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LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES (LINC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:LINC - Nasdaq - US5335351004 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

16.09  -1.54 (-8.74%)

After market: 16.36 +0.27 (+1.68%)

Fundamental Rating

4

LINC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 71 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. LINC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. LINC is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year LINC was profitable.
LINC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years LINC has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years LINC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
LINC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFLINC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.44%, LINC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.94% of the companies in the same industry.
LINC's Return On Equity of 5.79% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LINC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
LINC has a Return On Invested Capital (2.56%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for LINC is significantly below the industry average of 12.02%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 5.79%
ROIC 2.56%
ROA(3y)6.51%
ROA(5y)7.11%
ROE(3y)13.46%
ROE(5y)15.95%
ROIC(3y)5.42%
ROIC(5y)5.47%
LINC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICLINC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.33%, LINC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.81% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of LINC has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 2.68%, LINC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.13% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of LINC has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.02%, LINC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of LINC has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.68%
PM (TTM) 2.33%
GM 58.02%
OM growth 3Y-36.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-18.18%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
LINC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsLINC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

LINC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, LINC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for LINC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
LINC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
LINC Yearly Shares OutstandingLINC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M
LINC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsLINC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

LINC has an Altman-Z score of 2.94. This is not the best score and indicates that LINC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
LINC's Altman-Z score of 2.94 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. LINC outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
LINC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
LINC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.17 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. LINC outperforms 53.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.94
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC10.47%
LINC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFLINC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.57 indicates that LINC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LINC has a Current ratio of 1.57. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: LINC outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that LINC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
LINC has a Quick ratio of 1.53. This is in the better half of the industry: LINC outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.57
Quick Ratio 1.53
LINC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesLINC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for LINC have decreased strongly by -64.84% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 37.61% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, LINC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.22% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, LINC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.51% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.84%
EPS 3Y37.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.22%
Revenue growth 3Y8.86%
Revenue growth 5Y7.51%
Sales Q2Q%14.85%

3.2 Future

LINC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.03% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.84% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-60.47%
EPS Next 2Y-22.23%
EPS Next 3Y14.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.28%
Revenue Next 2Y12.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.83%
Revenue Next 5Y9.84%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
LINC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesLINC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
LINC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesLINC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 50.28 indicates a quite expensive valuation of LINC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of LINC is on the same level as its industry peers.
LINC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.93, the valuation of LINC can be described as expensive.
LINC's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of LINC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say LINC is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.28
Fwd PE 30.93
LINC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsLINC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

LINC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 23.15
LINC Per share dataLINC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

LINC's earnings are expected to grow with 14.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.23%
EPS Next 3Y14.03%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

LINC does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

NASDAQ:LINC (2/21/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 16.36 +0.27 (+1.68%)

16.09

-1.54 (-8.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)11-11 2024-11-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2025-02-24/bmo
Inst Owners69.17%
Inst Owner Change1.3%
Ins Owners5.85%
Ins Owner Change-2.76%
Market Cap506.51M
Analysts84.44
Price Target20.4 (26.79%)
Short Float %0.93%
Short Ratio1.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-78.09%
Min EPS beat(2)-193.97%
Max EPS beat(2)37.78%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-23.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-193.97%
Max EPS beat(4)83.66%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)565.86%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)364.24%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)289.33%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.48%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.79%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.85%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.52%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.28
Fwd PE 30.93
P/S 1.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 24.16
P/B 2.98
P/tB 3.18
EV/EBITDA 23.15
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1.99%
EPS(NY)0.52
Fwd EY3.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.73
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.67
OCFY4.14%
SpS13.44
BVpS5.4
TBVpS5.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 5.79%
ROCE 3.42%
ROIC 2.56%
ROICexc 3.07%
ROICexgc 3.19%
OM 2.68%
PM (TTM) 2.33%
GM 58.02%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.51%
ROA(5y)7.11%
ROE(3y)13.46%
ROE(5y)15.95%
ROIC(3y)5.42%
ROIC(5y)5.47%
ROICexc(3y)7.99%
ROICexc(5y)7.59%
ROICexgc(3y)8.78%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.31%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-39.54%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.47%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-36.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-18.18%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.28
Cap/Depr 380.54%
Cap/Sales 10.42%
Interest Coverage 6.5
Cash Conversion 91.52%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.57
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z 2.94
F-Score4
WACC10.47%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)282.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)197.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-64.84%
EPS 3Y37.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85.71%
EPS Next Y-60.47%
EPS Next 2Y-22.23%
EPS Next 3Y14.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.22%
Revenue growth 3Y8.86%
Revenue growth 5Y7.51%
Sales Q2Q%14.85%
Revenue Next Year16.28%
Revenue Next 2Y12.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.83%
Revenue Next 5Y9.84%
EBIT growth 1Y12.09%
EBIT growth 3Y-31.26%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year21.91%
EBIT Next 3Y27.36%
EBIT Next 5Y26.67%
FCF growth 1Y-2669.78%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y105.54%
OCF growth 3Y2.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A