LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
42.55 USD
-0.21 (-0.49%)
42.81 USD
+0.26 (+0.61%)
LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. LYB may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. LYB has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LYB was profitable.
In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LYB has been profitable.
In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -3.59%, LYB is doing worse than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB has a worse Return On Equity (-11.44%) than 67.07% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LYB is above the industry average of 6.13%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) for LYB is well below the 3 year average (10.69%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYB had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LYB has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 3.65%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 67.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 9.19%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 82.93% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LYB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LYB has a Altman-Z score (1.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LYB has a Debt to FCF ratio (16.07) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
LYB has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.02. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 64.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC7.47%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LYB has a worse Current ratio (1.57) than 69.51% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB has a Quick ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 68.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LYB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -61.51%.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -20.07% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
LYB is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.03% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.70, the valuation of LYB can be described as correct.
60.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
LYB's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.07.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.74, which indicates a very decent valuation of LYB.
74.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. LYB is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.98% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.10% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.04%, LYB is a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of LYB has falen by -27.60%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.00. LYB pays more dividend than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.04% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of LYB decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of LYB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LYB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
The dividend of LYB is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
42.55
-0.21 (-0.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.62%
Inst Owner Change-6.15%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change0.34%
Market Cap13.69B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.85
Price Target58.71 (37.98%)
Short Float %7.14%
Short Ratio3.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.04% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-4.07%
PT rev (3m)-13.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.42 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.13 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | 1.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.37%
EPS(NY)3.96
Fwd EY9.31%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY5.39%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY19.51%
SpS101.22
BVpS32.95
TBVpS29.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.82
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score3
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-5.52%
EBIT Next 3Y10.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 15.7 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.29.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.