MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOS • US61945C1036

Current stock price

24.2 USD
+0.09 (+0.37%)
At close:
24.3 USD
+0.1 (+0.41%)
After Hours:

This MOS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MOS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MOS was profitable.
  • In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
  • MOS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • MOS has a Return On Assets of 2.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 62.20% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MOS (4.47%) is better than 63.41% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.01%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is in line with the industry average of 6.49%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROIC 4.01%
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MOS has a better Profit Margin (4.49%) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MOS has a Operating Margin (8.95%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MOS has a Gross Margin of 15.78%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOS underperforms 71.95% of its industry peers.
  • MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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3

2. MOS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOS is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MOS remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for MOS is higher compared to a year ago.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.41. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 69.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.88
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC11.12%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.32, MOS is doing worse than 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.47 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOS has a Quick ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. MOS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.14% over the past year.
  • MOS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.60% yearly.
  • MOS shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.36%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.01% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-26%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue Next Year7.87%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. MOS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.71 indicates a reasonable valuation of MOS.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 93.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.71), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.47 indicates a correct valuation of MOS.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.09. MOS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.71
Fwd PE 14.47
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MOS is valued cheaper than 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.48
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MOS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.56%.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.01. MOS pays more dividend than 85.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 34.62%!
  • MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of MOS decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 51.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP51.86%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MOS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (4/21/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 24.3 +0.1 (+0.41%)

24.2

+0.09 (+0.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners96.16%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change2.12%
Market Cap7.68B
Revenue(TTM)12.05B
Net Income(TTM)540.70M
Analysts68
Price Target31.65 (30.79%)
Short Float %6.59%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.56%
Yearly Dividend0.88
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.62%
DP51.86%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date05-21
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-24.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(2)4.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.27%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-19.03%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.82%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.45%
PT rev (1m)-3.9%
PT rev (3m)-4.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.71
Fwd PE 14.47
P/S 0.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9.32
P/B 0.64
P/tB 0.69
EV/EBITDA 5.48
EPS(TTM)2.26
EY9.34%
EPS(NY)1.67
Fwd EY6.91%
FCF(TTM)-1.68
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY10.73%
SpS37.96
BVpS38.06
TBVpS34.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number43.9935 (81.79%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.21%
ROE 4.47%
ROCE 5.26%
ROIC 4.01%
ROICexc 4.06%
ROICexgc 4.27%
OM 8.95%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 15.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.68%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5.16%
ROE(5y)12.12%
ROIC(3y)4.74%
ROIC(5y)9.88%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)10.23%
ROICexgc(3y)5.1%
ROICexgc(5y)10.92%
ROCE(3y)6.19%
ROCE(5y)12.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.6%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.83%
OM growth 3Y-29.5%
OM growth 5Y3.56%
PM growth 3Y-37.9%
PM growth 5Y-10.17%
GM growth 3Y-19.36%
GM growth 5Y5.17%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.41
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.35
Cap/Depr 129.48%
Cap/Sales 11.28%
Interest Coverage 5.61
Cash Conversion 38.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.47
Altman-Z 1.88
F-Score7
WACC11.12%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)132.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.14%
EPS 3Y-41.01%
EPS 5Y21.6%
EPS Q2Q%-51.11%
EPS Next Y-26%
EPS Next 2Y2.56%
EPS Next 3Y-0.44%
EPS Next 5Y14.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.27%
Revenue growth 5Y6.78%
Sales Q2Q%5.6%
Revenue Next Year7.87%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.98%
Revenue Next 5Y0.94%
EBIT growth 1Y73.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.55%
EBIT growth 5Y10.58%
EBIT Next Year61.72%
EBIT Next 3Y20.38%
EBIT Next 5Y10.17%
FCF growth 1Y-1227.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-36.51%
OCF growth 3Y-40.6%
OCF growth 5Y-12.22%

MOSAIC CO/THE / MOS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MOS.


What is the valuation status for MOS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MOSAIC CO/THE?

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is expected to decline by -26% in the next year.


Is the dividend of MOSAIC CO/THE sustainable?

The dividend rating of MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 51.86%.