ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:LLY • US5324571083

Current stock price

963.75 USD
+29.15 (+3.12%)
Last:

This LLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. LLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • LLY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • LLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LLY has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years LLY had a positive operating cash flow.
LLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • LLY has a better Return On Assets (18.35%) than 95.81% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of LLY (77.78%) is better than 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • LLY's Return On Invested Capital of 31.47% is amongst the best of the industry. LLY outperforms 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • LLY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 25.56%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.07%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (31.47%) for LLY is above the 3 year average (25.56%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.35%
ROE 77.78%
ROIC 31.47%
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
LLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 31.66%, LLY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LLY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • LLY has a Operating Margin of 45.56%. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 98.95% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LLY has grown nicely.
  • LLY's Gross Margin of 83.04% is amongst the best of the industry. LLY outperforms 86.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 45.56%
PM (TTM) 31.66%
GM 83.04%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
LLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80

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6

2. LLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • LLY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • LLY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • LLY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, LLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
LLY Yearly Shares OutstandingLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
LLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.14 indicates that LLY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • LLY has a Altman-Z score of 8.14. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 80.63% of its industry peers.
  • LLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.13. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as LLY would need 7.13 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • LLY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.13. This is amongst the best in the industry. LLY outperforms 81.15% of its industry peers.
  • LLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.54. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of LLY (1.54) is worse than 80.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.54
Debt/FCF 7.13
Altman-Z 8.14
ROIC/WACC3.3
WACC9.53%
LLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.58 indicates that LLY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.58, LLY is doing worse than 72.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LLY has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that LLY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of LLY (1.19) is worse than 75.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 1.19
LLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

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9

3. LLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 113.81% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.01% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • LLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 44.70%.
  • LLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.58% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)113.81%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%155.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%55.55%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, LLY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.42% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.91% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.42%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.91%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
LLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 50B 100B 150B
LLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20 40 60

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5

4. LLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 32.76, which means the current valuation is very expensive for LLY.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, LLY is valued a bit cheaper than 79.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • LLY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 26.77.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.64, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of LLY.
  • LLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. LLY is cheaper than 76.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.75. LLY is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.76
Fwd PE 22.64
LLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of LLY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: LLY is cheaper than 78.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 75.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than LLY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 152.68
EV/EBITDA 28.97
LLY Per share dataLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of LLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as LLY's earnings are expected to grow with 27.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)1.31
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%

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7

5. LLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • LLY has a yearly dividend return of 0.81%, which is pretty low.
  • LLY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.73. LLY pays more dividend than 89.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, LLY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.81%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of LLY is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.17%!
  • LLY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • LLY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
LLY Yearly Dividends per shareLLY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • LLY pays out 26.09% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of LLY is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP26.09%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
LLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendLLY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B
LLY Dividend Payout.LLY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.LLY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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LLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ELI LILLY & CO

NYSE:LLY (5/1/2026, 12:36:04 PM)

963.75

+29.15 (+3.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryPharmaceuticals
Industry Strength65.84
Industry Growth15.53
Earnings (Last)04-30
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners84.43%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change-2.64%
Market Cap910.57B
Revenue(TTM)65.18B
Net Income(TTM)20.64B
Analysts81.03
Price Target1218.78 (26.46%)
Short Float %0.86%
Short Ratio2.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.81%
Yearly Dividend5.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.17%
DP26.09%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.98%
Min EPS beat(2)11.92%
Max EPS beat(2)22.05%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.46%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)22.05%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)12.16%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)23.37%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)18.14%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.73%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.29%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.28%
PT rev (1m)-0.13%
PT rev (3m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.76
Fwd PE 22.64
P/S 13.97
P/FCF 152.68
P/OCF 54.16
P/B 34.32
P/tB 64.51
EV/EBITDA 28.97
EPS(TTM)29.42
EY3.05%
EPS(NY)42.56
Fwd EY4.42%
FCF(TTM)6.31
FCFY0.65%
OCF(TTM)17.79
OCFY1.85%
SpS68.99
BVpS28.08
TBVpS14.94
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)1.31
Graham Number136.348 (-85.85%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.35%
ROE 77.78%
ROCE 38.44%
ROIC 31.47%
ROICexc 34.74%
ROICexgc 42.23%
OM 45.56%
PM (TTM) 31.66%
GM 83.04%
FCFM 9.15%
ROA(3y)13.33%
ROA(5y)12.81%
ROE(3y)67.02%
ROE(5y)64.37%
ROIC(3y)25.56%
ROIC(5y)23%
ROICexc(3y)27.7%
ROICexc(5y)25.05%
ROICexgc(3y)35.92%
ROICexgc(5y)34.98%
ROCE(3y)33.47%
ROCE(5y)29.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.55%
OM growth 3Y16.24%
OM growth 5Y10.3%
PM growth 3Y13.11%
PM growth 5Y4.64%
GM growth 3Y2.65%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.54
Debt/FCF 7.13
Debt/EBITDA 1.29
Cap/Depr 543.27%
Cap/Sales 16.64%
Interest Coverage 46.91
Cash Conversion 53.05%
Profit Quality 28.9%
Current Ratio 1.58
Quick Ratio 1.19
Altman-Z 8.14
F-Score7
WACC9.53%
ROIC/WACC3.3
Cap/Depr(3y)500.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)364.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)113.81%
EPS 3Y44.11%
EPS 5Y25.01%
EPS Q2Q%155.99%
EPS Next Y44.42%
EPS Next 2Y32.59%
EPS Next 3Y27.1%
EPS Next 5Y20.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.7%
Revenue growth 3Y31.69%
Revenue growth 5Y21.58%
Sales Q2Q%55.55%
Revenue Next Year28.55%
Revenue Next 2Y22.14%
Revenue Next 3Y18.91%
Revenue Next 5Y14.91%
EBIT growth 1Y74.26%
EBIT growth 3Y53.07%
EBIT growth 5Y34.09%
EBIT Next Year54.37%
EBIT Next 3Y28.79%
EBIT Next 5Y22.25%
FCF growth 1Y1339.54%
FCF growth 3Y9.04%
FCF growth 5Y5.93%
OCF growth 1Y90.67%
OCF growth 3Y30.38%
OCF growth 5Y20.93%

ELI LILLY & CO / LLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ELI LILLY & CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to LLY.


What is the valuation status of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELI LILLY & CO (LLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 32.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 34.32.


Is the dividend of ELI LILLY & CO sustainable?

The dividend rating of ELI LILLY & CO (LLY) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 26.09%.