MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

Current stock price

14.45 USD
+0.29 (+2.05%)
Last:

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MAT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT's Return On Assets of 5.99% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Return On Equity of 17.80% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.76%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.28%. This is above the industry average of 7.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.43%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • MAT has a better Operating Margin (11.57%) than 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of MAT (48.87%) is better than 78.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MAT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • MAT has an Altman-Z score of 2.84. This is not the best score and indicates that MAT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT has a better Altman-Z score (2.84) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.67. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 5.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • MAT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MAT outperforms 53.13% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04 is on the high side and indicates that MAT has dependencies on debt financing.
  • MAT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAT underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.84
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC9.03%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.15 indicates that MAT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 2.15, MAT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.76 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.76, MAT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • Measured over the past years, MAT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.13% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the last year.
  • MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • MAT is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.85% yearly.
  • MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.97%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

7

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MAT is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.03.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.63% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.75), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.46, which indicates a very decent valuation of MAT.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say MAT is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.03
Fwd PE 11.46
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MAT is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.62
EV/EBITDA 6.83
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.45
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (3/31/2026, 9:32:08 AM)

14.45

+0.29 (+2.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners105.37%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.63%
Market Cap4.37B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76
Price Target20.21 (39.86%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio2.45
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-2.95%
PT rev (3m)-17.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-132.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-28.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.03
Fwd PE 11.46
P/S 0.82
P/FCF 10.62
P/OCF 7.36
P/B 1.96
P/tB 8.63
EV/EBITDA 6.83
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.97%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY8.72%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY9.42%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY13.59%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.45
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.84
F-Score5
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.26%
Revenue Next 3Y3.97%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y11.27%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 10.03 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.96.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.