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.92. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.92) which is in line with its industry peers.
MOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 89.13. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MOS would need 89.13 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MOS (89.13) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.36, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.41% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.86%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS's Current ratio of 1.08 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 84.71% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MOS have decreased strongly by -44.54% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue for MOS has decreased by -18.79% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.54%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-36.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%-10.59%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.24% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.77%
EPS Next 2Y13.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.77%
EPS Next 5Y13.24%
Revenue Next Year8.33%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y2.97%
Revenue Next 5Y2.66%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.63, which indicates a correct valuation of MOS.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 63.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.92.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.73, the valuation of MOS can be described as very reasonable.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.65.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MOS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 63.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. MOS is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 193.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y13.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.77%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.23%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.98.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.23% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MOS has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
154.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP154.77%
EPS Next 2Y13.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.77%
NYSE:MOS (4/25/2025, 3:21:09 PM)
28.975
+0.05 (+0.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.93%
Inst Owner Change0.24%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change1.5%
Market Cap9.19B
Analysts72.8
Price Target33.11 (14.27%)
Short Float %2.53%
Short Ratio1.27
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.23% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP154.77%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(2)-21.92%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)-2.49%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.37%
EPS beat(12)0
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.52%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.61%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.93%
PT rev (1m)-0.15%
PT rev (3m)0.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-23.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.73 | ||
| P/S | 0.83 | ||
| P/FCF | 193.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.07 | ||
| P/B | 0.8 | ||
| P/tB | 0.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.46 |
EPS(TTM)1.98
EY6.83%
EPS(NY)2.47
Fwd EY8.53%
FCF(TTM)0.15
FCFY0.52%
OCF(TTM)4.1
OCFY14.13%
SpS35.06
BVpS36.2
TBVpS32.85
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)0.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.76% | ||
| ROE | 1.52% | ||
| ROCE | 3.31% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.05% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.17% | ||
| OM | 5.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.57% | ||
| GM | 13.59% | ||
| FCFM | 0.43% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 89.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.54 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.33 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.88% | ||
| Profit Quality | 27.1% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
F-Score4
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.54%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-36.62%
EPS Next Y24.77%
EPS Next 2Y13.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.77%
EPS Next 5Y13.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%-10.59%
Revenue Next Year8.33%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y2.97%
Revenue Next 5Y2.66%
EBIT growth 1Y-53.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year115.58%
EBIT Next 3Y28.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.47%
FCF growth 1Y-95.28%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-46.03%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%