KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:KDP • US49271V1008

Current stock price

29.09 USD
-0.31 (-1.05%)
At close:
29.22 USD
+0.13 (+0.45%)
After Hours:

This KDP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. KDP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • KDP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • KDP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
KDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFKDP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.50%, KDP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • KDP has a Return On Equity (6.17%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • KDP's Return On Invested Capital of 4.32% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. KDP is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • KDP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.54%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.92%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.5%
ROE 6.17%
ROIC 4.32%
ROA(3y)3.54%
ROA(5y)3.53%
ROE(3y)7.53%
ROE(5y)7.38%
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
KDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICKDP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • KDP's Profit Margin of 10.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • KDP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • KDP's Operating Margin of 21.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 78.79% of its industry peers.
  • KDP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • KDP has a better Gross Margin (53.78%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.8%
PM (TTM) 10.81%
GM 53.78%
OM growth 3Y1.79%
OM growth 5Y-2.51%
PM growth 3Y7.02%
PM growth 5Y1.89%
GM growth 3Y1.29%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
KDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsKDP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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4

2. KDP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so KDP is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, KDP has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for KDP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for KDP is higher compared to a year ago.
KDP Yearly Shares OutstandingKDP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B
KDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsKDP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • KDP has an Altman-Z score of 1.27. This is a bad value and indicates that KDP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • KDP has a Altman-Z score of 1.27. This is in the lower half of the industry: KDP underperforms 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of KDP is 16.96, which is on the high side as it means it would take KDP, 16.96 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of KDP (16.96) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81 indicates that KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • KDP has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.81) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.81
Debt/FCF 16.96
Altman-Z 1.27
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC7.15%
KDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFKDP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • KDP has a Current Ratio of 2.31. This indicates that KDP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • KDP's Current ratio of 2.31 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. KDP outperforms 75.76% of its industry peers.
  • KDP has a Quick Ratio of 2.12. This indicates that KDP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of KDP (2.12) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.31
Quick Ratio 2.12
KDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesKDP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. KDP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.06%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 9.19% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.40% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.06%
EPS 3Y6.86%
EPS 5Y7.93%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.19%
Revenue growth 3Y5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.38%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, KDP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.84% on average per year.
  • KDP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 15.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.98%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
EPS Next 5Y8.84%
Revenue Next Year58.79%
Revenue Next 2Y34.72%
Revenue Next 3Y23.4%
Revenue Next 5Y15.57%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
KDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesKDP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
KDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesKDP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1 2 3 4

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5

4. KDP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.40, KDP is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, KDP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.64. KDP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.38, the valuation of KDP can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of KDP indicates a rather cheap valuation: KDP is cheaper than 87.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • KDP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.36, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.4
Fwd PE 11.38
KDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsKDP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • KDP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as KDP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.08
EV/EBITDA 14.69
KDP Per share dataKDP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • KDP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)1.82
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. KDP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.13%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.91, KDP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, KDP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of KDP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.89%!
  • KDP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As KDP did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.89%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years6
KDP Yearly Dividends per shareKDP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

  • KDP pays out 68.23% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP68.23%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
KDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendKDP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
KDP Dividend Payout.KDP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.KDP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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KDP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

NASDAQ:KDP (5/1/2026, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 29.22 +0.13 (+0.45%)

29.09

-0.31 (-1.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Industry Strength51.55
Industry Growth67.08
Earnings (Last)04-23
Earnings (Next)07-22
Inst Owners97.39%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change0.07%
Market Cap39.52B
Revenue(TTM)16.94B
Net Income(TTM)1.83B
Analysts74.29
Price Target34.17 (17.46%)
Short Float %4.82%
Short Ratio5.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.89%
DP68.23%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date03-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.31%
Min EPS beat(2)0.86%
Max EPS beat(2)3.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.38%
Max EPS beat(4)3.75%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.13%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.44%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.68%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.47%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.55%
PT rev (1m)-6.74%
PT rev (3m)-3.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)66.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)51.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.4
Fwd PE 11.38
P/S 2.33
P/FCF 25.08
P/OCF 19.16
P/B 1.33
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.69
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY6.94%
EPS(NY)2.56
Fwd EY8.78%
FCF(TTM)1.16
FCFY3.99%
OCF(TTM)1.52
OCFY5.22%
SpS12.47
BVpS21.84
TBVpS-10.44
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)1.82
Graham Number31.509 (8.32%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.5%
ROE 6.17%
ROCE 5.85%
ROIC 4.32%
ROICexc 4.38%
ROICexgc 13.71%
OM 21.8%
PM (TTM) 10.81%
GM 53.78%
FCFM 9.3%
ROA(3y)3.54%
ROA(5y)3.53%
ROE(3y)7.53%
ROE(5y)7.38%
ROIC(3y)5.54%
ROIC(5y)5.44%
ROICexc(3y)5.61%
ROICexc(5y)5.51%
ROICexgc(3y)100.95%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.59%
ROCE(5y)7.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-47.66%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y4.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.78%
OM growth 3Y1.79%
OM growth 5Y-2.51%
PM growth 3Y7.02%
PM growth 5Y1.89%
GM growth 3Y1.29%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.81
Debt/FCF 16.96
Debt/EBITDA 5.57
Cap/Depr 80.63%
Cap/Sales 2.87%
Interest Coverage 6.18
Cash Conversion 48.01%
Profit Quality 86.03%
Current Ratio 2.31
Quick Ratio 2.12
Altman-Z 1.27
F-Score4
WACC7.15%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)95.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.07%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.32%
Profit Quality(3y)73.76%
Profit Quality(5y)101.03%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.06%
EPS 3Y6.86%
EPS 5Y7.93%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y12.98%
EPS Next 2Y11.65%
EPS Next 3Y9.92%
EPS Next 5Y8.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.19%
Revenue growth 3Y5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.4%
Sales Q2Q%9.38%
Revenue Next Year58.79%
Revenue Next 2Y34.72%
Revenue Next 3Y23.4%
Revenue Next 5Y15.57%
EBIT growth 1Y7.57%
EBIT growth 3Y7.6%
EBIT growth 5Y4.7%
EBIT Next Year54.95%
EBIT Next 3Y21.94%
EBIT Next 5Y11.73%
FCF growth 1Y100.51%
FCF growth 3Y-15.41%
FCF growth 5Y-5.16%
OCF growth 1Y53.61%
OCF growth 3Y-11.13%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC / KDP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to KDP.


What is the valuation status for KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) stock?

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for KDP stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is expected to grow by 12.98% in the next year.


Is the dividend of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (KDP) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 68.23%.