LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
42.78 USD
+0.5 (+1.18%)
42.81 USD
+0.03 (+0.07%)
LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and financial health of LYB have multiple concerns. LYB is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LYB was profitable.
LYB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LYB has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -3.59%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -11.44%, LYB is doing worse than 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.64%, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.44% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.69%. This is above the industry average of 6.05%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.69%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(3.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
LYB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LYB (3.65%) is worse than 64.63% of its industry peers.
LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of LYB (9.19%) is worse than 82.93% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LYB is creating some value.
LYB has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LYB has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LYB is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.88, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.44% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LYB has a Debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.02, LYB is doing worse than 64.63% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.58%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LYB's Current ratio of 1.57 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 68.29% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB has a Quick ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 67.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -61.51% in the last year.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
The Revenue for LYB has decreased by -20.07% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
LYB is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.03% yearly.
LYB is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.25% yearly.
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.79 indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.28. LYB is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.89 indicates a reasonable valuation of LYB.
LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LYB is cheaper than 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.52, LYB is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
63.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LYB indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LYB is cheaper than 68.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.70%, LYB is a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of LYB has falen by -22.53%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.98. LYB pays more dividend than 98.78% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LYB has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of LYB is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
42.78
+0.5 (+1.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners71.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.98%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap13.77B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.08
Price Target54.71 (27.89%)
Short Float %7.94%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-6.82%
PT rev (3m)-16.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.42 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.66 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.16 | ||
| P/B | 1.3 | ||
| P/tB | 1.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.12 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.33%
EPS(NY)3.6
Fwd EY8.41%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY5.36%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY19.39%
SpS101.16
BVpS32.93
TBVpS29.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score3
WACC7.58%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-7.69%
EBIT Next 3Y7.39%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 15.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.3.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.