LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:LTC - US5021751020 - REIT
36.49 USD
-0.1 (-0.27%)
36.49 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LTC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated LTC against 128 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. While LTC belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. LTC has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LTC was profitable.
In the past year LTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LTC has been profitable.
LTC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LTC has a Return On Assets of 1.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: LTC outperforms 60.94% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LTC (3.47%) is better than 60.94% of its industry peers.
LTC's Return On Invested Capital of 3.24% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LTC outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LTC is above the industry average of 3.06%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.62% | ||
| ROE | 3.47% | ||
| ROIC | 3.24% |
ROA(3y)5.29%
ROA(5y)5.21%
ROE(3y)10.51%
ROE(5y)10.28%
ROIC(3y)5.29%
ROIC(5y)4.97%
1.3 Margins
LTC has a Profit Margin of 14.37%. This is in the better half of the industry: LTC outperforms 65.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LTC has remained more or less at the same level.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 35.30%, LTC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.66% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LTC has remained more or less at the same level.
LTC's Gross Margin of 83.40% is amongst the best of the industry. LTC outperforms 83.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LTC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 35.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.37% | ||
| GM | 83.4% |
OM growth 3Y7.44%
OM growth 5Y1.11%
PM growth 3Y6.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.08%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LTC is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LTC has more shares outstanding
LTC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LTC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that LTC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.05, LTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.13% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99 indicates that LTC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
LTC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.99. This is in the better half of the industry: LTC outperforms 61.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.99 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC7.18%
2.3 Liquidity
LTC has a Current Ratio of 1.11. This is a normal value and indicates that LTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.11, LTC is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.69% of the companies in the same industry.
LTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.11. This is a normal value and indicates that LTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.11, LTC is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.47% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LTC have decreased strongly by -60.09% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.48% on average over the past years.
LTC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.70%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.09%
EPS 3Y13.29%
EPS 5Y-0.48%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.7%
Revenue growth 3Y10.55%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%11.66%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.52% on average over the next years.
LTC is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.86% yearly.
EPS Next Y-21.54%
EPS Next 2Y-1.63%
EPS Next 3Y-2.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-26.69%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LTC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 39.24.
LTC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LTC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say LTC is valued slightly more expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.40 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LTC.
LTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LTC is cheaper than 96.09% of the companies in the same industry.
LTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 36.59.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LTC indicates a rather expensive valuation: LTC more expensive than 85.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LTC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as LTC's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.63%
EPS Next 3Y-2.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LTC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.23%, which is a nice return.
LTC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.38.
LTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.23% |
5.2 History
The dividend of LTC decreases each year by -0.14%.
LTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LTC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years22
5.3 Sustainability
318.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LTC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of LTC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP318.68%
EPS Next 2Y-1.63%
EPS Next 3Y-2.52%
36.49
-0.1 (-0.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners79.46%
Inst Owner Change5.63%
Ins Owners2.07%
Ins Owner Change2.66%
Market Cap1.74B
Revenue(TTM)231.14M
Net Income(TTM)33.22M
Analysts68.33
Price Target38.76 (6.22%)
Short Float %4.17%
Short Ratio4.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.23% |
Yearly Dividend2.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.14%
DP318.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-139.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-242.37%
Max EPS beat(2)-36.01%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-75.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-242.37%
Max EPS beat(4)-2.72%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-29.31%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-18.76%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.52%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)78.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)71.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)85.81%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)56.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)25.77%
Max Revenue beat(4)85.81%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)31.69%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)26.66%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)28.87%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)0.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-31.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-36.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.4 | ||
| P/S | 7.27 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.8 | ||
| P/B | 1.76 | ||
| P/tB | 1.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.93
EY2.55%
EPS(NY)1.98
Fwd EY5.44%
FCF(TTM)-3.2
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.81%
SpS5.02
BVpS20.79
TBVpS20.65
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number20.86
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.62% | ||
| ROE | 3.47% | ||
| ROCE | 4.1% | ||
| ROIC | 3.24% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.28% | ||
| OM | 35.3% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.37% | ||
| GM | 83.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)5.29%
ROA(5y)5.21%
ROE(3y)10.51%
ROE(5y)10.28%
ROIC(3y)5.29%
ROIC(5y)4.97%
ROICexc(3y)5.33%
ROICexc(5y)5%
ROICexgc(3y)5.34%
ROICexgc(5y)5.01%
ROCE(3y)6.69%
ROCE(5y)6.29%
ROICexgc growth 3Y12.51%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.41%
OM growth 3Y7.44%
OM growth 5Y1.11%
PM growth 3Y6.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.08%
GM growth 3Y1.37%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.11
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.99 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 771.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 120.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 111.58% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
F-Score3
WACC7.18%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)114.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.19%
Profit Quality(3y)75.06%
Profit Quality(5y)92.31%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.09%
EPS 3Y13.29%
EPS 5Y-0.48%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
EPS Next Y-21.54%
EPS Next 2Y-1.63%
EPS Next 3Y-2.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.7%
Revenue growth 3Y10.55%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%11.66%
Revenue Next Year-26.69%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.86%
EBIT growth 3Y18.78%
EBIT growth 5Y3.65%
EBIT Next Year74.89%
EBIT Next 3Y24.15%
EBIT Next 5Y17.8%
FCF growth 1Y-351.76%
FCF growth 3Y9.4%
FCF growth 5Y22.26%
OCF growth 1Y17.57%
OCF growth 3Y11.13%
OCF growth 5Y0.43%
LTC PROPERTIES INC / LTC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for LTC PROPERTIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to LTC.
Can you provide the valuation status for LTC PROPERTIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of LTC stock?
LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) is expected to decline by -21.54% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) stock?
The dividend rating of LTC PROPERTIES INC (LTC) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 318.68%.