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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

181.7  -5.57 (-2.97%)

After market: 181.7 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LOPE. LOPE was compared to 71 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. LOPE has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
LOPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 22.67%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has a better Return On Equity (29.45%) than 90.63% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 24.11%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 22.70%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.02%.
The 3 year average ROIC (22.70%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(24.11%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.67%
ROE 29.45%
ROIC 24.11%
ROA(3y)21.83%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)27.47%
ROE(5y)23.34%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)18.75%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

LOPE's Profit Margin of 22.09% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 95.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
LOPE has a better Operating Margin (26.92%) than 98.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOPE has declined.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 52.66%, LOPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.92%
PM (TTM) 22.09%
GM 52.66%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-4.53%
PM growth 3Y-11.2%
PM growth 5Y-4.66%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

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9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LOPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

LOPE has an Altman-Z score of 19.97. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LOPE (19.97) is better than 96.88% of its industry peers.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 19.97
ROIC/WACC2.29
WACC10.55%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.69 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LOPE has a Current ratio of 3.69. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 85.94% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.69 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LOPE (3.69) is better than 85.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.69
Quick Ratio 3.69
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.35% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.60% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.35%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%6.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.13%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y11.12%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.18%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

LOPE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.57.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.31 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 64.06% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.57
Fwd PE 20.31
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 64.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.79
EV/EBITDA 16.76
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates LOPE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)2.97
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LOPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (2/21/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 181.7 0 (0%)

181.7

-5.57 (-2.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners97.93%
Inst Owner Change0.06%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.1%
Market Cap5.30B
Analysts86.67
Price Target183.26 (0.86%)
Short Float %0.92%
Short Ratio1.96
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.29%
Max EPS beat(2)13.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.81%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.47%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.41%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.15%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.61%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.57
Fwd PE 20.31
P/S 5.2
P/FCF 22.79
P/OCF 19.58
P/B 6.93
P/tB 12
EV/EBITDA 16.76
EPS(TTM)8.05
EY4.43%
EPS(NY)8.95
Fwd EY4.92%
FCF(TTM)7.97
FCFY4.39%
OCF(TTM)9.28
OCFY5.11%
SpS34.95
BVpS26.21
TBVpS15.14
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)2.97
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.67%
ROE 29.45%
ROCE 30.94%
ROIC 24.11%
ROICexc 34.32%
ROICexgc 71.25%
OM 26.92%
PM (TTM) 22.09%
GM 52.66%
FCFM 22.81%
ROA(3y)21.83%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)27.47%
ROE(5y)23.34%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)18.75%
ROICexc(3y)36.17%
ROICexc(5y)27.54%
ROICexgc(3y)94.99%
ROICexgc(5y)64.72%
ROCE(3y)29.13%
ROCE(5y)24.07%
ROICexcg growth 3Y56.82%
ROICexcg growth 5Y29.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y30.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.04%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-4.53%
PM growth 3Y-11.2%
PM growth 5Y-4.66%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 106.95%
Cap/Sales 3.75%
Interest Coverage 27427.1
Cash Conversion 87.28%
Profit Quality 103.24%
Current Ratio 3.69
Quick Ratio 3.69
Altman-Z 19.97
F-Score8
WACC10.55%
ROIC/WACC2.29
Cap/Depr(3y)325.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)409.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.05%
Profit Quality(3y)77.66%
Profit Quality(5y)71.23%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.35%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%6.5%
EPS Next Y11.12%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.13%
Revenue Next Year6.18%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y13.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.5%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.05%
EBIT Next Year32.74%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y28.75%
FCF growth 3Y-0.94%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y26.01%
OCF growth 3Y-7.59%
OCF growth 5Y4.12%