GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:LOPE • US38526M1062

Current stock price

163.41 USD
-5.66 (-3.35%)
At close:
163.41 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This LOPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. LOPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LOPE was profitable.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LOPE has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years LOPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 21.78%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOPE has a Return On Equity of 28.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 90.41% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of LOPE (26.62%) is better than 95.89% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.48%. This is significantly above the industry average of 15.24%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (26.62%) for LOPE is above the 3 year average (24.48%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROIC 26.62%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • LOPE has a better Profit Margin (19.54%) than 91.78% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • LOPE's Operating Margin of 27.42% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 95.89% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 53.19%, LOPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOPE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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10

2. LOPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • LOPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • LOPE has an Altman-Z score of 17.49. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of LOPE (17.49) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 17.49
ROIC/WACC2.95
WACC9.03%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.65, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • LOPE has a Quick ratio of 3.65. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 93.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. LOPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.42%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.21% on average per year.
  • LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.07%.
  • LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.42%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%11.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.22%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.61%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. LOPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.42, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LOPE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOPE is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of LOPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.64), we can say LOPE is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.27, LOPE is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • LOPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.36, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.42
Fwd PE 14.27
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • LOPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than 71.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.59
EV/EBITDA 11.95
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOPE's earnings are expected to grow with 12.26% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)1.71
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LOPE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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LOPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (5/1/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 163.41 0 (0%)

163.41

-5.66 (-3.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Industry Strength10.56
Industry Growth63.35
Earnings (Last)04-30
Earnings (Next)08-04
Inst Owners104.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.29%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap4.43B
Revenue(TTM)1.11B
Net Income(TTM)216.17M
Analysts85
Price Target217.26 (32.95%)
Short Float %4.64%
Short Ratio4.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.47%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.09%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.42
Fwd PE 14.27
P/S 4.01
P/FCF 18.59
P/OCF 16.22
P/B 5.94
P/tB 10.2
EV/EBITDA 11.95
EPS(TTM)9.38
EY5.74%
EPS(NY)11.45
Fwd EY7.01%
FCF(TTM)8.79
FCFY5.38%
OCF(TTM)10.08
OCFY6.17%
SpS40.75
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.01
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)1.71
Graham Number76.2129 (-53.36%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROCE 34.37%
ROIC 26.62%
ROICexc 40.33%
ROICexgc 86.96%
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 21.57%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
ROICexc(3y)36.65%
ROICexc(5y)37.01%
ROICexgc(3y)81.07%
ROICexgc(5y)90.43%
ROCE(3y)31.61%
ROCE(5y)30.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.35%
ROICexgc growth 5Y35.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.5%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 87.47%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.68%
Profit Quality 110.37%
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
Altman-Z 17.49
F-Score7
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC2.95
Cap/Depr(3y)110.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)233.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.98%
Profit Quality(3y)106.2%
Profit Quality(5y)90.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.42%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%11.28%
EPS Next Y13.22%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%6.72%
Revenue Next Year6.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.61%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.95%
EBIT growth 3Y8.5%
EBIT growth 5Y1.8%
EBIT Next Year33.46%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.43%
FCF growth 3Y8.81%
FCF growth 5Y3.19%
OCF growth 1Y-5.68%
OCF growth 3Y7.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.4%

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC / LOPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LOPE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LOPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is 17.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.94.


How financially healthy is GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

The financial health rating of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is 10 / 10.