MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MGPI • US55303J1060
Current stock price
20.05 USD
+0.07 (+0.35%)
At close:
20.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MGPI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MGPI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MGPI was profitable.
- MGPI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MGPI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- MGPI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- MGPI has a Return On Assets of -8.62%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MGPI underperforms 73.53% of its industry peers.
- MGPI has a worse Return On Equity (-14.83%) than 70.59% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of MGPI (4.42%) is worse than 67.65% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MGPI is below the industry average of 11.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
1.3 Margins
- MGPI has a Operating Margin (10.81%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MGPI has declined.
- The Gross Margin of MGPI (37.18%) is worse than 76.47% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MGPI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% |
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
2. MGPI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MGPI is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MGPI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- MGPI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MGPI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.90 indicates that MGPI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- MGPI has a Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MGPI outperforms 52.94% of its industry peers.
- MGPI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MGPI would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.32, MGPI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.34, MGPI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC6.43%
2.3 Liquidity
- MGPI has a Current Ratio of 2.61. This indicates that MGPI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- MGPI has a Current ratio of 2.61. This is in the better half of the industry: MGPI outperforms 79.41% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that MGPI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MGPI's Quick ratio of 0.70 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MGPI outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. MGPI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MGPI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -50.18%.
- Measured over the past 5 years, MGPI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.28% on average per year.
- MGPI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -23.77%.
- Measured over the past years, MGPI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.99% on average over the next years.
- MGPI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y-42.36%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MGPI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.14, the valuation of MGPI can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MGPI is valued cheaper than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGPI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
- MGPI is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.38.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MGPI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MGPI is cheaper than 79.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.20, MGPI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MGPI is valued cheaper than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- 100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MGPI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MGPI's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.12
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
5. MGPI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.54%, MGPI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.75.
- MGPI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MGPI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.12%.
- MGPI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- MGPI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of MGPI are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MGPI will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-9.69%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
MGPI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
20.05
+0.07 (+0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners72.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners15.75%
Ins Owner Change4.38%
Market Cap428.27M
Revenue(TTM)536.38M
Net Income(TTM)-106.51M
Analysts80
Price Target29.38 (46.53%)
Short Float %7.67%
Short Ratio3.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.54% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
DP-9.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)30.56%
Min EPS beat(2)22.85%
Max EPS beat(2)38.27%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.9%
Max EPS beat(4)44.56%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.2%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)9.14%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.31%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.86%
PT rev (1m)-17.24%
PT rev (3m)-23.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-90.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-40.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.38 | ||
| P/S | 0.8 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.63 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.52 | ||
| P/B | 0.6 | ||
| P/tB | 1.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
EPS(TTM)2.81
EY14.01%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY8.08%
FCF(TTM)3.56
FCFY17.76%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY28.38%
SpS25.11
BVpS33.63
TBVpS16.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.12
Graham Number46.1145 (130%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.62% | ||
| ROE | -14.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.6% | ||
| ROIC | 4.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.98% | ||
| OM | 10.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 37.18% | ||
| FCFM | 14.18% |
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)0.6%
ROE(5y)6.08%
ROIC(3y)7.95%
ROIC(5y)8.98%
ROICexc(3y)8.09%
ROICexc(5y)9.22%
ROICexgc(3y)14.11%
ROICexgc(5y)16.52%
ROCE(3y)10.07%
ROCE(5y)11.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-30.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.28%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.05%
OM growth 3Y-17.19%
OM growth 5Y-4.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.72%
GM growth 5Y8.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 188.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 148.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score4
WACC6.43%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)254.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)244.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.18%
EPS 3Y-16.98%
EPS 5Y2.28%
EPS Q2Q%-59.87%
EPS Next Y-42.36%
EPS Next 2Y-13.9%
EPS Next 3Y-2.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.82%
Revenue growth 5Y6.28%
Sales Q2Q%-23.5%
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y0.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-26.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.37%
EBIT Next Year8.94%
EBIT Next 3Y13.54%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y144.53%
FCF growth 3Y20.35%
FCF growth 5Y17.77%
OCF growth 1Y18.82%
OCF growth 3Y10.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.94%
MGP INGREDIENTS INC / MGPI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MGPI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MGPI.
What is the valuation status of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of MGPI stock?
MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MGPI stock?
The financial health rating of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MGP INGREDIENTS INC (MGPI) is expected to decline by -42.36% in the next year.