11.14 USD
-0.08 (-0.71%)
11.14 USD
0 (0%)
LOCO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. LOCO has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. LOCO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
LOCO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LOCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
LOCO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years LOCO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of LOCO (4.30%) is better than 63.91% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a better Return On Equity (9.15%) than 67.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of LOCO (5.65%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOCO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.08%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.34%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.08%) for LOCO is below the current ROIC(5.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.39%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
LOCO's Operating Margin of 8.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOCO's Gross Margin of 53.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 62.41% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOCO is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
LOCO has an Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LOCO has a Altman-Z score (1.66) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO (2.91) is better than 83.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that LOCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.22, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC8.18%
2.3 Liquidity
LOCO has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of LOCO (0.41) is worse than 79.70% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LOCO has a Quick ratio of 0.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: LOCO underperforms 77.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.59% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.21% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.09% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.51% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.85, which indicates a very decent valuation of LOCO.
LOCO's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 86.47% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.74 indicates a reasonable valuation of LOCO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 89.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 84.96% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.81 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LOCO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
LOCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.59
PEG (5Y)3.69
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
LOCO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
11.14
-0.08 (-0.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.54%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap333.64M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target15.17 (36.18%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.69 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.38 | ||
| P/B | 1.18 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.81 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.44%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY8.52%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.44%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY11.93%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.59
PEG (5Y)3.69
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
F-Score8
WACC8.18%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year63.58%
EBIT Next 3Y18.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LOCO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 11.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.18.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LOCO stock?
The dividend rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.