KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:KDP • US49271V1008

29.13 USD
-0.56 (-1.89%)
At close: Feb 17, 2026
29.32 USD
+0.19 (+0.65%)
After Hours: 2/17/2026, 8:00:03 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, KDP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. KDP was compared to 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. While KDP is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. KDP is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year KDP was profitable.
  • In the past year KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • KDP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
KDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of KDP (2.90%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • KDP has a worse Return On Equity (6.25%) than 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of KDP (5.64%) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for KDP is significantly below the industry average of 11.40%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.64%) for KDP is above the 3 year average (5.40%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 6.25%
ROIC 5.64%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
KDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 9.78%, KDP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of KDP has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.91%, KDP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KDP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • KDP has a Gross Margin of 54.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: KDP outperforms 69.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 9.78%
GM 54.76%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
KDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), KDP is destroying value.
  • KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • KDP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
KDP Yearly Shares OutstandingKDP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
KDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.42, we must say that KDP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of KDP (1.42) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of KDP is 10.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take KDP, 10.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.44, KDP is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62 indicates that KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of KDP (0.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 10.44
Altman-Z 1.42
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC6.97%
KDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • KDP has a Current Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • KDP's Current ratio of 0.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KDP is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • KDP has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of KDP (0.36) is worse than 78.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.36
KDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.41%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.49% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.77%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.77%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%

3.2 Future

  • KDP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.11% yearly.
  • KDP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.39%
EPS Next 2Y6.85%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y7.11%
Revenue Next Year7.43%
Revenue Next 2Y6.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.31%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
KDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
KDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.35, which indicates a correct valuation of KDP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, KDP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • KDP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.16, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.29, which indicates a correct valuation of KDP.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of KDP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: KDP is cheaper than 78.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.10, KDP is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.35
Fwd PE 13.29
KDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of KDP is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as KDP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.75
EV/EBITDA 13.36
KDP Per share dataKDP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates KDP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)1.94
PEG (5Y)1.51
EPS Next 2Y6.85%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.08%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.62, KDP pays a better dividend. On top of this KDP pays more dividend than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, KDP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.08%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of KDP grows each year by 7.69%, which is quite nice.
  • KDP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • KDP has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years5
KDP Yearly Dividends per shareKDP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

  • KDP pays out 78.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP78.89%
EPS Next 2Y6.85%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
KDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
KDP Dividend Payout.KDP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KDP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

NASDAQ:KDP (2/17/2026, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 29.32 +0.19 (+0.65%)

29.13

-0.56 (-1.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)10-27
Earnings (Next)02-24
Inst Owners93.78%
Inst Owner Change-1.25%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap39.58B
Revenue(TTM)16.17B
Net Income(TTM)1.58B
Analysts74.29
Price Target35.71 (22.59%)
Short Float %2.95%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.08%
Yearly Dividend0.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP78.89%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date01-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.3%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.06%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.7%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.69%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.08%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.43%
PT rev (1m)0.9%
PT rev (3m)1.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.35
Fwd PE 13.29
P/S 2.45
P/FCF 24.75
P/OCF 18.6
P/B 1.56
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.36
EPS(TTM)2.03
EY6.97%
EPS(NY)2.19
Fwd EY7.52%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY4.04%
OCF(TTM)1.57
OCFY5.38%
SpS11.91
BVpS18.64
TBVpS-13.73
PEG (NY)1.94
PEG (5Y)1.51
Graham Number29.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 6.25%
ROCE 7.53%
ROIC 5.64%
ROICexc 5.7%
ROICexgc 68.39%
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 9.78%
GM 54.76%
FCFM 9.89%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 10.44
Debt/EBITDA 3.8
Cap/Depr 90.89%
Cap/Sales 3.27%
Interest Coverage 6.29
Cash Conversion 51.59%
Profit Quality 101.08%
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 1.42
F-Score6
WACC6.97%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
EPS Next Y7.39%
EPS Next 2Y6.85%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y7.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.77%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%
Revenue Next Year7.43%
Revenue Next 2Y6.1%
Revenue Next 3Y5.31%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y0.43%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year21.73%
EBIT Next 3Y10.84%
EBIT Next 5Y7.42%
FCF growth 1Y18.88%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y20.16%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC / KDP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to KDP.


What is the valuation status of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC?

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for KDP stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is 14.35 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.56.


What is the expected EPS growth for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is expected to grow by 7.39% in the next year.