MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MDV - US60784B1017 - REIT
14.9 USD
+0.11 (+0.74%)
14.9 USD
0 (0%)
MDV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MDV get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. While showing a medium growth rate, MDV is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MDV was profitable.
MDV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MDV had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MDV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.84%, MDV is not doing good in the industry: 64.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MDV has a Return On Equity of -2.54%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MDV underperforms 64.84% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.18%, MDV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.94% of the companies in the same industry.
MDV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.12%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.06%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.18%) for MDV is above the 3 year average (2.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.84% | ||
| ROE | -2.54% | ||
| ROIC | 3.18% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
1.3 Margins
MDV has a better Operating Margin (42.28%) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
MDV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MDV's Gross Margin of 92.32% is amongst the best of the industry. MDV outperforms 93.75% of its industry peers.
MDV's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 42.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.32% |
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MDV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MDV has more shares outstanding
MDV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MDV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MDV has an Altman-Z score of 0.10. This is a bad value and indicates that MDV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.10, MDV is doing worse than 72.66% of the companies in the same industry.
MDV has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.29. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MDV would need 27.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MDV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 27.29. This is in the better half of the industry: MDV outperforms 72.66% of its industry peers.
MDV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.69. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MDV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.69) than 64.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.1 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC6.39%
2.3 Liquidity
MDV has a Current Ratio of 5.44. This indicates that MDV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
MDV has a better Current ratio (5.44) than 94.53% of its industry peers.
MDV has a Quick Ratio of 5.44. This indicates that MDV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 5.44, MDV belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.53% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MDV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 157.14%, which is quite impressive.
MDV shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.00%.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.76% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MDV will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.30% on average per year.
MDV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y-138.38%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.14%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.34%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 93.13 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MDV.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MDV.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MDV to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say MDV is valued expensively.
MDV is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 96.74.
MDV's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MDV to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.59), we can say MDV is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 96.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
73.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MDV, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MDV is valued cheaper than 83.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
MDV's earnings are expected to grow with 13.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MDV has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.78%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.38, MDV pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
MDV's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.78% |
5.2 History
MDV has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of MDV are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MDV will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-355.77%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
14.9
+0.11 (+0.74%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners23.16%
Inst Owner Change-17.82%
Ins Owners3%
Ins Owner Change1.45%
Market Cap153.02M
Revenue(TTM)46.76M
Net Income(TTM)-4.21M
Analysts84
Price Target18.11 (21.54%)
Short Float %2.98%
Short Ratio8.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.78% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-355.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)159.31%
Min EPS beat(2)88.58%
Max EPS beat(2)230.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-44.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)230.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-151.36%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)115.61%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.61%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.61%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.25%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.43%
PT rev (3m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-55.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-73.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-159.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-195%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 96.74 | ||
| P/S | 3.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.63 | ||
| P/B | 0.91 | ||
| P/tB | 0.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.83 |
EPS(TTM)0.16
EY1.07%
EPS(NY)0.15
Fwd EY1.03%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY6.77%
OCF(TTM)1.73
OCFY11.58%
SpS4.63
BVpS16.3
TBVpS16.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number7.66
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.84% | ||
| ROE | -2.54% | ||
| ROCE | 4.03% | ||
| ROIC | 3.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.24% | ||
| OM | 42.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 92.32% | ||
| FCFM | 21.8% |
ROA(3y)-1.01%
ROA(5y)-3.09%
ROE(3y)-3.42%
ROE(5y)-9.27%
ROIC(3y)2.12%
ROIC(5y)1.53%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)1.58%
ROICexgc(3y)2.18%
ROICexgc(5y)1.6%
ROCE(3y)2.69%
ROCE(5y)1.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.52%
ROICexc growth 3Y62.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y34.05%
OM growth 3Y67.86%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.08%
GM growth 5Y2.86%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.8 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.53 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 5.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.1 |
F-Score5
WACC6.39%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)581.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)371.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)189.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)123.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)157.14%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y-138.38%
EPS Next 2Y-21.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.3%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y13.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year2.14%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3Y1.8%
Revenue Next 5Y2.34%
EBIT growth 1Y96.37%
EBIT growth 3Y80.05%
EBIT growth 5Y35.21%
EBIT Next Year79.74%
EBIT Next 3Y29.33%
EBIT Next 5Y15.97%
FCF growth 1Y109.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-7.04%
OCF growth 3Y23.3%
OCF growth 5Y30.88%
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC / MDV FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MDV.
What is the valuation status for MDV stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of MDV stock?
MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is expected to decline by -138.38% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MDV stock?
The dividend rating of MODIV INDUSTRIAL INC (MDV) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -355.77%.