MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOH • US60855R1005

Current stock price

143.36 USD
+3.98 (+2.86%)
At close:
148.8 USD
+5.44 (+3.79%)
After Hours:

This MOH fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. MOH Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MOH had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MOH had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MOH has been profitable.
  • MOH had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MOH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MOH (3.03%) is better than 63.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MOH (11.60%) is better than 76.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH's Return On Invested Capital of 7.39% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 69.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 14.32%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.63%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (14.32%) for MOH is well above the current ROIC(7.39%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.03%
ROE 11.6%
ROIC 7.39%
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.95%
ROE(3y)21.24%
ROE(5y)23.1%
ROIC(3y)14.32%
ROIC(5y)15.99%
MOH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • MOH's Profit Margin of 1.04% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 56.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MOH (1.73%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOH has declined.
  • MOH has a worse Gross Margin (13.07%) than 67.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.73%
PM (TTM) 1.04%
GM 13.07%
OM growth 3Y-27.35%
OM growth 5Y-21.51%
PM growth 3Y-25.14%
PM growth 5Y-21.41%
GM growth 3Y-4.5%
GM growth 5Y-6.76%
MOH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

5

2. MOH Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MOH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOH has less shares outstanding
  • MOH has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOH has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOH Yearly Shares OutstandingMOH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
MOH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOH has an Altman-Z score of 4.17. This indicates that MOH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of MOH (4.17) is better than 77.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.97. This is a neutral value indicating MOH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MOH (0.97) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.17
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC8.2%
MOH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MOH has a Current Ratio of 1.69. This is a normal value and indicates that MOH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MOH (1.69) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH has a Quick Ratio of 1.69. This is a normal value and indicates that MOH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.69, MOH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 1.69
MOH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. MOH Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MOH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -52.98%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.02% on average over the past years.
  • MOH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.75%.
  • MOH shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.98%
EPS 3Y-15.91%
EPS 5Y-0.02%
EPS Q2Q%-154.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.75%
Revenue growth 3Y12.42%
Revenue growth 5Y18.52%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • MOH is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-26.98%
EPS Next 2Y1.58%
EPS Next 3Y13.62%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue Next Year-1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.17%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MOH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B
MOH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

3

4. MOH Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.46, the valuation of MOH can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOH is valued cheaper than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, MOH is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.44, MOH is valued on the expensive side.
  • 66.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MOH, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • MOH is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.46
Fwd PE 18.44
MOH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA -1.16
MOH Per share dataMOH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 200 400 600 800

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MOH's earnings are expected to grow with 13.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.58%
EPS Next 3Y13.62%

0

5. MOH Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MOH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MOH Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC

NYSE:MOH (4/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 148.8 +5.44 (+3.79%)

143.36

+3.98 (+2.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners105.33%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.33%
Ins Owner Change10.63%
Market Cap7.38B
Revenue(TTM)45.43B
Net Income(TTM)472.00M
Analysts65
Price Target149.33 (4.16%)
Short Float %6.4%
Short Ratio1.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-484.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-916.01%
Max EPS beat(2)-53.34%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-243.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-916.01%
Max EPS beat(4)1.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-122.21%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-79.46%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.81%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.99%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.71%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.28%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.34%
PT rev (1m)-4.68%
PT rev (3m)-13.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-47.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-43.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.39%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.46
Fwd PE 18.44
P/S 0.16
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.81
P/tB 3.94
EV/EBITDA -1.16
EPS(TTM)10.65
EY7.43%
EPS(NY)7.78
Fwd EY5.42%
FCF(TTM)-12.35
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-10.39
OCFYN/A
SpS882.06
BVpS79.01
TBVpS36.39
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number137.6
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.03%
ROE 11.6%
ROCE 9.57%
ROIC 7.39%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 1.73%
PM (TTM) 1.04%
GM 13.07%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.95%
ROE(3y)21.24%
ROE(5y)23.1%
ROIC(3y)14.32%
ROIC(5y)15.99%
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)18.55%
ROCE(5y)20.72%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.35%
OM growth 5Y-21.51%
PM growth 3Y-25.14%
PM growth 5Y-21.41%
GM growth 3Y-4.5%
GM growth 5Y-6.76%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.03
Cap/Depr 51.79%
Cap/Sales 0.22%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 1.69
Altman-Z 4.17
F-Score4
WACC8.2%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)51.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.98%
EPS 3Y-15.91%
EPS 5Y-0.02%
EPS Q2Q%-154.46%
EPS Next Y-26.98%
EPS Next 2Y1.58%
EPS Next 3Y13.62%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.75%
Revenue growth 3Y12.42%
Revenue growth 5Y18.52%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%
Revenue Next Year-1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-54.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-6.97%
EBIT Next Year-29.1%
EBIT Next 3Y6.7%
EBIT Next 5Y18.96%
FCF growth 1Y-216.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-183.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC / MOH Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MOH.


What is the valuation status of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

The financial health rating of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is 5 / 10.