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LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:LUG - CA5503711080 - Common Stock

121 CAD
+5.03 (+4.34%)
Last: 1/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to LUG. LUG was compared to 817 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LUG. These ratings could make LUG a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LUG was profitable.
  • In the past year LUG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • LUG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • LUG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LUG (41.91%) is better than 98.29% of its industry peers.
  • LUG's Return On Equity of 51.96% is amongst the best of the industry. LUG outperforms 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of LUG (45.27%) is better than 99.88% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUG is significantly above the industry average of 11.97%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (22.93%) for LUG is below the current ROIC(45.27%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROIC 45.27%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
LUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUG.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of LUG (42.98%) is better than 97.92% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 60.07%, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 66.84%, LUG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUG has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
LUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUG.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LUG is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LUG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LUG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUG.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
LUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUG.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 43.39 indicates that LUG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 43.39, LUG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LUG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 43.39
ROIC/WACC4.46
WACC10.14%
LUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUG.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.23 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • LUG has a Current ratio of 3.23. This is in the better half of the industry: LUG outperforms 63.89% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.88 indicates that LUG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.88, LUG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
LUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUG.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 111.11% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 18.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has grown by 53.38% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, LUG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LUG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 3.31% on average per year.
  • LUG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y82.61%
EPS Next 2Y45.33%
EPS Next 3Y27.24%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue Next Year45.74%
Revenue Next 2Y29.87%
Revenue Next 3Y18.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
LUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUG.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • LUG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.56.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LUG to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.94), we can say LUG is valued inline with the index average.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.58 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LUG.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LUG is valued cheaper than 89.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.94. LUG is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.56
Fwd PE 23.58
LUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUG.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 91.92% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 95.23% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 18.78
LUG.CA Per share dataLUG.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LUG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LUG may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • LUG's earnings are expected to grow with 27.24% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.33%
EPS Next 3Y27.24%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • LUG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.64, LUG pays a better dividend. On top of this LUG pays more dividend than 97.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • LUG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%

5.2 History

  • LUG has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
  • LUG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
LUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareLUG.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • LUG pays out 75.50% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP75.5%
EPS Next 2Y45.33%
EPS Next 3Y27.24%
LUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLUG.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M
LUG.CA Dividend Payout.LUG.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LUG.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

LUNDIN GOLD INC

TSX:LUG (1/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

121

+5.03 (+4.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)02-19
Inst Owners27.15%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap29.21B
Revenue(TTM)1.60B
Net Income(TTM)686.95M
Analysts52.63
Price Target102.28 (-15.47%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP75.5%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.89%
Min EPS beat(2)17.27%
Max EPS beat(2)20.52%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)13.49%
Min EPS beat(4)7.12%
Max EPS beat(4)20.52%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.29%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.76%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.76%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.82%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.31%
PT rev (1m)5.96%
PT rev (3m)48.19%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.56
Fwd PE 23.58
P/S 13.16
P/FCF 27.03
P/OCF 24.44
P/B 15.91
P/tB 15.91
EV/EBITDA 18.78
EPS(TTM)3.96
EY3.27%
EPS(NY)5.13
Fwd EY4.24%
FCF(TTM)4.48
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)4.95
OCFY4.09%
SpS9.19
BVpS7.6
TBVpS7.6
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 41.91%
ROE 51.96%
ROCE 69.57%
ROIC 45.27%
ROICexc 70.54%
ROICexgc 70.54%
OM 60.07%
PM (TTM) 42.98%
GM 66.84%
FCFM 48.7%
ROA(3y)14.84%
ROA(5y)10.91%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)22.93%
ROIC(5y)18.45%
ROICexc(3y)30.94%
ROICexc(5y)24.1%
ROICexgc(3y)30.94%
ROICexgc(5y)24.1%
ROCE(3y)35.24%
ROCE(5y)28.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y30%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y5.36%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y5.75%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.72%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 61.78%
Cap/Sales 5.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.71%
Profit Quality 113.29%
Current Ratio 3.23
Quick Ratio 2.88
Altman-Z 43.39
F-Score7
WACC10.14%
ROIC/WACC4.46
Cap/Depr(3y)45.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.61%
Profit Quality(3y)301.9%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)111.11%
EPS 3Y18.19%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.57%
EPS Next Y82.61%
EPS Next 2Y45.33%
EPS Next 3Y27.24%
EPS Next 5Y3.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.38%
Revenue growth 3Y17.61%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%38.39%
Revenue Next Year45.74%
Revenue Next 2Y29.87%
Revenue Next 3Y18.58%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y89%
EBIT growth 3Y23.92%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year59.17%
EBIT Next 3Y28.43%
EBIT Next 5Y5.08%
FCF growth 1Y52.54%
FCF growth 3Y17.15%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.62%
OCF growth 3Y16.61%
OCF growth 5YN/A

LUNDIN GOLD INC / LUG.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LUG.CA.


What is the valuation status for LUG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of LUG stock?

LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LUG stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is 30.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.91.


What is the earnings growth outlook for LUNDIN GOLD INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUNDIN GOLD INC (LUG.CA) is expected to grow by 82.61% in the next year.