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LUCARA DIAMOND CORP (LUC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:LUC - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA54928Q1081 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

0.37  +0.01 (+2.78%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, LUC scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LUC was compared to 799 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. LUC has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. LUC may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LUC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LUC had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LUC reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years LUC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
LUC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLUC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

LUC's Return On Assets of 6.04% is amongst the best of the industry. LUC outperforms 92.12% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LUC (14.68%) is better than 94.37% of its industry peers.
LUC's Return On Invested Capital of 8.00% is amongst the best of the industry. LUC outperforms 93.99% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LUC is significantly below the industry average of 24.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.04%
ROE 14.68%
ROIC 8%
ROA(3y)3.56%
ROA(5y)1.72%
ROE(3y)7.1%
ROE(5y)3.65%
ROIC(3y)8.11%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LUC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLUC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 19.57%, LUC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LUC has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of LUC (32.65%) is better than 96.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LUC has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 41.42%, LUC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.49% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LUC has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.65%
PM (TTM) 19.57%
GM 41.42%
OM growth 3Y11.78%
OM growth 5Y23.36%
PM growth 3Y23.69%
PM growth 5Y24.3%
GM growth 3Y8.27%
GM growth 5Y12.42%
LUC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLUC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LUC is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for LUC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LUC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
LUC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LUC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLUC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
LUC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLUC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

LUC has an Altman-Z score of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that LUC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LUC has a Altman-Z score (0.93) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73 indicates that LUC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.73, LUC is not doing good in the industry: 73.72% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.93
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC10.69%
LUC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLUC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

LUC has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that LUC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LUC has a Current ratio (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.93 indicates that LUC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.93, LUC is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.93
LUC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLUC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 260.00% over the past year.
LUC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.67% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LUC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.96% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.15% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)260%
EPS 3Y16.96%
EPS 5Y21.67%
EPS Q2Q%187.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.15%
Sales Q2Q%115.55%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LUC will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -20.55% on average per year.
LUC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.62%
EPS Next 2Y-20.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year26.86%
Revenue Next 2Y3.37%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LUC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLUC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
LUC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLUC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.1 0.2

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 3.36, the valuation of LUC can be described as very cheap.
LUC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUC is cheaper than 98.00% of the companies in the same industry.
LUC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.94 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LUC.
LUC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUC is cheaper than 98.50% of the companies in the same industry.
LUC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.36
Fwd PE 2.94
LUC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLUC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

LUC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LUC is cheaper than 97.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.85
LUC.CA Per share dataLUC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
LUC has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as LUC's earnings are expected to decrease with -20.55% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.16
EPS Next 2Y-20.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LUC does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LUCARA DIAMOND CORP

TSX:LUC (4/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.37

+0.01 (+2.78%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Earnings (Next)05-12 2025-05-12
Inst Owners14.81%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap167.59M
Analysts45.71
Price Target0.51 (37.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)246.54%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)593.07%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)79.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-149.5%
Max EPS beat(4)593.07%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-35.02%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-13.23%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.36
Fwd PE 2.94
P/S 0.59
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.15
P/B 0.45
P/tB 0.45
EV/EBITDA 3.85
EPS(TTM)0.11
EY29.73%
EPS(NY)0.13
Fwd EY33.98%
FCF(TTM)-0.12
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.17
OCFY46.47%
SpS0.62
BVpS0.83
TBVpS0.83
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)0.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.04%
ROE 14.68%
ROCE 11.12%
ROIC 8%
ROICexc 8.32%
ROICexgc 8.32%
OM 32.65%
PM (TTM) 19.57%
GM 41.42%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.56%
ROA(5y)1.72%
ROE(3y)7.1%
ROE(5y)3.65%
ROIC(3y)8.11%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.49%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.26%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.47%
OM growth 3Y11.78%
OM growth 5Y23.36%
PM growth 3Y23.69%
PM growth 5Y24.3%
GM growth 3Y8.27%
GM growth 5Y12.42%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.73
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.37
Cap/Depr 548.23%
Cap/Sales 46.63%
Interest Coverage 3.23
Cash Conversion 67.1%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.93
Altman-Z 0.93
F-Score7
WACC10.69%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)553.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)384.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.44%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)260%
EPS 3Y16.96%
EPS 5Y21.67%
EPS Q2Q%187.5%
EPS Next Y13.62%
EPS Next 2Y-20.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.15%
Sales Q2Q%115.55%
Revenue Next Year26.86%
Revenue Next 2Y3.37%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y84.75%
EBIT growth 3Y7.36%
EBIT growth 5Y24.79%
EBIT Next Year128.57%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y26.07%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.14%
OCF growth 3Y-12.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.36%