MEDIFAST INC (MED) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MED • US58470H1014

Current stock price

10.21 USD
-0.01 (-0.1%)
At close:
10.21 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This MED fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MED Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MED had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MED had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years MED 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MED had a positive operating cash flow.
MED Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMED Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • MED has a Return On Assets of -7.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MED underperforms 70.27% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -9.39%, MED is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.53%
ROE -9.39%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)8.43%
ROA(5y)22.37%
ROE(3y)13.65%
ROE(5y)42.92%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MED Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMED Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • The Gross Margin of MED (71.33%) is better than 70.27% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MED has remained more or less at the same level.
  • MED does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 71.33%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0%
GM growth 5Y-0.9%
MED Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMED Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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9

2. MED Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MED does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MED has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MED has less shares outstanding
  • MED has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MED Yearly Shares OutstandingMED Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
MED Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMED Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.39 indicates that MED is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MED has a better Altman-Z score (4.39) than 83.78% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for MED. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 4.39
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.93%
MED Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMED Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.69 indicates that MED has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • MED has a Current ratio of 4.69. This is amongst the best in the industry. MED outperforms 86.49% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 4.22 indicates that MED has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • MED has a better Quick ratio (4.22) than 91.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.69
Quick Ratio 4.22
MED Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMED Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

0

3. MED Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MED shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -186.21%.
  • MED shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -35.96%.
  • Measured over the past years, MED shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -16.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-186.21%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1750%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-35.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-37.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.22%
Sales Q2Q%-36.9%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MED will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -26.21% on average per year.
  • MED is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -19.23% yearly.
EPS Next Y-14.27%
EPS Next 2Y-26.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-27.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-19.23%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
MED Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMED Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
MED Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMED Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 5 10

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1

4. MED Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MED reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year MED is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
MED Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMED Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MED is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 89.84
EV/EBITDA N/A
MED Per share dataMED EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MED's earnings are expected to decrease with -26.21% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-26.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. MED Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MED has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.97%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.76, MED pays a better dividend. On top of this MED pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, MED pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.97%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MED decreases each year by -66.94%.
  • MED has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-66.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
MED Yearly Dividends per shareMED Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of MED are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MED will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • The Dividend Rate of MED has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP-1.04%
EPS Next 2Y-26.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
MED Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMED Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

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MED Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MEDIFAST INC

NYSE:MED (4/9/2026, 7:45:06 PM)

After market: 10.21 0 (0%)

10.21

-0.01 (-0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners74.16%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.18%
Ins Owner Change4.25%
Market Cap112.21M
Revenue(TTM)385.79M
Net Income(TTM)-18.67M
Analysts46.67
Price Target12.24 (19.88%)
Short Float %19.16%
Short Ratio7.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.97%
Yearly Dividend0.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)-66.94%
DP-1.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-26.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-99.23%
Max EPS beat(2)46.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)51.53%
Min EPS beat(4)-99.23%
Max EPS beat(4)199.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)88.81%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)75.52%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)64.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.26%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.75%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.97%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.64%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.64%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-20%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-44.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1423.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-24.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-22.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.29
P/FCF 89.84
P/OCF 16.35
P/B 0.56
P/tB 0.56
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.75
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-2
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.11
FCFY1.11%
OCF(TTM)0.62
OCFY6.12%
SpS35.1
BVpS18.1
TBVpS18.1
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.53%
ROE -9.39%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 71.33%
FCFM 0.32%
ROA(3y)8.43%
ROA(5y)22.37%
ROE(3y)13.65%
ROE(5y)42.92%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0%
GM growth 5Y-0.9%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 39.42%
Cap/Sales 1.46%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 4.69
Quick Ratio 4.22
Altman-Z 4.39
F-Score4
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)49.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)160.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.1%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.32%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-186.21%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1750%
EPS Next Y-14.27%
EPS Next 2Y-26.21%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-35.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-37.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.22%
Sales Q2Q%-36.9%
Revenue Next Year-27.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-19.23%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-167.61%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year73.05%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-92.66%
FCF growth 3Y-80.85%
FCF growth 5Y-61.05%
OCF growth 1Y-71.96%
OCF growth 3Y-67.21%
OCF growth 5Y-45.69%

MEDIFAST INC / MED Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MEDIFAST INC (MED) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MED.


Can you provide the valuation status for MEDIFAST INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MEDIFAST INC (MED). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is MEDIFAST INC (MED) stock?

MEDIFAST INC (MED) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MEDIFAST INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MEDIFAST INC (MED) is expected to decline by -14.27% in the next year.


Is the dividend of MEDIFAST INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MEDIFAST INC (MED) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -1.04%.