10.32 USD
-0.14 (-1.34%)
10.32 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LOCO. LOCO was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of LOCO get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LOCO.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOCO was profitable.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years LOCO has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years LOCO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
LOCO has a better Return On Assets (4.30%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LOCO (9.15%) is better than 66.92% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Return On Invested Capital of 5.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 54.14% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.08%) for LOCO is below the current ROIC(5.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.39%, LOCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.40% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOCO has a Operating Margin of 8.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 51.88% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 53.19%, LOCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.41% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
LOCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LOCO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.61, we must say that LOCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of LOCO (1.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOCO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is amongst the best in the industry. LOCO outperforms 81.95% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LOCO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 77.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.41 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LOCO has a Current ratio of 0.41. This is amonst the worse of the industry: LOCO underperforms 80.45% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of LOCO (0.38) is worse than 77.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.59% over the past year.
LOCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.21% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.09% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.35% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
LOCO is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.51% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.98, the valuation of LOCO can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 90.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.88, the valuation of LOCO can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.23. LOCO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
89.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
83.46% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LOCO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
LOCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)3.42
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
10.32
-0.14 (-1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.54%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap309.08M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target15.17 (47%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.88 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.77 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.33 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY9.11%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY9.19%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.95%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY12.88%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)3.42
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.61 |
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year63.58%
EBIT Next 3Y18.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LOCO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 10.98 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.09.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LOCO stock?
The dividend rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.