MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MDV - US60784B1017 - REIT
14.79 USD
-0.01 (-0.07%)
14.79 USD
0 (0%)
Overall MDV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MDV against 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. MDV has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MDV is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MDV was profitable.
In the past year MDV had a positive cash flow from operations.
MDV had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
MDV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MDV has a worse Return On Assets (-0.84%) than 64.06% of its industry peers.
MDV's Return On Equity of -2.54% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MDV is outperformed by 64.84% of its industry peers.
MDV's Return On Invested Capital of 3.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MDV outperforms 60.94% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MDV is in line with the industry average of 3.06%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.18%) for MDV is above the 3 year average (2.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.84% | ||
| ROE | -2.54% | ||
| ROIC | 3.18% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 42.28%, MDV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
MDV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MDV's Gross Margin of 92.32% is amongst the best of the industry. MDV outperforms 93.75% of its industry peers.
MDV's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 42.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.32% |
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MDV is destroying value.
MDV has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MDV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MDV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MDV has an Altman-Z score of 0.10. This is a bad value and indicates that MDV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of MDV (0.10) is worse than 72.66% of its industry peers.
MDV has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.29. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MDV would need 27.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 27.29, MDV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.66% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.69 is on the high side and indicates that MDV has dependencies on debt financing.
MDV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.69) than 64.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.1 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC6.36%
2.3 Liquidity
MDV has a Current Ratio of 5.44. This indicates that MDV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 5.44, MDV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.53% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 5.44 indicates that MDV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MDV (5.44) is better than 94.53% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MDV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 157.14%, which is quite impressive.
MDV shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.00%.
Measured over the past years, MDV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.76% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MDV will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.30% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MDV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-138.38%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.14%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.34%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 92.44, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MDV.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MDV is on the same level as its industry peers.
MDV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 96.02, the valuation of MDV can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MDV is on the same level as its industry peers.
MDV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 92.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 96.02 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MDV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MDV is cheaper than 73.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MDV indicates a rather cheap valuation: MDV is cheaper than 82.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MDV's earnings are expected to grow with 13.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MDV has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.20%, which is a nice return.
MDV's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.59.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, MDV pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.2% |
5.2 History
MDV has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of MDV are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MDV will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-355.77%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
14.79
-0.01 (-0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners23.16%
Inst Owner Change-17.82%
Ins Owners3%
Ins Owner Change1.45%
Market Cap150.27M
Revenue(TTM)46.76M
Net Income(TTM)-4.21M
Analysts84
Price Target18.11 (22.45%)
Short Float %2.98%
Short Ratio8.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.2% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-355.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)159.31%
Min EPS beat(2)88.58%
Max EPS beat(2)230.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-44.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-151.36%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)115.61%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.61%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.61%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.25%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.43%
PT rev (3m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-55.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-73.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-159.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-195%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 92.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 96.02 | ||
| P/S | 3.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.66 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.57 | ||
| P/B | 0.91 | ||
| P/tB | 0.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.84 |
EPS(TTM)0.16
EY1.08%
EPS(NY)0.15
Fwd EY1.04%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY6.82%
OCF(TTM)1.73
OCFY11.67%
SpS4.63
BVpS16.3
TBVpS16.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.66
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.84% | ||
| ROE | -2.54% | ||
| ROCE | 4.03% | ||
| ROIC | 3.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 42.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.32% | ||
| FCFM | 21.8% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.58%
ROICexgc(3y)2.18%
ROICexgc(5y)1.6%
ROCE(3y)2.69%
ROCE(5y)1.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.52%
ROICexc growth 3Y62.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y34.05%
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.8 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.53 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.1 |
F-Score5
WACC6.36%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)581.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)371.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)189.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)123.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y-138.38%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year2.14%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.34%
EBIT growth 1Y96.37%
EBIT growth 3Y80.05%
EBIT growth 5Y35.21%
EBIT Next Year79.74%
EBIT Next 3Y29.33%
EBIT Next 5Y15.97%
FCF growth 1Y109.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-7.04%
OCF growth 3Y23.3%
OCF growth 5Y30.88%
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC / MDV FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MDV.
What is the valuation status for MDV stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of MDV stock?
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is expected to decline by -138.38% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MDV stock?
The dividend rating of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -355.77%.