Logo image of MOS

MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:MOS - US61945C1036 - Common Stock

33.915 USD
-0.3 (-0.89%)
Last: 9/19/2025, 1:50:49 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MOS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MOS was profitable.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years MOS has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
MOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.87%, MOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.70% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of MOS (7.56%) is better than 71.08% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.43%, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 62.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is above the industry average of 6.34%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.43%) for MOS is well below the 3 year average (8.76%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MOS had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.87%
ROE 7.56%
ROIC 2.43%
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
MOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

MOS's Profit Margin of 8.35% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
MOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of MOS (7.09%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
MOS's Gross Margin of 15.33% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MOS is outperformed by 74.70% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.09%
PM (TTM) 8.35%
GM 15.33%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
MOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOS Yearly Shares OutstandingMOS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.99 indicates that MOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS's Altman-Z score of 1.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 54.22% of its industry peers.
MOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MOS would need 1025.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 1025.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 42.17% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
MOS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: MOS outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 1025.86
Altman-Z 1.99
ROIC/WACC0.3
WACC8.17%
MOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

MOS has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that MOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MOS (1.14) is worse than 86.75% of its industry peers.
MOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that MOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, MOS is doing worse than 92.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.44
MOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MOS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.62%.
Measured over the past years, MOS shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 47.88% on average per year.
MOS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.71%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.55% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MOS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.97% on average per year.
MOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y63.19%
EPS Next 2Y28.08%
EPS Next 3Y12.45%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue Next Year16.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.38%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B
MOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.95, MOS is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
MOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.41.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.44, the valuation of MOS can be described as reasonable.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 81.93% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.88), we can say MOS is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.95
Fwd PE 10.44
MOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MOS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MOS is cheaper than 73.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 2503.25
EV/EBITDA 7.65
MOS Per share dataMOS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
MOS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.45% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)0.4
EPS Next 2Y28.08%
EPS Next 3Y12.45%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MOS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
MOS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.43.
MOS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.61%

5.2 History

The dividend of MOS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 36.86%!
MOS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MOS Yearly Dividends per shareMOS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

29.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.18%
EPS Next 2Y28.08%
EPS Next 3Y12.45%
MOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMOS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
MOS Dividend Payout.MOS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MOS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MOSAIC CO/THE

NYSE:MOS (9/19/2025, 1:50:49 PM)

33.915

-0.3 (-0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)08-05 2025-08-05/amc
Earnings (Next)11-10 2025-11-10/amc
Inst Owners90.48%
Inst Owner Change3.59%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-5.66%
Market Cap10.76B
Analysts78.26
Price Target41.49 (22.34%)
Short Float %3.62%
Short Ratio2.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.61%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)36.86%
DP29.18%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date09-08 2025-09-08 (0.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.52%
Max EPS beat(2)8.48%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)8.48%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.57%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.24%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.19%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)-2.67%
PT rev (3m)6.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.95
Fwd PE 10.44
P/S 0.96
P/FCF 2503.25
P/OCF 9.09
P/B 0.87
P/tB 0.95
EV/EBITDA 7.65
EPS(TTM)1.79
EY5.28%
EPS(NY)3.25
Fwd EY9.58%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0.04%
OCF(TTM)3.73
OCFY11.01%
SpS35.46
BVpS39.18
TBVpS35.69
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)0.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.87%
ROE 7.56%
ROCE 4.01%
ROIC 2.43%
ROICexc 2.46%
ROICexgc 2.6%
OM 7.09%
PM (TTM) 8.35%
GM 15.33%
FCFM 0.04%
ROA(3y)7.05%
ROA(5y)6.38%
ROE(3y)13.57%
ROE(5y)12.61%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)7.81%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc(3y)9.66%
ROICexgc(5y)8.67%
ROCE(3y)13.98%
ROCE(5y)12.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.81%
OM growth 3Y-33.55%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y-50.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.33%
GM growth 5Y6.18%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 1025.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.4
Cap/Depr 115.19%
Cap/Sales 10.49%
Interest Coverage 4.28
Cash Conversion 64.98%
Profit Quality 0.46%
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 1.99
F-Score7
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACC0.3
Cap/Depr(3y)133.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.39%
Profit Quality(3y)62.8%
Profit Quality(5y)61.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.62%
EPS 3Y-26.76%
EPS 5Y47.88%
EPS Q2Q%-5.56%
EPS Next Y63.19%
EPS Next 2Y28.08%
EPS Next 3Y12.45%
EPS Next 5Y11.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.45%
Revenue growth 5Y4.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.71%
Revenue Next Year16.95%
Revenue Next 2Y7.7%
Revenue Next 3Y4.38%
Revenue Next 5Y2.89%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.89%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.5%
EBIT Next Year158.96%
EBIT Next 3Y33.19%
EBIT Next 5Y17.05%
FCF growth 1Y-99.75%
FCF growth 3Y-62.49%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-61.37%
OCF growth 3Y-15.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.47%