MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
24.32 USD
+0.52 (+2.18%)
24.321 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, MOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOS was compared to 84 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MOS.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOS (4.98%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
MOS has a better Return On Equity (9.62%) than 79.76% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of MOS (10.33%) is better than 86.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.60%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.65%, MOS is doing worse than 72.62% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is destroying value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.87 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MOS (1.87) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC11.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a worse Current ratio (1.14) than 86.90% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a worse Quick ratio (0.40) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.25% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.77, the valuation of MOS can be described as very reasonable.
85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.61. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.91 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 89.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.01, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
92.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.67%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -31.14% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.46, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, MOS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
22.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
24.32
+0.52 (+2.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.71%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.72B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (44.04%)
Short Float %4.65%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.91 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.02 | ||
| P/B | 0.6 | ||
| P/tB | 0.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.24%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY11.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.25%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score6
WACC11.4%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.