LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
45.23 USD
+2.45 (+5.73%)
45.1 USD
-0.13 (-0.29%)
LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. LYB has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. LYB has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LYB was profitable.
In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
LYB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
LYB had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -3.59%, LYB is not doing good in the industry: 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
LYB's Return On Equity of -11.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 65.85% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LYB is above the industry average of 6.05%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) for LYB is well below the 3 year average (10.69%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYB had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
LYB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LYB (3.65%) is worse than 64.63% of its industry peers.
LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LYB's Gross Margin of 9.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 82.93% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LYB has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
LYB has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LYB has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LYB has a Altman-Z score (1.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LYB has a Debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02 is on the high side and indicates that LYB has dependencies on debt financing.
LYB has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.02. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 64.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LYB (1.57) is worse than 68.29% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB has a Quick ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 67.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -61.51% in the last year.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -20.07% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
LYB is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.03% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.25% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.69, which indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LYB indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LYB is cheaper than 60.98% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LYB's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.59.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.57, LYB is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LYB indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LYB is cheaper than 68.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.80, LYB is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LYB is cheaper than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.49 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.70%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.98, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 98.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of LYB decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
LYB's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
45.23
+2.45 (+5.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners71.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.98%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap14.56B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.08
Price Target54.71 (20.96%)
Short Float %7.94%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.7% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-6.82%
PT rev (3m)-16.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.57 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.45 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.49 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY5.99%
EPS(NY)3.6
Fwd EY7.96%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY5.07%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY18.34%
SpS101.16
BVpS32.93
TBVpS29.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score3
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-58.57%
EPS Next 2Y-25.01%
EPS Next 3Y-8.72%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-7.69%
EBIT Next 3Y7.39%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 16.69 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.37.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.