NORDSTROM INC (JWN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:JWN - US6556641008 - Common Stock
24.66 USD
+0.02 (+0.08%)
24.6601 USD
0 (0%)
Overall JWN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated JWN against 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While JWN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. JWN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
JWN had positive earnings in the past year.
JWN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years JWN 4 years were profitable.
JWN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
JWN has a Return On Assets of 3.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: JWN outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 25.88%, JWN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.75%. This is in the better half of the industry: JWN outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
JWN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.32%. This is below the industry average of 9.35%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.32%) for JWN is below the current ROIC(7.75%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of JWN (1.96%) is better than 61.29% of its industry peers.
JWN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
JWN's Operating Margin of 3.66% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. JWN outperforms 51.61% of its industry peers.
JWN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 37.43%, JWN is not doing good in the industry: 64.52% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of JWN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% |
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
JWN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
JWN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
JWN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, JWN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
JWN has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that JWN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
JWN has a Altman-Z score (1.90) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
JWN has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.49. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as JWN would need 3.49 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.49, JWN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.30 is on the high side and indicates that JWN has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.30, JWN is doing worse than 80.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC9.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that JWN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
JWN's Current ratio of 1.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. JWN is outperformed by 74.19% of its industry peers.
JWN has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that JWN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of JWN (0.51) is worse than 87.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
JWN shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.42%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -8.54% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.21% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, JWN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.79% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, JWN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.47 indicates a reasonable valuation of JWN.
JWN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. JWN is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of JWN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say JWN is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.91, the valuation of JWN can be described as reasonable.
74.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than JWN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, JWN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
83.87% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than JWN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
90.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than JWN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.37%, JWN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
JWN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 14.97. JWN pays more dividend than 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
JWN's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
5.2 History
The dividend of JWN decreases each year by -12.34%.
JWN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of JWN decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
JWN pays out 42.03% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP42.03%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
24.66
+0.02 (+0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners52.71%
Inst Owner Change-8.21%
Ins Owners25.6%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.12B
Revenue(TTM)15.02B
Net Income(TTM)295.00M
Analysts50.48
Price Target24.23 (-1.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.34%
DP42.03%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)36.31%
Min EPS beat(2)18.42%
Max EPS beat(2)54.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-27.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-216.28%
Max EPS beat(4)54.21%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)29.54%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)31.34%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)22.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.52%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.48%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.53%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.15%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.72%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-72.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.25 | ||
| P/B | 3.62 | ||
| P/tB | 4.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.95 |
EPS(TTM)2.15
EY8.72%
EPS(NY)2.07
Fwd EY8.4%
FCF(TTM)4.49
FCFY18.21%
OCF(TTM)7.58
OCFY30.72%
SpS89.8
BVpS6.82
TBVpS5.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.29% | ||
| ROE | 25.88% | ||
| ROCE | 9.34% | ||
| ROIC | 7.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.92% | ||
| OM | 3.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.96% | ||
| GM | 37.43% | ||
| FCFM | 5% |
ROA(3y)2.56%
ROA(5y)0.49%
ROE(3y)24.91%
ROE(5y)-24.17%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)8.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.94%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.82%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.96%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.9%
OM growth 3Y-0.3%
OM growth 5Y-8.18%
PM growth 3Y17.61%
PM growth 5Y-9.33%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.49 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.27 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 254.58% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.9 |
F-Score7
WACC9.92%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)86.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.45%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.47%
Profit Quality(3y)162.44%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.42%
EPS 3Y26.58%
EPS 5Y-8.54%
EPS Q2Q%14.58%
EPS Next Y-3.7%
EPS Next 2Y-4.07%
EPS Next 3Y3.55%
EPS Next 5Y15.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.21%
Revenue growth 3Y0.51%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.66%
Sales Q2Q%-2.19%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y1.73%
Revenue Next 3Y1.3%
Revenue Next 5Y2.12%
EBIT growth 1Y2.62%
EBIT growth 3Y0.2%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.79%
EBIT Next Year115.06%
EBIT Next 3Y36.23%
EBIT Next 5Y23.63%
FCF growth 1Y1344.23%
FCF growth 3Y55.69%
FCF growth 5Y20.06%
OCF growth 1Y104.03%
OCF growth 3Y21.58%
OCF growth 5Y0.5%
NORDSTROM INC / JWN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NORDSTROM INC (JWN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to JWN.
Can you provide the valuation status for NORDSTROM INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to NORDSTROM INC (JWN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NORDSTROM INC?
NORDSTROM INC (JWN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is NORDSTROM INC?
The financial health rating of NORDSTROM INC (JWN) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for NORDSTROM INC (JWN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NORDSTROM INC (JWN) is expected to decline by -3.7% in the next year.