MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
23.8 USD
-0.16 (-0.67%)
23.85 USD
+0.05 (+0.21%)
Taking everything into account, MOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOS was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. MOS is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 4.98%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.93% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 9.62%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.72% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.05%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is above the industry average of 5.95%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.95% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.60%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.60% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MOS (15.65%) is worse than 72.29% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.88, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.22% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.35, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC7.61%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS has a worse Current ratio (1.14) than 85.54% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.40, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 95.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.25% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.38), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
89.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -29.96% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.66, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, MOS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
22.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
23.8
-0.16 (-0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.7%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.55B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (47.18%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.87 | ||
| P/B | 0.59 | ||
| P/tB | 0.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.21 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.46%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY11.47%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.56%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score6
WACC7.61%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.59.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.