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KINROSS GOLD CORP (K.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:K - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA4969024047 - Common Stock

14.91  +0.17 (+1.15%)

Fundamental Rating

6

K gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 822 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While K has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. K scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

K had positive earnings in the past year.
K had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: K reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years K 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
K.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFK.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

K's Return On Assets of 6.87% is amongst the best of the industry. K outperforms 92.16% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 11.11%, K belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.24% of the companies in the same industry.
K has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. K outperforms 95.14% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for K is significantly below the industry average of 11.88%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.08%) for K is above the 3 year average (5.57%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.87%
ROE 11.11%
ROIC 9.08%
ROA(3y)0.08%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)-0.06%
ROE(5y)6.73%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.45%
K.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICK.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 15.23%, K belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.14% of the companies in the same industry.
K's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
K's Operating Margin of 24.70% is amongst the best of the industry. K outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
K's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
K has a Gross Margin of 31.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. K outperforms 92.30% of its industry peers.
K's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.7%
PM (TTM) 15.23%
GM 31.95%
OM growth 3Y-14.17%
OM growth 5Y26%
PM growth 3Y-32.45%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.21%
GM growth 5Y9.39%
K.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsK.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so K is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for K. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
K.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingK.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
K.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsK.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.65, we must say that K is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
K has a Altman-Z score (1.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
K has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.67. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.67, K belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.24% of the companies in the same industry.
K has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.19, K is not doing good in the industry: 72.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for K, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 1.67
Altman-Z 1.65
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC10.06%
K.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFK.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

K has a Current Ratio of 1.61. This is a normal value and indicates that K is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
K has a Current ratio (1.61) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that K may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
K has a worse Quick ratio (0.63) than 67.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.63
K.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesK.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

K shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 40.14%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, K shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 34.55% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, K shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.44% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, K shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.14%
EPS 3Y-16.95%
EPS 5Y34.55%
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.44%
Revenue growth 3Y0.21%
Revenue growth 5Y5.71%
Sales Q2Q%29.9%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, K will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.79% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, K will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -1.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y66.03%
EPS Next 2Y39.42%
EPS Next 3Y24.81%
EPS Next 5Y-1.79%
Revenue Next Year24.44%
Revenue Next 2Y14.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.57%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
K.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesK.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
K.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesK.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.54, the valuation of K can be described as rather expensive.
90.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than K, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of K to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.96), we can say K is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.09, the valuation of K can be described as correct.
90.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than K, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
K is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.54
Fwd PE 12.09
K.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsK.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

93.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than K, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
94.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than K, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.53
EV/EBITDA 5.84
K.CA Per share dataK.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of K may justify a higher PE ratio.
K's earnings are expected to grow with 24.81% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y39.42%
EPS Next 3Y24.81%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.06%, K has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, K pays a better dividend. On top of this K pays more dividend than 95.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.06, K pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.06%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of K grows each year by 8.50%, which is quite nice.
K has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
K has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
K.CA Yearly Dividends per shareK.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

K pays out 19.96% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.96%
EPS Next 2Y39.42%
EPS Next 3Y24.81%
K.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendK.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B
K.CA Dividend Payout.K.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.K.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KINROSS GOLD CORP

TSX:K (1/17/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

14.91

+0.17 (+1.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners65.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap18.33B
Analysts81.33
Price Target18.47 (23.88%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.06%
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.5%
DP19.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.85%
Min EPS beat(2)1.8%
Max EPS beat(2)25.89%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)24.57%
Min EPS beat(4)1.8%
Max EPS beat(4)57.06%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)34.17%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.01%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)15.06%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)18.64%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)12.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)18.64%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.77%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.78%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.81%
PT rev (1m)1.37%
PT rev (3m)16.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)152.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)51.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.54
Fwd PE 12.09
P/S 2.63
P/FCF 12.53
P/OCF 6
P/B 1.92
P/tB 1.92
EV/EBITDA 5.84
EPS(TTM)0.85
EY5.7%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY8.27%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY7.98%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY16.66%
SpS5.67
BVpS7.78
TBVpS7.78
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)0.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.87%
ROE 11.11%
ROCE 12.61%
ROIC 9.08%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 9.56%
OM 24.7%
PM (TTM) 15.23%
GM 31.95%
FCFM 20.97%
ROA(3y)0.08%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)-0.06%
ROE(5y)6.73%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.45%
ROICexc(3y)5.83%
ROICexc(5y)6.97%
ROICexgc(3y)5.87%
ROICexgc(5y)7.06%
ROCE(3y)7.73%
ROCE(5y)8.95%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-18.08%
ROICexcg growth 5Y25.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.65%
OM growth 3Y-14.17%
OM growth 5Y26%
PM growth 3Y-32.45%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.21%
GM growth 5Y9.39%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 1.67
Debt/EBITDA 0.54
Cap/Depr 97.51%
Cap/Sales 22.81%
Interest Coverage 8.26
Cash Conversion 91.03%
Profit Quality 137.65%
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 1.65
F-Score7
WACC10.06%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)106.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)25.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.14%
EPS 3Y-16.95%
EPS 5Y34.55%
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y66.03%
EPS Next 2Y39.42%
EPS Next 3Y24.81%
EPS Next 5Y-1.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.44%
Revenue growth 3Y0.21%
Revenue growth 5Y5.71%
Sales Q2Q%29.9%
Revenue Next Year24.44%
Revenue Next 2Y14.41%
Revenue Next 3Y8.86%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.57%
EBIT growth 1Y31.67%
EBIT growth 3Y-14%
EBIT growth 5Y33.19%
EBIT Next Year221.63%
EBIT Next 3Y46.68%
EBIT Next 5Y14.73%
FCF growth 1Y2272.44%
FCF growth 3Y-21.33%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y174.55%
OCF growth 3Y-6.4%
OCF growth 5Y15.27%