GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:LOPE • US38526M1062

Current stock price

164.41 USD
+0.39 (+0.24%)
At close:
164.41 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This LOPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. LOPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LOPE (21.78%) is better than 97.26% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE's Return On Equity of 28.94% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 89.04% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 26.62%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.88%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (26.62%) for LOPE is above the 3 year average (24.48%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROIC 26.62%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • LOPE has a better Profit Margin (19.54%) than 93.15% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 27.42%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of LOPE (53.19%) is better than 64.38% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOPE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

10

2. LOPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOPE is creating value.
  • LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 17.15 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LOPE has a Altman-Z score of 17.15. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 17.15
ROIC/WACC2.99
WACC8.9%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.65 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • LOPE's Current ratio of 3.65 is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 93.15% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LOPE's Quick ratio of 3.65 is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 93.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

5

3. LOPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.92%, which is quite good.
  • LOPE shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.21% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.07% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.10% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.32% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

5

4. LOPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.09.
  • 63.01% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LOPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.73), we can say LOPE is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.20 indicates a correct valuation of LOPE.
  • LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 67.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.72, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.09
Fwd PE 16.2
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 63.01% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • LOPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 68.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.7
EV/EBITDA 11.55
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)1.77
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. LOPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LOPE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

LOPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (3/19/2026, 8:12:37 PM)

After market: 164.41 0 (0%)

164.41

+0.39 (+0.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners104.06%
Inst Owner Change6.2%
Ins Owners2.24%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap4.46B
Revenue(TTM)1.11B
Net Income(TTM)216.17M
Analysts85
Price Target217.26 (32.15%)
Short Float %4.16%
Short Ratio3.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.47%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.09%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)-4.34%
PT rev (3m)-7.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.09
Fwd PE 16.2
P/S 4.03
P/FCF 18.7
P/OCF 16.32
P/B 5.97
P/tB 10.27
EV/EBITDA 11.55
EPS(TTM)9.09
EY5.53%
EPS(NY)10.15
Fwd EY6.17%
FCF(TTM)8.79
FCFY5.35%
OCF(TTM)10.08
OCFY6.13%
SpS40.75
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.01
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)1.77
Graham Number75.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROCE 34.37%
ROIC 26.62%
ROICexc 40.33%
ROICexgc 86.96%
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 21.57%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
ROICexc(3y)36.65%
ROICexc(5y)37.01%
ROICexgc(3y)81.07%
ROICexgc(5y)90.43%
ROCE(3y)31.61%
ROCE(5y)30.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.35%
ROICexgc growth 5Y35.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.5%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 87.47%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.68%
Profit Quality 110.37%
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
Altman-Z 17.15
F-Score7
WACC8.9%
ROIC/WACC2.99
Cap/Depr(3y)110.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)233.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.98%
Profit Quality(3y)106.2%
Profit Quality(5y)90.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.95%
EBIT growth 3Y8.5%
EBIT growth 5Y1.8%
EBIT Next Year33.46%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.43%
FCF growth 3Y8.81%
FCF growth 5Y3.19%
OCF growth 1Y-5.68%
OCF growth 3Y7.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.4%

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC / LOPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LOPE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LOPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) stock?

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LOPE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is expected to grow by 11.65% in the next year.