LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LYB • NL0009434992
Current stock price
69.87 USD
-0.85 (-1.2%)
At close:
69.99 USD
+0.12 (+0.17%)
Pre-Market:
This LYB fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LYB Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year LYB was profitable.
- LYB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- LYB had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- LYB's Return On Assets of -2.21% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 60.98% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of -7.46%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 63.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.51%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 62.20% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- LYB had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.66%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.49%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (6.66%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(2.51%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.21% | ||
| ROE | -7.46% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.76%, LYB is doing worse than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LYB has declined.
- The Gross Margin of LYB (8.55%) is worse than 84.15% of its industry peers.
- LYB's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 8.55% |
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
2. LYB Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- LYB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, LYB has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.98 indicates that LYB is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.98, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.78% of the companies in the same industry.
- LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.69. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 33.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 33.69, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
- LYB has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.22. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 70.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC7.62%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- LYB's Current ratio of 1.77 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LYB outperforms 42.68% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.20 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.20, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. LYB Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -73.44% in the last year.
- LYB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -21.44% yearly.
- LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -25.18%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.17% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- LYB is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.26% yearly.
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year5.55%
Revenue Next 2Y2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y1.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. LYB Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 41.10, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LYB.
- LYB's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LYB to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say LYB is valued slightly more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.74, the valuation of LYB can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than 64.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LYB to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.29), we can say LYB is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LYB is on the same level as its industry peers.
- LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- LYB's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- LYB's earnings are expected to grow with 48.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
5. LYB Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.90%, LYB has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.01, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 87.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.33%.
- LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of LYB decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- The earnings of LYB are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LYB will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
- LYB's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-234.57%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
LYB Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
69.87
-0.85 (-1.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)01-30 2026-01-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-01 2026-05-01/bmo
Inst Owners74.36%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap22.55B
Revenue(TTM)30.15B
Net Income(TTM)-752.00M
Analysts65.6
Price Target71.57 (2.43%)
Short Float %5.08%
Short Ratio1.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
Yearly Dividend5.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.33%
DP-234.57%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-02 2026-03-02 (0.69)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-137.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-299.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-39.32%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-20.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.06%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.24%
PT rev (1m)37.12%
PT rev (3m)43.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-62.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)79.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)37.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.59%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.97 | ||
| P/B | 2.24 | ||
| P/tB | 2.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.33 |
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY2.43%
EPS(NY)4.44
Fwd EY6.35%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY1.7%
OCF(TTM)7.01
OCFY10.03%
SpS93.42
BVpS31.24
TBVpS27.65
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.5655 (-50.53%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.21% | ||
| ROE | -7.46% | ||
| ROCE | 2.98% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3% | ||
| OM | 2.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 8.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.27% |
ROA(3y)2.42%
ROA(5y)6.64%
ROE(3y)6.57%
ROE(5y)19.56%
ROIC(3y)6.66%
ROIC(5y)11.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.53%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)8.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.23%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)13.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-44.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-15.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-43.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.05%
OM growth 3Y-35.45%
OM growth 5Y-18.61%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.25%
GM growth 5Y-6.92%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.56 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 135.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.72 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
F-Score3
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)118.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.44%
EPS 3Y-48.49%
EPS 5Y-21.44%
EPS Q2Q%-134.67%
EPS Next Y161.07%
EPS Next 2Y68.14%
EPS Next 3Y48.51%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.77%
Revenue growth 5Y1.67%
Sales Q2Q%-25.33%
Revenue Next Year5.55%
Revenue Next 2Y2.1%
Revenue Next 3Y1.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-69.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-45.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-17.24%
EBIT Next Year181.06%
EBIT Next 3Y46.57%
EBIT Next 5Y31.66%
FCF growth 1Y-80.61%
FCF growth 3Y-55.05%
FCF growth 5Y-23.41%
OCF growth 1Y-40.77%
OCF growth 3Y-28.23%
OCF growth 5Y-7.85%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 41.1 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.24.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LYB stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is expected to grow by 161.07% in the next year.