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KONINKLIJKE KPN NV (KPN.AS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

AMS:KPN - Euronext Amsterdam - NL0000009082 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

4.019  -0.01 (-0.25%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall KPN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated KPN against 26 industry peers in the Diversified Telecommunication Services industry. While KPN belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. KPN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally KPN also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

KPN had positive earnings in the past year.
KPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
KPN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
KPN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
KPN.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKPN.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.23%, KPN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 21.97%, KPN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.46% of the companies in the same industry.
KPN has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.77%) than 88.46% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for KPN is above the industry average of 7.93%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.77%) for KPN is above the 3 year average (10.15%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.23%
ROE 21.97%
ROIC 10.77%
ROA(3y)6.38%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)21.85%
ROE(5y)25.23%
ROIC(3y)10.15%
ROIC(5y)9.14%
KPN.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKPN.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

KPN has a better Profit Margin (14.24%) than 80.77% of its industry peers.
KPN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
KPN's Operating Margin of 25.11% is amongst the best of the industry. KPN outperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
KPN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of KPN (78.55%) is better than 80.77% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KPN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.11%
PM (TTM) 14.24%
GM 78.55%
OM growth 3Y7.85%
OM growth 5Y7.45%
PM growth 3Y-16.33%
PM growth 5Y4.6%
GM growth 3Y1.42%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
KPN.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKPN.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

KPN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
KPN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, KPN has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, KPN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
KPN.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingKPN.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
KPN.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKPN.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.16, we must say that KPN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
KPN has a Altman-Z score (1.16) which is in line with its industry peers.
KPN has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.27. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as KPN would need 7.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
KPN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.27. This is in the better half of the industry: KPN outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.67 is on the high side and indicates that KPN has dependencies on debt financing.
KPN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.67. This is in the lower half of the industry: KPN underperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.67
Debt/FCF 7.27
Altman-Z 1.16
ROIC/WACC1.77
WACC6.08%
KPN.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKPN.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.70 indicates that KPN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
KPN has a Current ratio of 0.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: KPN underperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
KPN has a Quick Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that KPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.68, KPN is not doing good in the industry: 61.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.68
KPN.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKPN.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.32% over the past year.
KPN shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.03% yearly.
KPN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.00%.
Measured over the past years, KPN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.42% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.32%
EPS 3Y-8.8%
EPS 5Y7.03%
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y2.15%
Revenue growth 5Y0.42%
Sales Q2Q%0.77%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, KPN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.37% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.24%
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.34%
EPS Next 5Y8.98%
Revenue Next Year2.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y2.34%
Revenue Next 5Y2.37%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
KPN.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKPN.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B
KPN.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKPN.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.1 0.2 0.3

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.27, KPN is valued on the expensive side.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as KPN.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.92, KPN is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.72 indicates a correct valuation of KPN.
KPN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
KPN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.27
Fwd PE 16.72
KPN.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKPN.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

KPN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. KPN is more expensive than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
61.54% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than KPN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.68
EV/EBITDA 8.18
KPN.AS Per share dataKPN.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates KPN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of KPN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)2.6
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.34%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.19%, KPN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
KPN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.08.
KPN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%

5.2 History

The dividend of KPN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.22%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.22%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
KPN.AS Yearly Dividends per shareKPN.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

73.56% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KPN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of KPN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP73.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.34%
KPN.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKPN.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
KPN.AS Dividend Payout.KPN.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KPN.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KONINKLIJKE KPN NV

AMS:KPN (4/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

4.019

-0.01 (-0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupTelecommunication Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Telecommunication Services
Earnings (Last)02-04 2025-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-24 2025-04-24
Inst Owners65.79%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.13%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.63B
Analysts72.5
Price Target4.06 (1.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.22%
DP73.56%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.58%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.84%
Max EPS beat(2)10.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-21.84%
Max EPS beat(4)12.28%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)10.15%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)15.43%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.27
Fwd PE 16.72
P/S 2.79
P/FCF 15.68
P/OCF 6.84
P/B 4.3
P/tB 23.94
EV/EBITDA 8.18
EPS(TTM)0.22
EY5.47%
EPS(NY)0.24
Fwd EY5.98%
FCF(TTM)0.26
FCFY6.38%
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY14.61%
SpS1.44
BVpS0.93
TBVpS0.17
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)2.6
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.23%
ROE 21.97%
ROCE 13.93%
ROIC 10.77%
ROICexc 12.15%
ROICexgc 18.14%
OM 25.11%
PM (TTM) 14.24%
GM 78.55%
FCFM 17.79%
ROA(3y)6.38%
ROA(5y)6.75%
ROE(3y)21.85%
ROE(5y)25.23%
ROIC(3y)10.15%
ROIC(5y)9.14%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc(3y)15.72%
ROICexgc(5y)14.55%
ROCE(3y)13.12%
ROCE(5y)11.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y10.82%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.37%
OM growth 3Y7.85%
OM growth 5Y7.45%
PM growth 3Y-16.33%
PM growth 5Y4.6%
GM growth 3Y1.42%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.67
Debt/FCF 7.27
Debt/EBITDA 2.32
Cap/Depr 106.54%
Cap/Sales 22.97%
Interest Coverage 6.48
Cash Conversion 87.34%
Profit Quality 124.94%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.68
Altman-Z 1.16
F-Score6
WACC6.08%
ROIC/WACC1.77
Cap/Depr(3y)99.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)24.4%
Profit Quality(3y)124.87%
Profit Quality(5y)106.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.32%
EPS 3Y-8.8%
EPS 5Y7.03%
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y9.24%
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.34%
EPS Next 5Y8.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y2.15%
Revenue growth 5Y0.42%
Sales Q2Q%0.77%
Revenue Next Year2.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y2.34%
Revenue Next 5Y2.37%
EBIT growth 1Y3.53%
EBIT growth 3Y10.18%
EBIT growth 5Y7.9%
EBIT Next Year93.15%
EBIT Next 3Y26.71%
EBIT Next 5Y18.24%
FCF growth 1Y6.63%
FCF growth 3Y1.56%
FCF growth 5Y1.25%
OCF growth 1Y4.53%
OCF growth 3Y2.1%
OCF growth 5Y2.44%