LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:LUG - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA5503711080 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
LUG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 805 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LUG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. This makes LUG very considerable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LUG was profitable.
In the past year LUG had a positive cash flow from operations.
LUG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years LUG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
LUG's Return On Assets of 33.32% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 97.89% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Return On Equity of 41.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 97.64% of its industry peers.
LUG has a Return On Invested Capital of 34.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 99.63% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 12.37%.
The 3 year average ROIC (22.93%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(34.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 33.32% | ||
| ROE | 41.3% | ||
| ROIC | 34.97% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
1.3 Margins
LUG has a better Profit Margin (40.65%) than 97.64% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of LUG (56.24%) is better than 99.13% of its industry peers.
LUG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
LUG's Gross Margin of 62.28% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 97.76% of its industry peers.
LUG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 56.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 40.65% | ||
| GM | 62.28% |
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LUG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
LUG has an Altman-Z score of 26.42. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
LUG's Altman-Z score of 26.42 is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 26.42 |
ROIC/WACC3.61
WACC9.7%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.40 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.40, LUG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.70% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG has a Quick Ratio of 3.02. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.02, LUG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.96% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 162.20% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 18.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, LUG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 51.59%.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)162.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)51.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%57.16%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.12% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.04% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y-4.12%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y9.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y7.04%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LUG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.43.
LUG's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 89.81% of the companies in the same industry.
LUG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.19.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.29, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LUG.
LUG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 87.83% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LUG to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.33), we can say LUG is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.29 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LUG indicates a rather cheap valuation: LUG is cheaper than 91.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 94.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.01%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 14.98. LUG pays more dividend than 97.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, LUG has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
5.2 History
LUG has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
LUG pays out 35.84% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP35.84%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
TSX:LUG (7/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
68.88
-1.2 (-1.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners26.96%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.62B
Analysts64.71
Price Target57.26 (-16.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
Yearly Dividend0.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP35.84%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.09%
Min EPS beat(2)7.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.06%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)14.63%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.19%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.74%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.11%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.87%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.36%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.74%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.43%
PT rev (1m)0.55%
PT rev (3m)42.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)41.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)13.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.29 | ||
| P/S | 9.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.15 | ||
| P/B | 9.34 | ||
| P/tB | 9.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.19 |
EPS(TTM)2.94
EY4.27%
EPS(NY)2.96
Fwd EY4.29%
FCF(TTM)3.75
FCFY5.44%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY6.19%
SpS7.5
BVpS7.38
TBVpS7.38
PEG (NY)0.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 33.32% | ||
| ROE | 41.3% | ||
| ROCE | 53.74% | ||
| ROIC | 34.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 51.92% | ||
| ROICexgc | 51.92% | ||
| OM | 56.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 40.65% | ||
| GM | 62.28% | ||
| FCFM | 50.02% |
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexcg growth 3Y30%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 68.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.94 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.4 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 26.42 |
F-Score8
WACC9.7%
ROIC/WACC3.61
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)302.21%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)162.2%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%166.67%
EPS Next Y25.57%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y4.36%
EPS Next 5Y-4.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)51.59%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%57.16%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y9.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5Y7.04%
EBIT growth 1Y103.23%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year47.99%
EBIT Next 3Y12.28%
EBIT Next 5Y-3.97%
FCF growth 1Y68.03%
FCF growth 3Y17.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y69.82%
OCF growth 3Y16.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A