LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LYB • NL0009434992
Current stock price
73.72 USD
+1.45 (+2.01%)
At close:
72.95 USD
-0.77 (-1.04%)
After Hours:
This LYB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LYB Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- LYB had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
- LYB had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- LYB's Return On Assets of -2.21% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 60.98% of its industry peers.
- LYB has a worse Return On Equity (-7.46%) than 63.41% of its industry peers.
- LYB has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.51%) than 62.20% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LYB is in line with the industry average of 6.48%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (6.66%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(2.51%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.21% | ||
| ROE | -7.46% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.76%, LYB is doing worse than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 8.55%, LYB is doing worse than 84.15% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 8.55% |
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
2. LYB Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LYB is destroying value.
- LYB has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- LYB has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for LYB is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.01 indicates that LYB is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- LYB's Altman-Z score of 2.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 52.44% of its industry peers.
- LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.69. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 33.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- LYB's Debt to FCF ratio of 33.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 40.24% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.22, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- LYB has a Current Ratio of 1.77. This is a normal value and indicates that LYB is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- LYB has a Current ratio of 1.77. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
- LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that LYB is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- LYB has a Quick ratio of 1.20. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 46.34% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. LYB Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -73.44% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, LYB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -21.44% on average per year.
- The Revenue for LYB has decreased by -25.18% in the past year. This is quite bad
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.17% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. LYB Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 43.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LYB.
- 63.41% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than LYB, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- LYB is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.61 indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
- LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- LYB is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LYB.
- LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- LYB's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- LYB's earnings are expected to grow with 48.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
5. LYB Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.82%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.06, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 87.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.82% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.33%.
- LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- LYB has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
- The dividend of LYB is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-234.57%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
LYB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
73.72
+1.45 (+2.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-30 2026-01-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-01 2026-05-01/bmo
Inst Owners74.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap23.75B
Revenue(TTM)30.15B
Net Income(TTM)-752.00M
Analysts65.6
Price Target69.21 (-6.12%)
Short Float %6.88%
Short Ratio2.14
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.82% |
Yearly Dividend5.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
DP-234.57%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-02 2026-03-02 (0.69)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-137.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-39.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.24%
PT rev (1m)32.6%
PT rev (3m)33.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)79.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.61 | ||
| P/S | 0.79 | ||
| P/FCF | 61.85 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.5 | ||
| P/B | 2.36 | ||
| P/tB | 2.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.87 |
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY2.31%
EPS(NY)4.44
Fwd EY6.02%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY1.62%
OCF(TTM)7.02
OCFY9.52%
SpS93.59
BVpS31.29
TBVpS27.7
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.6
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.21% | ||
| ROE | -7.46% | ||
| ROCE | 2.98% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3% | ||
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 8.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.27% |
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.53%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)8.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.23%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)13.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-44.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.05%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.56 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 135.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.72 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.01 |
F-Score3
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)118.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
Revenue Next Year1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.03%
Revenue Next 3Y0.99%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-69.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-45.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-17.24%
EBIT Next Year181.06%
EBIT Next 3Y46.57%
EBIT Next 5Y31.66%
FCF growth 1Y-80.61%
FCF growth 3Y-55.05%
FCF growth 5Y-23.41%
OCF growth 1Y-40.77%
OCF growth 3Y-28.23%
OCF growth 5Y-7.85%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 43.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.36.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LYB stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is expected to grow by 161.07% in the next year.