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MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:MAT - US5770811025 - Common Stock

19.84 USD
-0.15 (-0.75%)
Last: 12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM
19.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MAT. MAT was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MAT was profitable.
MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years MAT has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.56%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 19.12%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT's Return On Invested Capital of 8.19% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 80.65% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAT is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROIC 8.19%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

MAT's Profit Margin of 8.27% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 93.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has declined.
MAT has a better Operating Margin (11.57%) than 87.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MAT (50.47%) is better than 77.42% of its industry peers.
MAT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is destroying value.
MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.99, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.79. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 4.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MAT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.79. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77 indicates that MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.77, MAT is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC9.78%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
MAT has a worse Current ratio (1.60) than 70.97% of its industry peers.
MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MAT (1.18) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.83%.
Measured over the past 5 years, MAT shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.83% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.36% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.61% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue Next Year1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 -1 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.17, which indicates a correct valuation of MAT.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.51. MAT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.25, which indicates a very decent valuation of MAT.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 96.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 11.25
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MAT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.63
EV/EBITDA 10.1
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MAT has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (12/31/2025, 8:13:08 PM)

After market: 19.84 0 (0%)

19.84

-0.15 (-0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-21 2025-10-21/amc
Earnings (Next)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Inst Owners101.82%
Inst Owner Change-0.76%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.17B
Revenue(TTM)5.23B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts81.05
Price Target24.42 (23.08%)
Short Float %4.51%
Short Ratio3.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)0.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 11.25
P/S 1.18
P/FCF 12.63
P/OCF 9.36
P/B 2.73
P/tB 11.71
EV/EBITDA 10.1
EPS(TTM)1.4
EY7.06%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY8.89%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY7.92%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY10.68%
SpS16.82
BVpS7.28
TBVpS1.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROCE 13.09%
ROIC 8.19%
ROICexc 9.63%
ROICexgc 17.26%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 101.07%
Cap/Sales 3.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.19%
Profit Quality 112.97%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score6
WACC9.78%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%
Revenue Next Year1.26%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year43.24%
EBIT Next 3Y16.1%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y5.86%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y3.27%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 14.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.73.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.