ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:LLY • US5324571083
Current stock price
883.96 USD
-33.69 (-3.67%)
At close:
885 USD
+1.04 (+0.12%)
Pre-Market:
This LLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. LLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- LLY had positive earnings in the past year.
- LLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- LLY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years LLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 18.35%, LLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- LLY has a better Return On Equity (77.78%) than 98.95% of its industry peers.
- LLY has a better Return On Invested Capital (31.47%) than 98.95% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LLY is significantly above the industry average of 13.10%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (31.47%) for LLY is above the 3 year average (25.56%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.35% | ||
| ROE | 77.78% | ||
| ROIC | 31.47% |
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 31.66%, LLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- LLY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 45.56%, LLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- LLY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 83.04%, LLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LLY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 45.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 31.66% | ||
| GM | 83.04% |
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
2. LLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so LLY is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, LLY has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for LLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, LLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.80 indicates that LLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of LLY (7.80) is better than 81.15% of its industry peers.
- LLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.13. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as LLY would need 7.13 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of LLY (7.13) is better than 81.15% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.54 is on the high side and indicates that LLY has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of LLY (1.54) is worse than 80.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.8 |
ROIC/WACC3.34
WACC9.41%
2.3 Liquidity
- LLY has a Current Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.58, LLY is not doing good in the industry: 72.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- LLY has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.19, LLY is not doing good in the industry: 75.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. LLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- LLY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 86.23%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, LLY shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.01% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 44.70% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- LLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.58% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%
3.2 Future
- LLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.42% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, LLY will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.91% on average per year.
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.42%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.91%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. LLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.51, LLY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- LLY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LLY is cheaper than 79.58% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.42, LLY is valued a bit more expensive.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 25.28, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LLY.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LLY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LLY is cheaper than 76.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.29, LLY is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 78.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than 75.39% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 140.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- LLY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- LLY's earnings are expected to grow with 27.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)1.46
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
5. LLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.75%, LLY is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- LLY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.73. LLY pays more dividend than 89.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, LLY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of LLY grows each year by 15.17%, which is quite nice.
- LLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- LLY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- 26.09% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LLY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- LLY's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP26.09%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
LLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
883.96
-33.69 (-3.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners84.43%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change-2.64%
Market Cap835.18B
Revenue(TTM)65.18B
Net Income(TTM)20.64B
Analysts81.03
Price Target1225.32 (38.62%)
Short Float %0.82%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
Yearly Dividend5.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
DP26.09%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-13 2026-02-13 (1.73)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.98%
Min EPS beat(2)11.92%
Max EPS beat(2)22.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.46%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)22.05%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.16%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)23.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)18.14%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.73%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.29%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.28%
PT rev (1m)-0.13%
PT rev (3m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.28 | ||
| P/S | 12.81 | ||
| P/FCF | 140.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 49.67 | ||
| P/B | 31.47 | ||
| P/tB | 59.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.47 |
EPS(TTM)24.21
EY2.74%
EPS(NY)34.96
Fwd EY3.96%
FCF(TTM)6.31
FCFY0.71%
OCF(TTM)17.79
OCFY2.01%
SpS68.99
BVpS28.08
TBVpS14.94
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)1.46
Graham Number123.687 (-86.01%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.35% | ||
| ROE | 77.78% | ||
| ROCE | 38.44% | ||
| ROIC | 31.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 34.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 42.23% | ||
| OM | 45.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 31.66% | ||
| GM | 83.04% | ||
| FCFM | 9.15% |
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
ROICexc(3y)27.7%
ROICexc(5y)25.05%
ROICexgc(3y)35.92%
ROICexgc(5y)34.98%
ROCE(3y)33.47%
ROCE(5y)29.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.55%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 543.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 46.91 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 53.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.9% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.8 |
F-Score7
WACC9.41%
ROIC/WACC3.34
Cap/Depr(3y)500.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)364.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)86.23%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%41.73%
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%42.56%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.91%
EBIT growth 1Y74.26%
EBIT growth 3Y53.07%
EBIT growth 5Y34.09%
EBIT Next Year54.37%
EBIT Next 3Y28.79%
EBIT Next 5Y22.25%
FCF growth 1Y1339.54%
FCF growth 3Y9.04%
FCF growth 5Y5.93%
OCF growth 1Y90.67%
OCF growth 3Y30.38%
OCF growth 5Y20.93%
ELI LILLY & CO / LLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELI LILLY & CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LLY.
What is the valuation status of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELI LILLY & CO (LLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?
ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 36.51 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 31.47.
Is the dividend of ELI LILLY & CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 26.09%.