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MATTEL INC (MAT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:MAT - US5770811025 - Common Stock

20.605 USD
-0.43 (-2.07%)
Last: 1/20/2026, 3:48:09 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, MAT scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MAT was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MAT has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MAT was profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MAT had a positive operating cash flow.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.56%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT has a better Return On Equity (19.12%) than 93.55% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.19%) than 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • MAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.35%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROIC 8.19%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.27%, MAT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MAT has declined.
  • MAT has a Operating Margin of 11.57%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • MAT has a Gross Margin of 50.47%. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MAT is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MAT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • MAT has an Altman-Z score of 3.04. This indicates that MAT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT has a Altman-Z score of 3.04. This is in the better half of the industry: MAT outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.79. This is a neutral value as MAT would need 4.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • MAT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.79) than 61.29% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77. This is a neutral value indicating MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MAT (0.77) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Altman-Z 3.04
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.91%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a Current ratio of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAT underperforms 70.97% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT's Quick ratio of 1.18 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 41.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for MAT have decreased strongly by -10.83% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, MAT shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.83% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -2.36% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.61% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.10% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.17% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue Next Year1.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.33%
Revenue Next 3Y2.34%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.72 indicates a correct valuation of MAT.
  • 96.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. MAT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.69, the valuation of MAT can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 96.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.29, MAT is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 11.69
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MAT is valued a bit cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 77.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MAT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.11
EV/EBITDA 10.58
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of MAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (1/20/2026, 3:48:09 PM)

20.605

-0.43 (-2.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-21
Earnings (Next)02-10
Inst Owners102%
Inst Owner Change0.18%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.40B
Revenue(TTM)5.23B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts81.05
Price Target24.51 (18.95%)
Short Float %3.85%
Short Ratio3.24
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)0.36%
PT rev (3m)-2.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 11.69
P/S 1.23
P/FCF 13.11
P/OCF 9.72
P/B 2.83
P/tB 12.16
EV/EBITDA 10.58
EPS(TTM)1.4
EY6.79%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY8.56%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY7.63%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY10.29%
SpS16.82
BVpS7.28
TBVpS1.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROCE 13.09%
ROIC 8.19%
ROICexc 9.63%
ROICexgc 17.26%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)6%
ROA(5y)6.87%
ROE(3y)17.69%
ROE(5y)26.18%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)8.16%
ROICexc(3y)10.74%
ROICexc(5y)10.22%
ROICexgc(3y)19.47%
ROICexgc(5y)19.26%
ROCE(3y)13.33%
ROCE(5y)13.05%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y47.39%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.77%
ROICexc growth 5Y54.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.64%
OM growth 5Y52.65%
PM growth 3Y-15.25%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y2.81%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 101.07%
Cap/Sales 3.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.19%
Profit Quality 112.97%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 3.04
F-Score6
WACC8.91%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)104.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)168.81%
Profit Quality(5y)135.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.83%
EPS 3Y7.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.93%
EPS Next Y-2.68%
EPS Next 2Y4.01%
EPS Next 3Y5.33%
EPS Next 5Y5.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.48%
Revenue growth 5Y3.61%
Sales Q2Q%-5.85%
Revenue Next Year1.2%
Revenue Next 2Y2.33%
Revenue Next 3Y2.34%
Revenue Next 5Y2.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.12%
EBIT growth 5Y58.17%
EBIT Next Year43.24%
EBIT Next 3Y16.1%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y5.86%
FCF growth 3Y21.41%
FCF growth 5Y56.06%
OCF growth 1Y3.27%
OCF growth 3Y18.14%
OCF growth 5Y36.59%

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 14.72 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.83.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.