MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025
Current stock price
14.64 USD
0 (0%)
At close:
14.6 USD
-0.04 (-0.27%)
After Hours:
This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MAT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MAT was profitable.
- In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- MAT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of MAT (5.99%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.80%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- MAT's Return On Invested Capital of 9.76% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAT is above the industry average of 7.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.99% | ||
| ROE | 17.8% | ||
| ROIC | 9.76% |
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of MAT (7.43%) is better than 93.75% of its industry peers.
- MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.87%, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- MAT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.43% | ||
| GM | 48.87% |
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
2. MAT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- MAT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.86 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.86, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 5.67, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 5.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (5.67) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of MAT (1.04) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.86 |
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC8.97%
2.3 Liquidity
- MAT has a Current Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 2.15, MAT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
- MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MAT's Quick ratio of 1.76 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 71.88% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.76 |
3. MAT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MAT have decreased strongly by -11.66% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.59%.
- Measured over the past years, MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
3.2 Future
- MAT is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.85% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MAT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.17, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
- 90.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- MAT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.63, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
- MAT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
- MAT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 84.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
5. MAT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MAT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.64
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners105.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.69%
Market Cap4.42B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76.19
Price Target20.13 (37.5%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio2.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-3.33%
PT rev (3m)-17.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-148.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.63 | ||
| P/S | 0.83 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.46 | ||
| P/B | 1.98 | ||
| P/tB | 8.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.01 |
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.84%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.6%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.3%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.41%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.99% | ||
| ROE | 17.8% | ||
| ROCE | 11.93% | ||
| ROIC | 9.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.86% | ||
| OM | 11.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.43% | ||
| GM | 48.87% | ||
| FCFM | 7.69% |
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.96 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 108.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.4% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 103.44% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.86 |
F-Score5
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.58%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y7.58%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.36%
EBIT Next 3Y11.04%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%
MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.
Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of MAT stock?
MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is MATTEL INC?
The financial health rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MAT stock?
The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.