MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
25.02 USD
+0.93 (+3.86%)
25.03 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Overall MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MOS against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. MOS may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
MOS has a better Return On Assets (4.98%) than 80.72% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MOS (9.62%) is better than 79.52% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.05%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.99% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.75% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Operating Margin (8.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.65%, MOS is doing worse than 73.49% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
MOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.88 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS's Altman-Z score of 1.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 55.42% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.35, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC11.5%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.14, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 86.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.40. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 95.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 47.88% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.25% on average over the next years.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y38.65%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.05, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 85.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.60. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
MOS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.15.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 89.16% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.23), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
92.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)0.21
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.65%.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -27.54% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.46, MOS pays a better dividend. On top of this MOS pays more dividend than 80.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.93.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.65% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
22.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
25.02
+0.93 (+3.86%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.68%
Inst Owner Change3.71%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.94B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target33.69 (34.65%)
Short Float %5.69%
Short Ratio2.54
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.65% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-6.25%
PT rev (3m)-18.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-37.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.15 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.22 | ||
| P/B | 0.62 | ||
| P/tB | 0.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.23 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY9.95%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY10.92%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY13.85%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)0.21
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score6
WACC11.5%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y38.65%
EPS Next 2Y17.49%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year140.95%
EBIT Next 3Y32.84%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
What is the valuation status for MOS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.05 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.62.
What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.