LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
43.16 USD
-2.87 (-6.24%)
43.63 USD
+0.47 (+1.09%)
Overall LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated LYB against 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. Both the profitability and financial health of LYB have multiple concerns. LYB has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LYB had positive earnings in the past year.
LYB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years LYB has been profitable.
In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LYB (-3.59%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Return On Equity of -11.44%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.64%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 51.85% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LYB is above the industry average of 6.15%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) for LYB is well below the 3 year average (10.69%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYB had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
LYB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LYB has a worse Operating Margin (3.65%) than 65.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYB has declined.
The Gross Margin of LYB (9.19%) is worse than 83.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LYB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LYB has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LYB is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LYB has a Altman-Z score of 1.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 56.79% of its industry peers.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 16.07, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.32% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.02, LYB is doing worse than 64.20% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.59%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.57, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 69.14% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB has a Quick ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LYB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -61.51%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.75% on average over the past years.
LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -20.07%.
Measured over the past years, LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.03% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.25% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.93, which indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than 61.73% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.41.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.90, the valuation of LYB can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.40. LYB is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
62.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
67.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.32%, which is a nice return.
In the last 3 months the price of LYB has falen by -21.64%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.88. LYB pays more dividend than 97.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of LYB decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
LYB's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
43.16
-2.87 (-6.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.62%
Inst Owner Change-6.28%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap13.89B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.85
Price Target55.57 (28.75%)
Short Float %7.94%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.32% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-9.21%
PT rev (3m)-15.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.9 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.2 | ||
| P/B | 1.31 | ||
| P/tB | 1.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.23 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.28%
EPS(NY)3.96
Fwd EY9.18%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY5.31%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY19.22%
SpS101.16
BVpS32.93
TBVpS29.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.88 |
F-Score3
WACC7.59%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-5.52%
EBIT Next 3Y10.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 15.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.31.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.