MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MOH • US60855R1005

Current stock price

153.66 USD
+3.54 (+2.36%)
Last:

This MOH fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. MOH Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MOH had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MOH had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MOH had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years MOH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MOH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMOH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • MOH has a better Return On Assets (3.03%) than 63.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.60%, MOH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.39%, MOH is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MOH had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 14.32%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.51%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (14.32%) for MOH is well above the current ROIC(7.39%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.03%
ROE 11.6%
ROIC 7.39%
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.95%
ROE(3y)21.24%
ROE(5y)23.1%
ROIC(3y)14.32%
ROIC(5y)15.99%
MOH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMOH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • MOH has a Profit Margin (1.04%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MOH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MOH's Operating Margin of 1.73% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 47.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MOH has declined.
  • MOH has a Gross Margin of 13.07%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MOH underperforms 67.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MOH has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.73%
PM (TTM) 1.04%
GM 13.07%
OM growth 3Y-27.35%
OM growth 5Y-21.51%
PM growth 3Y-25.14%
PM growth 5Y-21.41%
GM growth 3Y-4.5%
GM growth 5Y-6.76%
MOH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMOH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

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5

2. MOH Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MOH is still creating some value.
  • MOH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MOH has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MOH has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MOH Yearly Shares OutstandingMOH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
MOH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMOH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • MOH has an Altman-Z score of 4.21. This indicates that MOH is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MOH has a Altman-Z score of 4.21. This is in the better half of the industry: MOH outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • MOH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.97. This is a neutral value indicating MOH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MOH (0.97) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.21
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.42%
MOH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMOH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MOH has a Current Ratio of 1.69. This is a normal value and indicates that MOH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MOH's Current ratio of 1.69 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.69 indicates that MOH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MOH's Quick ratio of 1.69 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MOH outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 1.69
MOH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMOH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. MOH Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MOH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -52.98%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.02% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, MOH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.75% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, MOH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.98%
EPS 3Y-15.91%
EPS 5Y-0.02%
EPS Q2Q%-154.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.75%
Revenue growth 3Y12.42%
Revenue growth 5Y18.52%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%

3.2 Future

  • MOH is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.69% yearly.
  • MOH is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-47.46%
EPS Next 2Y-7.58%
EPS Next 3Y7.72%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue Next Year-1.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.17%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MOH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMOH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B
MOH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMOH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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2

4. MOH Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MOH is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.43.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MOH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • MOH is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.46 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MOH.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MOH is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.68. MOH is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.43
Fwd PE 27.46
MOH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMOH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA -0.5
MOH Per share dataMOH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 200 400 600 800

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.58%
EPS Next 3Y7.72%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MOH Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MOH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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MOH Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC

NYSE:MOH (4/21/2026, 2:11:59 PM)

153.66

+3.54 (+2.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners104.7%
Inst Owner Change0.17%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change10.63%
Market Cap8.00B
Revenue(TTM)45.43B
Net Income(TTM)472.00M
Analysts65
Price Target149.78 (-2.53%)
Short Float %6.73%
Short Ratio1.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-484.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-916.01%
Max EPS beat(2)-53.34%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-243.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-916.01%
Max EPS beat(4)1.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-122.21%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-79.46%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-58.81%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.99%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.71%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.28%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.34%
PT rev (1m)-4.39%
PT rev (3m)-14.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-47.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-28.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-59.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.43
Fwd PE 27.46
P/S 0.18
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.97
P/tB 4.27
EV/EBITDA -0.5
EPS(TTM)10.65
EY6.93%
EPS(NY)5.6
Fwd EY3.64%
FCF(TTM)-12.21
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-10.27
OCFYN/A
SpS872.07
BVpS78.11
TBVpS35.98
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number136.815 (-10.96%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.03%
ROE 11.6%
ROCE 9.57%
ROIC 7.39%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 1.73%
PM (TTM) 1.04%
GM 13.07%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.97%
ROA(5y)5.95%
ROE(3y)21.24%
ROE(5y)23.1%
ROIC(3y)14.32%
ROIC(5y)15.99%
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)18.55%
ROCE(5y)20.72%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.35%
OM growth 5Y-21.51%
PM growth 3Y-25.14%
PM growth 5Y-21.41%
GM growth 3Y-4.5%
GM growth 5Y-6.76%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover2.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.03
Cap/Depr 51.79%
Cap/Sales 0.22%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 1.69
Altman-Z 4.21
F-Score4
WACC8.42%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)51.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.98%
EPS 3Y-15.91%
EPS 5Y-0.02%
EPS Q2Q%-154.46%
EPS Next Y-47.46%
EPS Next 2Y-7.58%
EPS Next 3Y7.72%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.75%
Revenue growth 3Y12.42%
Revenue growth 5Y18.52%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%
Revenue Next Year-1.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y4.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-54.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-6.97%
EBIT Next Year-30.47%
EBIT Next 3Y3.63%
EBIT Next 5Y18.96%
FCF growth 1Y-216.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-183.07%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC / MOH Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MOH.


What is the valuation status of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC?

The financial health rating of MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC (MOH) is 5 / 10.