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MOELIS & CO - CLASS A (MC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MC - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US60786M1053 - Common Stock

79.21  +1.87 (+2.42%)

After market: 79.21 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MC. MC was compared to 224 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. MC scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. While showing a medium growth rate, MC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MC had positive earnings in the past year.
MC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years MC 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MC had a positive operating cash flow.
MC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.55%, MC is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.16% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of MC (11.14%) is better than 63.01% of its industry peers.
MC has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MC outperforms 43.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 11.14%
ROIC 3.58%
ROA(3y)11.24%
ROA(5y)11.7%
ROE(3y)33.82%
ROE(5y)32.49%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
MC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 4.22%, MC is not doing good in the industry: 72.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Operating Margin value of 3.31%, MC is not doing good in the industry: 79.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.31%
PM (TTM) 4.22%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
MC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MC has more shares outstanding
MC has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MC Yearly Shares OutstandingMC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
MC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.22 indicates that MC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.22, MC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.19% of the companies in the same industry.
MC has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 4.22
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
MC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that MC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MC has a Current ratio of 0.58. This is in the lower half of the industry: MC underperforms 71.69% of its industry peers.
MC has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that MC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MC's Quick ratio of 0.58 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MC is outperformed by 71.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
MC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 194.74%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 14.59% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.71% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)194.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%246.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.23%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-1.41%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 116.15% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 20.90% on average per year.
EPS Next Y627.59%
EPS Next 2Y279.09%
EPS Next 3Y165.51%
EPS Next 5Y116.15%
Revenue Next Year29.77%
Revenue Next 2Y28.06%
Revenue Next 3Y23.82%
Revenue Next 5Y20.9%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
MC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2 3 4 5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 141.45, the valuation of MC can be described as expensive.
MC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. MC is more expensive than 82.65% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.29. MC is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 32.01, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MC indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: MC is more expensive than 74.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MC is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 141.45
Fwd PE 32.01
MC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

MC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as MC.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.21
EV/EBITDA 137.79
MC Per share dataMC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
MC's earnings are expected to grow with 165.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y279.09%
EPS Next 3Y165.51%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.13%, MC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
MC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 9.45.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MC pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%

5.2 History

The dividend of MC decreases each year by -14.58%.
MC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of MC decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.58%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
MC Yearly Dividends per shareMC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

MC pays out 446.63% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP446.63%
EPS Next 2Y279.09%
EPS Next 3Y165.51%
MC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M
MC Dividend Payout.MC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MOELIS & CO - CLASS A

NYSE:MC (1/21/2025, 8:13:18 PM)

After market: 79.21 0 (0%)

79.21

+1.87 (+2.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)10-23 2024-10-23/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Inst Owners105.09%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change-3.89%
Market Cap5.93B
Analysts48.24
Price Target75.48 (-4.71%)
Short Float %4.83%
Short Ratio5.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%
Yearly Dividend2.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.58%
DP446.63%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.02%
Min EPS beat(2)1.82%
Max EPS beat(2)66.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)44.44%
Min EPS beat(4)1.82%
Max EPS beat(4)66.23%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.74%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.57%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-37.01%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)12.98%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.98%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.15%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.73%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.31%
PT rev (1m)11.16%
PT rev (3m)20%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.26%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.18%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 141.45
Fwd PE 32.01
P/S 6.11
P/FCF 30.21
P/OCF 28.06
P/B 16.15
P/tB 16.15
EV/EBITDA 137.79
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY0.71%
EPS(NY)2.47
Fwd EY3.12%
FCF(TTM)2.62
FCFY3.31%
OCF(TTM)2.82
OCFY3.56%
SpS12.96
BVpS4.91
TBVpS4.91
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 11.14%
ROCE 4.58%
ROIC 3.58%
ROICexc 4.51%
ROICexgc 4.51%
OM 3.31%
PM (TTM) 4.22%
GM N/A
FCFM 20.24%
ROA(3y)11.24%
ROA(5y)11.7%
ROE(3y)33.82%
ROE(5y)32.49%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 151.85%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 503.45%
Profit Quality 479.58%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 4.22
F-Score9
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)167.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)299.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.76%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)194.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%246.67%
EPS Next Y627.59%
EPS Next 2Y279.09%
EPS Next 3Y165.51%
EPS Next 5Y116.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.23%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.71%
Sales Q2Q%-1.41%
Revenue Next Year29.77%
Revenue Next 2Y28.06%
Revenue Next 3Y23.82%
Revenue Next 5Y20.9%
EBIT growth 1Y2105.31%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year402.91%
EBIT Next 3Y134.05%
EBIT Next 5Y93.07%
FCF growth 1Y-32.75%
FCF growth 3Y-28.54%
FCF growth 5Y-18.07%
OCF growth 1Y-29.61%
OCF growth 3Y-28.26%
OCF growth 5Y-16.52%