LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LYB • NL0009434992

Current stock price

73.32 USD
-1.25 (-1.68%)
At close:
73.19 USD
-0.13 (-0.18%)
After Hours:

This LYB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. LYB Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LYB had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years LYB 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LYB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLYB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LYB (-2.21%) is worse than 60.24% of its industry peers.
  • LYB has a worse Return On Equity (-7.46%) than 62.65% of its industry peers.
  • LYB has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.51%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 60.24% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LYB is in line with the industry average of 6.41%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.66%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(2.51%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROIC 2.51%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
LYB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLYB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • LYB has a Operating Margin of 2.76%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 63.86% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYB has declined.
  • LYB's Gross Margin of 8.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 83.13% of its industry peers.
  • LYB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
LYB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLYB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

3

2. LYB Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LYB is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
LYB Yearly Shares OutstandingLYB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
LYB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLYB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • LYB has an Altman-Z score of 2.02. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LYB has a Altman-Z score (2.02) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.69. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 33.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LYB has a Debt to FCF ratio (33.69) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
  • LYB has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.22. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 69.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Altman-Z 2.02
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.55%
LYB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLYB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • LYB's Current ratio of 1.77 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 45.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.20 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • LYB has a Quick ratio (1.20) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
LYB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLYB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

3

3. LYB Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LYB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -73.44%.
  • LYB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -21.44% yearly.
  • LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -25.18%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%

3.2 Future

  • LYB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 36.17% yearly.
  • LYB is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.26% yearly.
EPS Next Y45.49%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year-1.51%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y0.79%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LYB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLYB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
LYB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLYB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15

2

4. LYB Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 43.13 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LYB.
  • 62.65% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than LYB, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. LYB is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • LYB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.65.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit more expensive than 61.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LYB's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 43.13
Fwd PE 29.65
LYB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLYB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • LYB's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LYB.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 61.51
EV/EBITDA 14.99
LYB Per share dataLYB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • LYB's earnings are expected to grow with 44.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%

5

5. LYB Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.70%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.08, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 85.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, LYB pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.33%.
  • LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • LYB has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LYB Yearly Dividends per shareLYB Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of LYB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LYB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • The dividend of LYB is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-234.57%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
LYB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLYB Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

LYB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A

NYSE:LYB (3/20/2026, 8:06:39 PM)

After market: 73.19 -0.13 (-0.18%)

73.32

-1.25 (-1.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners74.34%
Inst Owner Change2.63%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap23.62B
Revenue(TTM)30.15B
Net Income(TTM)-752.00M
Analysts52.14
Price Target52.2 (-28.81%)
Short Float %8.53%
Short Ratio2.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%
Yearly Dividend5.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
DP-234.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-137.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-39.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.24%
PT rev (1m)0.22%
PT rev (3m)-4.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-73.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-31.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 43.13
Fwd PE 29.65
P/S 0.78
P/FCF 61.51
P/OCF 10.44
P/B 2.34
P/tB 2.65
EV/EBITDA 14.99
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY2.32%
EPS(NY)2.47
Fwd EY3.37%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY1.63%
OCF(TTM)7.02
OCFY9.58%
SpS93.59
BVpS31.29
TBVpS27.7
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.6
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.21%
ROE -7.46%
ROCE 2.98%
ROIC 2.51%
ROICexc 2.86%
ROICexgc 3%
OM 2.76%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.55%
FCFM 1.27%
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.53%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)8.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.23%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)13.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-44.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.05%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 33.69
Debt/EBITDA 5.56
Cap/Depr 135.11%
Cap/Sales 6.23%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 101.85%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.77
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 2.02
F-Score3
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)118.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
EPS Next Y45.49%
EPS Next 2Y49.76%
EPS Next 3Y44.39%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
Revenue Next Year-1.51%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y0.79%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-69.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-45.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-17.24%
EBIT Next Year120.66%
EBIT Next 3Y44.31%
EBIT Next 5Y31.66%
FCF growth 1Y-80.61%
FCF growth 3Y-55.05%
FCF growth 5Y-23.41%
OCF growth 1Y-40.77%
OCF growth 3Y-28.23%
OCF growth 5Y-7.85%

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.


What is the valuation status of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?

LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

The financial health rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is expected to grow by 45.49% in the next year.