MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

Current stock price

14.655 USD
+0.21 (+1.42%)
Last:

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT has a better Return On Assets (5.99%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Return On Equity of 17.80% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.76%) than 81.25% of its industry peers.
  • MAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.28%. This is above the industry average of 7.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • MAT has a Profit Margin of 7.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 93.75% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of MAT (48.87%) is better than 78.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.85 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT has a Altman-Z score of 2.85. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 5.67, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 5.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (5.67) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • MAT has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.04) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.85
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC8.93%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.15 indicates that MAT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a Current ratio (2.15) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.76, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for MAT have decreased strongly by -11.66% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.11% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.85% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

8

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MAT is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.18.
  • MAT's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
  • MAT is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.63.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.88% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.69, MAT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.18
Fwd PE 11.63
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.77
EV/EBITDA 6.94
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MAT has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (4/9/2026, 3:06:01 PM)

14.655

+0.21 (+1.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners105.37%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.69%
Market Cap4.43B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76.19
Price Target20.21 (37.91%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio2.45
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-2.95%
PT rev (3m)-17.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-148.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.18
Fwd PE 11.63
P/S 0.83
P/FCF 10.77
P/OCF 7.47
P/B 1.98
P/tB 8.76
EV/EBITDA 6.94
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.83%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.6%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.29%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.4%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.85
F-Score5
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y11.27%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of MAT stock?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is MATTEL INC?

The financial health rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MAT stock?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.