LUCERO ENERGY CORP (LOU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX-V:LOU - TSX Venture Exchange - CA54947L1067 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LOU. LOU was compared to 219 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. LOU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LOU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings could make LOU a good candidate for value and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOU was profitable.
LOU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years LOU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
LOU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LOU's Return On Assets of 6.30% is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 86.88% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 7.51%, LOU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.20%, LOU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOU is above the industry average of 7.60%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
LOU's Profit Margin of 24.61% is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOU has remained more or less at the same level.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 31.76%, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOU has a better Gross Margin (81.86%) than 94.57% of its industry peers.
LOU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOU has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for LOU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LOU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that LOU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LOU has a better Altman-Z score (2.39) than 75.11% of its industry peers.
LOU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.28. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.28, LOU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.38% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.74%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that LOU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.64, LOU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that LOU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
LOU's Quick ratio of 2.64 is amongst the best of the industry. LOU outperforms 85.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for LOU have decreased strongly by -33.08% in the last year.
LOU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.71% yearly.
LOU shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.39%.
Measured over the past years, LOU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.32% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOU is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.00.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
LOU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.10, the valuation of LOU can be described as very cheap.
86.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOU, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
LOU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 |
4.2 Price Multiples
LOU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOU is cheaper than 97.29% of the companies in the same industry.
LOU's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of LOU may justify a higher PE ratio.
LOU's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOU!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX-V:LOU (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
0.42
+0.02 (+5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0.23%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners26.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.82M
Analysts80
Price Target0.56 (33.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-27.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.91%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-30.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.1 | ||
| P/S | 1.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 63.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.59 | ||
| P/B | 0.5 | ||
| P/tB | 0.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY14.29%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY19.62%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)0.16
OCFY38.59%
SpS0.26
BVpS0.84
TBVpS0.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.3% | ||
| ROE | 7.51% | ||
| ROCE | 8.58% | ||
| ROIC | 6.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.09% | ||
| OM | 31.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.61% | ||
| GM | 81.86% | ||
| FCFM | 2.58% |
ROA(3y)7.67%
ROA(5y)2.65%
ROE(3y)9.63%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)10%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.73%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.84%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.84%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-0.39%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 197.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 60.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 10.48% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score6
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)152.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)203%
Cap/Sales(3y)40.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)66.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-33.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.71%
EPS Q2Q%-50%
EPS Next Y-44.44%
EPS Next 2Y-5.72%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.47%
Revenue growth 5Y17.44%
Sales Q2Q%-31.27%
Revenue Next Year12.58%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y19.16%
EBIT Next Year63.73%
EBIT Next 3Y48.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-93.4%
FCF growth 3Y10%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-30.22%
OCF growth 3Y25.01%
OCF growth 5Y14.49%