11.2 USD
-0.09 (-0.8%)
11.2 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LOCO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LOCO against 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of LOCO get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. LOCO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOCO was profitable.
In the past year LOCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years LOCO has always been profitable.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
LOCO has a better Return On Assets (4.30%) than 61.07% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of LOCO (9.15%) is better than 65.65% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.65%, LOCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.43%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) for LOCO is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
LOCO has a Profit Margin (5.39%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of LOCO (8.58%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
LOCO has a Gross Margin of 53.19%. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOCO is destroying value.
LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.66, we must say that LOCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
LOCO's Altman-Z score of 1.66 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 52.67% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
LOCO's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.91 is amongst the best of the industry. LOCO outperforms 80.92% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LOCO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 77.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.41 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.41, LOCO is doing worse than 83.21% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LOCO's Quick ratio of 0.38 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO is outperformed by 80.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.59%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.21% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.09% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.48% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.74% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.3%
EPS Next 2Y4.48%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.91, which indicates a very decent valuation of LOCO.
LOCO's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 83.97% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
LOCO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.53.
82.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.56. LOCO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
80.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LOCO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)3.71
EPS Next 2Y4.48%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.2
-0.09 (-0.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.05%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners2.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap335.44M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target14.79 (32.05%)
Short Float %6.21%
Short Ratio6.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)-1.69%
PT rev (3m)-1.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.53 | ||
| P/S | 0.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.43 | ||
| P/B | 1.19 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.84 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.39%
EPS(NY)0.97
Fwd EY8.67%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.41%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY11.87%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.43
PEG (5Y)3.71
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
F-Score8
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y8.3%
EPS Next 2Y4.48%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year64.26%
EBIT Next 3Y18.5%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status for LOCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 11.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.19.
How financially healthy is EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC?
The financial health rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 4 / 10.