LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX-V:LOU - TSX Venture Exchange - CA54947L1067 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LOU is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! With these ratings, LOU could be worth investigating further for value and quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOU was profitable.
LOU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years LOU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years LOU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
LOU has a better Return On Assets (6.30%) than 87.33% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.51%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.20%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.76% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.00%. This is above the industry average of 7.31%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
LOU has a better Profit Margin (24.61%) than 88.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
LOU has a Operating Margin of 31.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 83.26% of its industry peers.
LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.86%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.39, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.66% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOU's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.28 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.54% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that LOU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.64, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.71% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.64 indicates that LOU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.64, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LOU have decreased strongly by -33.08% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% on average per year.
LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.39%.
LOU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOU will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.00 indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
LOU's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOU is cheaper than 86.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, LOU is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 5.10, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 87.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LOU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 35.33.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOU indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOU is cheaper than 97.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as LOU.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of LOU may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOU does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
0.42
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 | ||
| P/S | 1.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.59 | ||
| P/B | 0.5 | ||
| P/tB | 0.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROCE | 8.58% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.09% | ||
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% | ||
| FCFM | 2.58% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 197.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 60.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 10.48% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%