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KODIAK GAS SERVICES INC (KGS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:KGS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US50012A1088 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

43.7  -1.36 (-3.02%)

After market: 43.7 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, KGS scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. KGS was compared to 59 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of KGS have multiple concerns. KGS is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

KGS had positive earnings in the past year.
KGS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
KGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.53%, KGS is doing worse than 63.79% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of KGS (1.92%) is worse than 60.34% of its industry peers.
KGS has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.19%. This is in the lower half of the industry: KGS underperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for KGS is below the industry average of 8.19%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.53%
ROE 1.92%
ROIC 4.19%
ROA(3y)3.31%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)22.34%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)N/A
KGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

KGS's Profit Margin of 2.23% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KGS is outperformed by 60.34% of its industry peers.
KGS has a Operating Margin of 24.19%. This is amongst the best in the industry. KGS outperforms 91.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KGS has declined.
The Gross Margin of KGS (59.86%) is better than 96.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KGS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.19%
PM (TTM) 2.23%
GM 59.86%
OM growth 3Y-3.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.97%
GM growth 5YN/A
KGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

KGS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
KGS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for KGS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
KGS Yearly Shares OutstandingKGS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
KGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

KGS has an Altman-Z score of 1.22. This is a bad value and indicates that KGS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
KGS's Altman-Z score of 1.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KGS is outperformed by 68.97% of its industry peers.
KGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
KGS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.08. This is amonst the worse of the industry: KGS underperforms 91.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.08
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.22
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC9.4%
KGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.27 indicates that KGS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.27, KGS is not doing good in the industry: 82.76% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.93 indicates that KGS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
KGS has a Quick ratio of 0.93. This is amonst the worse of the industry: KGS underperforms 84.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 0.93
KGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for KGS have decreased strongly by -81.74% in the last year.
The Revenue has grown by 20.13% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 16.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-81.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-86.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.13%
Revenue growth 3Y16.89%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%40.55%

3.2 Future

KGS is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 45.11% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.39% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y35.4%
EPS Next 2Y54.63%
EPS Next 3Y45.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year38.21%
Revenue Next 2Y26.68%
Revenue Next 3Y19.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
KGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B
KGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 85.69, which means the current valuation is very expensive for KGS.
72.41% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than KGS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, KGS is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.34, the valuation of KGS can be described as rather expensive.
KGS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. KGS is more expensive than 68.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.68, KGS is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.69
Fwd PE 24.34
KGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

87.93% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than KGS, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.14
KGS Per share dataKGS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates KGS does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as KGS's earnings are expected to grow with 45.11% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y54.63%
EPS Next 3Y45.11%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

KGS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.58%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
KGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.47. KGS pays more dividend than 87.93% of the companies in the same industry.
KGS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.58%

5.2 History

KGS has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
KGS Yearly Dividends per shareKGS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

355.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KGS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP355.08%
EPS Next 2Y54.63%
EPS Next 3Y45.11%
KGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKGS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M
KGS Dividend Payout.KGS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KGS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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KODIAK GAS SERVICES INC

NYSE:KGS (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 43.7 0 (0%)

43.7

-1.36 (-3.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-05 2025-03-05/amc
Inst Owners27.75%
Inst Owner Change54.76%
Ins Owners0.55%
Ins Owner Change-1.62%
Market Cap3.82B
Analysts82.35
Price Target46.61 (6.66%)
Short Float %6.11%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.58%
Yearly Dividend0.39
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP355.08%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-14 2025-02-14 (0.41)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-78.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-86.57%
Max EPS beat(2)-71.01%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-70.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-130.46%
Max EPS beat(4)5.79%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.48%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.48%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.1%
PT rev (3m)33.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.69
Fwd PE 24.34
P/S 3.55
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 14.02
P/B 3.06
P/tB 5.68
EV/EBITDA 13.14
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY1.17%
EPS(NY)1.8
Fwd EY4.11%
FCF(TTM)-0.75
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.12
OCFY7.13%
SpS12.32
BVpS14.28
TBVpS7.69
PEG (NY)2.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.53%
ROE 1.92%
ROCE 6.28%
ROIC 4.19%
ROICexc 4.2%
ROICexgc 4.87%
OM 24.19%
PM (TTM) 2.23%
GM 59.86%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.31%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)22.34%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.98%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.85%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.43%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.89%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-3.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.97%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.08
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.23
Cap/Depr 143.01%
Cap/Sales 31.41%
Interest Coverage 1.73
Cash Conversion 54.81%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 0.93
Altman-Z 1.22
F-Score6
WACC9.4%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)131.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)31.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-81.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-86.49%
EPS Next Y35.4%
EPS Next 2Y54.63%
EPS Next 3Y45.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.13%
Revenue growth 3Y16.89%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%40.55%
Revenue Next Year38.21%
Revenue Next 2Y26.68%
Revenue Next 3Y19.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.01%
EBIT growth 3Y13.05%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year140.17%
EBIT Next 3Y44.65%
EBIT Next 5Y22.51%
FCF growth 1Y217.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.17%
OCF growth 3Y2.96%
OCF growth 5YN/A