MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

15.9 USD
-0.13 (-0.81%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
15.43 USD
-0.47 (-2.96%)
Pre-Market: 3/9/2026, 8:04:15 AM

This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MAT. MAT was compared to 32 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. These ratings would make MAT suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT has a better Return On Assets (5.99%) than 78.13% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MAT (17.80%) is better than 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Return On Invested Capital of 9.76% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 84.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is above the industry average of 7.36%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROIC 9.76%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of MAT (7.43%) is better than 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MAT has a Gross Margin of 48.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MAT is creating some value.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • MAT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MAT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.91 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.91, MAT is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 5.67, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 5.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MAT's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.67 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04 is on the high side and indicates that MAT has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.04, MAT is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Altman-Z 2.91
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC8.89%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.15 indicates that MAT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.15, MAT is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.76 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a better Quick ratio (1.76) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

3

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • Measured over the past years, MAT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.13% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.59% in the past year.
  • MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.85% on average per year.
  • MAT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y3.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

7

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.04, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
  • 96.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MAT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.29), we can say MAT is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.62, MAT is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.63% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.60. MAT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.04
Fwd PE 12.62
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MAT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.68
EV/EBITDA 7.49
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MAT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (3/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM)

Premarket: 15.43 -0.47 (-2.96%)

15.9

-0.13 (-0.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners105.37%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change7.61%
Market Cap4.80B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)397.58M
Analysts76
Price Target20.82 (30.94%)
Short Float %3.84%
Short Ratio2.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.3%
Max EPS beat(4)70%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)26.48%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)67.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)80.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.13%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.35%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-15.34%
PT rev (3m)-14.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-105.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-133.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)-28.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-28.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.04
Fwd PE 12.62
P/S 0.9
P/FCF 11.68
P/OCF 8.1
P/B 2.15
P/tB 9.5
EV/EBITDA 7.49
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY9.06%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY7.93%
FCF(TTM)1.36
FCFY8.56%
OCF(TTM)1.96
OCFY12.35%
SpS17.7
BVpS7.39
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number15.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 17.8%
ROCE 11.93%
ROIC 9.76%
ROICexc 12.83%
ROICexgc 22.86%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 7.43%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 7.69%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.68%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.74%
ROICexc(5y)14.06%
ROICexgc(3y)25.08%
ROICexgc(5y)25.53%
ROCE(3y)12.57%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.72%
OM growth 3Y-3.97%
OM growth 5Y6.48%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.67
Debt/EBITDA 2.96
Cap/Depr 108.34%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 75.43%
Profit Quality 103.44%
Current Ratio 2.15
Quick Ratio 1.76
Altman-Z 2.91
F-Score5
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)106.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)181.6%
Profit Quality(5y)129.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y-12.47%
EPS Next 2Y2.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.39%
EPS Next 5Y7.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.47%
Revenue Next 2Y4.25%
Revenue Next 3Y3.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 5Y9.8%
EBIT Next Year23.44%
EBIT Next 3Y11.27%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-31.22%
FCF growth 3Y17.07%
FCF growth 5Y19.77%
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y10.24%
OCF growth 5Y15.74%

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 11.04 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.15.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.