MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MDV - US60784B1017 - REIT
14.78 USD
+0.02 (+0.14%)
14.78 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MDV. MDV was compared to 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. MDV has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MDV is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MDV was profitable.
MDV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MDV reported 4 times negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years MDV had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
MDV's Return On Assets of -0.54% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MDV is outperformed by 63.28% of its industry peers.
MDV has a Return On Equity of -1.63%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MDV underperforms 63.28% of its industry peers.
MDV's Return On Invested Capital of 3.21% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MDV outperforms 60.94% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MDV is in line with the industry average of 3.05%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.12%) for MDV is below the current ROIC(3.21%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.54% | ||
| ROE | -1.63% | ||
| ROIC | 3.21% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of MDV (42.49%) is better than 88.28% of its industry peers.
MDV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MDV's Gross Margin of 92.56% is amongst the best of the industry. MDV outperforms 95.31% of its industry peers.
MDV's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 42.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.56% |
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MDV is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for MDV has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
MDV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MDV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.09, we must say that MDV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.09, MDV is not doing good in the industry: 72.66% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MDV has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MDV would need 17.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MDV has a better Debt to FCF ratio (17.52) than 81.25% of its industry peers.
MDV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.70. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MDV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: MDV underperforms 64.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC6.46%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.25 indicates that MDV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MDV has a better Current ratio (4.25) than 92.97% of its industry peers.
MDV has a Quick Ratio of 4.25. This indicates that MDV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MDV (4.25) is better than 92.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.25 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MDV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 157.14%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the past year.
MDV shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, MDV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-171.71%
EPS Next 2Y-29.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.59%
Revenue Next 2Y0.65%
Revenue Next 3Y2.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.76%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 92.38, the valuation of MDV can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MDV is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MDV to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.38), we can say MDV is valued expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 119.46, the valuation of MDV can be described as expensive.
MDV's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MDV to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say MDV is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 92.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 119.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MDV indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MDV is cheaper than 72.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MDV indicates a rather cheap valuation: MDV is cheaper than 91.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.91 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-29.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.79%, MDV is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.34, MDV pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
MDV's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.79% |
5.2 History
MDV has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
MDV has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-573.85%
EPS Next 2Y-29.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.5%
14.78
+0.02 (+0.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners22.78%
Inst Owner Change-17.2%
Ins Owners3.03%
Ins Owner Change1.14%
Market Cap151.79M
Revenue(TTM)47.04M
Net Income(TTM)-2.68M
Analysts84
Price Target17.93 (21.31%)
Short Float %2.8%
Short Ratio8.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.79% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-573.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)65.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)230.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)104.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-93.26%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.74%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.17%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.64%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.94%
PT rev (3m)0.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-36.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-86.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)-277.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.57%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 92.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 119.46 | ||
| P/S | 3.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.51 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.18 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | 0.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.91 |
EPS(TTM)0.16
EY1.08%
EPS(NY)0.12
Fwd EY0.84%
FCF(TTM)1.55
FCFY10.52%
OCF(TTM)1.61
OCFY10.89%
SpS4.58
BVpS16.05
TBVpS15.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.6
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.54% | ||
| ROE | -1.63% | ||
| ROCE | 4.06% | ||
| ROIC | 3.21% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.28% | ||
| OM | 42.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.56% | ||
| FCFM | 33.94% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.58%
ROICexgc(3y)2.18%
ROICexgc(5y)1.6%
ROCE(3y)2.69%
ROCE(5y)1.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.52%
ROICexc growth 3Y62.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y34.05%
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.87 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 3.65% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.58 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 46.51% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 4.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score4
WACC6.46%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)581.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)371.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)189.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)123.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y-171.71%
EPS Next 2Y-29.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.5%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year0.59%
Revenue Next 2Y0.65%
Revenue Next 3Y2.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.76%
EBIT growth 1Y11.56%
EBIT growth 3Y80.05%
EBIT growth 5Y35.21%
EBIT Next Year79.8%
EBIT Next 3Y25.75%
EBIT Next 5Y15.97%
FCF growth 1Y114.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-10.78%
OCF growth 3Y23.3%
OCF growth 5Y30.88%
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC / MDV FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MDV.
What is the valuation status for MDV stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of MDV stock?
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is expected to decline by -171.71% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MDV stock?
The dividend rating of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -573.85%.