GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:LOPE - US38526M1062 - Common Stock
211.6 USD
+3.19 (+1.53%)
211.6 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, LOPE scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. LOPE was compared to 77 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making LOPE a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. LOPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. With these ratings, LOPE could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOPE was profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LOPE (23.16%) is better than 97.40% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 30.40%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Return On Invested Capital of 25.17% is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 97.40% of its industry peers.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 24.24%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.48%.
The 3 year average ROIC (24.24%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(25.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 23.16% | ||
| ROE | 30.4% | ||
| ROIC | 25.17% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
1.3 Margins
LOPE has a Profit Margin of 22.15%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOPE outperforms 93.51% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LOPE (27.15%) is better than 96.10% of its industry peers.
LOPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 52.97%, LOPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.04% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOPE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.15% | ||
| GM | 52.97% |
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOPE is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 20.56 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 20.56, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.70% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 20.56 |
ROIC/WACC2.91
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.55 indicates that LOPE has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
LOPE's Current ratio of 3.55 is amongst the best of the industry. LOPE outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.55. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.55, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.55 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.50% over the past year.
LOPE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.60% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.52% in the last year.
LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.5%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%20.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.52%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%8.81%
3.2 Future
LOPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.56% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.90% on average per year.
EPS Next Y15.05%
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.23%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.81, the valuation of LOPE can be described as rather expensive.
LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 61.04% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.40, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.75 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 62.34% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as LOPE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of LOPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LOPE is cheaper than 67.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LOPE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
LOPE's earnings are expected to grow with 12.56% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)3.26
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOPE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
211.6
+3.19 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.59%
Inst Owner Change0.54%
Ins Owners2.11%
Ins Owner Change0.22%
Market Cap5.94B
Analysts86.67
Price Target231.88 (9.58%)
Short Float %1.29%
Short Ratio1.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.6%
Min EPS beat(2)0.25%
Max EPS beat(2)8.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.52%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.58%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.45%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.79%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.87%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.01%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)2.25%
PT rev (3m)4.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.75 | ||
| P/S | 5.57 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.78 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.94 | ||
| P/B | 7.64 | ||
| P/tB | 12.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.42 |
EPS(TTM)8.53
EY4.03%
EPS(NY)10.2
Fwd EY4.82%
FCF(TTM)9.29
FCFY4.39%
OCF(TTM)10.61
OCFY5.01%
SpS38.01
BVpS27.7
TBVpS16.43
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)3.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 23.16% | ||
| ROE | 30.4% | ||
| ROCE | 32.14% | ||
| ROIC | 25.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 42.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 107.28% | ||
| OM | 27.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.15% | ||
| GM | 52.97% | ||
| FCFM | 24.44% |
ROA(3y)22.14%
ROA(5y)20.33%
ROE(3y)28.79%
ROE(5y)25.52%
ROIC(3y)24.24%
ROIC(5y)20.99%
ROICexc(3y)34.71%
ROICexc(5y)32.22%
ROICexgc(3y)81.65%
ROICexgc(5y)77.73%
ROCE(3y)30.95%
ROCE(5y)26.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-12.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y33.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.74%
OM growth 3Y-5.17%
OM growth 5Y-4.93%
PM growth 3Y-8.97%
PM growth 5Y-8.03%
GM growth 3Y-2.85%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.84% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.32% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 20.56 |
F-Score8
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC2.91
Cap/Depr(3y)119.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.84%
Profit Quality(3y)102.83%
Profit Quality(5y)84.76%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.5%
EPS 3Y9.93%
EPS 5Y7.6%
EPS Q2Q%20.47%
EPS Next Y15.05%
EPS Next 2Y12.56%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.52%
Revenue growth 3Y4.84%
Revenue growth 5Y5.82%
Sales Q2Q%8.81%
Revenue Next Year7.23%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.32%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.58%
EBIT growth 5Y0.6%
EBIT Next Year27.47%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y39.11%
FCF growth 5Y17.26%
OCF growth 1Y28.56%
OCF growth 3Y-2.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.09%