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MIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP-ADR (MFG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MFG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US60687Y1091 - ADR - Currency: USD

5.62  -0.17 (-2.94%)

Premarket: 5.6 -0.02 (-0.36%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MFG. MFG was compared to 405 industry peers in the Banks industry. MFG has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. MFG has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MFG had positive earnings in the past year.
MFG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MFG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MFG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MFG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMFG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5T -5T 10T 15T

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MFG (0.30%) is worse than 84.21% of its industry peers.
MFG has a Return On Equity of 7.76%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MFG outperforms 46.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.3%
ROE 7.76%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.23%
ROA(5y)0.22%
ROE(3y)6.19%
ROE(5y)5.78%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MFG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMFG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

MFG has a Profit Margin of 20.87%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MFG outperforms 41.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MFG has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for MFG so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 20.87%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.55%
PM growth 5Y36.41%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
MFG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMFG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, MFG has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, MFG has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 1 year ago, MFG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MFG Yearly Shares OutstandingMFG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
MFG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMFG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50T 100T 150T 200T 250T

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of MFG is 43.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take MFG, 43.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 43.15, MFG is not doing good in the industry: 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MFG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.07. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 6.07, MFG is doing worse than 99.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.07
Debt/FCF 43.15
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.34%
MFG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMFG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5T -5T 10T 15T

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
MFG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMFG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10T 20T 30T 40T

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.35% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 47.83% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 26.88% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 8.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.35%
EPS 3Y13.14%
EPS 5Y47.83%
EPS Q2Q%27.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.15%
Revenue growth 5Y8.28%
Sales Q2Q%-53.72%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, MFG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y33.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.38%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year18.8%
Revenue Next 2Y13.97%
Revenue Next 3Y10.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MFG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMFG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1T 2T 3T
MFG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMFG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20 40 60 80

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.96, the valuation of MFG can be described as very reasonable.
MFG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MFG is cheaper than 60.65% of the companies in the same industry.
MFG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.62, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.85 indicates a reasonable valuation of MFG.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MFG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.15% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, MFG is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.96
Fwd PE 10.85
MFG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMFG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MFG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.72% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.09
EV/EBITDA N/A
MFG Per share dataMFG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MFG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MFG's earnings are expected to grow with 16.08% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y20.38%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.98%, MFG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
MFG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.19.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, MFG pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.98%

5.2 History

The dividend of MFG has a limited annual growth rate of 4.29%.
MFG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MFG has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.29%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
MFG Yearly Dividends per shareMFG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

MFG pays out 32.13% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
MFG's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP32.13%
EPS Next 2Y20.38%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
MFG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMFG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5T -5T 10T 15T
MFG Dividend Payout.MFG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MFG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MIZUHO FINANCIAL GROUP-ADR

NYSE:MFG (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 5.6 -0.02 (-0.36%)

5.62

-0.17 (-2.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)02-03 2025-02-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Inst Owners41.99%
Inst Owner Change-90.65%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap70.81B
Analysts77.89
Price Target6.16 (9.61%)
Short Float %0.01%
Short Ratio1.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.98%
Yearly Dividend92.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.29%
DP32.13%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date03-28 2025-03-28 (65)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)42.41%
Min EPS beat(2)39.87%
Max EPS beat(2)44.95%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)43.12%
Min EPS beat(4)9.35%
Max EPS beat(4)78.29%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)26.74%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)18.97%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)22.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)21.93%
Max Revenue beat(2)23.9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)166.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)21.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)394.74%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)157.18%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)138.01%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.39%
PT rev (3m)48.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)13.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.96
Fwd PE 10.85
P/S 2.68
P/FCF 7.09
P/OCF 5.9
P/B 1
P/tB 1.07
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.47
EY8.36%
EPS(NY)0.52
Fwd EY9.22%
FCF(TTM)0.79
FCFY14.11%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY16.96%
SpS2.1
BVpS5.63
TBVpS5.24
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)0.25
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.3%
ROE 7.76%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 20.87%
GM N/A
FCFM 37.84%
ROA(3y)0.23%
ROA(5y)0.22%
ROE(3y)6.19%
ROE(5y)5.78%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.55%
PM growth 5Y36.41%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.01
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.07
Debt/FCF 43.15
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 159.06%
Cap/Sales 7.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 181.26%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC6.34%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)112.68%
Cap/Depr(5y)123.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.32%
Profit Quality(3y)901.22%
Profit Quality(5y)1311.2%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.35%
EPS 3Y13.14%
EPS 5Y47.83%
EPS Q2Q%27.87%
EPS Next Y33.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.38%
EPS Next 3Y16.08%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.88%
Revenue growth 3Y10.15%
Revenue growth 5Y8.28%
Sales Q2Q%-53.72%
Revenue Next Year18.8%
Revenue Next 2Y13.97%
Revenue Next 3Y10.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-47.6%
FCF growth 3Y-53.7%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-40.41%
OCF growth 3Y-51.59%
OCF growth 5YN/A