MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MDU • US5526901096
Current stock price
21.95 USD
-0.05 (-0.23%)
At close:
21.95 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MDU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MDU Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MDU was profitable.
- MDU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MDU had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years MDU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 2.50%, MDU is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.87%, MDU is doing worse than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.81%, MDU is doing worse than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MDU is below the industry average of 6.19%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (3.81%) for MDU is above the 3 year average (3.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.5% | ||
| ROE | 6.87% | ||
| ROIC | 3.81% |
ROA(3y)3.93%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)10.53%
ROE(5y)10.6%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)4.63%
1.3 Margins
- MDU has a worse Profit Margin (10.15%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MDU has grown nicely.
- MDU has a worse Operating Margin (15.49%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MDU has grown nicely.
- With a Gross Margin value of 58.04%, MDU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MDU has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.15% | ||
| GM | 58.04% |
OM growth 3Y23.45%
OM growth 5Y9.47%
PM growth 3Y24.44%
PM growth 5Y7.56%
GM growth 3Y-14.07%
GM growth 5Y-9.49%
2. MDU Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MDU is destroying value.
- MDU has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for MDU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- MDU has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.11, we must say that MDU is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.11, MDU is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- MDU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91. This is a neutral value indicating MDU is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.91, MDU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.11 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC7.13%
2.3 Liquidity
- MDU has a Current Ratio of 0.84. This is a bad value and indicates that MDU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MDU's Current ratio of 0.84 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MDU outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
- MDU has a Quick Ratio of 0.84. This is a bad value and indicates that MDU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MDU has a better Quick ratio (0.78) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. MDU Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MDU have decreased strongly by -34.97% in the last year.
- The earnings per share for MDU have been decreasing by -13.76% on average. This is quite bad
- Looking at the last year, MDU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -51.26% in the last year.
- MDU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -19.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.97%
EPS 3Y-19.91%
EPS 5Y-13.76%
EPS Q2Q%37.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-51.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-35.46%
Revenue growth 5Y-19.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.28%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, MDU will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.85% on average per year.
- MDU is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.95%
EPS Next 2Y6.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y4.79%
Revenue Next 5Y6.06%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. MDU Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.60 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MDU.
- 73.33% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than MDU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MDU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say MDU is valued inline with the index average.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.86, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MDU.
- 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than MDU, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- MDU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 21.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MDU is valued expensively inside the industry as 86.67% of the companies are valued cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
5. MDU Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.55%, MDU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- MDU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.64.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MDU pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.55% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MDU decreases each year by -8.58%.
- MDU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MDU has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.58%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 56.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MDU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP56.85%
EPS Next 2Y6.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
MDU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
21.95
-0.05 (-0.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryGas Utilities
Industry Strength61.49
Industry Growth56.52
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners97.47%
Inst Owner Change1.36%
Ins Owners0.37%
Ins Owner Change0.97%
Market Cap4.49B
Revenue(TTM)1.88B
Net Income(TTM)190.40M
Analysts81.82
Price Target22.61 (3.01%)
Short Float %5.49%
Short Ratio6.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.55% |
Yearly Dividend0.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.58%
DP56.85%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-12 2026-03-12 (0.14)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-18%
Max EPS beat(2)1.83%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-12.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-43.04%
Max EPS beat(4)8.7%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.3%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)14.02%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.97%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.29%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.39%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.2%
PT rev (1m)1.53%
PT rev (3m)7.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.86 | ||
| P/S | 2.4 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.49 | ||
| P/B | 1.62 | ||
| P/tB | 1.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.39 |
EPS(TTM)0.93
EY4.24%
EPS(NY)1
Fwd EY4.57%
FCF(TTM)-1.45
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.31
OCFY10.53%
SpS9.16
BVpS13.55
TBVpS11.86
PEG (NY)2.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.8357 (-23.3%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.5% | ||
| ROE | 6.87% | ||
| ROCE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 3.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.82% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.02% | ||
| OM | 15.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.15% | ||
| GM | 58.04% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.93%
ROA(5y)3.97%
ROE(3y)10.53%
ROE(5y)10.6%
ROIC(3y)3.53%
ROIC(5y)4.63%
ROICexc(3y)3.56%
ROICexc(5y)4.67%
ROICexgc(3y)3.76%
ROICexgc(5y)5.01%
ROCE(3y)3.9%
ROCE(5y)5.11%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.81%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.39%
OM growth 3Y23.45%
OM growth 5Y9.47%
PM growth 3Y24.44%
PM growth 5Y7.56%
GM growth 3Y-14.07%
GM growth 5Y-9.49%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.09 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 372.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 41.09% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.11 |
F-Score3
WACC7.13%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)292.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)259.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.22%
Cap/Sales(5y)24.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.97%
EPS 3Y-19.91%
EPS 5Y-13.76%
EPS Q2Q%37.04%
EPS Next Y7.95%
EPS Next 2Y6.94%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-51.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-35.46%
Revenue growth 5Y-19.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.28%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.87%
Revenue Next 3Y4.79%
Revenue Next 5Y6.06%
EBIT growth 1Y-29.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-20.32%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.83%
EBIT Next Year81.01%
EBIT Next 3Y28.9%
EBIT Next 5Y20.41%
FCF growth 1Y-1348.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-5.76%
OCF growth 3Y-2.46%
OCF growth 5Y-9.23%
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC / MDU Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to MDU.
Can you provide the valuation status for MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of MDU stock?
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MDU stock?
The financial health rating of MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MDU stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) is expected to grow by 7.95% in the next year.