MACY'S INC (M) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:M • US55616P1049

Current stock price

19.23 USD
+0.37 (+1.96%)
At close:
19.23 USD
0 (0%)
Pre-Market:

This M fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. M Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year M was profitable.
  • M had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years M has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years M always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
M Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • M has a Return On Assets (3.96%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • M has a better Return On Equity (13.23%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • M's Return On Invested Capital of 5.72% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. M outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for M is below the industry average of 8.75%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROIC 5.72%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
M Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 2.84%, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of M has declined.
  • M has a Operating Margin (3.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • M's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • M has a Gross Margin of 40.33%. This is in the lower half of the industry: M underperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of M has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
M Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 40

5

2. M Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), M is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, M has less shares outstanding
  • M has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • M has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
M Yearly Shares OutstandingM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
M Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • M has an Altman-Z score of 2.60. This is not the best score and indicates that M is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.60, M is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.52. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as M would need 3.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • M has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.52) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 indicates that M is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.50, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Altman-Z 2.6
ROIC/WACC0.63
WACC9.02%
M Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that M should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • M has a Current ratio of 1.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: M outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.50 indicates that M may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of M (0.50) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
M Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2

3. M Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for M have decreased strongly by -11.74% in the last year.
  • M shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -18.54% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.67% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.56% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • M is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.93% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-9.51%
EPS Next 2Y-2.77%
EPS Next 3Y-1.8%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue Next Year-0.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
M Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
M Yearly EPS VS EstimatesM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 -2 4

6

4. M Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.25, which indicates a very decent valuation of M.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, M is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.18, M is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.12, the valuation of M can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of M indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: M is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.96, M is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.25
Fwd PE 9.12
M Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, M is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, M is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.35
EV/EBITDA 3.52
M Per share dataM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-2.77%
EPS Next 3Y-1.8%

8

5. M Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • M has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.00%, which is a nice return.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.72. M pays more dividend than 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of M is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.05%!
  • M has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • M has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
M Yearly Dividends per shareM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • M pays out 30.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of M is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.64%
EPS Next 2Y-2.77%
EPS Next 3Y-1.8%
M Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B
M Dividend Payout.M Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.M Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

M Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MACY'S INC

NYSE:M (4/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 19.23 0 (0%)

19.23

+0.37 (+1.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-18
Earnings (Next)05-26
Inst Owners92.08%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap5.07B
Revenue(TTM)22.62B
Net Income(TTM)643.00M
Analysts69.47
Price Target19.6 (1.92%)
Short Float %11.16%
Short Ratio3.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4%
Yearly Dividend0.73
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
DP30.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)84.71%
Min EPS beat(2)6.73%
Max EPS beat(2)162.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.42%
Min EPS beat(4)6.73%
Max EPS beat(4)162.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)70.12%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)450.87%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)351.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.98%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.76%
PT rev (1m)-11.24%
PT rev (3m)-12.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-87.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-85.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.25
Fwd PE 9.12
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 7.35
P/OCF 3.55
P/B 1.04
P/tB 1.4
EV/EBITDA 3.52
EPS(TTM)2.33
EY12.12%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY10.96%
FCF(TTM)2.62
FCFY13.6%
OCF(TTM)5.42
OCFY28.2%
SpS85.77
BVpS18.43
TBVpS13.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number31.08
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROCE 7.53%
ROIC 5.72%
ROICexc 6.39%
ROICexgc 7.26%
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
ROICexc(3y)7.38%
ROICexc(5y)9.99%
ROICexgc(3y)9.14%
ROICexgc(5y)12.19%
ROCE(3y)8.74%
ROCE(5y)11.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.19%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Debt/EBITDA 1.37
Cap/Depr 82.77%
Cap/Sales 3.27%
Interest Coverage 5.29
Cash Conversion 80.43%
Profit Quality 107.31%
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
Altman-Z 2.6
F-Score8
WACC9.02%
ROIC/WACC0.63
Cap/Depr(3y)97.86%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.74%
Profit Quality(3y)289.62%
Profit Quality(5y)208.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
EPS Next Y-9.51%
EPS Next 2Y-2.77%
EPS Next 3Y-1.8%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-0.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.66%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.63%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year104.46%
EBIT Next 3Y25.17%
EBIT Next 5Y15.96%
FCF growth 1Y74.24%
FCF growth 3Y29.19%
FCF growth 5Y30.4%
OCF growth 1Y11.89%
OCF growth 3Y-3.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.12%

MACY'S INC / M Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to M.


What is the valuation status of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to MACY'S INC (M). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MACY'S INC?

MACY'S INC (M) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of MACY'S INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MACY'S INC (M) is 8.25 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.04.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MACY'S INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MACY'S INC (M) is expected to decline by -9.51% in the next year.