CARMAX INC (KMX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:KMX • US1431301027

Current stock price

41.71 USD
-0.13 (-0.31%)
At close:
41.68 USD
-0.03 (-0.07%)
After Hours:

This KMX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. KMX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • KMX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year KMX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years KMX has always been profitable.
  • KMX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
KMX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKMX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of KMX (1.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • KMX's Return On Equity of 7.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KMX outperforms 63.71% of its industry peers.
  • KMX's Return On Invested Capital of 0.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. KMX outperforms 41.13% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for KMX is significantly below the industry average of 13.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.79%
ROE 7.55%
ROIC 0.49%
ROA(3y)1.81%
ROA(5y)2.66%
ROE(3y)8.18%
ROE(5y)12.73%
ROIC(3y)0.57%
ROIC(5y)1.15%
KMX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKMX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of KMX (1.77%) is better than 61.29% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of KMX has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of KMX (0.59%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KMX has declined.
  • KMX has a Gross Margin of 11.06%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: KMX underperforms 87.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KMX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.59%
PM (TTM) 1.77%
GM 11.06%
OM growth 3Y-30.89%
OM growth 5Y-27.28%
PM growth 3Y-19.26%
PM growth 5Y-15.36%
GM growth 3Y2.19%
GM growth 5Y-3.87%
KMX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKMX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

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3

2. KMX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • KMX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for KMX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, KMX has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for KMX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
KMX Yearly Shares OutstandingKMX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
KMX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKMX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.54, we must say that KMX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of KMX (1.54) is worse than 60.48% of its industry peers.
  • KMX has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.99. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as KMX would need 8.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • KMX has a Debt to FCF ratio (8.99) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • KMX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.76. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.76, KMX is not doing good in the industry: 69.35% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.76
Debt/FCF 8.99
Altman-Z 1.54
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC4.09%
KMX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKMX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.99 indicates that KMX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of KMX (1.99) is better than 80.65% of its industry peers.
  • KMX has a Quick Ratio of 1.99. This is a bad value and indicates that KMX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • KMX has a Quick ratio (0.51) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.99
Quick Ratio 0.51
KMX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKMX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. KMX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.75% over the past year.
  • KMX shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.31% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.15% in the past year.
  • KMX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.34% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.75%
EPS 3Y-22.26%
EPS 5Y-9.31%
EPS Q2Q%-46.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.34%
Sales Q2Q%-6.9%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, KMX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.00% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, KMX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.05%
EPS Next 2Y-11.65%
EPS Next 3Y-1.82%
EPS Next 5Y24%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.09%
Revenue Next 5Y1.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
KMX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKMX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B
KMX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKMX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

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4

4. KMX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.50, which indicates a correct valuation of KMX.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of KMX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: KMX is cheaper than 78.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.96. KMX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.34, KMX is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, KMX is valued a bit cheaper than 68.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KMX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.5
Fwd PE 16.34
KMX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKMX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.13% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than KMX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of KMX indicates a rather cheap valuation: KMX is cheaper than 95.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.03
EV/EBITDA 48.25
KMX Per share dataKMX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-11.65%
EPS Next 3Y-1.82%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. KMX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • KMX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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KMX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CARMAX INC

NYSE:KMX (3/16/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 41.68 -0.03 (-0.07%)

41.71

-0.13 (-0.31%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)12-18
Earnings (Next)04-08
Inst Owners109.03%
Inst Owner Change4.07%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change0.98%
Market Cap5.91B
Revenue(TTM)25.94B
Net Income(TTM)457.84M
Analysts55.56
Price Target41.18 (-1.27%)
Short Float %10.67%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.42%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.06%
Max EPS beat(4)16.86%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.07%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)10.32%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.67%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.7%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.7%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.34%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)1.44%
PT rev (3m)-6.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.5
Fwd PE 16.34
P/S 0.23
P/FCF 3.03
P/OCF 2.38
P/B 0.98
P/tB 1
EV/EBITDA 48.25
EPS(TTM)3.09
EY7.41%
EPS(NY)2.55
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)13.74
FCFY32.95%
OCF(TTM)17.52
OCFY42.01%
SpS182.92
BVpS42.77
TBVpS41.77
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number54.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.79%
ROE 7.55%
ROCE 0.65%
ROIC 0.49%
ROICexc 0.49%
ROICexgc 0.49%
OM 0.59%
PM (TTM) 1.77%
GM 11.06%
FCFM 7.51%
ROA(3y)1.81%
ROA(5y)2.66%
ROE(3y)8.18%
ROE(5y)12.73%
ROIC(3y)0.57%
ROIC(5y)1.15%
ROICexc(3y)0.58%
ROICexc(5y)1.16%
ROICexgc(3y)0.58%
ROICexgc(5y)1.16%
ROCE(3y)0.76%
ROCE(5y)1.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.83%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-27.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-27.09%
OM growth 3Y-30.89%
OM growth 5Y-27.28%
PM growth 3Y-19.26%
PM growth 5Y-15.36%
GM growth 3Y2.19%
GM growth 5Y-3.87%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.01
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.76
Debt/FCF 8.99
Debt/EBITDA 34.79
Cap/Depr 162.46%
Cap/Sales 2.06%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 515.53%
Profit Quality 425.68%
Current Ratio 1.99
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 1.54
F-Score8
WACC4.09%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)165.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)135.54%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.75%
EPS 3Y-22.26%
EPS 5Y-9.31%
EPS Q2Q%-46.91%
EPS Next Y-18.05%
EPS Next 2Y-11.65%
EPS Next 3Y-1.82%
EPS Next 5Y24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.34%
Sales Q2Q%-6.9%
Revenue Next Year-2.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.1%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.09%
Revenue Next 5Y1.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.01%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.16%
EBIT growth 5Y-23.4%
EBIT Next Year22.81%
EBIT Next 3Y7.58%
EBIT Next 5Y21.46%
FCF growth 1Y383.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1181.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CARMAX INC / KMX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CARMAX INC (KMX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to KMX.


What is the valuation status for KMX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CARMAX INC (KMX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of KMX stock?

CARMAX INC (KMX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CARMAX INC (KMX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CARMAX INC (KMX) is 13.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.98.


Can you provide the financial health for KMX stock?

The financial health rating of CARMAX INC (KMX) is 3 / 10.