MOSAIC CO/THE (MOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:MOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US61945C1036 - Common Stock
MOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 85 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. MOS has an average financial health and profitability rating. MOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MOS was profitable.
In the past year MOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years MOS 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.59%, MOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.58% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Return On Equity of 3.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 44.58% of its industry peers.
MOS has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.23%) than 61.45% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MOS is significantly above the industry average of 6.57%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.26%) for MOS is well above the current ROIC(3.23%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.59% | ||
| ROE | 3.14% | ||
| ROIC | 3.23% |
ROA(3y)9.26%
ROA(5y)5.12%
ROE(3y)18.19%
ROE(5y)9.98%
ROIC(3y)14.26%
ROIC(5y)9.72%
1.3 Margins
MOS has a Profit Margin of 3.24%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MOS outperforms 48.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MOS has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.98%, MOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.78% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MOS has a worse Gross Margin (15.45%) than 73.49% of its industry peers.
MOS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 15.45% |
OM growth 3Y16.82%
OM growth 5Y2.51%
PM growth 3Y3.5%
PM growth 5Y11.65%
GM growth 3Y9.58%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MOS is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MOS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MOS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MOS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MOS has an Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is not the best score and indicates that MOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MOS has a Altman-Z score (1.93) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MOS is 13.49, which is on the high side as it means it would take MOS, 13.49 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 13.49 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOS outperforms 46.99% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that MOS is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, MOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC8.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that MOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MOS has a Current ratio of 1.19. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MOS underperforms 87.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.49 indicates that MOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.49, MOS is not doing good in the industry: 92.77% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MOS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.30%.
MOS shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.99% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MOS shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.77% in the last year.
MOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.3%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y10.99%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y7.39%
Sales Q2Q%-20.78%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.62% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.29% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-39.74%
EPS Next 2Y-19.35%
EPS Next 3Y-15.04%
EPS Next 5Y4.62%
Revenue Next Year-17.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.21%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.29%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MOS is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.10.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.68, which indicates a very decent valuation of MOS.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MOS is cheaper than 77.11% of the companies in the same industry.
MOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
89.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
MOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as MOS's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y-19.35%
EPS Next 3Y-15.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.29%, MOS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.26, MOS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MOS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.29% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MOS grows each year by 58.93%, which is quite nice.
MOS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As MOS did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)58.93%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
72.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MOS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MOS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP72.55%
EPS Next 2Y-19.35%
EPS Next 3Y-15.04%
MOSAIC CO/THE
NYSE:MOS (1/21/2025, 8:15:08 PM)
After market: 26.99 -0.12 (-0.44%)27.11
-0.03 (-0.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.05%
Inst Owner Change-0.12%
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner Change-1.03%
Market Cap8.61B
Analysts70
Price Target33.02 (21.8%)
Short Float %2.84%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.29% |
Yearly Dividend1.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)58.93%
DP72.55%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-28.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(2)-19.28%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-19.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-37.77%
Max EPS beat(4)-2.49%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.6%
EPS beat(12)0
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.72%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)2.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.94%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.46%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.47%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.93%
PT rev (1m)0.1%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.97%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.68 | ||
| P/S | 0.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.32 | ||
| P/B | 0.73 | ||
| P/tB | 0.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.46 |
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY8.26%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY8.56%
FCF(TTM)0.95
FCFY3.5%
OCF(TTM)5.09
OCFY18.79%
SpS36.07
BVpS37.17
TBVpS33.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.59% | ||
| ROE | 3.14% | ||
| ROCE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 3.23% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.28% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.48% | ||
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 15.45% | ||
| FCFM | 2.63% |
ROA(3y)9.26%
ROA(5y)5.12%
ROE(3y)18.19%
ROE(5y)9.98%
ROIC(3y)14.26%
ROIC(5y)9.72%
ROICexc(3y)14.83%
ROICexc(5y)10.09%
ROICexgc(3y)15.86%
ROICexgc(5y)10.81%
ROCE(3y)18.07%
ROCE(5y)12.29%
ROICexcg growth 3Y27.5%
ROICexcg growth 5Y6.19%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.18%
OM growth 3Y16.82%
OM growth 5Y2.51%
PM growth 3Y3.5%
PM growth 5Y11.65%
GM growth 3Y9.58%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.49 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.19 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.2 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 81.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
F-Score5
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)146.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)144.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.99%
Profit Quality(3y)72.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.3%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y10.99%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-39.74%
EPS Next 2Y-19.35%
EPS Next 3Y-15.04%
EPS Next 5Y4.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y16.41%
Revenue growth 5Y7.39%
Sales Q2Q%-20.78%
Revenue Next Year-17.28%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.21%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.29%
EBIT growth 1Y-56.54%
EBIT growth 3Y35.99%
EBIT growth 5Y10.09%
EBIT Next Year25.51%
EBIT Next 3Y8.59%
EBIT Next 5Y11.05%
FCF growth 1Y-85.92%
FCF growth 3Y34.6%
FCF growth 5Y17.15%
OCF growth 1Y-52.56%
OCF growth 3Y15%
OCF growth 5Y11.29%