10.5 USD
-0.18 (-1.69%)
10.5 USD
0 (0%)
Overall LOCO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated LOCO against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. LOCO has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on LOCO.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year LOCO was profitable.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LOCO has always been profitable.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.30%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO has a Return On Equity of 9.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: LOCO outperforms 66.92% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.65%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 54.14% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) for LOCO is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
1.3 Margins
LOCO has a Profit Margin of 5.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 59.40% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.58%, LOCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.88% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 53.19%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.41% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% |
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOCO is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for LOCO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
LOCO has an Altman-Z score of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
LOCO has a Altman-Z score of 1.62. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 51.13% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO is 2.91, which is a good value as it means it would take LOCO, 2.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO (2.91) is better than 81.95% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that LOCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.22, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC8.49%
2.3 Liquidity
LOCO has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
LOCO's Current ratio of 0.41 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO is outperformed by 81.20% of its industry peers.
LOCO has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.38, LOCO is not doing good in the industry: 78.20% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
LOCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.59%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past 5 years, LOCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.21% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.09% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.35% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
3.2 Future
LOCO is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.51% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
LOCO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.17.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 88.72% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.77, LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.07 indicates a reasonable valuation of LOCO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOCO indicates a rather cheap valuation: LOCO is cheaper than 87.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LOCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.35), we can say LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
88.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 83.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
LOCO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of LOCO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)3.48
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for LOCO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
10.5
-0.18 (-1.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.05%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners2.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.04%
Market Cap314.48M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target15.17 (44.48%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.07 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.9 | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.43 |
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.95%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY9.03%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.83%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY12.66%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)3.48
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.3% | ||
| ROE | 9.15% | ||
| ROCE | 7.74% | ||
| ROIC | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.24% | ||
| OM | 8.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.39% | ||
| GM | 53.19% | ||
| FCFM | 4.47% |
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.91 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 116.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 82.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.62 |
F-Score8
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year63.58%
EBIT Next 3Y18.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.
What is the valuation status for LOCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of LOCO stock?
EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 11.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.11.
How financially healthy is EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC?
The financial health rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 4 / 10.