MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

16.14 USD
-0.26 (-1.59%)
At close: Mar 3, 2026
16.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/3/2026, 8:25:07 PM

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, MAT scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MAT was compared to 32 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. While MAT has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make MAT suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years MAT has always been profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT has a Return On Assets of 6.56%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 84.38% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Return On Equity of 19.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.70%) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is above the industry average of 7.72%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.28%) for MAT is below the current ROIC(10.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROIC 10.7%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.69%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • MAT's Profit Margin of 8.27% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MAT's Operating Margin of 11.57% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 50.47%, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y6.54%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.84. This is not the best score and indicates that MAT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT's Altman-Z score of 2.84 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 4.79, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 4.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MAT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.79. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77 indicates that MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • MAT has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.77) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Altman-Z 2.84
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC8.84%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.60, MAT is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MAT (1.18) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.59%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.11% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.12%
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5Y9.99%
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.29%
Revenue Next 5Y2.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

9

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.21 indicates a reasonable valuation of MAT.
  • 96.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.83), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.10, which indicates a very decent valuation of MAT.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 96.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.95.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.21
Fwd PE 9.1
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 90.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • MAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.27
EV/EBITDA 8.72
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MAT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (3/3/2026, 8:25:07 PM)

After market: 16.14 0 (0%)

16.14

-0.26 (-1.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners102%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change7.61%
Market Cap5.02B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts80
Price Target20.82 (29%)
Short Float %3.84%
Short Ratio2.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)-15.04%
PT rev (3m)-14.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.21
Fwd PE 9.1
P/S 0.96
P/FCF 10.27
P/OCF 7.61
P/B 2.22
P/tB 9.52
EV/EBITDA 8.72
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY8.92%
EPS(NY)1.77
Fwd EY10.98%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY9.73%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY13.13%
SpS16.82
BVpS7.28
TBVpS1.69
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.51
Graham Number15.35
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROCE 13.09%
ROIC 10.7%
ROICexc 12.59%
ROICexgc 22.54%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.69%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.75%
ROICexc(5y)14.07%
ROICexgc(3y)24.09%
ROICexgc(5y)24.93%
ROCE(3y)12.58%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.78%
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y6.54%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 101.07%
Cap/Sales 3.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.19%
Profit Quality 112.97%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 2.84
F-Score6
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y23.12%
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5Y9.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.29%
Revenue Next 5Y2.78%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.41%
EBIT growth 5Y9.85%
EBIT Next Year27.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.75%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-29.03%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-25.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 11.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.22.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.