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MODIVCARE INC (MODV) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MODV - Nasdaq - US60783X1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

4.8  +0.96 (+25%)

After market: 4.9301 +0.13 (+2.71%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, MODV scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MODV was compared to 109 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of MODV have multiple concerns. MODV has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MODV was profitable.
MODV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MODV reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: MODV reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
MODV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMODV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MODV's Return On Assets of -11.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 71.30% of its industry peers.
MODV has a Return On Invested Capital (1.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
MODV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.11%. This is below the industry average of 8.07%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE N/A
ROIC 1.43%
ROA(3y)-4.51%
ROA(5y)-2.36%
ROE(3y)-47.21%
ROE(5y)-26.92%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)4.49%
MODV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMODV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

With a Operating Margin value of 0.84%, MODV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.74% of the companies in the same industry.
MODV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 15.52%, MODV is not doing good in the industry: 69.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MODV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.84%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.52%
OM growth 3Y-46.23%
OM growth 5Y-13.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.58%
GM growth 5Y18.19%
MODV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMODV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 15 20

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MODV is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MODV has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for MODV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MODV is higher compared to a year ago.
MODV Yearly Shares OutstandingMODV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M
MODV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMODV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

MODV has an Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is a bad value and indicates that MODV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of MODV (1.50) is worse than 62.04% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC5.58%
MODV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMODV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MODV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MODV's Current ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 84.26% of its industry peers.
MODV has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MODV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MODV (0.80) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
MODV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMODV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MODV have decreased strongly by -74.84% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MODV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.87% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.16% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, MODV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.84%
EPS 3Y-6.06%
EPS 5Y17.87%
EPS Q2Q%-68.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.16%
Revenue growth 3Y26.2%
Revenue growth 5Y14.71%
Sales Q2Q%2.2%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -13.89% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
Based on estimates for the next years, MODV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-92.41%
EPS Next 2Y-57.61%
EPS Next 3Y-24.46%
EPS Next 5Y-13.89%
Revenue Next Year1.96%
Revenue Next 2Y3.58%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MODV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMODV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
MODV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMODV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MODV is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 2.96.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MODV is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.47. MODV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 4.75, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of MODV.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MODV is valued cheaper than 99.07% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. MODV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.96
Fwd PE 4.75
MODV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMODV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MODV is valued cheaper than 87.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.47
MODV Per share dataMODV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as MODV's earnings are expected to decrease with -24.46% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.17
EPS Next 2Y-57.61%
EPS Next 3Y-24.46%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MODV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

MODIVCARE INC

NASDAQ:MODV (2/4/2025, 7:54:51 PM)

After market: 4.9301 +0.13 (+2.71%)

4.8

+0.96 (+25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-21 2025-02-21/amc
Inst Owners110.27%
Inst Owner Change-0.8%
Ins Owners1.08%
Ins Owner Change-6.11%
Market Cap68.54M
Analysts81.67
Price Target12.62 (162.92%)
Short Float %8.2%
Short Ratio2.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-73.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-103.84%
Max EPS beat(2)-43.07%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-73.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-145.64%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.07%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-31.46%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.2%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.28%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.37%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.06%
PT rev (1m)-51.79%
PT rev (3m)-54.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-87.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-94.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-59.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-80.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.96
Fwd PE 4.75
P/S 0.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.47
EPS(TTM)1.62
EY33.75%
EPS(NY)1.01
Fwd EY21.04%
FCF(TTM)-6.69
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-4.35
OCFYN/A
SpS195.21
BVpS-1.19
TBVpS-69.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE N/A
ROCE 2.2%
ROIC 1.43%
ROICexc 1.48%
ROICexgc 6.8%
OM 0.84%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.52%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-4.51%
ROA(5y)-2.36%
ROE(3y)-47.21%
ROE(5y)-26.92%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)4.49%
ROICexc(3y)3.27%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.03%
ROCE(5y)5.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-42.77%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.72%
OM growth 3Y-46.23%
OM growth 5Y-13.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.58%
GM growth 5Y18.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 9.18
Cap/Depr 30.6%
Cap/Sales 1.2%
Interest Coverage 0.31
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score4
WACC5.58%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)36.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.84%
EPS 3Y-6.06%
EPS 5Y17.87%
EPS Q2Q%-68.75%
EPS Next Y-92.41%
EPS Next 2Y-57.61%
EPS Next 3Y-24.46%
EPS Next 5Y-13.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.16%
Revenue growth 3Y26.2%
Revenue growth 5Y14.71%
Sales Q2Q%2.2%
Revenue Next Year1.96%
Revenue Next 2Y3.58%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.14%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.06%
EBIT Next Year222.06%
EBIT Next 3Y51.3%
EBIT Next 5Y36.17%
FCF growth 1Y-487.02%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-207.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A