MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:MEG • CA5527041084

30.89 CAD
+0.22 (+0.72%)
Last: Nov 14, 2025, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Overall MEG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated MEG against 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making MEG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. MEG has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. These ratings could make MEG a good candidate for quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MEG was profitable.
  • In the past year MEG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MEG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years MEG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MEG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMEG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • MEG has a better Return On Assets (7.78%) than 90.09% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.41%, MEG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.05%, MEG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MEG is significantly above the industry average of 6.50%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.78%
ROE 11.41%
ROIC 10.05%
ROA(3y)9.53%
ROA(5y)5.48%
ROE(3y)14.76%
ROE(5y)8.31%
ROIC(3y)13.52%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MEG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMEG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • MEG has a better Profit Margin (12.79%) than 74.06% of its industry peers.
  • MEG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MEG (20.16%) is better than 74.06% of its industry peers.
  • MEG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MEG has a Gross Margin of 39.44%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MEG outperforms 54.72% of its industry peers.
  • MEG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.16%
PM (TTM) 12.79%
GM 39.44%
OM growth 3Y-6.62%
OM growth 5Y13.34%
PM growth 3Y14.56%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.34%
MEG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMEG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MEG is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MEG has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MEG has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MEG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MEG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingMEG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MEG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMEG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.22 indicates that MEG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.22, MEG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MEG has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MEG would need 2.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MEG (2.58) is better than 87.26% of its industry peers.
  • MEG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.22, MEG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.74% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.58
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC1.33
WACC7.55%
MEG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMEG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MEG has a Current Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that MEG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MEG has a Current ratio of 1.73. This is in the better half of the industry: MEG outperforms 75.94% of its industry peers.
  • MEG has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that MEG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.17, MEG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.92% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 1.17
MEG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMEG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • MEG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.51%, which is quite good.
  • MEG shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.92% yearly.
  • The Revenue for MEG has decreased by -22.02% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, MEG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.51%
EPS 3Y25.99%
EPS 5Y13.92%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-22.02%
Revenue growth 3Y6.02%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%-6.64%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MEG will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 26.02% on average per year.
  • MEG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.09%
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%
EPS Next 5Y26.02%
Revenue Next Year-5.5%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y5.27%
Revenue Next 5Y5.72%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MEG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMEG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B
MEG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMEG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4 6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.71, the valuation of MEG can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MEG is valued a bit cheaper than 66.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MEG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • MEG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.57.
  • MEG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • MEG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.57.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.71
Fwd PE 19.57
MEG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMEG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MEG is valued a bit cheaper than 79.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MEG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MEG is cheaper than 64.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.8
EV/EBITDA 6.87
MEG.CA Per share dataMEG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of MEG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)13.55
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • MEG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.42%.
  • MEG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.01.
  • MEG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.42%

5.2 History

  • MEG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
MEG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareMEG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • MEG pays out 19.34% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.34%
EPS Next 2Y-8.37%
EPS Next 3Y4.57%
MEG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMEG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B
MEG.CA Dividend Payout.MEG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MEG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MEG Energy Corp / MEG.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MEG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MEG.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for MEG Energy Corp?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MEG stock?

MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) is 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MEG Energy Corp (MEG.CA) is expected to grow by 1.09% in the next year.