MATTEL INC (MAT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:MAT • US5770811025

16.02 USD
-0.12 (-0.74%)
Last: Mar 4, 2026, 09:35 AM
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This MAT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall MAT gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated MAT against 32 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. MAT scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MAT. These ratings would make MAT suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. MAT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MAT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years MAT has always been profitable.
  • MAT had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • MAT's Return On Assets of 6.56% is amongst the best of the industry. MAT outperforms 84.38% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Return On Equity of 19.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAT outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.70%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MAT is above the industry average of 7.72%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (10.70%) for MAT is above the 3 year average (10.28%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROIC 10.7%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.69%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
MAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of MAT (8.27%) is better than 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • MAT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.57%, MAT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MAT has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 50.47%, MAT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y6.54%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
MAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. MAT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MAT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MAT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MAT has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MAT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MAT Yearly Shares OutstandingMAT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
MAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.83 indicates that MAT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MAT has a Altman-Z score (2.83) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT is 4.79, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MAT, 4.79 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MAT (4.79) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77 indicates that MAT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • MAT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.77 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MAT outperforms 40.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Altman-Z 2.83
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC8.84%
MAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.60 indicates that MAT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MAT has a Current ratio of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAT underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • MAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that MAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MAT (1.18) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
MAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MAT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MAT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.66%.
  • Measured over the past years, MAT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.13% on average per year.
  • MAT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.59%.
  • MAT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MAT will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.99% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.78% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y23.12%
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5Y9.99%
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.29%
Revenue Next 5Y2.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B
MAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 1 -1 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

9

4. MAT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.13 indicates a reasonable valuation of MAT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MAT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • MAT is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.04.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MAT is valued cheaper than 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.95. MAT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.13
Fwd PE 9.04
MAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 90.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MAT indicates a rather cheap valuation: MAT is cheaper than 87.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.2
EV/EBITDA 8.61
MAT Per share dataMAT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • MAT has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. MAT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for MAT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MAT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MATTEL INC

NASDAQ:MAT (3/4/2026, 9:35:07 AM)

16.02

-0.12 (-0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners102%
Inst Owner Change1.18%
Ins Owners0.66%
Ins Owner Change7.61%
Market Cap4.98B
Revenue(TTM)5.35B
Net Income(TTM)432.25M
Analysts80
Price Target20.82 (29.96%)
Short Float %3.84%
Short Ratio2.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(2)26.33%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.55%
Max EPS beat(4)71.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)28.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)66.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)86.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.12%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.9%
PT rev (1m)-15.04%
PT rev (3m)-14.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.13
Fwd PE 9.04
P/S 0.95
P/FCF 10.2
P/OCF 7.56
P/B 2.2
P/tB 9.45
EV/EBITDA 8.61
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY8.99%
EPS(NY)1.77
Fwd EY11.07%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY9.81%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY13.23%
SpS16.82
BVpS7.28
TBVpS1.69
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number15.35
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.56%
ROE 19.12%
ROCE 13.09%
ROIC 10.7%
ROICexc 12.59%
ROICexgc 22.54%
OM 11.57%
PM (TTM) 8.27%
GM 50.47%
FCFM 9.34%
ROA(3y)5.87%
ROA(5y)7.62%
ROE(3y)17.24%
ROE(5y)25.69%
ROIC(3y)10.28%
ROIC(5y)11.1%
ROICexc(3y)13.75%
ROICexc(5y)14.07%
ROICexgc(3y)24.09%
ROICexgc(5y)24.93%
ROCE(3y)12.58%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.78%
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y6.54%
PM growth 3Y0.85%
PM growth 5Y22.51%
GM growth 3Y2.15%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 4.79
Debt/EBITDA 2.25
Cap/Depr 101.07%
Cap/Sales 3.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.19%
Profit Quality 112.97%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.18
Altman-Z 2.83
F-Score6
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.66%
EPS 3Y4.55%
EPS 5Y22.13%
EPS Q2Q%11.43%
EPS Next Y23.12%
EPS Next 2Y15.42%
EPS Next 3Y11%
EPS Next 5Y9.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year3.21%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.29%
Revenue Next 5Y2.78%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.41%
EBIT growth 5Y9.85%
EBIT Next Year27.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.75%
EBIT Next 5Y13.67%
FCF growth 1Y-29.03%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-25.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

MATTEL INC / MAT FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MAT.


Can you provide the valuation status for MATTEL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to MATTEL INC (MAT). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MATTEL INC?

MATTEL INC (MAT) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MAT stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MATTEL INC (MAT) is 11.13 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.2.


Is the dividend of MATTEL INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of MATTEL INC (MAT) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.