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MODIVCARE INC (MODV) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:MODV - Nasdaq - US60783X1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

2.75  -0.8 (-22.54%)

After market: 2.83 +0.08 (+2.91%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to MODV. MODV was compared to 108 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of MODV have multiple concerns. MODV has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MODV was profitable.
MODV had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MODV reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years MODV reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
MODV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMODV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

MODV has a Return On Assets of -11.08%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MODV underperforms 73.15% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MODV (1.43%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MODV is significantly below the industry average of 8.12%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE N/A
ROIC 1.43%
ROA(3y)-4.51%
ROA(5y)-2.36%
ROE(3y)-47.21%
ROE(5y)-26.92%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)4.49%
MODV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMODV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

MODV has a Operating Margin of 0.84%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MODV underperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
MODV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
MODV has a Gross Margin of 15.52%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MODV underperforms 68.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MODV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.84%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.52%
OM growth 3Y-46.23%
OM growth 5Y-13.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.58%
GM growth 5Y18.19%
MODV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMODV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 15 20

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MODV is destroying value.
MODV has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MODV Yearly Shares OutstandingMODV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M
MODV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMODV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that MODV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
MODV's Altman-Z score of 1.49 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MODV outperforms 40.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC5.28%
MODV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMODV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

MODV has a Current Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MODV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MODV's Current ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MODV is outperformed by 86.11% of its industry peers.
MODV has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MODV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.80, MODV is not doing good in the industry: 78.70% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
MODV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMODV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MODV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -90.75%.
Measured over the past years, MODV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -21.09% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.75%
EPS 3Y-59.43%
EPS 5Y-21.09%
EPS Q2Q%-85.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 81.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y124.79%
EPS Next 2Y115.84%
EPS Next 3Y81.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MODV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMODV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
MODV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMODV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 5.29, the valuation of MODV can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MODV is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MODV to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.35), we can say MODV is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 2.35, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of MODV.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MODV indicates a rather cheap valuation: MODV is cheaper than 99.07% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MODV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.29
Fwd PE 2.35
MODV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMODV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MODV indicates a rather cheap valuation: MODV is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.35
MODV Per share dataMODV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MODV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MODV's earnings are expected to grow with 81.14% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y115.84%
EPS Next 3Y81.14%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MODV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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MODIVCARE INC

NASDAQ:MODV (3/7/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 2.83 +0.08 (+2.91%)

2.75

-0.8 (-22.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners107.36%
Inst Owner Change-7.41%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change5.94%
Market Cap39.30M
Analysts78.18
Price Target13.11 (376.73%)
Short Float %15.23%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-73.46%
Min EPS beat(2)-103.84%
Max EPS beat(2)-43.07%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-73.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-145.64%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.07%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-31.46%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-15.2%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.92%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.28%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.37%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.06%
PT rev (1m)3.84%
PT rev (3m)-48.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)120%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-73.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-48.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.29
Fwd PE 2.35
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.35
EPS(TTM)0.52
EY18.91%
EPS(NY)1.17
Fwd EY42.51%
FCF(TTM)-6.69
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-4.35
OCFYN/A
SpS195.07
BVpS-1.19
TBVpS-69.9
PEG (NY)0.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.08%
ROE N/A
ROCE 2.2%
ROIC 1.43%
ROICexc 1.48%
ROICexgc 6.8%
OM 0.84%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 15.52%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-4.51%
ROA(5y)-2.36%
ROE(3y)-47.21%
ROE(5y)-26.92%
ROIC(3y)3.11%
ROIC(5y)4.49%
ROICexc(3y)3.27%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.03%
ROCE(5y)5.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-42.77%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.72%
OM growth 3Y-46.23%
OM growth 5Y-13.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.58%
GM growth 5Y18.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 9.18
Cap/Depr 30.6%
Cap/Sales 1.2%
Interest Coverage 0.31
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score4
WACC5.28%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)36.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.75%
EPS 3Y-59.43%
EPS 5Y-21.09%
EPS Q2Q%-85.27%
EPS Next Y124.79%
EPS Next 2Y115.84%
EPS Next 3Y81.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0%
Revenue Next Year2.71%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-11.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-32.14%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.06%
EBIT Next Year215.6%
EBIT Next 3Y50.02%
EBIT Next 5Y36.17%
FCF growth 1Y-487.02%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-207.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A