LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:LUG • CA5503711080

Current stock price

101.6 CAD
-0.75 (-0.73%)
Last:

This LUG.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

10

1. LUG.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LUG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LUG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • LUG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LUG had a positive operating cash flow.
LUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LUG (44.32%) is better than 98.63% of its industry peers.
  • LUG has a Return On Equity of 58.07%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUG outperforms 99.00% of its industry peers.
  • LUG's Return On Invested Capital of 54.26% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 99.88% of its industry peers.
  • LUG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 36.09%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.29%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (36.09%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(54.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 44.32%
ROE 58.07%
ROIC 54.26%
ROA(3y)28.15%
ROA(5y)20.4%
ROE(3y)37.29%
ROE(5y)29.54%
ROIC(3y)36.09%
ROIC(5y)28.73%
LUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 44.43%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LUG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • LUG has a better Operating Margin (61.83%) than 99.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
  • LUG has a better Gross Margin (68.78%) than 98.00% of its industry peers.
  • LUG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 61.83%
PM (TTM) 44.43%
GM 68.78%
OM growth 3Y14.62%
OM growth 5Y7.85%
PM growth 3Y70.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.91%
GM growth 5Y7.4%
LUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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8

2. LUG.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUG is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LUG has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
LUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 29.38 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of LUG (29.38) is better than 76.53% of its industry peers.
  • LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 29.38
ROIC/WACC4.44
WACC12.21%
LUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.53 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LUG (2.53) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • LUG has a Quick Ratio of 2.29. This indicates that LUG is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LUG has a Quick ratio (2.29) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.53
Quick Ratio 2.29
LUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. LUG.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LUG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 86.86%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, LUG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 48.03% on average per year.
  • LUG shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 49.44%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 37.85% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.86%
EPS 3Y82.27%
EPS 5Y48.03%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.44%
Revenue growth 3Y29.78%
Revenue growth 5Y37.85%
Sales Q2Q%54.07%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LUG will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -10.91% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.09% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y43.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
EPS Next 5Y-10.91%
Revenue Next Year41.23%
Revenue Next 2Y16.01%
Revenue Next 3Y8.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.09%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
LUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
LUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3 4

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7

4. LUG.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.73 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LUG.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • LUG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.81, the valuation of LUG can be described as correct.
  • LUG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUG is cheaper than 90.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.24. LUG is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.73
Fwd PE 15.81
LUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 91.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 95.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.18
EV/EBITDA 13.94
LUG.CA Per share dataLUG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.52
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. LUG.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.28%, which is a nice return.
  • LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.86. LUG pays more dividend than 98.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LUG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.28%

5.2 History

  • LUG has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
LUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • LUG pays out 83.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP83.8%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
LUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M 800M
LUG.CA Dividend Payout.LUG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LUG.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LUNDIN GOLD INC

TSX:LUG (4/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

101.6

-0.75 (-0.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners25.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.57B
Revenue(TTM)1.78B
Net Income(TTM)792.15M
Analysts53.68
Price Target116.15 (14.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.28%
Yearly Dividend3.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP83.8%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.24%
Min EPS beat(2)1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)20.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.2%
Min EPS beat(4)1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)20.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.22%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.97%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.62%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.19%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.35%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.01%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.83%
PT rev (1m)0.9%
PT rev (3m)13.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)27.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)10.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)32.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)22.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.73
Fwd PE 15.81
P/S 10.08
P/FCF 19.18
P/OCF 17.57
P/B 13.17
P/tB 13.17
EV/EBITDA 13.94
EPS(TTM)4.47
EY4.4%
EPS(NY)6.43
Fwd EY6.33%
FCF(TTM)5.3
FCFY5.21%
OCF(TTM)5.78
OCFY5.69%
SpS10.08
BVpS7.71
TBVpS7.71
PEG (NY)0.52
PEG (5Y)0.47
Graham Number27.8499 (-72.59%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 44.32%
ROE 58.07%
ROCE 78.82%
ROIC 54.26%
ROICexc 98.76%
ROICexgc 98.76%
OM 61.83%
PM (TTM) 44.43%
GM 68.78%
FCFM 52.56%
ROA(3y)28.15%
ROA(5y)20.4%
ROE(3y)37.29%
ROE(5y)29.54%
ROIC(3y)36.09%
ROIC(5y)28.73%
ROICexc(3y)56.77%
ROICexc(5y)43.49%
ROICexgc(3y)56.77%
ROICexgc(5y)43.49%
ROCE(3y)52.43%
ROCE(5y)41.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y54.74%
ROICexgc growth 5Y62.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y54.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y62.35%
OM growth 3Y14.62%
OM growth 5Y7.85%
PM growth 3Y70.16%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.91%
GM growth 5Y7.4%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 63.62%
Cap/Sales 4.82%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 82.67%
Profit Quality 118.29%
Current Ratio 2.53
Quick Ratio 2.29
Altman-Z 29.38
F-Score7
WACC12.21%
ROIC/WACC4.44
Cap/Depr(3y)53.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)50.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.29%
Profit Quality(3y)172.7%
Profit Quality(5y)237.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.86%
EPS 3Y82.27%
EPS 5Y48.03%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y43.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3Y2.81%
EPS Next 5Y-10.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)49.44%
Revenue growth 3Y29.78%
Revenue growth 5Y37.85%
Sales Q2Q%54.07%
Revenue Next Year41.23%
Revenue Next 2Y16.01%
Revenue Next 3Y8.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.09%
EBIT growth 1Y75.03%
EBIT growth 3Y48.76%
EBIT growth 5Y48.67%
EBIT Next Year65.4%
EBIT Next 3Y15.83%
EBIT Next 5Y-5.09%
FCF growth 1Y61.56%
FCF growth 3Y36.05%
FCF growth 5Y76.44%
OCF growth 1Y54.45%
OCF growth 3Y33.9%
OCF growth 5Y55.2%

LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to LUG.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for LUNDIN GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LUNDIN GOLD INC?

LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 10 / 10.


What is the valuation of LUNDIN GOLD INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 22.73 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.17.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LUG stock?

The dividend rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 83.8%.