MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
24.49 USD
+0.23 (+0.95%)
24.55 USD
+0.06 (+0.24%)
MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. MOS may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.98%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.25% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.62%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.01% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Return On Invested Capital of 3.05% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 45.68% of its industry peers.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.07%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of MOS (10.33%) is better than 86.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
MOS has a Operating Margin (8.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.65%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 54.32% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 74.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC7.58%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, MOS is doing worse than 87.65% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.40, MOS is doing worse than 93.83% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.82% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.25% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.84, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 83.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
MOS is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.81.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 90.12% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)0.21
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.63%.
In the last 3 months the price of MOS has falen by -26.68%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.94.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
24.49
+0.23 (+0.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change3.68%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.77B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts75.83
Price Target35.94 (46.75%)
Short Float %4.57%
Short Ratio2.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-12.71%
PT rev (3m)-13.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.81 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.07 | ||
| P/B | 0.61 | ||
| P/tB | 0.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.29 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.17%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY12.8%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.15%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)0.21
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score6
WACC7.58%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.84 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.61.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 55.86% in the next year.