LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:LYB - NL0009434992 - Common Stock
47.59 USD
+0.78 (+1.67%)
47.59 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LYB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated LYB against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. There are concerns on the financial health of LYB while its profitability can be described as average. LYB is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LYB had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LYB had a positive cash flow from operations.
LYB had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
LYB had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LYB (0.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of LYB (2.10%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.32%, LYB is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.01% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LYB is above the industry average of 6.30%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.69%) for LYB is well above the current ROIC(4.32%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 2.1% | ||
| ROIC | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 0.71%, LYB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.40% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LYB (4.33%) is worse than 65.06% of its industry peers.
LYB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 9.47%, LYB is doing worse than 80.72% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LYB has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.33% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.71% | ||
| GM | 9.47% |
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LYB is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LYB has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for LYB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
LYB has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
LYB has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that LYB is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LYB has a Altman-Z score (2.04) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LYB is 25.54, which is on the high side as it means it would take LYB, 25.54 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LYB (25.54) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LYB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95. This is a neutral value indicating LYB is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LYB (0.95) is worse than 66.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 25.54 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC7.64%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.77 indicates that LYB should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LYB has a Current ratio (1.77) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LYB has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that LYB is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LYB has a worse Quick ratio (1.04) than 65.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.04 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LYB have decreased strongly by -53.02% in the last year.
LYB shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.75% yearly.
LYB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -14.34%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-53.02%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-72.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.47%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.00% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LYB will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-61.47%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3Y-5.48%
EPS Next 5Y6%
Revenue Next Year-25.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.56%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LYB is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.29.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than 77.11% of the companies in the same industry.
LYB is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.89, the valuation of LYB can be described as very reasonable.
73.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LYB, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.99. LYB is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LYB is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LYB's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as LYB's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.48% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3Y-5.48%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LYB has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.71%, which is a nice return.
In the last 3 months the price of LYB has falen by -25.65%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.69, LYB pays a better dividend. On top of this LYB pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, LYB pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.71% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LYB has a limited annual growth rate of 5.17%.
LYB has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
LYB has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
LYB pays out 700.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
LYB's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP700.8%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3Y-5.48%
47.59
+0.78 (+1.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.62%
Inst Owner Change-1.05%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap15.31B
Revenue(TTM)35.15B
Net Income(TTM)250.00M
Analysts63.85
Price Target61.21 (28.62%)
Short Float %5.68%
Short Ratio3.23
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.71% |
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.17%
DP700.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-23.41%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(2)-23.38%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-12.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.45%
Max EPS beat(4)3.46%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.59%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)0.66%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.76%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.75%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.17%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.87%
PT rev (1m)-2.26%
PT rev (3m)-14.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.06 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.49 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | 1.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.59 |
EPS(TTM)3.58
EY7.52%
EPS(NY)4
Fwd EY8.41%
FCF(TTM)1.44
FCFY3.02%
OCF(TTM)7.33
OCFY15.4%
SpS109.29
BVpS37.02
TBVpS30.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number54.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 2.1% | ||
| ROCE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.32% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.59% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5% | ||
| OM | 4.33% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.71% | ||
| GM | 9.47% | ||
| FCFM | 1.32% |
ROA(3y)6.72%
ROA(5y)7.89%
ROE(3y)19.31%
ROE(5y)24.61%
ROIC(3y)10.69%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)11.83%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)12.95%
ROICexgc(5y)13.92%
ROCE(3y)12.98%
ROCE(5y)14.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.64%
OM growth 3Y-24.61%
OM growth 5Y-10.5%
PM growth 3Y-34.85%
PM growth 5Y-19.21%
GM growth 3Y-15.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.35%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 25.54 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.84 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 132.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 185.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
F-Score4
WACC7.64%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)123.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.66%
Profit Quality(3y)139.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-53.02%
EPS 3Y-29.4%
EPS 5Y-7.75%
EPS Q2Q%-72.32%
EPS Next Y-61.47%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3Y-5.48%
EPS Next 5Y6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.43%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.47%
Revenue Next Year-25.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.56%
Revenue Next 3Y-8.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.12%
EBIT growth 1Y-53.41%
EBIT growth 3Y-27.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.79%
EBIT Next Year-5.52%
EBIT Next 3Y10.46%
EBIT Next 5Y12.54%
FCF growth 1Y-85.64%
FCF growth 3Y-29.85%
FCF growth 5Y-2.67%
OCF growth 1Y-50.79%
OCF growth 3Y-20.83%
OCF growth 5Y-5.1%
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A / LYB FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to LYB.
What is the valuation status for LYB stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 13.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.29.
How sustainable is the dividend of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) stock?
The dividend rating of LYONDELLBASELL INDU-CL A (LYB) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 700.8%.