MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
24.38 USD
-0.58 (-2.32%)
24.48 USD
+0.1 (+0.41%)
Taking everything into account, MOS scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MOS was compared to 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. MOS scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MOS had positive earnings in the past year.
MOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MOS (4.98%) is better than 80.25% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MOS (9.62%) is better than 79.01% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Return On Invested Capital (3.05%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is above the industry average of 6.15%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.76%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.05%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 10.33%, MOS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.42% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has declined.
The Operating Margin of MOS (8.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.65%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% |
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOS is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.88, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.32% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MOS (0.35) is better than 74.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC7.73%
2.3 Liquidity
MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, MOS is doing worse than 87.65% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.40. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 93.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.16% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.88% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.82% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.25% on average per year.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.79, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 83.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, MOS is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.78 indicates a rather cheap valuation of MOS.
90.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.22. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.78 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.63%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of MOS dropped by -24.87% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.88.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, MOS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 36.86%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
22.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
MOS's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.53%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
24.38
-0.58 (-2.32%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change3.68%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.03%
Market Cap7.74B
Revenue(TTM)11.89B
Net Income(TTM)1.23B
Analysts75.83
Price Target35.94 (47.42%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.63% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP22.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.7%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.35%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-12.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.38%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.37%
PT rev (1m)-12.71%
PT rev (3m)-13.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.78 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.03 | ||
| P/B | 0.61 | ||
| P/tB | 0.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.27 |
EPS(TTM)2.49
EY10.21%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY12.86%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.47
OCFY14.22%
SpS37.47
BVpS40.27
TBVpS36.83
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number47.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.98% | ||
| ROE | 9.62% | ||
| ROCE | 5.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 8.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.33% | ||
| GM | 15.65% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.49 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 52.73% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.4 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score6
WACC7.73%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.16%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%205.88%
EPS Next Y55.86%
EPS Next 2Y25.82%
EPS Next 3Y12.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%22.81%
Revenue Next Year14.02%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y1.87%
EBIT growth 1Y27.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year168.94%
EBIT Next 3Y34.43%
EBIT Next 5Y15.88%
FCF growth 1Y-114.14%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.05%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%
MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.
Can you provide the valuation status for MOSAIC CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?
MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MOS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 9.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.61.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MOS stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to grow by 55.86% in the next year.