ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LLY • US5324571083
Current stock price
917.5 USD
-0.55 (-0.06%)
At close:
917.47 USD
-0.03 (0%)
After Hours:
This LLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- LLY had positive earnings in the past year.
- LLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years LLY has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years LLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- LLY has a Return On Assets of 18.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 96.35% of its industry peers.
- LLY has a better Return On Equity (77.78%) than 98.96% of its industry peers.
- LLY has a Return On Invested Capital of 31.47%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 98.96% of its industry peers.
- LLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 25.56%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.98%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (31.47%) for LLY is above the 3 year average (25.56%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.35% | ||
| ROE | 77.78% | ||
| ROIC | 31.47% |
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
1.3 Margins
- LLY has a better Profit Margin (31.66%) than 95.31% of its industry peers.
- LLY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- LLY has a Operating Margin of 45.56%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 98.96% of its industry peers.
- LLY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of LLY (83.04%) is better than 86.98% of its industry peers.
- LLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 45.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 31.66% | ||
| GM | 83.04% |
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
2. LLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- LLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for LLY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, LLY has less shares outstanding
- LLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- LLY has an Altman-Z score of 8.02. This indicates that LLY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- LLY's Altman-Z score of 8.02 is amongst the best of the industry. LLY outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of LLY is 7.13, which is on the high side as it means it would take LLY, 7.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- LLY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (7.13) than 81.77% of its industry peers.
- LLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.54. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.54, LLY is not doing good in the industry: 75.52% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.02 |
ROIC/WACC3.4
WACC9.25%
2.3 Liquidity
- LLY has a Current Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.58, LLY is doing worse than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- LLY has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of LLY (1.19) is worse than 71.88% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. LLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- LLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 86.23%, which is quite impressive.
- LLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.01% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, LLY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 44.70%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 21.58% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, LLY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.51% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, LLY will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.96% on average per year.
EPS Next Y44.39%
EPS Next 2Y32.81%
EPS Next 3Y27.54%
EPS Next 5Y20.51%
Revenue Next Year28.44%
Revenue Next 2Y22.2%
Revenue Next 3Y19.11%
Revenue Next 5Y14.96%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. LLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.90, the valuation of LLY can be described as expensive.
- 78.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.73. LLY is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.25, LLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than 74.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- LLY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.72, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LLY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LLY is cheaper than 77.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 74.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 145.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- LLY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- LLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- LLY's earnings are expected to grow with 27.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)1.52
EPS Next 2Y32.81%
EPS Next 3Y27.54%
5. LLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.71%, LLY is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.77, LLY pays a better dividend. On top of this LLY pays more dividend than 89.58% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.71, LLY pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of LLY grows each year by 15.17%, which is quite nice.
- LLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- LLY has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- 26.09% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LLY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of LLY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP26.09%
EPS Next 2Y32.81%
EPS Next 3Y27.54%
LLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
917.5
-0.55 (-0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners84.52%
Inst Owner Change2.07%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-3.9%
Market Cap865.53B
Revenue(TTM)65.18B
Net Income(TTM)20.64B
Analysts81.54
Price Target1226.97 (33.73%)
Short Float %0.72%
Short Ratio2.15
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
Yearly Dividend5.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
DP26.09%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-13 2026-02-13 (1.73)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.98%
Min EPS beat(2)11.92%
Max EPS beat(2)22.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.46%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)22.05%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.16%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)23.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)18.14%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.73%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.29%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.28%
PT rev (1m)5.4%
PT rev (3m)14.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.25 | ||
| P/S | 13.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 145.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 51.48 | ||
| P/B | 32.62 | ||
| P/tB | 61.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.44 |
EPS(TTM)24.21
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)34.96
Fwd EY3.81%
FCF(TTM)6.32
FCFY0.69%
OCF(TTM)17.82
OCFY1.94%
SpS69.09
BVpS28.13
TBVpS14.96
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)1.52
Graham Number123.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.35% | ||
| ROE | 77.78% | ||
| ROCE | 38.44% | ||
| ROIC | 31.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 34.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 42.23% | ||
| OM | 45.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 31.66% | ||
| GM | 83.04% | ||
| FCFM | 9.15% |
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
ROICexc(3y)27.7%
ROICexc(5y)25.05%
ROICexgc(3y)35.92%
ROICexgc(5y)34.98%
ROCE(3y)33.47%
ROCE(5y)29.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.55%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 543.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 46.91 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 53.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.9% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.02 |
F-Score7
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC3.4
Cap/Depr(3y)500.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)364.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
EPS Next Y44.39%
EPS Next 2Y32.81%
EPS Next 3Y27.54%
EPS Next 5Y20.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%
Revenue Next Year28.44%
Revenue Next 2Y22.2%
Revenue Next 3Y19.11%
Revenue Next 5Y14.96%
EBIT growth 1Y74.26%
EBIT growth 3Y53.07%
EBIT growth 5Y34.09%
EBIT Next Year54.56%
EBIT Next 3Y29.09%
EBIT Next 5Y22.24%
FCF growth 1Y1339.54%
FCF growth 3Y9.04%
FCF growth 5Y5.93%
OCF growth 1Y90.67%
OCF growth 3Y30.38%
OCF growth 5Y20.93%
ELI LILLY & CO / LLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELI LILLY & CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LLY.
What is the valuation status of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELI LILLY & CO (LLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of LLY stock?
ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for LLY stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 37.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 32.62.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ELI LILLY & CO?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is expected to grow by 44.39% in the next year.