MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025
Current stock price
14.93 USD
-0.15 (-0.99%)
At close:
14.97 USD
+0.04 (+0.27%)
After Hours:
This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MAT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- MAT has a Return On Assets of 5.99%. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.80%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.76%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is above the industry average of 7.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.99% | ||
| ROE | 17.8% | ||
| ROIC | 9.76% |
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.43%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
- MAT has a better Operating Margin (11.57%) than 90.32% of its industry peers.
- MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- MAT has a better Gross Margin (48.87%) than 80.65% of its industry peers.
- MAT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.43% | ||
| GM | 48.87% |
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
2. MAT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MAT is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
- MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for MAT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.88. This is not the best score and indicates that MAT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- MAT's Altman-Z score of 2.88 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
- MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.67. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 5.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- MAT has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.67) which is in line with its industry peers.
- MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of MAT (1.04) is worse than 64.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC10.1%
2.3 Liquidity
- MAT has a Current Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- MAT has a better Current ratio (2.15) than 61.29% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.76 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- MAT's Quick ratio of 1.76 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 70.97% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.76 |
3. MAT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -23.03%.
- MAT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.13% yearly.
- MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.59%.
- Measured over the past years, MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.03%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-566.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%4.31%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.85% on average over the next years.
- MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.4%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MAT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.76, which indicates a very decent valuation of MAT.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- MAT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.64.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.67, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.36. MAT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 90.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- MAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.53
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
5. MAT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MAT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.93
-0.15 (-0.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Industry Strength43.48
Industry Growth66.46
Earnings (Last)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2026-07-21/amc
Inst Owners105.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.69%
Market Cap4.51B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76.19
Price Target19.97 (33.76%)
Short Float %5.52%
Short Ratio3.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-3.33%
PT rev (3m)-17.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-126.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.67 | ||
| P/S | 0.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.97 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.61 | ||
| P/B | 2.02 | ||
| P/tB | 8.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.18 |
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY8.51%
EPS(NY)1.54
Fwd EY10.34%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.12%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.15%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.53
Graham Number14.531 (-2.67%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.99% | ||
| ROE | 17.8% | ||
| ROCE | 11.93% | ||
| ROIC | 9.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.86% | ||
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.43% | ||
| GM | 48.87% | ||
| FCFM | 7.69% |
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.96 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 108.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.4% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 103.44% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
F-Score5
WACC10.1%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.03%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%-566.67%
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%4.31%
Revenue Next Year3.4%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.36%
EBIT Next 3Y11.04%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%
MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.
Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of MAT stock?
MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is MATTEL INC?
The financial health rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MAT stock?
The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.