MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

Current stock price

14.6 USD
+0.09 (+0.62%)
Last:

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.99%, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.80%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Return On Invested Capital of 9.76% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAT is above the industry average of 7.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 7.43%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • MAT's Operating Margin of 11.57% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.87%, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MAT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.86 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.86, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 5.67, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 5.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (5.67) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • MAT has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.04) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.86
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC8.94%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MAT has a Current Ratio of 2.15. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 2.15, MAT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.76, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • MAT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.13% yearly.
  • MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.59%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.11% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.85% on average per year.
  • MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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7

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.14 indicates a reasonable valuation of MAT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 90.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.21. MAT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.58, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.88% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.13. MAT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.14
Fwd PE 11.58
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.73
EV/EBITDA 6.96
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (4/7/2026, 12:21:07 PM)

14.6

+0.09 (+0.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners105.37%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.69%
Market Cap4.41B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76.19
Price Target20.21 (38.42%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio2.45
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-2.95%
PT rev (3m)-17.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-148.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.14
Fwd PE 11.58
P/S 0.83
P/FCF 10.73
P/OCF 7.44
P/B 1.98
P/tB 8.72
EV/EBITDA 6.96
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.86%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.63%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.32%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.45%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.86
F-Score5
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.45%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y11.27%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of MAT stock?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is MATTEL INC?

The financial health rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MAT stock?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.