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KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:KDP - US49271V1008 - Common Stock

27.95 USD
+0.54 (+1.97%)
Last: 1/20/2026, 8:00:02 PM
27.94 USD
-0.01 (-0.04%)
Pre-Market: 1/21/2026, 7:53:28 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to KDP. KDP was compared to 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. There are concerns on the financial health of KDP while its profitability can be described as average. KDP is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year KDP was profitable.
  • In the past year KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years KDP has always been profitable.
  • KDP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
KDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • KDP has a Return On Assets of 2.90%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: KDP outperforms 42.42% of its industry peers.
  • KDP's Return On Equity of 6.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KDP is outperformed by 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • KDP has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.64%. This is in the lower half of the industry: KDP underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for KDP is significantly below the industry average of 11.45%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.64%) for KDP is above the 3 year average (5.40%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 6.25%
ROIC 5.64%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
KDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • KDP has a better Profit Margin (9.78%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of KDP has declined.
  • KDP's Operating Margin of 21.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 78.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
  • KDP has a Gross Margin of 54.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: KDP outperforms 69.70% of its industry peers.
  • KDP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 9.78%
GM 54.76%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
KDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • KDP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for KDP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for KDP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • KDP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
KDP Yearly Shares OutstandingKDP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
KDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • KDP has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • KDP has a Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is in the lower half of the industry: KDP underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of KDP is 10.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take KDP, 10.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.44, KDP is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • KDP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62. This is a neutral value indicating KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.62, KDP is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 10.44
Altman-Z 1.37
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.06%
KDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • KDP has a Current ratio of 0.62. This is amonst the worse of the industry: KDP underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • KDP has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.36, KDP is doing worse than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.36
KDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.41% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.49% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.77% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.77%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%

3.2 Future

  • KDP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.11% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, KDP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y6.78%
EPS Next 3Y6.73%
EPS Next 5Y7.11%
Revenue Next Year7.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.08%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
KDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
KDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.77 indicates a correct valuation of KDP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, KDP is valued a bit cheaper than 75.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.94. KDP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.77, the valuation of KDP can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of KDP indicates a rather cheap valuation: KDP is cheaper than 84.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • KDP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.94.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.77
Fwd PE 12.77
KDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as KDP.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as KDP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.75
EV/EBITDA 12.78
KDP Per share dataKDP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.83
PEG (5Y)1.45
EPS Next 2Y6.78%
EPS Next 3Y6.73%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.30%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.73, KDP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, KDP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.3%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of KDP grows each year by 7.69%, which is quite nice.
  • KDP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As KDP did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years5
KDP Yearly Dividends per shareKDP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

  • 78.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by KDP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • KDP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP78.89%
EPS Next 2Y6.78%
EPS Next 3Y6.73%
KDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
KDP Dividend Payout.KDP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KDP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

NASDAQ:KDP (1/20/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

Premarket: 27.94 -0.01 (-0.04%)

27.95

+0.54 (+1.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)10-27
Earnings (Next)02-23
Inst Owners93.78%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change-0.15%
Market Cap37.97B
Revenue(TTM)16.17B
Net Income(TTM)1.58B
Analysts73.64
Price Target35.39 (26.62%)
Short Float %3.18%
Short Ratio2.95
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.3%
Yearly Dividend0.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP78.89%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date01-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.3%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.1%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.06%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.7%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.69%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.08%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.1%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.43%
PT rev (1m)-1.25%
PT rev (3m)-1.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.77
Fwd PE 12.77
P/S 2.35
P/FCF 23.75
P/OCF 17.84
P/B 1.5
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.78
EPS(TTM)2.03
EY7.26%
EPS(NY)2.19
Fwd EY7.83%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)1.57
OCFY5.6%
SpS11.91
BVpS18.64
TBVpS-13.73
PEG (NY)1.83
PEG (5Y)1.45
Graham Number29.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 6.25%
ROCE 7.53%
ROIC 5.64%
ROICexc 5.7%
ROICexgc 68.39%
OM 21.91%
PM (TTM) 9.78%
GM 54.76%
FCFM 9.89%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.62
Debt/FCF 10.44
Debt/EBITDA 3.8
Cap/Depr 90.89%
Cap/Sales 3.27%
Interest Coverage 6.29
Cash Conversion 51.59%
Profit Quality 101.08%
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 1.37
F-Score6
WACC7.06%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y6.78%
EPS Next 3Y6.73%
EPS Next 5Y7.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.77%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%
Revenue Next Year7.44%
Revenue Next 2Y6.08%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y0.43%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year22.16%
EBIT Next 3Y10.79%
EBIT Next 5Y7.42%
FCF growth 1Y18.88%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y20.16%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC / KDP FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to KDP.


What is the valuation status of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC?

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for KDP stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is 13.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.5.


What is the expected EPS growth for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is expected to grow by 7.51% in the next year.