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EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:LOCO - US2686031079 - Common Stock

10.78 USD
+0.39 (+3.75%)
Last: 11/25/2025, 12:28:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LOCO. LOCO was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of LOCO get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. LOCO scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LOCO was profitable.
In the past year LOCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
LOCO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
LOCO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
LOCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

LOCO has a better Return On Assets (4.30%) than 62.12% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.15%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of LOCO (5.65%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.41%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) for LOCO is above the 3 year average (5.08%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.3%
ROE 9.15%
ROIC 5.65%
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
LOCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 5.39%, LOCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
LOCO has a Operating Margin (8.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
LOCO's Gross Margin of 53.19% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LOCO outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
LOCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.58%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
LOCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), LOCO is destroying value.
LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for LOCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
LOCO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LOCO Yearly Shares OutstandingLOCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
LOCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.61, we must say that LOCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
LOCO has a Altman-Z score (1.61) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
LOCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.91. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as LOCO would need 2.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO (2.91) is better than 80.30% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that LOCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of LOCO (0.22) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.91
Altman-Z 1.61
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC8.04%
LOCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.41 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LOCO has a worse Current ratio (0.41) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
LOCO has a worse Quick ratio (0.38) than 78.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.38
LOCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.59% over the past year.
LOCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.21% yearly.
Looking at the last year, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.09% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%

3.2 Future

LOCO is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.89% yearly.
LOCO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.06%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.85%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
LOCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
LOCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.47, which indicates a very decent valuation of LOCO.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 85.61% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.01, the valuation of LOCO can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
LOCO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.45.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.47
Fwd PE 11.01
LOCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

87.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LOCO is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.05
EV/EBITDA 6.38
LOCO Per share dataLOCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
LOCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)3.57
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for LOCO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:LOCO (11/25/2025, 12:28:38 PM)

10.78

+0.39 (+3.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)03-04 2026-03-04/amc
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.96%
Ins Owners2.65%
Ins Owner Change-0.25%
Market Cap323.40M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target14.79 (37.2%)
Short Float %6.5%
Short Ratio6.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)-1.69%
PT rev (3m)-1.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.47
Fwd PE 11.01
P/S 0.67
P/FCF 15.05
P/OCF 8.13
P/B 1.14
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.38
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)0.98
Fwd EY9.08%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.64%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY12.31%
SpS16.03
BVpS9.43
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)2.82
PEG (5Y)3.57
Graham Number14.12
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.3%
ROE 9.15%
ROCE 7.74%
ROIC 5.65%
ROICexc 5.77%
ROICexgc 14.24%
OM 8.58%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 4.47%
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.91
Debt/EBITDA 1.1
Cap/Depr 116.27%
Cap/Sales 3.81%
Interest Coverage 9.06
Cash Conversion 69.85%
Profit Quality 82.96%
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.61
F-Score8
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y4.06%
EPS Next 2Y4.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.85%
Revenue Next 2Y2.74%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year56.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.


What is the valuation status for LOCO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of LOCO stock?

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 11.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.14.


How financially healthy is EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 4 / 10.