MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

26.92 USD
+0.61 (+2.32%)
At close: Mar 9, 2026
26.83 USD
-0.09 (-0.33%)
After Hours: 3/9/2026, 8:23:19 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This MOS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. MOS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. MOS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MOS was profitable.
  • MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • MOS has a Return On Assets of 2.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MOS (4.47%) is better than 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Return On Invested Capital of 4.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 54.22% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is in line with the industry average of 6.35%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.49%, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of MOS (8.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.78%, MOS is doing worse than 74.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. MOS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MOS remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.91 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.91, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.41) is better than 71.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.91
ROIC/WACC0.35
WACC11.36%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MOS has a Current ratio of 1.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOS's Quick ratio of 0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 93.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. MOS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 14.14%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.60% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, MOS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.36% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • MOS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.01% yearly.
  • MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. MOS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.91, the valuation of MOS can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 91.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.31, the valuation of MOS can be described as correct.
  • 67.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.65), we can say MOS is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.91
Fwd PE 14.31
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 89.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.81
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MOS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.35%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.08, MOS pays a better dividend. On top of this MOS pays more dividend than 83.13% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MOS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.35%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 34.62%, which is quite nice.
  • MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MOS pays out 51.86% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.86%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MOS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (3/9/2026, 8:23:19 PM)

After market: 26.83 -0.09 (-0.33%)

26.92

+0.61 (+2.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.39%
Inst Owner Change-1.4%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap8.55B
Revenue(TTM)12.05B
Net Income(TTM)540.70M
Analysts72
Price Target32.94 (22.36%)
Short Float %5.86%
Short Ratio2.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.35%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
DP51.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-24.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-19.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.82%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.45%
PT rev (1m)-0.22%
PT rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-46.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-57.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-31.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.99%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.91
Fwd PE 14.31
P/S 0.71
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 10.36
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.77
EV/EBITDA 5.81
EPS(TTM)2.26
EY8.4%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY6.99%
FCF(TTM)-1.68
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY9.65%
SpS37.96
BVpS38.06
TBVpS34.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
Graham Number43.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROCE 5.26%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.06%
ROICexgc 4.27%
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)10.23%
ROICexgc(3y)5.1%
ROICexgc(5y)10.92%
ROCE(3y)6.19%
ROCE(5y)12.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.83%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.35
Cap/Depr 129.48%
Cap/Sales 11.28%
Interest Coverage 5.61
Cash Conversion 38.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.91
F-Score7
WACC11.36%
ROIC/WACC0.35
Cap/Depr(3y)132.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
EPS Next Y-16.78%
EPS Next 2Y3.6%
EPS Next 3Y2.14%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%
EBIT growth 1Y73.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.55%
EBIT growth 5Y10.58%
EBIT Next Year66.16%
EBIT Next 3Y21.82%
EBIT Next 5Y10.17%
FCF growth 1Y-1227.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-36.51%
OCF growth 3Y-40.6%
OCF growth 5Y-12.22%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 11.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.71.


What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.