LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:LUN • CA5503721063

Current stock price

29.43 CAD
-1.41 (-4.57%)
Last:

This LUN.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. LUN.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LUN was profitable.
  • In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years LUN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years LUN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • LUN has a Return On Assets of 0.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 84.54% of its industry peers.
  • LUN has a Return On Equity of 0.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 85.14% of its industry peers.
  • LUN has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.91%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 91.30% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUN is significantly below the industry average of 12.79%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (4.91%) for LUN is above the 3 year average (3.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.14%
ROE 0.24%
ROIC 4.91%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.42%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LUN's Operating Margin of 27.31% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 93.48% of its industry peers.
  • LUN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of LUN (31.23%) is better than 90.46% of its industry peers.
  • LUN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.31%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 31.23%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

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6

2. LUN.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUN is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LUN. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.42 indicates that LUN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LUN's Altman-Z score of 3.42 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LUN outperforms 52.17% of its industry peers.
  • LUN has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.99. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LUN's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.99 is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 93.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of LUN (0.07) is worse than 61.84% of its industry peers.
  • Although LUN's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.99
Altman-Z 3.42
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC10.68%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.45. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LUN (1.45) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that LUN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • LUN has a worse Quick ratio (0.90) than 61.96% of its industry peers.
  • LUN does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.9
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. LUN.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 97.37% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.57% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)97.37%
EPS 3Y12.04%
EPS 5Y24.57%
EPS Q2Q%186.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%51.53%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.94% on average per year.
  • LUN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y26.86%
EPS Next 2Y13.99%
EPS Next 3Y5.25%
EPS Next 5Y-0.94%
Revenue Next Year11.36%
Revenue Next 2Y6.19%
Revenue Next 3Y0.5%
Revenue Next 5Y0.48%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

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6

4. LUN.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.93 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LUN.
  • LUN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUN is cheaper than 89.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. LUN is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.79 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LUN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaper than 89.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LUN is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.93
Fwd PE 18.79
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.03% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.60% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.75
EV/EBITDA 13.32
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LUN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)0.97
EPS Next 2Y13.99%
EPS Next 3Y5.25%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. LUN.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LUN has a yearly dividend return of 0.36%, which is pretty low.
  • LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.47. LUN pays more dividend than 95.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.36, LUN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.36%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LUN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.66%!
  • LUN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • LUN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 1243.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LUN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • LUN's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP1243.04%
EPS Next 2Y13.99%
EPS Next 3Y5.25%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M
LUN.CA Dividend Payout.LUN.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUN.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LUN.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (3/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

29.43

-1.41 (-4.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners49.06%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap25.15B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)13.84M
Analysts75.17
Price Target37.38 (27.01%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.36%
Yearly Dividend0.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.66%
DP1243.04%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.11%
Min EPS beat(2)4.28%
Max EPS beat(2)27.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)27.94%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.97%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-6.07%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-11.51%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.15%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.97%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.89%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.61%
PT rev (1m)9.91%
PT rev (3m)49.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.95%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.93
Fwd PE 18.79
P/S 5.55
P/FCF 27.75
P/OCF 14.42
P/B 3.19
P/tB 3.28
EV/EBITDA 13.32
EPS(TTM)1.23
EY4.18%
EPS(NY)1.57
Fwd EY5.32%
FCF(TTM)1.06
FCFY3.6%
OCF(TTM)2.04
OCFY6.93%
SpS5.3
BVpS9.24
TBVpS8.97
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)0.97
Graham Number15.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.14%
ROE 0.24%
ROCE 10.2%
ROIC 4.91%
ROICexc 4.91%
ROICexgc 5.01%
OM 27.31%
PM (TTM) 0.42%
GM 31.23%
FCFM 20.01%
ROA(3y)1.83%
ROA(5y)3.62%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)6.17%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)4.6%
ROICexc(3y)3.85%
ROICexc(5y)4.87%
ROICexgc(3y)3.97%
ROICexgc(5y)5.05%
ROCE(3y)7.68%
ROCE(5y)9.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-22.24%
ROICexgc growth 5Y13.91%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.85%
OM growth 5Y8.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-13.35%
GM growth 5Y2.84%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.99
Debt/EBITDA 0.29
Cap/Depr 116.64%
Cap/Sales 18.48%
Interest Coverage 8.37
Cash Conversion 89.2%
Profit Quality 4776.32%
Current Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio 0.9
Altman-Z 3.42
F-Score6
WACC10.68%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)146.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)127.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)97.37%
EPS 3Y12.04%
EPS 5Y24.57%
EPS Q2Q%186.67%
EPS Next Y26.86%
EPS Next 2Y13.99%
EPS Next 3Y5.25%
EPS Next 5Y-0.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%51.53%
Revenue Next Year11.36%
Revenue Next 2Y6.19%
Revenue Next 3Y0.5%
Revenue Next 5Y0.48%
EBIT growth 1Y31.55%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.05%
EBIT growth 5Y21.76%
EBIT Next Year106.74%
EBIT Next 3Y39.99%
EBIT Next 5Y19.53%
FCF growth 1Y262.46%
FCF growth 3Y-9.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y111.92%
OCF growth 3Y0.76%
OCF growth 5Y21.89%

LUNDIN MINING CORP / LUN.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LUN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LUN.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for LUNDIN MINING CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LUNDIN MINING CORP?

LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LUN stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) is 23.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.19.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LUN stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) is expected to grow by 26.86% in the next year.