GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:LOPE • US38526M1062

Current stock price

166.58 USD
-2.85 (-1.68%)
At close:
166.58 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This LOPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. LOPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • LOPE had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of LOPE (21.78%) is better than 97.26% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 28.94%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 26.62%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (24.48%) for LOPE is below the current ROIC(26.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROIC 26.62%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 19.54%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of LOPE (27.42%) is better than 97.26% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOPE has declined.
  • LOPE's Gross Margin of 53.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOPE outperforms 63.01% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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10

2. LOPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • LOPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for LOPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 17.51 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 17.51, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 17.51
ROIC/WACC2.93
WACC9.08%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of LOPE (3.65) is better than 93.15% of its industry peers.
  • LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.65. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.65, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. LOPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.92%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.21% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.07% in the last year.
  • LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.10% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. LOPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.33, the valuation of LOPE can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • LOPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.88.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.41, LOPE is valued correctly.
  • 67.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. LOPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.33
Fwd PE 16.41
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than 65.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 69.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.95
EV/EBITDA 11.97
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LOPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)1.79
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. LOPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for LOPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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LOPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (3/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 166.58 0 (0%)

166.58

-2.85 (-1.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners104.06%
Inst Owner Change6.2%
Ins Owners2.24%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap4.52B
Revenue(TTM)1.11B
Net Income(TTM)216.17M
Analysts85
Price Target217.26 (30.42%)
Short Float %4.16%
Short Ratio3.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.96%
Max EPS beat(4)8.96%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.47%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.79%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.09%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)-4.34%
PT rev (3m)-7.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.33
Fwd PE 16.41
P/S 4.09
P/FCF 18.95
P/OCF 16.53
P/B 6.05
P/tB 10.4
EV/EBITDA 11.97
EPS(TTM)9.09
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)10.15
Fwd EY6.09%
FCF(TTM)8.79
FCFY5.28%
OCF(TTM)10.08
OCFY6.05%
SpS40.75
BVpS27.52
TBVpS16.01
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)1.79
Graham Number75.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 21.78%
ROE 28.94%
ROCE 34.37%
ROIC 26.62%
ROICexc 40.33%
ROICexgc 86.96%
OM 27.42%
PM (TTM) 19.54%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 21.57%
ROA(3y)22.01%
ROA(5y)21.9%
ROE(3y)28.78%
ROE(5y)28.05%
ROIC(3y)24.48%
ROIC(5y)23.6%
ROICexc(3y)36.65%
ROICexc(5y)37.01%
ROICexgc(3y)81.07%
ROICexgc(5y)90.43%
ROCE(3y)31.61%
ROCE(5y)30.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.35%
ROICexgc growth 5Y35.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.5%
OM growth 3Y1.71%
OM growth 5Y-3.55%
PM growth 3Y-1.2%
PM growth 5Y-8.5%
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 87.47%
Cap/Sales 3.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.68%
Profit Quality 110.37%
Current Ratio 3.65
Quick Ratio 3.65
Altman-Z 17.51
F-Score7
WACC9.08%
ROIC/WACC2.93
Cap/Depr(3y)110.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)233.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.98%
Profit Quality(3y)106.2%
Profit Quality(5y)90.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.92%
EPS 3Y15.17%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%8.81%
EPS Next Y11.65%
EPS Next 2Y11.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.07%
Revenue growth 3Y6.67%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%5.31%
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y8.95%
EBIT growth 3Y8.5%
EBIT growth 5Y1.8%
EBIT Next Year33.46%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.43%
FCF growth 3Y8.81%
FCF growth 5Y3.19%
OCF growth 1Y-5.68%
OCF growth 3Y7.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.4%

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC / LOPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for LOPE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LOPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) stock?

GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for LOPE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) is expected to grow by 11.65% in the next year.