MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MGPI • US55303J1060
Current stock price
17.04 USD
+0.31 (+1.85%)
At close:
17.04 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MGPI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MGPI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MGPI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year MGPI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years MGPI 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years MGPI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- MGPI has a Return On Assets of -8.62%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MGPI underperforms 76.47% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of -14.83%, MGPI is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.42%, MGPI is not doing good in the industry: 67.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MGPI is below the industry average of 11.65%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
1.3 Margins
- The Operating Margin of MGPI (10.81%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MGPI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 37.18%, MGPI is not doing good in the industry: 76.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- MGPI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% |
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
2. MGPI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MGPI is creating some value.
- MGPI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, MGPI has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for MGPI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.82 indicates that MGPI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.82, MGPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MGPI is 3.32, which is a good value as it means it would take MGPI, 3.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MGPI (3.32) is better than 82.35% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that MGPI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of MGPI (0.34) is better than 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC6.11%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.61 indicates that MGPI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.61, MGPI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI has a Quick Ratio of 2.61. This is a bad value and indicates that MGPI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.70, MGPI is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.12% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. MGPI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MGPI have decreased strongly by -50.18% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.28% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue for MGPI has decreased by -23.77% in the past year. This is quite bad
- MGPI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
3.2 Future
- MGPI is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.31% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, MGPI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-36.11%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MGPI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MGPI is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.06.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MGPI is valued cheaper than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.73.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.49, the valuation of MGPI can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MGPI indicates a rather cheap valuation: MGPI is cheaper than 88.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.72. MGPI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- MGPI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MGPI is cheaper than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MGPI indicates a rather cheap valuation: MGPI is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MGPI's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.66
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
5. MGPI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.64%, MGPI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- The stock price of MGPI dropped by -28.97% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.82.
- MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.64% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MGPI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.12%.
- MGPI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- MGPI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
5.3 Sustainability
- MGPI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-9.69%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
MGPI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
17.04
+0.31 (+1.85%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners72.51%
Inst Owner Change24.55%
Ins Owners15.42%
Ins Owner Change4.32%
Market Cap363.97M
Revenue(TTM)536.38M
Net Income(TTM)-106.51M
Analysts80
Price Target35.5 (108.33%)
Short Float %10.07%
Short Ratio4.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.64% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
DP-9.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.56%
Min EPS beat(2)22.85%
Max EPS beat(2)38.27%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.9%
Max EPS beat(4)44.56%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.2%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)9.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.31%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.86%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-7.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-69.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-72.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-27.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-12.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.49 | ||
| P/S | 0.68 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.99 | ||
| P/B | 0.51 | ||
| P/tB | 1.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
EPS(TTM)2.81
EY16.49%
EPS(NY)1.8
Fwd EY10.54%
FCF(TTM)3.56
FCFY20.89%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY33.39%
SpS25.11
BVpS33.63
TBVpS16.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.66
Graham Number46.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.6% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.98% | ||
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% | ||
| FCFM | 14.18% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
ROICexc(3y)8.09%
ROICexc(5y)9.22%
ROICexgc(3y)14.11%
ROICexgc(5y)16.52%
ROCE(3y)10.07%
ROCE(5y)11.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-30.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.05%
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 188.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 148.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
F-Score4
WACC6.11%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)254.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)244.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
EPS Next Y-36.11%
EPS Next 2Y-13.6%
EPS Next 3Y-3.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.37%
EBIT Next Year8.94%
EBIT Next 3Y13.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y144.53%
FCF growth 3Y20.35%
FCF growth 5Y17.77%
OCF growth 1Y18.82%
OCF growth 3Y10.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.94%
MGP INGREDIENTS INC / MGPI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MGPI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MGPI.
What is the valuation status of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MGP INGREDIENTS INC?
MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the valuation of MGP INGREDIENTS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is 6.06 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.51.
How financially healthy is MGP INGREDIENTS INC?
The financial health rating of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is 6 / 10.