MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
26.21 USD
+1.02 (+4.05%)
26.1806 USD
-0.03 (-0.11%)
Taking everything into account, MOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOS was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MOS has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. MOS scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 4.98%, MOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.62%, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.05%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.76%. This is above the industry average of 6.05%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.80% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.60%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of MOS (15.65%) is worse than 73.17% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.90, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MOS's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC7.78%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MOS (1.14) is worse than 87.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.40. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 95.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.16%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.82% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.25% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.53 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.60 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
89.02% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.78.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 91.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.22
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.65%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of MOS has falen by -22.11%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.98.
MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.65% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
MOS pays out 22.53% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
26.21
+1.02 (+4.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.91%
Inst Owner Change3.7%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap8.32B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts74.17
Price Target35.03 (33.65%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.65% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-9.14%
PT rev (3m)-15.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.6 | ||
| P/S | 0.7 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.56 | ||
| P/B | 0.65 | ||
| P/tB | 0.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.4 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY9.5%
EPS(NY)2.73
Fwd EY10.42%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY13.22%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.22
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score6
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y39.56%
EPS Next 2Y17.44%
EPS Next 3Y8.09%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year10.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.34%
Revenue Next 3Y3.47%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year142.44%
EBIT Next 3Y31.9%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 10.53 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.65.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 39.56% in the next year.