LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
48.99 USD
+0.57 (+1.18%)
49.43 USD
+0.44 (+0.9%)
Overall LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated LYB against 81 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. LYB has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. LYB is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LYB was profitable.
LYB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LYB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years LYB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
LYB has a Return On Assets of -3.59%. This is in the lower half of the industry: LYB underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -11.44%, LYB is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.64%, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LYB is above the industry average of 6.15%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.64%) for LYB is well below the 3 year average (10.69%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that LYB had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LYB has declined.
LYB's Operating Margin of 3.65% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 65.43% of its industry peers.
LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 9.19%, LYB is doing worse than 83.95% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LYB is creating some value.
LYB has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LYB has a Altman-Z score of 1.93. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LYB outperforms 58.02% of its industry peers.
LYB has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as LYB would need 16.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 16.07, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.32% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.02. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.02, LYB is doing worse than 64.20% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.64%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LYB's Current ratio of 1.57 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LYB is outperformed by 69.14% of its industry peers.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.57. This is a bad value and indicates that LYB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LYB (0.93) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -61.51% in the last year.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -20.07% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LYB shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
3.2 Future
LYB is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.03% yearly.
LYB is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.25% yearly.
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.08, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LYB.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as LYB.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.31. LYB is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.37, which indicates a correct valuation of LYB.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LYB indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LYB is cheaper than 61.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.56, LYB is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LYB.
LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LYB is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.10% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.32%, LYB is a good candidate for dividend investing.
LYB's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.88. LYB pays more dividend than 97.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LYB has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LYB has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
The dividend of LYB is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-144.93%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
48.99
+0.57 (+1.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.62%
Inst Owner Change-6.28%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap15.77B
Revenue(TTM)32.56B
Net Income(TTM)-1.21B
Analysts63.85
Price Target55.57 (13.43%)
Short Float %7.14%
Short Ratio3.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.32% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP-144.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)24.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.26%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.78%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.27%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.64%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.42%
PT rev (1m)-9.21%
PT rev (3m)-15.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.37 | ||
| P/S | 0.48 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.91 | ||
| P/B | 1.49 | ||
| P/tB | 1.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.96 |
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY5.53%
EPS(NY)3.96
Fwd EY8.09%
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY4.68%
OCF(TTM)8.3
OCFY16.93%
SpS101.16
BVpS32.93
TBVpS29.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number44.81
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.59% | ||
| ROE | -11.44% | ||
| ROCE | 4.41% | ||
| ROIC | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.89% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.08% | ||
| OM | 3.65% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 9.19% | ||
| FCFM | 2.27% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 138.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 103.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.93 |
F-Score3
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.51%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-46.28%
EPS Next Y-61.2%
EPS Next 2Y-21.33%
EPS Next 3Y-6.1%
EPS Next 5Y5.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-25.14%
Revenue Next Year-25.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-60.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-5.52%
EBIT Next 3Y10.46%
EBIT Next 5Y10.29%
FCF growth 1Y-79.05%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-47.04%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 18.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.49.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -144.93%.