MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:MAT - US5770811025 - Common Stock
19.83 USD
+0.83 (+4.37%)
19.83 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MAT. MAT was compared to 33 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. While MAT has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.56%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.85% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT has a better Return On Equity (19.12%) than 93.94% of its industry peers.
MAT has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.19%) than 84.85% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is in line with the industry average of 7.07%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 19.12% | ||
| ROIC | 8.19% |
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of MAT (8.27%) is better than 93.94% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.88% of the companies in the same industry.
MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MAT has a Gross Margin of 50.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.27% | ||
| GM | 50.47% |
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is destroying value.
MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MAT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that MAT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MAT has a Altman-Z score (2.99) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 4.79, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 4.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (4.79) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77. This is a neutral value indicating MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MAT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MAT is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC10.04%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MAT (1.60) is worse than 75.76% of its industry peers.
MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MAT has a Quick ratio of 1.18. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAT underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.6 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MAT have decreased strongly by -10.83% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.83% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.36% in the past year.
MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.17% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.66%
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.84%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y2.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.16, the valuation of MAT can be described as correct.
93.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
MAT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.07.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.25, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.08, MAT is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MAT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 75.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.08 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.04 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.84%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for MAT!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
19.83
+0.83 (+4.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.07%
Inst Owner Change-0.46%
Ins Owners0.64%
Ins Owner Change1.14%
Market Cap6.39B
Revenue(TTM)5.23B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts82.22
Price Target24.42 (23.15%)
Short Float %4.14%
Short Ratio3.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)-3.28%
PT rev (3m)-3.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)34.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.29%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.25 | ||
| P/S | 1.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.08 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.7 | ||
| P/B | 2.83 | ||
| P/tB | 12.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.04 |
EPS(TTM)1.4
EY7.06%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY8.89%
FCF(TTM)1.52
FCFY7.64%
OCF(TTM)2.04
OCFY10.31%
SpS16.22
BVpS7.02
TBVpS1.63
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 19.12% | ||
| ROCE | 13.09% | ||
| ROIC | 8.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.63% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.26% | ||
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.27% | ||
| GM | 50.47% | ||
| FCFM | 9.34% |
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.25 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | 112.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.6 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
F-Score6
WACC10.04%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
EPS Next Y-2.66%
EPS Next 2Y4%
EPS Next 3Y5.84%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y2.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year46.8%
EBIT Next 3Y15.67%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y5.86%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y3.27%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%
MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.
What is the valuation status for MAT stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?
MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of MATTEL INC (MAT) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 14.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.83.
Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.