MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA New York Stock Exchange NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

29.77 USD
+0.21 (+0.71%)
Last: Feb 10, 2026, 10:44 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MOS. MOS was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. MOS has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MOS was profitable.
  • In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • MOS has a Return On Assets of 4.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOS outperforms 80.72% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Return On Equity of 9.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
  • MOS has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.05%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 48.19% of its industry peers.
  • MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.08%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.98%
ROE 9.62%
ROIC 3.05%
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MOS has a Profit Margin of 10.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MOS outperforms 86.75% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 8.60%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of MOS (15.65%) is worse than 74.70% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.6%
PM (TTM) 10.33%
GM 15.65%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MOS has a Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 53.01% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 69.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.97
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC11.99%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MOS's Current ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 87.95% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.40, MOS is doing worse than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.4
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.82%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%

3.2 Future

  • MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.13% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.54% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y28.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.09%
EPS Next 3Y9.56%
EPS Next 5Y6.13%
Revenue Next Year7.96%
Revenue Next 2Y6%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.96 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 85.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.06.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.11, MOS is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.86, MOS is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.96
Fwd PE 13.11
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 87.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.06
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.41
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y7.09%
EPS Next 3Y9.56%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.17%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.21.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, MOS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
  • MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y7.09%
EPS Next 3Y9.56%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (2/10/2026, 10:44:36 AM)

29.77

+0.21 (+0.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)02-24
Inst Owners97.68%
Inst Owner Change-2.62%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap9.45B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target33.01 (10.88%)
Short Float %4.91%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-2.01%
PT rev (3m)-14.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-31.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-46.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-12.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.96
Fwd PE 13.11
P/S 0.79
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.59
P/B 0.74
P/tB 0.81
EV/EBITDA 6.06
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY8.36%
EPS(NY)2.27
Fwd EY7.63%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY11.64%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.41
PEG (5Y)0.25
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.98%
ROE 9.62%
ROCE 5.06%
ROIC 3.05%
ROICexc 3.07%
ROICexgc 3.24%
OM 8.6%
PM (TTM) 10.33%
GM 15.65%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.17
Cap/Depr 122.57%
Cap/Sales 10.96%
Interest Coverage 5.49
Cash Conversion 52.73%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 1.97
F-Score6
WACC11.99%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y28.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.09%
EPS Next 3Y9.56%
EPS Next 5Y6.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year7.96%
Revenue Next 2Y6%
Revenue Next 3Y3.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.54%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year132.18%
EBIT Next 3Y32.03%
EBIT Next 5Y17.66%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of MOSAIC CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 11.96 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.74.


What is the financial health of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The financial health rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 3 / 10.