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MAIN STREET CAPITAL CORP (MAIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MAIN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US56035L1044 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

62.27  -0.47 (-0.75%)

After market: 62.894 +0.62 (+1%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MAIN. MAIN was compared to 225 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. While MAIN has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. MAIN is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MAIN was profitable.
MAIN had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
MAIN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
MAIN had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MAIN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMAIN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MAIN (9.28%) is better than 86.76% of its industry peers.
MAIN has a Return On Equity of 17.57%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAIN outperforms 82.19% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.63%, MAIN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.15% of the companies in the same industry.
MAIN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.94%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.76%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.63%) for MAIN is above the 3 year average (4.94%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.28%
ROE 17.57%
ROIC 5.63%
ROA(3y)8.1%
ROA(5y)6.03%
ROE(3y)15.75%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)4.94%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
MAIN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMAIN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 89.25%, MAIN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.26% of the companies in the same industry.
MAIN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MAIN has a Operating Margin of 66.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MAIN outperforms 98.17% of its industry peers.
MAIN's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 78.52%, MAIN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.19% of the companies in the same industry.
MAIN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 66.97%
PM (TTM) 89.25%
GM 78.52%
OM growth 3Y3.03%
OM growth 5Y0.19%
PM growth 3Y86.46%
PM growth 5Y3.51%
GM growth 3Y0.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.46%
MAIN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMAIN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60 80 100

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

Compared to 1 year ago, MAIN has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for MAIN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
MAIN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MAIN Yearly Shares OutstandingMAIN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
MAIN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMAIN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

MAIN has an Altman-Z score of 1.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MAIN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.80, MAIN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.95% of the companies in the same industry.
MAIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82. This is a neutral value indicating MAIN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
MAIN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.82) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.8
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
MAIN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMAIN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that MAIN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, MAIN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.56% of the companies in the same industry.
MAIN has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that MAIN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MAIN (1.53) is better than 62.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.53
MAIN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMAIN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MAIN shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.98%.
Measured over the past years, MAIN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.67% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MAIN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.26% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.48% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.98%
EPS 3Y25.39%
EPS 5Y9.67%
EPS Q2Q%1.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.26%
Revenue growth 3Y31%
Revenue growth 5Y16.48%
Sales Q2Q%11.03%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MAIN will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.49% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MAIN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -7.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.45%
EPS Next 3Y-1.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.12%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MAIN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMAIN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
MAIN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMAIN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.08, which indicates a correct valuation of MAIN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MAIN is on the same level as its industry peers.
MAIN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.49, MAIN is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as MAIN.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.68, MAIN is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.08
Fwd PE 15.49
MAIN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMAIN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
MAIN Per share dataMAIN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of MAIN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)13.55
PEG (5Y)1.56
EPS Next 2Y-1.45%
EPS Next 3Y-1.49%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, MAIN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 9.98, MAIN has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, MAIN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

The dividend of MAIN has a limited annual growth rate of 5.04%.
MAIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MAIN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.04%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MAIN Yearly Dividends per shareMAIN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

MAIN pays out 66.14% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of MAIN has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP66.14%
EPS Next 2Y-1.45%
EPS Next 3Y-1.49%
MAIN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMAIN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
MAIN Dividend Payout.MAIN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MAIN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MAIN STREET CAPITAL CORP

NYSE:MAIN (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 62.894 +0.62 (+1%)

62.27

-0.47 (-0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)02-27 2025-02-27/amc
Inst Owners22.71%
Inst Owner Change2.31%
Ins Owners1.74%
Ins Owner Change-0.21%
Market Cap5.49B
Analysts73.33
Price Target51.41 (-17.44%)
Short Float %4.41%
Short Ratio7.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%
Yearly Dividend3.33
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.04%
DP66.14%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-07 2025-03-07 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.12%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.91%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.33%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.91%
Max EPS beat(4)1.56%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.01%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.23%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.87%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.62%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.01%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.69%
PT rev (1m)1.61%
PT rev (3m)3.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.08
Fwd PE 15.49
P/S 10.36
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.04
P/tB 2.04
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY6.63%
EPS(NY)4.02
Fwd EY6.46%
FCF(TTM)-0.89
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.89
OCFYN/A
SpS6.01
BVpS30.53
TBVpS30.53
PEG (NY)13.55
PEG (5Y)1.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.28%
ROE 17.57%
ROCE 7.12%
ROIC 5.63%
ROICexc 5.72%
ROICexgc 5.72%
OM 66.97%
PM (TTM) 89.25%
GM 78.52%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)8.1%
ROA(5y)6.03%
ROE(3y)15.75%
ROE(5y)11.52%
ROIC(3y)4.94%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
ROICexc(3y)5%
ROICexc(5y)4.76%
ROICexgc(3y)5%
ROICexgc(5y)4.76%
ROCE(3y)6.25%
ROCE(5y)5.94%
ROICexcg growth 3Y15.64%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y3.03%
OM growth 5Y0.19%
PM growth 3Y86.46%
PM growth 5Y3.51%
GM growth 3Y0.76%
GM growth 5Y-0.46%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 3.25
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.8
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.98%
EPS 3Y25.39%
EPS 5Y9.67%
EPS Q2Q%1.01%
EPS Next Y1.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.45%
EPS Next 3Y-1.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.26%
Revenue growth 3Y31%
Revenue growth 5Y16.48%
Sales Q2Q%11.03%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.12%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y9.25%
EBIT growth 3Y34.96%
EBIT growth 5Y16.7%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y87.22%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y87.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A