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LOTTOMATICA GROUP SPA (LTMC.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:LTMC - Euronext Milan - IT0005541336 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

16.36  -0.15 (-0.91%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, LTMC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LTMC was compared to 55 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. LTMC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. LTMC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LTMC had positive earnings in the past year.
LTMC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LTMC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLTMC.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

LTMC has a Return On Assets of 1.55%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LTMC outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.95%, LTMC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.09% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of LTMC (7.00%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LTMC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.08%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.55%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.00%) for LTMC is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.55%
ROE 10.95%
ROIC 7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LTMC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLTMC.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100 150 200

1.3 Margins

LTMC's Profit Margin of 2.79% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LTMC outperforms 47.27% of its industry peers.
LTMC's Operating Margin of 18.40% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LTMC outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 40.86%, LTMC is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LTMC has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.4%
PM (TTM) 2.79%
GM 40.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.89%
GM growth 5YN/A
LTMC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLTMC.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LTMC is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LTMC has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LTMC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
LTMC.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingLTMC.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LTMC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLTMC.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.72, we must say that LTMC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
LTMC's Altman-Z score of 1.72 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LTMC outperforms 58.18% of its industry peers.
LTMC has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.64. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as LTMC would need 6.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LTMC has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.64) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.23 is on the high side and indicates that LTMC has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LTMC (4.23) is worse than 65.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.23
Debt/FCF 6.64
Altman-Z 1.72
ROIC/WACC1.08
WACC6.5%
LTMC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLTMC.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.66 indicates that LTMC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.66, LTMC is not doing good in the industry: 65.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that LTMC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.65, LTMC is not doing good in the industry: 63.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.66
Quick Ratio 0.65
LTMC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLTMC.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LTMC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -66.46%.
LTMC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.37%.
The Revenue has been growing by 62.53% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.37%
Revenue growth 3Y62.53%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%29.54%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.15% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, LTMC will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.36%
EPS Next 2Y23.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y19.15%
Revenue Next Year21.24%
Revenue Next 2Y17.47%
Revenue Next 3Y13.95%
Revenue Next 5Y9.26%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
LTMC.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLTMC.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
LTMC.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLTMC.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LTMC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 77.90.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LTMC is on the same level as its industry peers.
LTMC is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.68, the valuation of LTMC can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LTMC indicates a rather cheap valuation: LTMC is cheaper than 87.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.10, LTMC is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 77.9
Fwd PE 11.68
LTMC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLTMC.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

LTMC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
67.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LTMC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.23
EV/EBITDA 10.35
LTMC.MI Per share dataLTMC.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LTMC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LTMC's earnings are expected to grow with 21.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)5.83
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.82%, LTMC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
LTMC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.93.
LTMC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.82%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

130.20% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LTMC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP130.2%
EPS Next 2Y23.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
LTMC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLTMC.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M
LTMC.MI Dividend Payout.LTMC.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LTMC.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LOTTOMATICA GROUP SPA

BIT:LTMC (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

16.36

-0.15 (-0.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2025-02-26
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners23.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners41.95%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.12B
Analysts87
Price Target20.13 (23.04%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.82%
Yearly Dividend0.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP130.2%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)22.94%
PT rev (3m)25.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.58%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.2%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 77.9
Fwd PE 11.68
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 13.23
P/OCF 8.37
P/B 8.72
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.35
EPS(TTM)0.21
EY1.28%
EPS(NY)1.4
Fwd EY8.56%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY7.56%
OCF(TTM)1.95
OCFY11.94%
SpS7.37
BVpS1.88
TBVpS-8.87
PEG (NY)5.83
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.55%
ROE 10.95%
ROCE 12.41%
ROIC 7%
ROICexc 7.48%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 18.4%
PM (TTM) 2.79%
GM 40.86%
FCFM 16.78%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.46%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.89%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.23
Debt/FCF 6.64
Debt/EBITDA 3.46
Cap/Depr 76.59%
Cap/Sales 9.73%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 85.23%
Profit Quality 602.35%
Current Ratio 0.66
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 1.72
F-Score4
WACC6.5%
ROIC/WACC1.08
Cap/Depr(3y)52.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)6.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%14.39%
EPS Next Y13.36%
EPS Next 2Y23.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y19.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.37%
Revenue growth 3Y62.53%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%29.54%
Revenue Next Year21.24%
Revenue Next 2Y17.47%
Revenue Next 3Y13.95%
Revenue Next 5Y9.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-36.55%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year65.55%
EBIT Next 3Y29.49%
EBIT Next 5Y18.7%
FCF growth 1Y-11.42%
FCF growth 3Y34.64%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-1.09%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5YN/A