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LUCA MINING CORP (LUCA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX-V:LUCA - TSX Venture Exchange - CA54929M1068 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

1.16  +0.03 (+2.65%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to LUCA. LUCA was compared to 822 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While LUCA is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. LUCA is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUCA had positive earnings in the past year.
LUCA had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LUCA reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: LUCA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
LUCA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUCA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

LUCA has a Return On Assets of 2.88%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LUCA outperforms 89.33% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.83%, LUCA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.88%
ROE 5.83%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)3.7%
ROA(5y)-13.64%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
LUCA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUCA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of LUCA (5.25%) is better than 91.88% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 13.36%, LUCA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.79% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUCA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 5.25%
GM 13.36%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y44.71%
LUCA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUCA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LUCA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, LUCA has more shares outstanding
LUCA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LUCA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LUCA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUCA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M
LUCA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUCA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

2.2 Solvency

LUCA has an Altman-Z score of 2.27. This is not the best score and indicates that LUCA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LUCA (2.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23 indicates that LUCA is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.23, LUCA is doing worse than 65.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.27
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.48%
LUCA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUCA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

LUCA has a Current Ratio of 0.76. This is a bad value and indicates that LUCA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LUCA (0.76) is worse than 61.70% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that LUCA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LUCA's Quick ratio of 0.57 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LUCA is outperformed by 63.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.57
LUCA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUCA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LUCA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 107.35%, which is quite impressive.
LUCA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.57%.
The Revenue has been growing by 16.05% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)107.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%55.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.57%
Revenue growth 3Y43.39%
Revenue growth 5Y16.05%
Sales Q2Q%19.72%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.21% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, LUCA will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 26.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y100%
EPS Next 2Y53.74%
EPS Next 3Y33.21%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-30%
Revenue Next 2Y26.05%
Revenue Next 3Y26.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LUCA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUCA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
LUCA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUCA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.2 0.4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 58.00, the valuation of LUCA can be described as expensive.
LUCA's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUCA is cheaper than 87.64% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LUCA to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.35), we can say LUCA is valued expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.71 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LUCA.
88.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LUCA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.10, LUCA is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 58
Fwd PE 28.71
LUCA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUCA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LUCA is valued cheaper than 87.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3098.32
LUCA.CA Per share dataLUCA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.1 0.2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LUCA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
LUCA's earnings are expected to grow with 33.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y53.74%
EPS Next 3Y33.21%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUCA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LUCA MINING CORP

TSX-V:LUCA (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.16

+0.03 (+2.65%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-26 2024-11-26
Earnings (Next)04-28 2025-04-28
Inst Owners0.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.22%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap274.47M
Analysts80
Price Target1.27 (9.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)25%
PT rev (3m)-43.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)-100%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-44.84%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 58
Fwd PE 28.71
P/S 3.87
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 4.3
P/tB 4.3
EV/EBITDA 3098.32
EPS(TTM)0.02
EY1.72%
EPS(NY)0.04
Fwd EY3.48%
FCF(TTM)-0.05
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS0.3
BVpS0.27
TBVpS0.27
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.88%
ROE 5.83%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 5.25%
GM 13.36%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.7%
ROA(5y)-13.64%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y44.71%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 151.25
Cap/Depr 135.91%
Cap/Sales 6.03%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.76
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 2.27
F-Score6
WACC9.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)1173.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)22.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)107.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%55.21%
EPS Next Y100%
EPS Next 2Y53.74%
EPS Next 3Y33.21%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.57%
Revenue growth 3Y43.39%
Revenue growth 5Y16.05%
Sales Q2Q%19.72%
Revenue Next Year-30%
Revenue Next 2Y26.05%
Revenue Next 3Y26.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y75.32%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year793.38%
EBIT Next 3Y107.14%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-3.57%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-195.87%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A