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LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX Venture Exchange - TSX-V:LOU - CA54947L1067 - Common Stock

0.42 CAD
0 (0%)
Last: 3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 201 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. LOU scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. This makes LOU very considerable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LOU was profitable.
In the past year LOU had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LOU reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years LOU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.30%, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.33% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Return On Equity of 7.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
LOU's Return On Invested Capital of 6.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 73.76% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOU is above the industry average of 6.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 24.61%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 31.76%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.26% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.86%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
LOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LOU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
LOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LOU has a Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is in the better half of the industry: LOU outperforms 74.66% of its industry peers.
LOU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
LOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that LOU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LOU (2.64) is better than 83.71% of its industry peers.
LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOU's Quick ratio of 2.64 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
LOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LOU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -33.08%.
The earnings per share for LOU have been decreasing by -10.71% on average. This is quite bad
LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.39%.
Measured over the past years, LOU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
LOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.05 0.1

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.00, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
86.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
LOU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
LOU is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOU to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.23), we can say LOU is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
LOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LOU is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.74
EV/EBITDA 1.9
LOU.CA Per share dataLOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LOU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LOU does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LUCERO ENERGY CORP

TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.42

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-19 2025-03-19/amc
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Revenue(TTM)162.93M
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 63.74
P/OCF 2.59
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 1.9
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROCE 8.58%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 7.09%
ROICexgc 7.09%
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
FCFM 2.58%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 197.11%
Cap/Sales 60.85%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 101.28%
Profit Quality 10.48%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%

LUCERO ENERGY CORP / LOU.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LOU.CA.


What is the valuation status for LOU stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is LUCERO ENERGY CORP?

The financial health rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is expected to decline by -44.44% in the next year.