MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
23.46 USD
-1.4 (-5.63%)
23.54 USD
+0.08 (+0.34%)
Taking everything into account, MOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOS was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MOS.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 4.98%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.93% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a better Return On Equity (9.62%) than 80.72% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MOS (3.05%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is above the industry average of 5.95%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.95% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
The Operating Margin of MOS (8.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.65%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 72.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.87 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score of 1.87. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 54.22% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 72.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC7.65%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.14, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 85.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.40, MOS is doing worse than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.16%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.25% on average over the next years.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.42, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
MOS's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.43), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.59, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 89.16% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.66, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 92.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of MOS has falen by -30.96%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.66.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
23.46
-1.4 (-5.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.7%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.45B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (49.32%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.59 | ||
| P/S | 0.63 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.77 | ||
| P/B | 0.58 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.13 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.61%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY11.64%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.77%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score6
WACC7.65%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.58.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.