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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC (LOPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LOPE - Nasdaq - US38526M1062 - Common Stock

169.99  -1.01 (-0.59%)

After market: 169.99 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

7

LOPE gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 71 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LOPE has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. LOPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. With these ratings, LOPE could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LOPE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years LOPE has always been profitable.
LOPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 22.67%, LOPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LOPE (29.45%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LOPE (24.11%) is better than 93.65% of its industry peers.
LOPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 22.70%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.87%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (24.11%) for LOPE is above the 3 year average (22.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.67%
ROE 29.45%
ROIC 24.11%
ROA(3y)21.83%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)27.47%
ROE(5y)23.34%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)18.75%
LOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 22.09%, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LOPE (26.92%) is better than 98.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOPE has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 52.66%, LOPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.92%
PM (TTM) 22.09%
GM 52.66%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-4.53%
PM growth 3Y-11.2%
PM growth 5Y-4.66%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
LOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

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10

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOPE is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOPE has less shares outstanding
LOPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
LOPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
LOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingLOPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
LOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 18.72 indicates that LOPE is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 18.72, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
There is no outstanding debt for LOPE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 18.72
ROIC/WACC1.99
WACC12.13%
LOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

LOPE has a Current Ratio of 3.69. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.69, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
LOPE has a Quick Ratio of 3.69. This indicates that LOPE is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.69, LOPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.69
Quick Ratio 3.69
LOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

LOPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.70%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past 5 years, LOPE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.66% on average per year.
LOPE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.22%.
Measured over the past years, LOPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.59% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.7%
EPS 3Y7.99%
EPS 5Y6.66%
EPS Q2Q%17.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.22%
Revenue growth 3Y4.41%
Revenue growth 5Y2.59%
Sales Q2Q%7.38%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.72% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
LOPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.88% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.34%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.57%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.60 indicates a rather expensive valuation of LOPE.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.96, LOPE is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.00, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LOPE.
LOPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.11. LOPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.6
Fwd PE 19
LOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOPE is on the same level as its industry peers.
LOPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LOPE is cheaper than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.33
EV/EBITDA 15.23
LOPE Per share dataLOPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LOPE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
LOPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as LOPE's earnings are expected to grow with 12.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)3.24
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LOPE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GRAND CANYON EDUCATION INC

NASDAQ:LOPE (1/17/2025, 8:12:52 PM)

After market: 169.99 0 (0%)

169.99

-1.01 (-0.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Inst Owners97.93%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change-2.83%
Market Cap4.96B
Analysts86.67
Price Target183.26 (7.81%)
Short Float %0.93%
Short Ratio1.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.29%
Max EPS beat(2)13.19%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.81%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.19%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.47%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.41%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.15%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.61%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)10.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.6
Fwd PE 19
P/S 4.86
P/FCF 21.33
P/OCF 18.32
P/B 6.48
P/tB 11.23
EV/EBITDA 15.23
EPS(TTM)7.87
EY4.63%
EPS(NY)8.95
Fwd EY5.26%
FCF(TTM)7.97
FCFY4.69%
OCF(TTM)9.28
OCFY5.46%
SpS34.95
BVpS26.21
TBVpS15.14
PEG (NY)1.32
PEG (5Y)3.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.67%
ROE 29.45%
ROCE 30.94%
ROIC 24.11%
ROICexc 34.32%
ROICexgc 71.25%
OM 26.92%
PM (TTM) 22.09%
GM 52.66%
FCFM 22.81%
ROA(3y)21.83%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)27.47%
ROE(5y)23.34%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)18.75%
ROICexc(3y)36.17%
ROICexc(5y)27.54%
ROICexgc(3y)94.99%
ROICexgc(5y)64.72%
ROCE(3y)29.13%
ROCE(5y)24.07%
ROICexcg growth 3Y56.82%
ROICexcg growth 5Y29.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y30.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.04%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-4.53%
PM growth 3Y-11.2%
PM growth 5Y-4.66%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 106.95%
Cap/Sales 3.75%
Interest Coverage 27427.1
Cash Conversion 87.28%
Profit Quality 103.24%
Current Ratio 3.69
Quick Ratio 3.69
Altman-Z 18.72
F-Score8
WACC12.13%
ROIC/WACC1.99
Cap/Depr(3y)325.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)409.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.05%
Profit Quality(3y)77.66%
Profit Quality(5y)71.23%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.7%
EPS 3Y7.99%
EPS 5Y6.66%
EPS Q2Q%17.46%
EPS Next Y16.34%
EPS Next 2Y12.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.22%
Revenue growth 3Y4.41%
Revenue growth 5Y2.59%
Sales Q2Q%7.38%
Revenue Next Year7.57%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y13.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.5%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.05%
EBIT Next Year32.74%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y28.75%
FCF growth 3Y-0.94%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y26.01%
OCF growth 3Y-7.59%
OCF growth 5Y4.12%