M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MDC - US5526761086 - Common Stock
62.98 USD
+0.03 (+0.05%)
62.98 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to MDC. MDC was compared to 60 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. MDC has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MDC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally MDC also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make MDC suitable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MDC was profitable.
MDC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years MDC has been profitable.
In multiple years MDC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MDC has a Return On Assets of 7.08%. This is in the better half of the industry: MDC outperforms 62.69% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MDC (11.81%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MDC has a Return On Invested Capital (6.75%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MDC is in line with the industry average of 9.73%.
The 3 year average ROIC (11.24%) for MDC is well above the current ROIC(6.75%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.08% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROIC | 6.75% |
ROA(3y)9.67%
ROA(5y)9.11%
ROE(3y)17.29%
ROE(5y)16.48%
ROIC(3y)11.24%
ROIC(5y)10.2%
1.3 Margins
MDC has a better Profit Margin (8.59%) than 68.66% of its industry peers.
MDC's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MDC's Operating Margin of 10.03% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MDC outperforms 61.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MDC has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MDC (19.29%) is worse than 82.09% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MDC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 19.29% |
OM growth 3Y-5.46%
OM growth 5Y1.73%
PM growth 3Y-2.84%
PM growth 5Y4.67%
GM growth 3Y-4.58%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MDC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MDC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MDC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.68 indicates that MDC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MDC (3.68) is better than 62.69% of its industry peers.
MDC has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.28. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MDC would need 3.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.28, MDC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.24% of the companies in the same industry.
MDC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a neutral value indicating MDC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MDC (0.50) is worse than 61.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
MDC has a Current Ratio of 7.70. This indicates that MDC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MDC (7.70) is better than 85.07% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.69 indicates that MDC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
MDC has a Quick ratio of 2.69. This is amongst the best in the industry. MDC outperforms 92.54% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 7.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MDC have decreased strongly by -31.16% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MDC shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.85% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MDC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.80% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MDC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.16%
EPS 3Y0.91%
EPS 5Y10.85%
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y8.66%
Sales Q2Q%-11.39%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.76% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.93 indicates a reasonable valuation of MDC.
MDC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MDC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.25), we can say MDC is valued rather cheaply.
MDC is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.14.
MDC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MDC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.98), we can say MDC is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MDC is on the same level as its industry peers.
MDC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MDC is cheaper than 68.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of MDC may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MDC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%.
MDC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.19. MDC pays more dividend than 88.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, MDC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MDC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.41%!
MDC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MDC has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.41%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
38.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MDC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MDC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP38.93%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
62.98
+0.03 (+0.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners26.27%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.23%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.73B
Revenue(TTM)4.64B
Net Income(TTM)398.81M
Analysts48.33
Price Target58.14 (-7.68%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.49% |
Yearly Dividend2.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.41%
DP38.93%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.26%
Min EPS beat(2)3.38%
Max EPS beat(2)15.13%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)44.26%
Min EPS beat(4)3.38%
Max EPS beat(4)93.72%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.75%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)12.15%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.29%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.44%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.75%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.81%
PT rev (1m)-3.39%
PT rev (3m)8.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)8.96%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.42 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.33 |
EPS(TTM)5.28
EY8.38%
EPS(NY)5.19
Fwd EY8.24%
FCF(TTM)6.91
FCFY10.97%
OCF(TTM)7.48
OCFY11.88%
SpS61.86
BVpS45.01
TBVpS44.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.1
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.08% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROCE | 9.36% | ||
| ROIC | 6.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.89% | ||
| OM | 10.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.59% | ||
| GM | 19.29% | ||
| FCFM | 11.17% |
ROA(3y)9.67%
ROA(5y)9.11%
ROE(3y)17.29%
ROE(5y)16.48%
ROIC(3y)11.24%
ROIC(5y)10.2%
ROICexc(3y)13.75%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)15.03%
ROICexgc(5y)13.54%
ROCE(3y)15.67%
ROCE(5y)14.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.69%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y-5.46%
OM growth 5Y1.73%
PM growth 3Y-2.84%
PM growth 5Y4.67%
GM growth 3Y-4.58%
GM growth 5Y-0.69%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.46 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 168.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 507.7 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 114.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 130.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 7.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
F-Score5
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)122.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.16%
EPS 3Y0.91%
EPS 5Y10.85%
EPS Q2Q%44.44%
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y2.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.97%
Revenue growth 5Y8.66%
Sales Q2Q%-11.39%
Revenue Next Year6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.03%
EBIT growth 3Y0.19%
EBIT growth 5Y10.54%
EBIT Next Year47.13%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-40.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.98%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
M D C Holdings Inc / MDC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MDC.
What is the valuation status for MDC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to M D C Holdings Inc (MDC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for M D C Holdings Inc?
M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is M D C Holdings Inc?
The financial health rating of M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of M D C Holdings Inc (MDC) is expected to decline by -1.74% in the next year.