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KELLANOVA (KEL.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:KEL - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US4878361082 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

68.84  +0.66 (+0.97%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to KEL. KEL was compared to 57 industry peers in the Food Products industry. KEL has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. KEL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

KEL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year KEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
KEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years KEL had a positive operating cash flow.
KEL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKEL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of KEL (8.92%) is better than 91.23% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of KEL (35.25%) is better than 96.49% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of KEL (13.11%) is better than 96.49% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for KEL is significantly above the industry average of 6.98%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.11%) for KEL is above the 3 year average (11.99%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.92%
ROE 35.25%
ROIC 13.11%
ROA(3y)6.62%
ROA(5y)7%
ROE(3y)29.96%
ROE(5y)34.02%
ROIC(3y)11.99%
ROIC(5y)11.58%
KEL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKEL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 10.92%, KEL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.46% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of KEL has grown nicely.
KEL's Operating Margin of 15.51% is amongst the best of the industry. KEL outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
KEL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
KEL has a Gross Margin (36.59%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
KEL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.51%
PM (TTM) 10.92%
GM 36.59%
OM growth 3Y5.23%
OM growth 5Y6.89%
PM growth 3Y0.13%
PM growth 5Y8.3%
GM growth 3Y3.3%
GM growth 5Y2.28%
KEL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKEL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so KEL is still creating some value.
KEL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
KEL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, KEL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
KEL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingKEL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
KEL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKEL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.46 indicates that KEL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
KEL has a better Altman-Z score (3.46) than 85.96% of its industry peers.
KEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.51. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as KEL would need 6.51 years to pay back of all of its debts.
KEL has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.51) which is in line with its industry peers.
KEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.43. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.43, KEL is doing worse than 82.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.43
Debt/FCF 6.51
Altman-Z 3.46
ROIC/WACC1.61
WACC8.13%
KEL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKEL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that KEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
KEL's Current ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KEL is outperformed by 85.96% of its industry peers.
KEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that KEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
KEL has a Quick ratio of 0.52. This is in the lower half of the industry: KEL underperforms 71.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.52
KEL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKEL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for KEL have decreased by -8.11% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, KEL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.46% on average per year.
KEL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.96%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.25% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.11%
EPS 3Y-2.63%
EPS 5Y-0.46%
EPS Q2Q%-10.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.25%
Sales Q2Q%-3.66%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, KEL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.63% on average per year.
KEL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.1%
EPS Next 2Y2.12%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.63%
Revenue Next Year0.51%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y2.05%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
KEL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKEL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B
KEL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKEL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.31, KEL is valued on the expensive side.
KEL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
KEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.50.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.86 indicates a rather expensive valuation of KEL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, KEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.42% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.44, KEL is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.31
Fwd PE 19.86
KEL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKEL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

KEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. KEL is more expensive than 71.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of KEL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: KEL is more expensive than 63.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 32.04
EV/EBITDA 13.87
KEL.DE Per share dataKEL.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of KEL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.12%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

KEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.86%.
KEL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, KEL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.86%

5.2 History

The dividend of KEL has a limited annual growth rate of 1.51%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.51%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
KEL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareKEL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

56.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KEL. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of KEL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP56.67%
EPS Next 2Y2.12%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%
KEL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKEL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B
KEL.DE Dividend Payout.KEL.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KEL.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KELLANOVA

FRA:KEL (7/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

68.84

+0.66 (+0.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/bmo
Inst Owners82.54%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.44%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.88B
Analysts54.55
Price Target74.19 (7.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.86%
Yearly Dividend1.94
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.51%
DP56.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-12.53%
Max EPS beat(2)8.62%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.53%
Max EPS beat(4)9.89%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.81%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)7.62%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)8.34%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.93%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.37%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.28%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.61%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.52%
PT rev (1m)0.38%
PT rev (3m)-3.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.84%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.31
Fwd PE 19.86
P/S 2.19
P/FCF 32.04
P/OCF 18.29
P/B 7.06
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.87
EPS(TTM)3.23
EY4.69%
EPS(NY)3.47
Fwd EY5.04%
FCF(TTM)2.15
FCFY3.12%
OCF(TTM)3.76
OCFY5.47%
SpS31.44
BVpS9.75
TBVpS-7.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.92%
ROE 35.25%
ROCE 17.6%
ROIC 13.11%
ROICexc 13.49%
ROICexgc 33.43%
OM 15.51%
PM (TTM) 10.92%
GM 36.59%
FCFM 6.83%
ROA(3y)6.62%
ROA(5y)7%
ROE(3y)29.96%
ROE(5y)34.02%
ROIC(3y)11.99%
ROIC(5y)11.58%
ROICexc(3y)12.48%
ROICexc(5y)11.99%
ROICexgc(3y)36.74%
ROICexgc(5y)35.13%
ROCE(3y)15.6%
ROCE(5y)14.99%
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.53%
OM growth 3Y5.23%
OM growth 5Y6.89%
PM growth 3Y0.13%
PM growth 5Y8.3%
GM growth 3Y3.3%
GM growth 5Y2.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.43
Debt/FCF 6.51
Debt/EBITDA 2.41
Cap/Depr 174%
Cap/Sales 5.14%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 64.84%
Profit Quality 62.54%
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 3.46
F-Score7
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC1.61
Cap/Depr(3y)144.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)131.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.17%
Profit Quality(3y)102.41%
Profit Quality(5y)100.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.11%
EPS 3Y-2.63%
EPS 5Y-0.46%
EPS Q2Q%-10.89%
EPS Next Y-0.1%
EPS Next 2Y2.12%
EPS Next 3Y3.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.96%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.49%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.25%
Sales Q2Q%-3.66%
Revenue Next Year0.51%
Revenue Next 2Y1.48%
Revenue Next 3Y2.05%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%
EBIT growth 1Y23.29%
EBIT growth 3Y1.56%
EBIT growth 5Y5.55%
EBIT Next Year19.54%
EBIT Next 3Y9.19%
EBIT Next 5Y7.16%
FCF growth 1Y-17.57%
FCF growth 3Y-0.47%
FCF growth 5Y13.92%
OCF growth 1Y-5.5%
OCF growth 3Y1.14%
OCF growth 5Y8.4%