MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

Current stock price

14.83 USD
-0.17 (-1.13%)
At close:
14.89 USD
+0.06 (+0.4%)
After Hours:

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.99%, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.80%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.76%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.28%. This is above the industry average of 7.45%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.43%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MAT has a better Operating Margin (11.57%) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • MAT's Gross Margin of 48.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is creating some value.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.87. This is not the best score and indicates that MAT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.87, MAT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.67. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 5.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • MAT has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.67) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • MAT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAT underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.87
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC8.88%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MAT has a Current Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a Current ratio (2.15) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.76 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT's Quick ratio of 1.76 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 71.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • MAT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.13% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the past year.
  • MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.85% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.97%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

7

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.30, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
  • 93.75% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • MAT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • MAT is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.77.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.42, MAT is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.3
Fwd PE 11.77
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MAT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 84.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.9
EV/EBITDA 7.08
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MAT has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (3/20/2026, 8:06:57 PM)

After market: 14.89 +0.06 (+0.4%)

14.83

-0.17 (-1.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners105.37%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.63%
Market Cap4.48B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76
Price Target20.82 (40.39%)
Short Float %4.47%
Short Ratio2.49
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-15.34%
PT rev (3m)-14.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-120.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-28.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.3
Fwd PE 11.77
P/S 0.84
P/FCF 10.9
P/OCF 7.55
P/B 2.01
P/tB 8.86
EV/EBITDA 7.08
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.71%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.5%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.18%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.24%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.47
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.87
F-Score5
WACC8.88%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.97%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y11.27%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 10.3 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.01.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.