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ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:LLY - US5324571083 - Common Stock

759.87 USD
-0.26 (-0.03%)
Last: 9/18/2025, 2:44:09 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to LLY. LLY was compared to 196 industry peers in the Pharmaceuticals industry. While LLY belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. LLY is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination! LLY also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

LLY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year LLY had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years LLY has been profitable.
In the past 5 years LLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 13.67%, LLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.39% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of LLY (75.52%) is better than 98.47% of its industry peers.
LLY has a better Return On Invested Capital (29.63%) than 97.96% of its industry peers.
LLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 21.71%. This is significantly above the industry average of 15.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (29.63%) for LLY is above the 3 year average (21.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.67%
ROE 75.52%
ROIC 29.63%
ROA(3y)11.42%
ROA(5y)11.8%
ROE(3y)60.64%
ROE(5y)70.77%
ROIC(3y)21.71%
ROIC(5y)19.96%
LLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

LLY has a Profit Margin of 25.91%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 95.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LLY has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 42.13%, LLY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.96% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LLY has grown nicely.
LLY has a better Gross Margin (82.64%) than 87.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 42.13%
PM (TTM) 25.91%
GM 82.64%
OM growth 3Y12.38%
OM growth 5Y7.84%
PM growth 3Y6.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y3.11%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
LLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), LLY is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LLY has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for LLY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for LLY is higher compared to a year ago.
LLY Yearly Shares OutstandingLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 6.85 indicates that LLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of LLY (6.85) is better than 82.65% of its industry peers.
LLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.87. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
LLY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.87) than 76.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.87
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 6.85
ROIC/WACC3.07
WACC9.65%
LLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.28 indicates that LLY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.28, LLY is not doing good in the industry: 73.98% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that LLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.00, LLY is doing worse than 73.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1
LLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 77.67% over the past year.
LLY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.57% yearly.
LLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 36.83%.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.08% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.67%
EPS 3Y16.75%
EPS 5Y16.57%
EPS Q2Q%60.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)36.83%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y15.08%
Sales Q2Q%37.64%

3.2 Future

LLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 30.30% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.76% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y76.85%
EPS Next 2Y53.25%
EPS Next 3Y42.28%
EPS Next 5Y30.3%
Revenue Next Year36.76%
Revenue Next 2Y27.21%
Revenue Next 3Y23.13%
Revenue Next 5Y17.76%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
LLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
LLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20 40 60

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 47.05, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LLY.
LLY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LLY is cheaper than 79.59% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.20. LLY is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.89, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LLY.
72.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, LLY is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.05
Fwd PE 24.89
LLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

LLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. LLY is cheaper than 80.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 31.05
LLY Per share dataLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of LLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
LLY's earnings are expected to grow with 42.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)2.84
EPS Next 2Y53.25%
EPS Next 3Y42.28%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.79%, LLY is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.04, LLY pays a better dividend. On top of this LLY pays more dividend than 89.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.79, LLY pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.79%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of LLY grows each year by 15.60%, which is quite nice.
LLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
LLY has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.6%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years34
LLY Yearly Dividends per shareLLY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

36.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by LLY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of LLY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP36.46%
EPS Next 2Y53.25%
EPS Next 3Y42.28%
LLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
LLY Dividend Payout.LLY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LLY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ELI LILLY & CO

NYSE:LLY (9/18/2025, 2:44:09 PM)

759.87

-0.26 (-0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Earnings (Last)08-07 2025-08-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Inst Owners84.01%
Inst Owner Change-8.74%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change-0.3%
Market Cap719.19B
Analysts80
Price Target909.39 (19.68%)
Short Float %0.85%
Short Ratio1.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.79%
Yearly Dividend4.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.6%
DP36.46%
Div Incr Years10
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date08-15 2025-08-15 (1.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.94%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)14.51%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-20.34%
Max EPS beat(4)14.51%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.01%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)22.08%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)15.86%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.72%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.72%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.92%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.89%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.54%
PT rev (1m)-7.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.05
Fwd PE 24.89
P/S 13.5
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 65.75
P/B 39.36
P/tB 109.07
EV/EBITDA 31.05
EPS(TTM)16.15
EY2.13%
EPS(NY)30.53
Fwd EY4.02%
FCF(TTM)-0.05
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)11.56
OCFY1.52%
SpS56.27
BVpS19.31
TBVpS6.97
PEG (NY)0.61
PEG (5Y)2.84
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.67%
ROE 75.52%
ROCE 36.25%
ROIC 29.63%
ROICexc 31.43%
ROICexgc 39.29%
OM 42.13%
PM (TTM) 25.91%
GM 82.64%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)11.42%
ROA(5y)11.8%
ROE(3y)60.64%
ROE(5y)70.77%
ROIC(3y)21.71%
ROIC(5y)19.96%
ROICexc(3y)23.23%
ROICexc(5y)21.74%
ROICexgc(3y)32.89%
ROICexgc(5y)32.31%
ROCE(3y)29.19%
ROCE(5y)26%
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.02%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.81%
OM growth 3Y12.38%
OM growth 5Y7.84%
PM growth 3Y6.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y3.11%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.87
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.4
Cap/Depr 580.51%
Cap/Sales 20.63%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 44.95%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 6.85
F-Score6
WACC9.65%
ROIC/WACC3.07
Cap/Depr(3y)374.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)279.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.78%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.67%
EPS 3Y16.75%
EPS 5Y16.57%
EPS Q2Q%60.97%
EPS Next Y76.85%
EPS Next 2Y53.25%
EPS Next 3Y42.28%
EPS Next 5Y30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)36.83%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y15.08%
Sales Q2Q%37.64%
Revenue Next Year36.76%
Revenue Next 2Y27.21%
Revenue Next 3Y23.13%
Revenue Next 5Y17.76%
EBIT growth 1Y67.12%
EBIT growth 3Y31.18%
EBIT growth 5Y24.1%
EBIT Next Year84.34%
EBIT Next 3Y42.93%
EBIT Next 5Y29.73%
FCF growth 1Y-101.56%
FCF growth 3Y-57.48%
FCF growth 5Y-34.68%
OCF growth 1Y75.24%
OCF growth 3Y6.69%
OCF growth 5Y12.76%