GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:LOPE • US38526M1062

Current stock price

162.45 USD
-1.96 (-1.19%)
At close:
162.45 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This LOPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. LOPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year LOPE was profitable.
  • In the past year LOPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • LOPE had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 21.78%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOPE's Return On Equity of 28.94% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 89.04% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 26.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.26% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (24.48%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(26.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROIC 26.62%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • LOPE's Profit Margin of 19.54% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 93.15% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • LOPE has a better Operating Margin (27.42%) than 97.26% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • LOPE's Gross Margin of 53.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOPE outperforms 63.01% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOPE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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10

2. LOPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
  • LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • LOPE has an Altman-Z score of 17.05. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LOPE has a better Altman-Z score (17.05) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 17.05
ROIC/WACC2.95
WACC9.03%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LOPE (3.65) is better than 93.15% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.65 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LOPE (3.65) is better than 93.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. LOPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.92%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.21% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.07%.
  • Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.10% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. LOPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.87, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LOPE.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.01 indicates a correct valuation of LOPE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 65.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.42, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.87
Fwd PE 16.01
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 63.01% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.48
EV/EBITDA 11.42
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • LOPE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)1.75
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for LOPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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LOPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (3/20/2026, 8:06:17 PM)

After market: 162.45 0 (0%)

162.45

-1.96 (-1.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners104.06%
Inst Owner Change6.2%
Ins Owners2.24%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap4.41B
Revenue(TTM)1.11B
Net Income(TTM)216.17M
Analysts85
Price Target217.26 (33.74%)
Short Float %4.16%
Short Ratio3.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.47%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.09%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)-4.34%
PT rev (3m)-7.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.87
Fwd PE 16.01
P/S 3.99
P/FCF 18.48
P/OCF 16.12
P/B 5.9
P/tB 10.14
EV/EBITDA 11.42
EPS(TTM)9.09
EY5.6%
EPS(NY)10.15
Fwd EY6.25%
FCF(TTM)8.79
FCFY5.41%
OCF(TTM)10.08
OCFY6.2%
SpS40.75
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.01
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)1.75
Graham Number75.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROCE 34.37%
ROIC 26.62%
ROICexc 40.33%
ROICexgc 86.96%
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 21.57%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
ROICexc(3y)36.65%
ROICexc(5y)37.01%
ROICexgc(3y)81.07%
ROICexgc(5y)90.43%
ROCE(3y)31.61%
ROCE(5y)30.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.35%
ROICexgc growth 5Y35.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.5%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 87.47%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.68%
Profit Quality 110.37%
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
Altman-Z 17.05
F-Score7
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC2.95
Cap/Depr(3y)110.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)233.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.98%
Profit Quality(3y)106.2%
Profit Quality(5y)90.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.95%
EBIT growth 3Y8.5%
EBIT growth 5Y1.8%
EBIT Next Year33.46%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.43%
FCF growth 3Y8.81%
FCF growth 5Y3.19%
OCF growth 1Y-5.68%
OCF growth 3Y7.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.4%

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC / LOPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LOPE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LOPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) stock?

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LOPE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is expected to grow by 11.65% in the next year.