LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LYB • NL0009434992

Current stock price

78.11 USD
-1.49 (-1.87%)
Last:

This LYB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. LYB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LYB was profitable.
  • In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years LYB 4 years were profitable.
  • LYB had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LYB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLYB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • LYB has a Return On Assets of -2.21%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • LYB's Return On Equity of -7.46% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 63.41% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.51%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 60.98% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • LYB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.66%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.46%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.66%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(2.51%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROIC 2.51%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
LYB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLYB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.76%, LYB is doing worse than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 8.55%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 84.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • LYB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
LYB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLYB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

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3

2. LYB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • LYB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • LYB has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • LYB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LYB Yearly Shares OutstandingLYB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
LYB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLYB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • LYB has an Altman-Z score of 2.06. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LYB's Altman-Z score of 2.06 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
  • LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.69. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 33.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 33.69, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.22, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Altman-Z 2.06
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.71%
LYB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLYB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LYB (1.77) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that LYB is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LYB's Quick ratio of 1.20 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 46.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
LYB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLYB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. LYB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -73.44% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, LYB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -21.44% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -25.18% in the last year.
  • LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.17% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y45.49%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LYB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLYB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
LYB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLYB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15

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2

4. LYB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 45.95, the valuation of LYB can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.41% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17, LYB is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.58, the valuation of LYB can be described as expensive.
  • LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. LYB is more expensive than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.05. LYB is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.95
Fwd PE 31.58
LYB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLYB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • LYB's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 65.53
EV/EBITDA 15.72
LYB Per share dataLYB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • LYB's earnings are expected to grow with 44.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. LYB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.43%, LYB has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.07, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 85.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, LYB pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.43%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.33%.
  • LYB has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of LYB decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
LYB Yearly Dividends per shareLYB Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • LYB's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-234.57%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
LYB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLYB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

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LYB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A

NYSE:LYB (4/6/2026, 1:20:54 PM)

78.11

-1.49 (-1.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)04-24
Inst Owners74.34%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap25.16B
Revenue(TTM)30.15B
Net Income(TTM)-752.00M
Analysts65.6
Price Target67.28 (-13.87%)
Short Float %6.88%
Short Ratio2.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.43%
Yearly Dividend5.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
DP-234.57%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-137.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-39.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.24%
PT rev (1m)28.89%
PT rev (3m)29.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)20.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.95
Fwd PE 31.58
P/S 0.83
P/FCF 65.53
P/OCF 11.12
P/B 2.5
P/tB 2.82
EV/EBITDA 15.72
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY2.18%
EPS(NY)2.47
Fwd EY3.17%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY1.53%
OCF(TTM)7.02
OCFY8.99%
SpS93.59
BVpS31.29
TBVpS27.7
PEG (NY)1.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.6
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROCE 2.98%
ROIC 2.51%
ROICexc 2.86%
ROICexgc 3%
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
FCFM 1.27%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.53%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)8.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.23%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)13.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-44.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.05%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Debt/EBITDA 5.56
Cap/Depr 135.11%
Cap/Sales 6.23%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 101.85%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 2.06
F-Score3
WACC7.71%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)118.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
EPS Next Y45.49%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-69.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-45.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-17.24%
EBIT Next Year120.66%
EBIT Next 3Y44.31%
EBIT Next 5Y31.66%
FCF growth 1Y-80.61%
FCF growth 3Y-55.05%
FCF growth 5Y-23.41%
OCF growth 1Y-40.77%
OCF growth 3Y-28.23%
OCF growth 5Y-7.85%

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.


What is the valuation status of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 45.95 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.5.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LYB stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is expected to grow by 45.49% in the next year.