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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:LUN - CA5503721063 - Common Stock

16.83 CAD
+0.28 (+1.69%)
Last: 9/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LUN. LUN was compared to 807 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While LUN has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUN was profitable.
In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years LUN 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LUN had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

LUN's Return On Assets of -0.82% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 83.52% of its industry peers.
LUN has a Return On Equity of -1.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 82.53% of its industry peers.
LUN has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 91.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 11.74%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.70%) for LUN is below the current ROIC(4.55%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

LUN's Operating Margin of 26.64% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 93.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
LUN has a Gross Margin of 30.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 90.95% of its industry peers.
LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LUN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
LUN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
LUN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LUN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

LUN has an Altman-Z score of 1.76. This is a bad value and indicates that LUN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LUN's Altman-Z score of 1.76 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LUN outperforms 49.81% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LUN is 2.93, which is a good value as it means it would take LUN, 2.93 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LUN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.93. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 92.07% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, LUN is not doing good in the industry: 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 1.76
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.6%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.88, LUN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LUN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.53, LUN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.41%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 11.05% on average per year.
LUN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -18.90%.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.58% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.96% on average per year.
LUN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue Next Year-11.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LUN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.05.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 90.95% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.94, LUN is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LUN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.05
Fwd PE 17.94
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.04% of the companies are valued more expensively.
96.28% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.58
EV/EBITDA 8.13
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)2.09
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.66%, LUN is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 13.98. LUN pays more dividend than 95.66% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.66, LUN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of LUN grows each year by 23.66%, which is quite nice.
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of LUN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

LUN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
LUN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (9/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

16.83

+0.28 (+1.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners48.75%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.41B
Analysts75
Price Target17.6 (4.58%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-05 2025-09-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)6.38%
PT rev (3m)13.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)13.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)18.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.05
Fwd PE 17.94
P/S 3.03
P/FCF 14.58
P/OCF 7.32
P/B 1.98
P/tB 2.05
EV/EBITDA 8.13
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY4.34%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY5.57%
FCF(TTM)1.15
FCFY6.86%
OCF(TTM)2.3
OCFY13.66%
SpS5.55
BVpS8.5
TBVpS8.23
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)2.09
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 1.76
F-Score5
WACC8.6%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
EPS Next Y22.6%
EPS Next 2Y22.17%
EPS Next 3Y9.01%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%
Revenue Next Year-11.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.96%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year54.28%
EBIT Next 3Y20.66%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%