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MCDONALD'S CORP (MDO.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:MDO - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US5801351017 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

277.8  -1.05 (-0.38%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MDO. MDO was compared to 53 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While MDO belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, MDO is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MDO was profitable.
MDO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years MDO has been profitable.
In the past 5 years MDO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MDO.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMDO.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

MDO has a Return On Assets of 14.68%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MDO outperforms 91.11% of its industry peers.
MDO's Return On Invested Capital of 18.87% is amongst the best of the industry. MDO outperforms 91.11% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MDO is significantly above the industry average of 11.62%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (18.87%) for MDO is above the 3 year average (17.45%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.68%
ROE N/A
ROIC 18.87%
ROA(3y)13.78%
ROA(5y)12.6%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.45%
ROIC(5y)16.19%
MDO.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMDO.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

MDO's Profit Margin of 31.79% is amongst the best of the industry. MDO outperforms 95.56% of its industry peers.
MDO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of MDO (45.52%) is better than 97.78% of its industry peers.
MDO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MDO has a Gross Margin (56.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MDO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 45.52%
PM (TTM) 31.79%
GM 56.62%
OM growth 3Y7.08%
OM growth 5Y2.56%
PM growth 3Y10.49%
PM growth 5Y3.58%
GM growth 3Y4.01%
GM growth 5Y2.31%
MDO.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMDO.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MDO is creating value.
MDO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MDO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MDO is higher compared to a year ago.
MDO.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingMDO.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M
MDO.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMDO.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.76 indicates that MDO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
MDO has a Altman-Z score of 4.76. This is amongst the best in the industry. MDO outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MDO is 6.02, which is on the high side as it means it would take MDO, 6.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MDO's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.02 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MDO outperforms 51.11% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.02
Altman-Z 4.76
ROIC/WACC2.31
WACC8.16%
MDO.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMDO.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

MDO has a Current Ratio of 0.78. This is a bad value and indicates that MDO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.78, MDO is not doing good in the industry: 64.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates that MDO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.77, MDO is not doing good in the industry: 62.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.77
MDO.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMDO.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MDO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.33%.
Measured over the past years, MDO shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 8.75% on average per year.
MDO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.69%.
Measured over the past years, MDO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.70% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.33%
EPS 3Y25.43%
EPS 5Y8.75%
EPS Q2Q%1.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.69%
Revenue growth 3Y9.9%
Revenue growth 5Y3.7%
Sales Q2Q%2.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MDO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.17% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MDO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.37%
EPS Next 2Y2.8%
EPS Next 3Y4.48%
EPS Next 5Y7.17%
Revenue Next Year2.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.8%
Revenue Next 3Y3.6%
Revenue Next 5Y4.77%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MDO.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMDO.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B 40B
MDO.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMDO.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10 20 30

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.22, MDO is valued on the expensive side.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MDO.
MDO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 28.47.
MDO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.75.
MDO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MDO to the average of the S&P500 Index (92.74), we can say MDO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.22
Fwd PE 22.75
MDO.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMDO.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MDO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MDO is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.27
EV/EBITDA 17.68
MDO.DE Per share dataMDO.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MDO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.77
EPS Next 2Y2.8%
EPS Next 3Y4.48%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.44%, MDO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.78, MDO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MDO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.44%

5.2 History

The dividend of MDO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.37%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.37%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
MDO.DE Yearly Dividends per shareMDO.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

58.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MDO. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
MDO's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP58.34%
EPS Next 2Y2.8%
EPS Next 3Y4.48%
MDO.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMDO.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B
MDO.DE Dividend Payout.MDO.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MDO.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MCDONALD'S CORP

FRA:MDO (2/5/2025, 12:40:46 PM)

277.8

-1.05 (-0.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29 2024-10-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-10 2025-02-10/amc
Inst Owners72.06%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap199.08B
Analysts76.36
Price Target310.53 (11.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.44%
Yearly Dividend6.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.37%
DP58.34%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.24%
Max EPS beat(4)3.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.93%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.94%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.57%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.72%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.39%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.58%
PT rev (1m)-2.93%
PT rev (3m)4.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.77%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.22
Fwd PE 22.75
P/S 7.93
P/FCF 31.27
P/OCF 22.11
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.68
EPS(TTM)11.47
EY4.13%
EPS(NY)12.21
Fwd EY4.39%
FCF(TTM)8.88
FCFY3.2%
OCF(TTM)12.56
OCFY4.52%
SpS35.02
BVpS-6.99
TBVpS-11.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.77
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.68%
ROE N/A
ROCE 23.68%
ROIC 18.87%
ROICexc 19.35%
ROICexgc 20.72%
OM 45.52%
PM (TTM) 31.79%
GM 56.62%
FCFM 25.37%
ROA(3y)13.78%
ROA(5y)12.6%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.45%
ROIC(5y)16.19%
ROICexc(3y)18.98%
ROICexc(5y)17.38%
ROICexgc(3y)20.72%
ROICexgc(5y)18.88%
ROCE(3y)21.94%
ROCE(5y)20.35%
ROICexcg growth 3Y16.09%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.75%
OM growth 3Y7.08%
OM growth 5Y2.56%
PM growth 3Y10.49%
PM growth 5Y3.58%
GM growth 3Y4.01%
GM growth 5Y2.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.02
Debt/EBITDA 2.82
Cap/Depr 133.5%
Cap/Sales 10.51%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 67.19%
Profit Quality 79.8%
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.77
Altman-Z 4.76
F-Score5
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC2.31
Cap/Depr(3y)109.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.19%
Profit Quality(3y)89.54%
Profit Quality(5y)92.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.33%
EPS 3Y25.43%
EPS 5Y8.75%
EPS Q2Q%1.25%
EPS Next Y-0.37%
EPS Next 2Y2.8%
EPS Next 3Y4.48%
EPS Next 5Y7.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.69%
Revenue growth 3Y9.9%
Revenue growth 5Y3.7%
Sales Q2Q%2.7%
Revenue Next Year2.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.8%
Revenue Next 3Y3.6%
Revenue Next 5Y4.77%
EBIT growth 1Y2.58%
EBIT growth 3Y17.68%
EBIT growth 5Y6.35%
EBIT Next Year18.39%
EBIT Next 3Y9.82%
EBIT Next 5Y8.67%
FCF growth 1Y13.55%
FCF growth 3Y16.19%
FCF growth 5Y11.42%
OCF growth 1Y18.51%
OCF growth 3Y15.33%
OCF growth 5Y6.65%