MACERICH CO/THE (MAC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MAC - US5543821012 - REIT
17.75 USD
+0.39 (+2.25%)
17.75 USD
0 (0%)
MAC gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. MAC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. MAC does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MAC has reported negative net income.
MAC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
MAC had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years MAC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -4.63%, MAC is not doing good in the industry: 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
MAC has a worse Return On Equity (-15.55%) than 78.91% of its industry peers.
MAC has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.79%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MAC underperforms 70.31% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MAC is in line with the industry average of 3.06%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for MAC is above the 3 year average (1.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.63% | ||
| ROE | -15.55% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-2.25%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-6.88%
ROE(5y)-6.09%
ROIC(3y)1.71%
ROIC(5y)1.43%
1.3 Margins
MAC has a Operating Margin (17.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MAC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of MAC (54.86%) is worse than 71.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MAC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 54.86% |
OM growth 3Y6.69%
OM growth 5Y-4.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MAC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for MAC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MAC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MAC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MAC has an Altman-Z score of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that MAC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
MAC's Altman-Z score of 0.01 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MAC is outperformed by 74.22% of its industry peers.
MAC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.02. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MAC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.02) than 69.53% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC6.25%
2.3 Liquidity
MAC has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that MAC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MAC (0.85) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
MAC has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that MAC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, MAC is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MAC have decreased strongly by -596.88% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, MAC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.05% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.20% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-596.87%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.05%
Revenue growth 3Y2.71%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.2%
Sales Q2Q%15%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y52.84%
EPS Next 2Y35.64%
EPS Next 3Y26.25%
EPS Next 5Y18.46%
Revenue Next Year21.42%
Revenue Next 2Y10.3%
Revenue Next 3Y7.25%
Revenue Next 5Y5.6%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MAC reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for MAC. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
67.97% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than MAC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as MAC's earnings are expected to grow with 26.25% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.64%
EPS Next 3Y26.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MAC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.92%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.58, MAC is paying slightly less dividend.
MAC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.92% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MAC decreases each year by -25.88%.
MAC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MAC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-25.88%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of MAC are negative and hence is the payout ratio. MAC will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-43.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.64%
EPS Next 3Y26.25%
17.75
+0.39 (+2.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.31%
Inst Owner Change2.1%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0.18%
Market Cap4.55B
Revenue(TTM)1.03B
Net Income(TTM)-390.44M
Analysts70
Price Target19.96 (12.45%)
Short Float %4.79%
Short Ratio6.12
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.92% |
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)-25.88%
DP-43.75%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-207.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-320.79%
Max EPS beat(2)-94.54%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-629.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-1955.13%
Max EPS beat(4)-94.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-194.09%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-347.67%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-307.05%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)22.66%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.43%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.74%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)1.59%
PT rev (3m)4.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-62.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-39.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 4.43 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 13.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.81 | ||
| P/tB | 1.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.97 |
EPS(TTM)-1.59
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.13
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.27
OCFY7.18%
SpS4.01
BVpS9.8
TBVpS9.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.63% | ||
| ROE | -15.55% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.94% | ||
| OM | 17.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 54.86% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.25%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-6.88%
ROE(5y)-6.09%
ROIC(3y)1.71%
ROIC(5y)1.43%
ROICexc(3y)1.73%
ROICexc(5y)1.46%
ROICexgc(3y)1.79%
ROICexgc(5y)1.51%
ROCE(3y)2.16%
ROCE(5y)1.81%
ROICexgc growth 3Y9.63%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.26%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.53%
OM growth 3Y6.69%
OM growth 5Y-4.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 9.33 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 43.58% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 59.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.01 |
F-Score4
WACC6.25%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)47.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)31.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-596.87%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%32%
EPS Next Y52.84%
EPS Next 2Y35.64%
EPS Next 3Y26.25%
EPS Next 5Y18.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.05%
Revenue growth 3Y2.71%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.2%
Sales Q2Q%15%
Revenue Next Year21.42%
Revenue Next 2Y10.3%
Revenue Next 3Y7.25%
Revenue Next 5Y5.6%
EBIT growth 1Y-8%
EBIT growth 3Y9.58%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.36%
EBIT Next Year227.67%
EBIT Next 3Y51.02%
EBIT Next 5Y28.77%
FCF growth 1Y-165.99%
FCF growth 3Y-40.36%
FCF growth 5Y-30.47%
OCF growth 1Y9.27%
OCF growth 3Y-0.35%
OCF growth 5Y-4.41%
MACERICH CO/THE / MAC FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MAC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to MAC.
What is the valuation status of MACERICH CO/THE (MAC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to MACERICH CO/THE (MAC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is MACERICH CO/THE (MAC) stock?
MACERICH CO/THE (MAC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MACERICH CO/THE?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MACERICH CO/THE (MAC) is expected to grow by 52.84% in the next year.