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ALTRIA GROUP INC (MO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US02209S1033 - Common Stock

51.47  -0.39 (-0.75%)

After market: 51.45 -0.02 (-0.04%)

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to MO. MO was compared to 8 industry peers in the Tobacco industry. MO scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MO has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. Finally MO also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes MO very considerable for value and dividend investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MO had positive earnings in the past year.
MO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MO had a positive operating cash flow.
MO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MO (30.03%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 33.68%, MO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
MO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 31.67%. This is significantly below the industry average of 65.76%.
The 3 year average ROIC (31.67%) for MO is below the current ROIC(33.68%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 30.03%
ROE N/A
ROIC 33.68%
ROA(3y)14.28%
ROA(5y)9.92%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)31.67%
ROIC(5y)27.63%
MO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 42.72%, MO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MO has a better Operating Margin (48.16%) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
MO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 59.12%, MO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 48.16%
PM (TTM) 42.72%
GM 59.12%
OM growth 3Y2.54%
OM growth 5Y4.74%
PM growth 3Y24.8%
PM growth 5Y3.86%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y3.42%
MO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MO is creating value.
MO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MO Yearly Shares OutstandingMO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B
MO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.47 indicates that MO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
MO has a Altman-Z score of 4.47. This is amongst the best in the industry. MO outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MO is 2.96, which is a good value as it means it would take MO, 2.96 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.96, MO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 2.96
Altman-Z 4.47
ROIC/WACC4.29
WACC7.85%
MO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.44 indicates that MO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MO has a worse Current ratio (0.44) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
MO has a Quick Ratio of 0.44. This is a bad value and indicates that MO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.30, MO is doing worse than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.44
Quick Ratio 0.3
MO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.41%.
MO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.41% yearly.
Looking at the last year, MO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.44% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.70% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.41%
EPS 3Y4.32%
EPS 5Y4.41%
EPS Q2Q%7.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.18%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.7%
Sales Q2Q%1.27%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.00% on average per year.
MO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.87% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.78%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y4.7%
EPS Next 5Y4%
Revenue Next Year-0.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.55%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y0.87%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
MO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.25, the valuation of MO can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
MO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.33, the valuation of MO can be described as very reasonable.
87.50% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, MO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.25
Fwd PE 9.33
MO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MO is valued a bit cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MO is valued cheaper than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.27
EV/EBITDA 9.37
MO Per share dataMO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
MO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.51
PEG (5Y)2.33
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y4.7%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.97%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.64, MO pays a better dividend. On top of this MO pays more dividend than 87.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MO pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.97%

5.2 History

The dividend of MO has a limited annual growth rate of 5.89%.
MO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.89%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years14
MO Yearly Dividends per shareMO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

MO pays out 66.73% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MO's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP66.73%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y4.7%
MO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B
MO Dividend Payout.MO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ALTRIA GROUP INC

NYSE:MO (1/21/2025, 8:15:03 PM)

After market: 51.45 -0.02 (-0.04%)

51.47

-0.39 (-0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryTobacco
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Inst Owners60.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.23%
Ins Owners0.06%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap87.23B
Analysts74.29
Price Target56.72 (10.2%)
Short Float %1.75%
Short Ratio3.68
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.97%
Yearly Dividend3.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.89%
DP66.73%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.41%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.72%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.41%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.72%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.91%
EPS beat(12)0
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.76%
EPS beat(16)1
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.6%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.58%
PT rev (1m)3.21%
PT rev (3m)9.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.25
Fwd PE 9.33
P/S 3.63
P/FCF 10.27
P/OCF 10.1
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.37
EPS(TTM)5.02
EY9.75%
EPS(NY)5.52
Fwd EY10.72%
FCF(TTM)5.01
FCFY9.73%
OCF(TTM)5.1
OCFY9.9%
SpS14.17
BVpS-2.05
TBVpS-13.82
PEG (NY)1.51
PEG (5Y)2.33
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 30.03%
ROE N/A
ROCE 44.2%
ROIC 33.68%
ROICexc 36.31%
ROICexgc 204.08%
OM 48.16%
PM (TTM) 42.72%
GM 59.12%
FCFM 35.36%
ROA(3y)14.28%
ROA(5y)9.92%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)31.67%
ROIC(5y)27.63%
ROICexc(3y)36.88%
ROICexc(5y)31.67%
ROICexgc(3y)177.45%
ROICexgc(5y)125.67%
ROCE(3y)41.56%
ROCE(5y)36.26%
ROICexcg growth 3Y72.17%
ROICexcg growth 5Y61.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.69%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.7%
OM growth 3Y2.54%
OM growth 5Y4.74%
PM growth 3Y24.8%
PM growth 5Y3.86%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y3.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 2.96
Debt/EBITDA 1.99
Cap/Depr 50.86%
Cap/Sales 0.62%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 72.86%
Profit Quality 82.77%
Current Ratio 0.44
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 4.47
F-Score7
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC4.29
Cap/Depr(3y)77.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.83%
Profit Quality(3y)195.43%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.41%
EPS 3Y4.32%
EPS 5Y4.41%
EPS Q2Q%7.81%
EPS Next Y6.78%
EPS Next 2Y5.57%
EPS Next 3Y4.7%
EPS Next 5Y4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.18%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.7%
Sales Q2Q%1.27%
Revenue Next Year-0.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.55%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y0.87%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.44%
EBIT growth 3Y0.31%
EBIT growth 5Y4%
EBIT Next Year0.78%
EBIT Next 3Y2.29%
EBIT Next 5Y1.49%
FCF growth 1Y5.02%
FCF growth 3Y3.69%
FCF growth 5Y2.2%
OCF growth 1Y4.1%
OCF growth 3Y3.46%
OCF growth 5Y2.05%