MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MGM • US5529531015
Current stock price
37.32 USD
+0.39 (+1.06%)
At close:
37.45 USD
+0.13 (+0.35%)
After Hours:
This MGM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MGM Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MGM was profitable.
- In the past year MGM had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years MGM has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years MGM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.51%, MGM is doing worse than 60.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGM has a better Return On Equity (8.69%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
- MGM's Return On Invested Capital of 2.79% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MGM is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MGM is significantly below the industry average of 10.56%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.51% | ||
| ROE | 8.69% | ||
| ROIC | 2.79% |
ROA(3y)1.66%
ROA(5y)2.2%
ROE(3y)21.1%
ROE(5y)22.5%
ROIC(3y)3.12%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- MGM has a Profit Margin of 1.20%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MGM outperforms 41.27% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MGM has declined.
- MGM has a Operating Margin (7.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MGM has a Gross Margin (44.42%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MGM has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.2% | ||
| GM | 44.42% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-52.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.43%
GM growth 5Y6.05%
2. MGM Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MGM is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MGM has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, MGM has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, MGM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.77, we must say that MGM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- MGM has a Altman-Z score of 0.77. This is in the lower half of the industry: MGM underperforms 72.22% of its industry peers.
- MGM has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.49. This is a neutral value as MGM would need 4.49 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- MGM's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.49 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MGM outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
- MGM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- MGM has a Debt to Equity ratio (2.64) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC7.38%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.23 indicates that MGM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 1.23, MGM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- MGM has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that MGM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MGM has a Quick ratio of 1.20. This is in the better half of the industry: MGM outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. MGM Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MGM have decreased strongly by -11.58% in the last year.
- The earnings per share for MGM have been decreasing by -39.80% on average. This is quite bad
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.72% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 27.71% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.58%
EPS 3Y-39.8%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.14%
Revenue growth 5Y27.71%
Sales Q2Q%5.95%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.68% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, MGM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.83%
EPS Next 2Y6.24%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
EPS Next 5Y4.68%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y1.93%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MGM Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.30, the valuation of MGM can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MGM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MGM is cheaper than 76.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MGM to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say MGM is valued slightly cheaper.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.28, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MGM.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MGM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. MGM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MGM indicates a rather cheap valuation: MGM is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- MGM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MGM is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.24%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
5. MGM Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MGM has a yearly dividend return of 0.02%, which is pretty low.
- MGM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.09.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, MGM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
5.2 History
- MGM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y6.24%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
MGM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
37.32
+0.39 (+1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/dmh
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners72.92%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners1.15%
Ins Owner Change1.7%
Market Cap9.55B
Revenue(TTM)17.54B
Net Income(TTM)211.09M
Analysts72.26
Price Target44.53 (19.32%)
Short Float %12.69%
Short Ratio4.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.19%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)13.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.19%
Max EPS beat(4)47.35%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)19.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)46.59%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-6.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.7%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.7%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.6%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.68%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.41%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.28 | ||
| P/S | 0.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.8 | ||
| P/B | 3.93 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.89 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY6.14%
EPS(NY)2.04
Fwd EY5.47%
FCF(TTM)5.65
FCFY15.14%
OCF(TTM)9.83
OCFY26.34%
SpS68.55
BVpS9.5
TBVpS-14.97
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number22.12
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.51% | ||
| ROE | 8.69% | ||
| ROCE | 3.53% | ||
| ROIC | 2.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.57% | ||
| OM | 7.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.2% | ||
| GM | 44.42% | ||
| FCFM | 8.24% |
ROA(3y)1.66%
ROA(5y)2.2%
ROE(3y)21.1%
ROE(5y)22.5%
ROIC(3y)3.12%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.33%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.09%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.95%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-52.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.43%
GM growth 5Y6.05%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.49 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.72 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.1% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.44 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 106.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 684.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
F-Score6
WACC7.38%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)119.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.51%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.89%
Profit Quality(3y)334.63%
Profit Quality(5y)229.19%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.58%
EPS 3Y-39.8%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%26.67%
EPS Next Y-10.83%
EPS Next 2Y6.24%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
EPS Next 5Y4.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.14%
Revenue growth 5Y27.71%
Sales Q2Q%5.95%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y1.74%
Revenue Next 3Y1.93%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year297.86%
EBIT Next 3Y52.45%
EBIT Next 5Y37.84%
FCF growth 1Y19.3%
FCF growth 3Y14.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y6.45%
OCF growth 3Y13.27%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL / MGM Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MGM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MGM.
What is the valuation status of MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) stock?
MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MGM stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) is expected to decline by -10.83% in the next year.
Is the dividend of MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL sustainable?
The dividend rating of MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.