MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
25.98 USD
-0.5 (-1.89%)
26.04 USD
+0.06 (+0.23%)
Overall MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MOS against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MOS.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MOS's Return On Assets of 4.98% is amongst the best of the industry. MOS outperforms 80.72% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MOS (9.62%) is better than 79.52% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MOS (3.05%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.10%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.75% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MOS's Operating Margin of 8.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 48.19% of its industry peers.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 15.65%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 73.49% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.91 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 54.22% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.35, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.91 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC11.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MOS (1.14) is worse than 86.75% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.40. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 95.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.82% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.13% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.54% on average per year.
EPS Next Y38.65%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y6.13%
Revenue Next Year10.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.43, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.19. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.51 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.51 |
4.2 Price Multiples
90.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.22
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, MOS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
25.98
-0.5 (-1.89%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.68%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap8.25B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target33.69 (29.68%)
Short Float %5.69%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.32% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-3.83%
PT rev (3m)-18.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-37.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.51 | ||
| P/S | 0.69 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.5 | ||
| P/B | 0.65 | ||
| P/tB | 0.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.52 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY9.58%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY10.52%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY13.34%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.22
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.91 |
F-Score6
WACC11.6%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y38.65%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y6.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year140.95%
EBIT Next 3Y32.84%
EBIT Next 5Y17.66%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
What is the valuation status for MOS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.65.
What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.