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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:LUN - CA5503721063 - Common Stock

22.69 CAD
+1 (+4.61%)
Last: 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LUN. LUN was compared to 792 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While LUN has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. LUN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LUN was profitable.
In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
LUN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LUN had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of LUN (-0.82%) is better than 83.08% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.76%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.07% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Return On Invested Capital of 4.55% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 91.29% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 12.40%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.70%) for LUN is below the current ROIC(4.55%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROIC 4.55%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of LUN (26.64%) is better than 94.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of LUN (30.14%) is better than 91.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for LUN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LUN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LUN is higher compared to a year ago.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

LUN has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that LUN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.04, LUN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.23% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LUN is 2.93, which is a good value as it means it would take LUN, 2.93 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.93, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.79% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
LUN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 71.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Altman-Z 2.04
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.09%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.88, LUN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.13% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LUN has a Quick ratio of 1.53. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LUN outperforms 48.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.41% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.05% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, LUN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.90% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.58% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.96% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.96%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue Next Year-10.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 30.25, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LUN.
89.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.13. LUN is around the same levels.
LUN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.64.
88.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.35. LUN is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.25
Fwd PE 23.64
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUN is valued cheaper than 94.07% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 10.1
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)2.74
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUN has a yearly dividend return of 0.49%, which is pretty low.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.97. LUN pays more dividend than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.49, LUN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of LUN grows each year by 23.66%, which is quite nice.
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
LUN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of LUN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. LUN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
LUN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-217.57%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

22.69

+1 (+4.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/bmo
Inst Owners48.37%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.72%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.43B
Revenue(TTM)3.30B
Net Income(TTM)-93073000
Analysts75.71
Price Target23.39 (3.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%
Yearly Dividend0.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP-217.57%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date09-05 2025-09-05 (0.0275)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.93%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.08%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.05%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.92%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.83%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.97%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.14%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.99%
PT rev (1m)32.92%
PT rev (3m)41.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.25
Fwd PE 23.64
P/S 4
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 9.66
P/B 2.62
P/tB 2.7
EV/EBITDA 10.1
EPS(TTM)0.75
EY3.31%
EPS(NY)0.96
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)2.35
OCFY10.35%
SpS5.67
BVpS8.68
TBVpS8.4
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)2.74
Graham Number12.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE -1.76%
ROCE 9.43%
ROIC 4.55%
ROICexc 4.71%
ROICexgc 4.8%
OM 26.64%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 30.14%
FCFM 20.78%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexgc growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2.93
Debt/EBITDA 1.19
Cap/Depr 126.74%
Cap/Sales 20.62%
Interest Coverage 7.35
Cash Conversion 96.5%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 2.04
F-Score5
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.41%
EPS 3Y-25.88%
EPS 5Y11.05%
EPS Q2Q%-23.08%
EPS Next Y20.96%
EPS Next 2Y22.28%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5Y4.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.9%
Revenue growth 3Y0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.58%
Sales Q2Q%-13.51%
Revenue Next Year-10.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.18%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.16%
EBIT growth 1Y82.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year68.38%
EBIT Next 3Y21.46%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y515.36%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y85.13%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%

LUNDIN MINING CORP / LUN.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LUN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LUN.CA.


What is the valuation status of LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of LUN stock?

LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) is 30.25 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.62.


What is the expected EPS growth for LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) is expected to grow by 20.96% in the next year.