MACY'S INC (M) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:M • US55616P1049

Current stock price

18.86 USD
-0.28 (-1.46%)
At close:
18.93 USD
+0.07 (+0.37%)
After Hours:

This M fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. M Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year M was profitable.
  • In the past year M had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years M has been profitable.
  • M had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
M Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 3.96%, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M has a Return On Equity of 13.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: M outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.72%, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.64%. This is below the industry average of 8.75%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROIC 5.72%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
M Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • M has a Profit Margin (2.84%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • M's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of M (3.91%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • M's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 40.33%, M is not doing good in the industry: 63.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • M's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
M Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 40

5

2. M Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • M has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, M has less shares outstanding
  • M has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • M has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
M Yearly Shares OutstandingM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
M Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.60 indicates that M is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • M has a Altman-Z score (2.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • M has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.52. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as M would need 3.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.52, M is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a neutral value indicating M is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.50, M perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Altman-Z 2.6
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC8.85%
M Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • M has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that M is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • M has a Current ratio (1.49) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • M has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that M is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • M has a Quick ratio of 0.50. This is amonst the worse of the industry: M underperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
M Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B

2

3. M Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • M shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.74%.
  • Measured over the past years, M shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.54% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.67% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.56% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.93% on average over the next years.
  • M is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue Next Year-0.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
M Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
M Yearly EPS VS EstimatesM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 2 -2 4

7

4. M Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • M is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.09.
  • 96.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than M, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • M's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.78.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.27, the valuation of M can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, M is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, M is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.09
Fwd PE 8.27
M Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, M is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 86.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than M, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.27
EV/EBITDA 3.53
M Per share dataM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%

8

5. M Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • M has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.07%, which is a nice return.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.72. M pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • M's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.07%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of M grows each year by 14.05%, which is quite nice.
  • M has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • M has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
M Yearly Dividends per shareM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 30.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by M. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of M is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.64%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
M Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2B -2B
M Dividend Payout.M Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.M Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

M Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MACY'S INC

NYSE:M (4/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 18.93 +0.07 (+0.37%)

18.86

-0.28 (-1.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-18
Earnings (Next)05-26
Inst Owners90.94%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0.73%
Market Cap5.01B
Revenue(TTM)22.62B
Net Income(TTM)643.00M
Analysts69.47
Price Target19.59 (3.87%)
Short Float %10.06%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.07%
Yearly Dividend0.73
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.05%
DP30.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)84.71%
Min EPS beat(2)6.73%
Max EPS beat(2)162.7%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.42%
Min EPS beat(4)6.73%
Max EPS beat(4)162.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)70.12%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)450.87%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)351.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.98%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.76%
PT rev (1m)-11.29%
PT rev (3m)-12.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-87.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-85.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.09
Fwd PE 8.27
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 7.27
P/OCF 3.51
P/B 1.03
P/tB 1.39
EV/EBITDA 3.53
EPS(TTM)2.33
EY12.35%
EPS(NY)2.28
Fwd EY12.09%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY13.76%
OCF(TTM)5.38
OCFY28.52%
SpS85.08
BVpS18.28
TBVpS13.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number30.96
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.96%
ROE 13.23%
ROCE 7.53%
ROIC 5.72%
ROICexc 6.39%
ROICexgc 7.26%
OM 3.91%
PM (TTM) 2.84%
GM 40.33%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)2.59%
ROA(5y)4.54%
ROE(3y)9.04%
ROE(5y)18.94%
ROIC(3y)6.64%
ROIC(5y)8.92%
ROICexc(3y)7.38%
ROICexc(5y)9.99%
ROICexgc(3y)9.14%
ROICexgc(5y)12.19%
ROCE(3y)8.74%
ROCE(5y)11.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.19%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.37%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.53%
GM growth 5Y4.67%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF 3.52
Debt/EBITDA 1.37
Cap/Depr 82.77%
Cap/Sales 3.27%
Interest Coverage 5.29
Cash Conversion 80.43%
Profit Quality 107.31%
Current Ratio 1.49
Quick Ratio 0.5
Altman-Z 2.6
F-Score8
WACC8.85%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)97.86%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.74%
Profit Quality(3y)289.62%
Profit Quality(5y)208.94%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.74%
EPS 3Y-18.54%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.22%
EPS Next Y-2.11%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y3.05%
EPS Next 5Y3.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.85%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-0.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.66%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.63%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year105.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.15%
EBIT Next 5Y15.96%
FCF growth 1Y74.24%
FCF growth 3Y29.19%
FCF growth 5Y30.4%
OCF growth 1Y11.89%
OCF growth 3Y-3.97%
OCF growth 5Y17.12%

MACY'S INC / M Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to M.


What is the valuation status of MACY'S INC (M) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to MACY'S INC (M). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MACY'S INC?

MACY'S INC (M) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of MACY'S INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MACY'S INC (M) is 8.09 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.03.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MACY'S INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MACY'S INC (M) is expected to decline by -2.11% in the next year.