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LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX-V:LOU - CA54947L1067 - Common Stock

0.42 CAD
0 (0%)
Last: 3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 216 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LOU. These ratings could make LOU a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LOU had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOU had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years LOU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
LOU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 6.30%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.51%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: LOU outperforms 73.76% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOU is above the industry average of 6.93%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

LOU has a Profit Margin of 24.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
LOU has a Operating Margin of 31.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 83.26% of its industry peers.
LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.86%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
LOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LOU has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LOU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
LOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.39, LOU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.66% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOU is 0.28, which is an excellent value as it means it would take LOU, only 0.28 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.28, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LOU (0.00) is better than 80.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
LOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

LOU has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOU has a Current ratio of 2.64. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 83.71% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.64 indicates that LOU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.64, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
LOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LOU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.08%.
Measured over the past years, LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.39% in the last year.
LOU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, LOU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.49% on average per year.
LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
LOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.05 0.1

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.00 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 86.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.20. LOU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
LOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

LOU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOU is cheaper than 97.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LOU.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.74
EV/EBITDA 1.9
LOU.CA Per share dataLOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LOU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LOU does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LUCERO ENERGY CORP

TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.42

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-19 2025-03-19/amc
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 63.74
P/OCF 2.59
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 1.9
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROCE 8.58%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 7.09%
ROICexgc 7.09%
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
FCFM 2.58%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 197.11%
Cap/Sales 60.85%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 101.28%
Profit Quality 10.48%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%