MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MGPI • US55303J1060

Current stock price

18.49 USD
+0.15 (+0.82%)
At close:
18.49 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This MGPI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MGPI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MGPI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MGPI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MGPI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MGPI had a positive operating cash flow.
MGPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMGPI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • MGPI's Return On Assets of -8.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MGPI is outperformed by 73.53% of its industry peers.
  • MGPI has a worse Return On Equity (-14.83%) than 70.59% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.42%, MGPI is not doing good in the industry: 67.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MGPI is below the industry average of 11.81%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.62%
ROE -14.83%
ROIC 4.42%
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
MGPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMGPI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.81%, MGPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MGPI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of MGPI (37.18%) is worse than 76.47% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MGPI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.81%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.18%
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
MGPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMGPI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. MGPI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MGPI is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MGPI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • MGPI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MGPI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MGPI Yearly Shares OutstandingMGPI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M
MGPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMGPI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • MGPI has an Altman-Z score of 1.87. This is not the best score and indicates that MGPI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MGPI has a Altman-Z score (1.87) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MGPI is 3.32, which is a good value as it means it would take MGPI, 3.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MGPI's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.32 is amongst the best of the industry. MGPI outperforms 82.35% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that MGPI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • MGPI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.34) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 3.32
Altman-Z 1.87
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC6.28%
MGPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMGPI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • MGPI has a Current Ratio of 2.61. This indicates that MGPI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MGPI's Current ratio of 2.61 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MGPI outperforms 79.41% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that MGPI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MGPI has a Quick ratio (0.70) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.61
Quick Ratio 0.7
MGPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMGPI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. MGPI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MGPI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -50.18%.
  • MGPI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.28% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, MGPI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.77% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, MGPI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MGPI will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.31% on average per year.
  • MGPI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y-36.11%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MGPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMGPI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M
MGPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMGPI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4 5

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7

4. MGPI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.58, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of MGPI.
  • MGPI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MGPI is cheaper than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MGPI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.30, the valuation of MGPI can be described as very reasonable.
  • MGPI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MGPI is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MGPI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.58
Fwd PE 10.3
MGPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMGPI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MGPI indicates a rather cheap valuation: MGPI is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MGPI is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.19
EV/EBITDA 7.66
MGPI Per share dataMGPI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as MGPI's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.88
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MGPI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MGPI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • In the last 3 months the price of MGPI has falen by -23.25%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.87.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, MGPI pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.61%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MGPI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.12%.
  • MGPI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • MGPI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
MGPI Yearly Dividends per shareMGPI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of MGPI are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MGPI will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-9.69%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
MGPI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMGPI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M -100M

More info and screens

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MGPI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MGP INGREDIENTS INC

NASDAQ:MGPI (4/2/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 18.49 0 (0%)

18.49

+0.15 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners72.51%
Inst Owner Change24.55%
Ins Owners15.42%
Ins Owner Change4.32%
Market Cap394.95M
Revenue(TTM)536.38M
Net Income(TTM)-106.51M
Analysts80
Price Target29.38 (58.9%)
Short Float %8.32%
Short Ratio3.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.61%
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
DP-9.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.56%
Min EPS beat(2)22.85%
Max EPS beat(2)38.27%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.9%
Max EPS beat(4)44.56%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.2%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)9.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.31%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.86%
PT rev (1m)-17.24%
PT rev (3m)-23.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-89.78%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-90.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-27.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-33.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.58
Fwd PE 10.3
P/S 0.74
P/FCF 5.19
P/OCF 3.25
P/B 0.55
P/tB 1.1
EV/EBITDA 7.66
EPS(TTM)2.81
EY15.2%
EPS(NY)1.8
Fwd EY9.71%
FCF(TTM)3.56
FCFY19.25%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY30.77%
SpS25.11
BVpS33.63
TBVpS16.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.88
Graham Number46.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.62%
ROE -14.83%
ROCE 5.6%
ROIC 4.42%
ROICexc 4.5%
ROICexgc 6.98%
OM 10.81%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.18%
FCFM 14.18%
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
ROICexc(3y)8.09%
ROICexc(5y)9.22%
ROICexgc(3y)14.11%
ROICexgc(5y)16.52%
ROCE(3y)10.07%
ROCE(5y)11.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-30.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.05%
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 3.32
Debt/EBITDA 3
Cap/Depr 188.86%
Cap/Sales 8.48%
Interest Coverage 6.16
Cash Conversion 148.04%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.61
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 1.87
F-Score4
WACC6.28%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)254.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)244.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
EPS Next Y-36.11%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.37%
EBIT Next Year8.94%
EBIT Next 3Y13.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y144.53%
FCF growth 3Y20.35%
FCF growth 5Y17.77%
OCF growth 1Y18.82%
OCF growth 3Y10.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.94%

MGP INGREDIENTS INC / MGPI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MGPI stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MGPI.


What is the valuation status of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of MGPI stock?

MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MGPI stock?

The financial health rating of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is expected to decline by -36.11% in the next year.