LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX-V:LOU • CA54947L1067

Current stock price

0.42 CAD
0 (0%)
Last:

This LOU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. LOU.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LOU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: LOU reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years LOU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LOU (6.30%) is better than 87.33% of its industry peers.
  • LOU's Return On Equity of 7.51% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • LOU's Return On Invested Capital of 6.20% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOU outperforms 73.76% of its industry peers.
  • LOU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.00%. This is above the industry average of 6.97%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
LOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 24.61%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 31.76%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • LOU has a Gross Margin of 81.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOU outperforms 94.57% of its industry peers.
  • LOU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
LOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

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8

2. LOU.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOU is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
LOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingLOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
LOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • LOU has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that LOU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LOU has a Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is in the better half of the industry: LOU outperforms 74.66% of its industry peers.
  • LOU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.28, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • LOU's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 80.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Altman-Z 2.39
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
LOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOU has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LOU (2.64) is better than 83.71% of its industry peers.
  • LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LOU (2.64) is better than 84.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
LOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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5

3. LOU.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for LOU have decreased strongly by -33.08% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.39% in the last year.
  • LOU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.49% on average per year.
  • LOU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
LOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
LOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.05 0.1

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7

4. LOU.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.00, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of LOU.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOU is valued cheaper than 86.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.64, LOU is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
  • LOU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOU is cheaper than 87.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, LOU is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
LOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LOU is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.74
EV/EBITDA 1.9
LOU.CA Per share dataLOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LOU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOU.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for LOU!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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LOU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

LUCERO ENERGY CORP

TSX-V:LOU (3/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.42

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength86.61
Industry Growth44.78
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)03-19
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Revenue(TTM)162.93M
Net Income(TTM)40.10M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 63.74
P/OCF 2.59
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 1.9
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.3%
ROE 7.51%
ROCE 8.58%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 7.09%
ROICexgc 7.09%
OM 31.76%
PM (TTM) 24.61%
GM 81.86%
FCFM 2.58%
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.28
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 197.11%
Cap/Sales 60.85%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 101.28%
Profit Quality 10.48%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 2.39
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%

LUCERO ENERGY CORP / LOU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to LOU.CA.


What is the valuation status for LOU stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of LOU stock?

LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is 7 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.5.


What is the expected EPS growth for LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) is expected to decline by -44.44% in the next year.