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LOYALTY VENTURES INC (LYLT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LYLT - Nasdaq - US54911Q1076 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.218  +0.13 (+153.78%)

After market: 0.1699 -0.05 (-22.06%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall LYLT gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated LYLT against 93 industry peers in the Media industry. LYLT has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. LYLT does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LYLT has reported negative net income.
LYLT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LYLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLYLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for LYLT are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.72%, LYLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LYLT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 32.01%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.01%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (12.72%) for LYLT is well below the 3 year average (32.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYLT had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 12.72%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)32.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LYLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLYLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

LYLT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LYLT's Operating Margin of 8.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYLT outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYLT has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of LYLT (16.41%) is worse than 85.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYLT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.24%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.41%
OM growth 3Y1.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-73.69%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.2%
GM growth 5YN/A
LYLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLYLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 5 10 15 20

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LYLT is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYLT has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
LYLT Yearly Shares OutstandingLYLT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M 20M
LYLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLYLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.12, we must say that LYLT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.12, LYLT is not doing good in the industry: 68.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.12
ROIC/WACC8.48
WACC1.5%
LYLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLYLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.98 indicates that LYLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LYLT has a Current ratio of 0.98. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYLT underperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
LYLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that LYLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYLT has a worse Quick ratio (0.78) than 72.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.78
LYLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLYLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for LYLT have decreased strongly by -789.18% in the last year.
The earnings per share for LYLT have been decreasing by -76.78% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.02% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, LYLT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-789.18%
EPS 3Y-76.78%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.02%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.71%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LYLT will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -19.63% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-781.42%
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.91%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
LYLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLYLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LYLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLYLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LYLT reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 0.27, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LYLT.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LYLT indicates a rather cheap valuation: LYLT is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LYLT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 0.27
LYLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLYLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LYLT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.79
LYLT Per share dataLYLT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as LYLT's earnings are expected to decrease with -19.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LYLT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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LOYALTY VENTURES INC

NASDAQ:LYLT (3/20/2023, 8:22:13 PM)

After market: 0.1699 -0.05 (-22.06%)

0.218

+0.13 (+153.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)11-08 2022-11-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners19.38%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.37M
Analysts82.22
Price Target6.12 (2707.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4579.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-9048%
Max EPS beat(2)-111.76%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2290.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-9048%
Max EPS beat(4)68.07%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.41%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.41%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-10%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 0.27
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 0.38
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.79
EPS(TTM)-17.39
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY366.51%
FCF(TTM)-0.46
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY266.47%
SpS29.57
BVpS-15.83
TBVpS-23.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 12.72%
ROICexc 15.83%
ROICexgc 39.67%
OM 8.24%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.41%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)32.01%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.72%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-73.69%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.2%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.5
Cap/Depr 73.01%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 0.12
F-Score3
WACC1.5%
ROIC/WACC8.48
Cap/Depr(3y)112.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)2207.43%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-789.18%
EPS 3Y-76.78%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-101.03%
EPS Next Y-781.42%
EPS Next 2Y-45.32%
EPS Next 3Y-19.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.02%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.71%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%
Revenue Next Year-7.91%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-41.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-10.16%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year6.43%
EBIT Next 3Y9.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-27.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.98%
OCF growth 3Y40.02%
OCF growth 5YN/A