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JOURNEY ENERGY INC (JOY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:JOY - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA48113W1023 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

1.53  +0.08 (+5.52%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall JOY gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated JOY against 219 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. JOY has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. JOY has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year JOY was profitable.
In the past year JOY had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years JOY reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years JOY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
JOY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFJOY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M -100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

JOY's Return On Assets of 0.84% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. JOY outperforms 50.68% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of JOY (1.54%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
JOY has a Return On Invested Capital (2.47%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for JOY is in line with the industry average of 7.60%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.19%) for JOY is well above the current ROIC(2.47%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.84%
ROE 1.54%
ROIC 2.47%
ROA(3y)18.21%
ROA(5y)5.17%
ROE(3y)59.02%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)7.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
JOY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICJOY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 200

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of JOY (2.87%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
JOY has a Operating Margin (9.33%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Gross Margin of JOY (47.80%) is better than 70.32% of its industry peers.
JOY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.33%
PM (TTM) 2.87%
GM 47.8%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y10.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
JOY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsJOY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

JOY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
JOY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
JOY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, JOY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
JOY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingJOY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
JOY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsJOY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.18, we must say that JOY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.18, JOY is not doing good in the industry: 63.01% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
JOY has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.64. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as JOY would need 6.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
JOY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (6.64) than 71.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that JOY is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.11, JOY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 6.64
Altman-Z 0.18
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC9.18%
JOY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFJOY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

JOY has a Current Ratio of 0.65. This is a bad value and indicates that JOY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
JOY has a Current ratio (0.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
JOY has a Quick Ratio of 0.65. This is a bad value and indicates that JOY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.65, JOY is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
JOY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesJOY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for JOY have decreased strongly by -94.83% in the last year.
Looking at the last year, JOY shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.17% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, JOY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.64% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-94.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-90.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.17%
Revenue growth 3Y42.94%
Revenue growth 5Y12.64%
Sales Q2Q%-15.1%

3.2 Future

JOY is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -30.72% yearly.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y-56%
EPS Next 2Y-30.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.99%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
JOY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesJOY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
JOY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesJOY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 -2 -3

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.86, the valuation of JOY can be described as rather expensive.
JOY's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of JOY to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.35), we can say JOY is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.62, which indicates a correct valuation of JOY.
JOY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of JOY to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say JOY is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.86
Fwd PE 12.62
JOY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsJOY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, JOY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of JOY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: JOY is cheaper than 69.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.1
EV/EBITDA 2.67
JOY.CA Per share dataJOY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as JOY's earnings are expected to decrease with -30.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-30.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

JOY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

JOURNEY ENERGY INC

TSX:JOY (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

1.53

+0.08 (+5.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)03-12 2025-03-12/amc
Inst Owners19.02%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners9.19%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap102.68M
Analysts77.5
Price Target4.53 (196.08%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-33.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-38.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-29.35%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-29.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-38.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-16.19%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-21.73%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.86
Fwd PE 12.62
P/S 0.6
P/FCF 11.1
P/OCF 1.91
P/B 0.32
P/tB 0.32
EV/EBITDA 2.67
EPS(TTM)0.07
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)0.12
Fwd EY7.92%
FCF(TTM)0.14
FCFY9.01%
OCF(TTM)0.8
OCFY52.34%
SpS2.57
BVpS4.8
TBVpS4.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.84%
ROE 1.54%
ROCE 3.11%
ROIC 2.47%
ROICexc 2.54%
ROICexgc 2.54%
OM 9.33%
PM (TTM) 2.87%
GM 47.8%
FCFM 5.36%
ROA(3y)18.21%
ROA(5y)5.17%
ROE(3y)59.02%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)7.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.59%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.59%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)9.07%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y10.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.51%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 6.64
Debt/EBITDA 0.63
Cap/Depr 110.66%
Cap/Sales 25.79%
Interest Coverage 3.91
Cash Conversion 95.46%
Profit Quality 186.57%
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 0.18
F-Score5
WACC9.18%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)164.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.45%
Profit Quality(3y)55.87%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-94.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-90.91%
EPS Next Y-56%
EPS Next 2Y-30.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.17%
Revenue growth 3Y42.94%
Revenue growth 5Y12.64%
Sales Q2Q%-15.1%
Revenue Next Year11.99%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-50.49%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year44.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-81.72%
FCF growth 3Y46.81%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.76%
OCF growth 3Y70.27%
OCF growth 5Y34.04%