KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:KDP • US49271V1008

Current stock price

26.04 USD
+0.04 (+0.15%)
At close:
26.19 USD
+0.15 (+0.58%)
After Hours:

This KDP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. KDP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • KDP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • KDP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years KDP has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
KDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • KDP has a Return On Assets (3.75%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • KDP's Return On Equity of 8.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 52.94% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of KDP (5.74%) is worse than 64.71% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for KDP is significantly below the industry average of 11.70%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.74%) for KDP is above the 3 year average (5.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.75%
ROE 8.15%
ROIC 5.74%
ROA(3y)3.54%
ROA(5y)3.53%
ROE(3y)7.53%
ROE(5y)7.38%
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
KDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • KDP's Profit Margin of 12.52% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 76.47% of its industry peers.
  • KDP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 22.38%, KDP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KDP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 54.20%, KDP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KDP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.38%
PM (TTM) 12.52%
GM 54.2%
OM growth 3Y1.79%
OM growth 5Y-2.51%
PM growth 3Y7.02%
PM growth 5Y1.89%
GM growth 3Y1.29%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
KDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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1

2. KDP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • KDP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for KDP remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for KDP is higher compared to a year ago.
KDP Yearly Shares OutstandingKDP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B
KDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • KDP has an Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • KDP has a Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: KDP outperforms 41.18% of its industry peers.
  • KDP has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.49. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as KDP would need 11.49 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of KDP (11.49) is worse than 61.76% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63 indicates that KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of KDP (0.63) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 11.49
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC6.93%
KDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.64 indicates that KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • KDP's Current ratio of 0.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KDP is outperformed by 79.41% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.43 indicates that KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • KDP's Quick ratio of 0.43 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KDP is outperformed by 67.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.43
KDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. KDP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.77% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.93% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, KDP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.16% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.40% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.77%
EPS 3Y6.86%
EPS 5Y7.93%
EPS Q2Q%3.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.16%
Revenue growth 3Y5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.4%
Sales Q2Q%10.54%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, KDP will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.87% on average per year.
  • KDP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.98%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
EPS Next 5Y6.87%
Revenue Next Year59.08%
Revenue Next 2Y34.86%
Revenue Next 3Y23.41%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
KDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10B 20B 30B
KDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3 4

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6

4. KDP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.70, the valuation of KDP can be described as correct.
  • 79.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than KDP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. KDP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.24, the valuation of KDP can be described as reasonable.
  • KDP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. KDP is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.95, KDP is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.7
Fwd PE 11.24
KDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, KDP is valued a bit cheaper than 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KDP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.78
EV/EBITDA 11.42
KDP Per share dataKDP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • KDP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)1.6
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. KDP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.48%.
  • KDP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.75. KDP pays more dividend than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, KDP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.48%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of KDP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.89%!
  • KDP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • KDP has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.89%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years6
KDP Yearly Dividends per shareKDP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

  • 60.13% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KDP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.13%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
KDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
KDP Dividend Payout.KDP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KDP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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KDP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

NASDAQ:KDP (4/16/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 26.19 +0.15 (+0.58%)

26.04

+0.04 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners97.39%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change0.07%
Market Cap35.38B
Revenue(TTM)16.60B
Net Income(TTM)2.08B
Analysts74.29
Price Target36.23 (39.13%)
Short Float %4.15%
Short Ratio5.05
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.48%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.89%
DP60.13%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date03-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)0.86%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.08%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)1.9%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)1.17%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.69%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.45%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.32%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.47%
PT rev (1m)1.45%
PT rev (3m)2.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)51.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.7
Fwd PE 11.24
P/S 2.13
P/FCF 23.78
P/OCF 17.77
P/B 1.39
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.42
EPS(TTM)2.05
EY7.87%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY8.89%
FCF(TTM)1.1
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)1.47
OCFY5.63%
SpS12.22
BVpS18.78
TBVpS-13.58
PEG (NY)0.98
PEG (5Y)1.6
Graham Number29.4318 (13.03%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.75%
ROE 8.15%
ROCE 7.88%
ROIC 5.74%
ROICexc 5.86%
ROICexgc 64.38%
OM 22.38%
PM (TTM) 12.52%
GM 54.2%
FCFM 8.96%
ROA(3y)3.54%
ROA(5y)3.53%
ROE(3y)7.53%
ROE(5y)7.38%
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
ROICexc(3y)5.61%
ROICexc(5y)5.51%
ROICexgc(3y)100.95%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.59%
ROCE(5y)7.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-47.66%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y4.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.78%
OM growth 3Y1.79%
OM growth 5Y-2.51%
PM growth 3Y7.02%
PM growth 5Y1.89%
GM growth 3Y1.29%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 11.49
Debt/EBITDA 3.72
Cap/Depr 84.82%
Cap/Sales 3.03%
Interest Coverage 6.26
Cash Conversion 46.21%
Profit Quality 71.57%
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.43
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score7
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)95.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.07%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.32%
Profit Quality(3y)73.76%
Profit Quality(5y)101.03%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.77%
EPS 3Y6.86%
EPS 5Y7.93%
EPS Q2Q%3.45%
EPS Next Y12.98%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
EPS Next 5Y6.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.16%
Revenue growth 3Y5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.4%
Sales Q2Q%10.54%
Revenue Next Year59.08%
Revenue Next 2Y34.86%
Revenue Next 3Y23.41%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y9.42%
EBIT growth 3Y7.6%
EBIT growth 5Y4.7%
EBIT Next Year54.95%
EBIT Next 3Y21.94%
EBIT Next 5Y7.17%
FCF growth 1Y-6.83%
FCF growth 3Y-15.41%
FCF growth 5Y-5.16%
OCF growth 1Y-10.27%
OCF growth 3Y-11.13%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC / KDP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to KDP.


What is the valuation status for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for KDP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is expected to grow by 12.98% in the next year.


Is the dividend of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 60.13%.