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LUNDIN MINING CORP (LUN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:LUN - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA5503721063 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

11.82  -0.98 (-7.66%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, LUN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUN was compared to 818 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. LUN is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LUN had a positive cash flow from operations.
LUN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
LUN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
LUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

LUN has a better Return On Assets (2.49%) than 88.38% of its industry peers.
LUN's Return On Equity of 5.48% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 90.14% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.84%, LUN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.97% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.47%. This is below the industry average of 11.82%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.49%
ROE 5.48%
ROIC 5.84%
ROA(3y)5.89%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)10.4%
ROE(5y)7.98%
ROIC(3y)7.47%
ROIC(5y)5.97%
LUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUN.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

LUN has a Profit Margin of 6.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 92.16% of its industry peers.
LUN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
LUN's Operating Margin of 19.99% is amongst the best of the industry. LUN outperforms 92.84% of its industry peers.
LUN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 22.77%, LUN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.51% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.99%
PM (TTM) 6.63%
GM 22.77%
OM growth 3Y-6.88%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-4.86%
PM growth 5Y-8.91%
GM growth 3Y-7.63%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
LUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUN.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUN is destroying value.
LUN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUN.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUN.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

LUN has an Altman-Z score of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that LUN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LUN has a Altman-Z score (1.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LUN is 9.29, which is on the high side as it means it would take LUN, 9.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
LUN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.29. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUN outperforms 90.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that LUN is not too dependend on debt financing.
LUN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.34) than 76.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 9.29
Altman-Z 1.48
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC9.35%
LUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUN.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

LUN has a Current Ratio of 1.40. This is a normal value and indicates that LUN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LUN has a Current ratio (1.40) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LUN has a Quick Ratio of 1.40. This is a bad value and indicates that LUN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.96, LUN is doing worse than 61.35% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 0.96
LUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUN.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.23%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, LUN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.23%
EPS 3Y-27.55%
EPS 5Y9.55%
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.97%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LUN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -13.86% on average per year.
LUN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.94%
EPS Next 2Y22.71%
EPS Next 3Y27.78%
EPS Next 5Y-13.86%
Revenue Next Year-10.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.24%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.74%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
LUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUN.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.70, the valuation of LUN can be described as rather expensive.
90.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
LUN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 29.62.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.28, LUN is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUN is valued cheaper than 89.73% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. LUN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.7
Fwd PE 15.28
LUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUN.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

94.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
91.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 32.11
EV/EBITDA 5.36
LUN.CA Per share dataLUN.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
LUN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LUN's earnings are expected to grow with 27.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)2.06
EPS Next 2Y22.71%
EPS Next 3Y27.78%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.81%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LUN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 7.55. LUN pays more dividend than 97.70% of the companies in the same industry.
LUN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%

5.2 History

The dividend of LUN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.93%!
LUN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of LUN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.93%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
LUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUN.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

LUN pays out 74.43% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
LUN's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP74.43%
EPS Next 2Y22.71%
EPS Next 3Y27.78%
LUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUN.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M
LUN.CA Dividend Payout.LUN.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUN.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LUNDIN MINING CORP

TSX:LUN (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

11.82

-0.98 (-7.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29/amc
Inst Owners51.66%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.26B
Analysts76.15
Price Target16.37 (38.49%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.93%
DP74.43%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-31.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(2)-16.67%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-27.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-45.6%
Max EPS beat(4)-16.67%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-4.57%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.55%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.38%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.01%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.95%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.28%
PT rev (1m)-7.41%
PT rev (3m)-6.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-20.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)-15.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-9.98%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.7
Fwd PE 15.28
P/S 1.74
P/FCF 32.11
P/OCF 6
P/B 1.44
P/tB 1.52
EV/EBITDA 5.36
EPS(TTM)0.6
EY5.08%
EPS(NY)0.77
Fwd EY6.55%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY3.11%
OCF(TTM)1.97
OCFY16.67%
SpS6.79
BVpS8.22
TBVpS7.76
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)2.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.49%
ROE 5.48%
ROCE 8.54%
ROIC 5.84%
ROICexc 6.06%
ROICexgc 6.24%
OM 19.99%
PM (TTM) 6.63%
GM 22.77%
FCFM 5.42%
ROA(3y)5.89%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)10.4%
ROE(5y)7.98%
ROIC(3y)7.47%
ROIC(5y)5.97%
ROICexc(3y)7.96%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)8.27%
ROICexgc(5y)6.56%
ROCE(3y)10.93%
ROCE(5y)8.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-3.57%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.71%
OM growth 3Y-6.88%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-4.86%
PM growth 5Y-8.91%
GM growth 3Y-7.63%
GM growth 5Y-5.34%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 9.29
Debt/EBITDA 1.04
Cap/Depr 121.66%
Cap/Sales 23.59%
Interest Coverage 6.65
Cash Conversion 73.66%
Profit Quality 81.69%
Current Ratio 1.4
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.48
F-Score7
WACC9.35%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)136.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)135.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.97%
Profit Quality(3y)43.84%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.23%
EPS 3Y-27.55%
EPS 5Y9.55%
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y27.94%
EPS Next 2Y22.71%
EPS Next 3Y27.78%
EPS Next 5Y-13.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-18.97%
Revenue Next Year-10.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.24%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.74%
EBIT growth 1Y46.12%
EBIT growth 3Y10.29%
EBIT growth 5Y12.08%
EBIT Next Year192.21%
EBIT Next 3Y53.16%
EBIT Next 5Y24.36%
FCF growth 1Y-42.1%
FCF growth 3Y-70.4%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y9.1%
OCF growth 3Y21.56%
OCF growth 5Y16.37%