MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
26.22 USD
-0.33 (-1.24%)
26.3 USD
+0.08 (+0.31%)
MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MOS may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOS (3.87%) is better than 73.17% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MOS (7.56%) is better than 69.51% of its industry peers.
MOS has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) than 64.63% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MOS is above the industry average of 6.23%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.35%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
MOS has a Operating Margin of 7.09%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 42.68% of its industry peers.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 74.39% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.86 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.86) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MOS is 1025.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take MOS, 1025.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MOS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 45.12% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 75.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC7.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, MOS is doing worse than 87.80% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 93.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.16%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.79% in the last year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.53 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
80.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.36, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.80% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.35), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1935.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)0.22
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.23%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.05, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, MOS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.23% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 29.18% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.18%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
26.22
-0.33 (-1.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-5.66%
Market Cap8.32B
Revenue(TTM)11.12B
Net Income(TTM)940.00M
Analysts75.83
Price Target38.56 (47.06%)
Short Float %3.92%
Short Ratio2.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.23% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP29.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.57%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.24%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)-7.07%
PT rev (3m)-4.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.36 | ||
| P/S | 0.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 1935.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.02 | ||
| P/B | 0.67 | ||
| P/tB | 0.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.31 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY9.5%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY11.96%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0.05%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY14.24%
SpS35.46
BVpS39.18
TBVpS35.69
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)0.22
Graham Number46.85
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.87% | ||
| ROE | 7.56% | ||
| ROCE | 4.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.6% | ||
| OM | 7.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.35% | ||
| GM | 15.33% | ||
| FCFM | 0.04% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1025.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 0.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
F-Score7
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y2.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.89%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y16.25%
FCF growth 1Y-99.75%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.37%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.53 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.67.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 55.86% in the next year.