MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

Current stock price

15.37 USD
+0.37 (+2.47%)
Last:

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT has a better Return On Assets (5.99%) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Return On Equity of 17.80% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 80.65% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is above the industry average of 7.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • MAT has a better Profit Margin (7.43%) than 93.55% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MAT has a better Operating Margin (11.57%) than 90.32% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MAT has a better Gross Margin (48.87%) than 80.65% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MAT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.88 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT has a Altman-Z score of 2.88. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.67. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 5.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • MAT's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.67 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 51.61% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04 is on the high side and indicates that MAT has dependencies on debt financing.
  • MAT's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.04 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MAT is outperformed by 64.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.88
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC9.06%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MAT has a Current Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a Current ratio of 2.15. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.76 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT's Quick ratio of 1.76 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 70.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • Measured over the past years, MAT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.13% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the past year.
  • MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.85% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

7

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.67, which indicates a very decent valuation of MAT.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 90.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. MAT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.21 indicates a correct valuation of MAT.
  • MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.95), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 12.21
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 90.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 83.87% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.29
EV/EBITDA 7.15
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (4/17/2026, 10:08:04 AM)

15.37

+0.37 (+2.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners105.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.69%
Market Cap4.64B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76.19
Price Target20.13 (30.97%)
Short Float %4.82%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-3.33%
PT rev (3m)-17.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-148.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 12.21
P/S 0.87
P/FCF 11.29
P/OCF 7.83
P/B 2.08
P/tB 9.18
EV/EBITDA 7.15
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.37%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.19%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY8.85%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY12.77%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
Graham Number15.473 (0.67%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.88
F-Score5
WACC9.06%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.36%
EBIT Next 3Y11.04%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of MAT stock?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is MATTEL INC?

The financial health rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MAT stock?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.