Logo image of LOCO

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:LOCO - US2686031079 - Common Stock

11.32 USD
+0.26 (+2.35%)
Last: 1/15/2026, 11:32:07 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to LOCO. LOCO was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. LOCO has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. LOCO is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LOCO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year LOCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LOCO has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LOCO had a positive operating cash flow.
LOCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLOCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • LOCO has a better Return On Assets (4.30%) than 63.91% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.15%, LOCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOCO has a Return On Invested Capital (5.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for LOCO is significantly below the industry average of 10.34%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.08%) for LOCO is below the current ROIC(5.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.3%
ROE 9.15%
ROIC 5.65%
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
LOCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLOCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • LOCO has a better Profit Margin (5.39%) than 60.15% of its industry peers.
  • LOCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • LOCO has a Operating Margin of 8.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LOCO outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
  • LOCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 53.19%, LOCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LOCO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.58%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 53.19%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
LOCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLOCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LOCO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LOCO has less shares outstanding
  • LOCO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • LOCO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
LOCO Yearly Shares OutstandingLOCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
LOCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLOCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

  • LOCO has an Altman-Z score of 1.65. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • LOCO has a Altman-Z score (1.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO is 2.91, which is a good value as it means it would take LOCO, 2.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of LOCO (2.91) is better than 83.46% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that LOCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of LOCO (0.22) is better than 77.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.91
Altman-Z 1.65
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC8.16%
LOCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLOCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.41 indicates that LOCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • LOCO has a Current ratio of 0.41. This is in the lower half of the industry: LOCO underperforms 79.70% of its industry peers.
  • LOCO has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that LOCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.38, LOCO is doing worse than 77.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.38
LOCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLOCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.59% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.21% on average over the past years.
  • LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.09%.
  • Measured over the past years, LOCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.35% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LOCO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.51% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
LOCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLOCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
LOCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLOCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.04, the valuation of LOCO can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LOCO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.33, LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
  • LOCO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.93.
  • 84.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LOCO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.12, LOCO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.04
Fwd PE 11.93
LOCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLOCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • LOCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 90.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LOCO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LOCO is cheaper than 84.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.78
EV/EBITDA 6.72
LOCO Per share dataLOCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of LOCO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.62
PEG (5Y)3.75
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for LOCO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:LOCO (1/15/2026, 11:32:07 AM)

11.32

+0.26 (+2.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)03-04
Inst Owners92.54%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners1.98%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap339.03M
Revenue(TTM)480.81M
Net Income(TTM)25.90M
Analysts78.18
Price Target15.17 (34.01%)
Short Float %6.06%
Short Ratio6.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.45%
Min EPS beat(2)13.2%
Max EPS beat(2)23.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)18.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.13%
Max EPS beat(4)45.24%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.17%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.49%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)17.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.7%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.73%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.27%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.77%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.04
Fwd PE 11.93
P/S 0.71
P/FCF 15.78
P/OCF 8.52
P/B 1.2
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.72
EPS(TTM)0.94
EY8.3%
EPS(NY)0.95
Fwd EY8.38%
FCF(TTM)0.72
FCFY6.34%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY11.74%
SpS16.05
BVpS9.45
TBVpS-0.92
PEG (NY)1.62
PEG (5Y)3.75
Graham Number14.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.3%
ROE 9.15%
ROCE 7.74%
ROIC 5.65%
ROICexc 5.77%
ROICexgc 14.24%
OM 8.58%
PM (TTM) 5.39%
GM 53.19%
FCFM 4.47%
ROA(3y)4.05%
ROA(5y)4.18%
ROE(3y)9.15%
ROE(5y)9.13%
ROIC(3y)5.08%
ROIC(5y)5.31%
ROICexc(3y)5.17%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)13.16%
ROICexgc(5y)13.82%
ROCE(3y)6.96%
ROCE(5y)7.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.78%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.81%
OM growth 3Y-3.32%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-5.35%
PM growth 5Y-0.72%
GM growth 3Y0.83%
GM growth 5Y1.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 2.91
Debt/EBITDA 1.1
Cap/Depr 116.27%
Cap/Sales 3.81%
Interest Coverage 9.06
Cash Conversion 69.85%
Profit Quality 82.96%
Current Ratio 0.41
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.65
F-Score8
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)133.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.63%
Profit Quality(3y)91.05%
Profit Quality(5y)106.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.59%
EPS 3Y1.15%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y7.44%
EPS Next 2Y3.24%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.09%
Revenue growth 3Y1.35%
Revenue growth 5Y1.35%
Sales Q2Q%0.93%
Revenue Next Year3.84%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y2.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.01%
EBIT growth 5Y1.69%
EBIT Next Year63.58%
EBIT Next 3Y18.05%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.27%
FCF growth 3Y-7.55%
FCF growth 5Y6%
OCF growth 1Y-19.02%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y5.3%

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC / LOCO FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to LOCO.


What is the valuation status of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of LOCO stock?

EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LOCO stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 12.04 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.2.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for LOCO stock?

The dividend rating of EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC (LOCO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.