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ORIX - SPONSORED ADR (IX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:IX - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6863301015 - ADR

105.93  -0.05 (-0.05%)

After market: 102.8 -3.13 (-2.95%)

Fundamental Rating

4

IX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 101 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. IX has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. IX is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year IX was profitable.
IX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years IX has always been profitable.
IX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
IX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500B -500B 1T

1.2 Ratios

IX has a Return On Assets (2.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
IX has a Return On Equity (10.28%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.34%, IX is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.47% of the companies in the same industry.
IX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.63%. This is significantly below the industry average of 7.84%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.63%) for IX is below the current ROIC(3.34%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.45%
ROE 10.28%
ROIC 3.34%
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.99%
ROE(3y)8.85%
ROE(5y)8.6%
ROIC(3y)2.63%
ROIC(5y)2.52%
IX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

IX has a Profit Margin of 14.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: IX outperforms 59.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of IX has declined.
IX's Operating Margin of 20.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. IX outperforms 66.34% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of IX has grown nicely.
IX's Gross Margin of 43.39% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. IX outperforms 65.35% of its industry peers.
IX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.88%
PM (TTM) 14.03%
GM 43.39%
OM growth 3Y8.94%
OM growth 5Y2%
PM growth 3Y13.59%
PM growth 5Y-1.55%
GM growth 3Y5.22%
GM growth 5Y3.1%
IX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

IX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for IX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
IX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
IX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
IX Yearly Shares OutstandingIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
IX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5T 10T 15T

2.2 Solvency

IX has an Altman-Z score of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that IX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of IX (0.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
IX has a debt to FCF ratio of 454.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as IX would need 454.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
IX has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (454.61) than 64.36% of its industry peers.
IX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.60. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
IX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: IX underperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.6
Debt/FCF 454.61
Altman-Z 0.62
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC5.66%
IX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2T 4T

2.3 Liquidity

IX has a Current Ratio of 0.48. This is a bad value and indicates that IX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
IX's Current ratio of 0.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. IX is outperformed by 65.35% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.43 indicates that IX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
IX's Quick ratio of 0.43 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. IX is outperformed by 65.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.48
Quick Ratio 0.43
IX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500B 1T 1.5T 2T 2.5T

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

IX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 37.62%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.36% on average over the past years.
IX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.52%.
IX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.62%
EPS 3Y24.25%
EPS 5Y3.36%
EPS Q2Q%49.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.52%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y2.94%
Sales Q2Q%1.86%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, IX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.11% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.51%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.66%
Revenue Next 2Y6.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
IX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1T 2T 3T
IX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500 1K 1.5K 2K

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.39, which indicates a very decent valuation of IX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, IX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29, IX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71 indicates a reasonable valuation of IX.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, IX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.44. IX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.39
Fwd PE 8.71
IX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, IX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
64.36% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than IX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 273.09
EV/EBITDA 8.08
IX Per share dataIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

IX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of IX may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as IX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.11% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)2.8
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.11%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

IX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.07%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.66, IX pays a better dividend. On top of this IX pays more dividend than 84.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
IX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.07%

5.2 History

The dividend of IX has a limited annual growth rate of 4.50%.
IX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of IX decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.5%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
IX Yearly Dividends per shareIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80 100

5.3 Sustainability

28.45% of the earnings are spent on dividend by IX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of IX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP28.45%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.11%
IX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200B -200B -400B -600B
IX Dividend Payout.IX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.IX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ORIX - SPONSORED ADR

NYSE:IX (1/22/2025, 11:36:09 AM)

After market: 102.8 -3.13 (-2.95%)

105.93

-0.05 (-0.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)11-08 2024-11-08/dmh
Earnings (Next)02-05 2025-02-05
Inst Owners47.62%
Inst Owner Change-0.62%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.07B
Analysts76
Price Target112.34 (6.05%)
Short Float %0.06%
Short Ratio3.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.07%
Yearly Dividend86.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.5%
DP28.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-28 2025-03-28 (36.43)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.05%
PT rev (3m)-11.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.39
Fwd PE 8.71
P/S 1.31
P/FCF 273.09
P/OCF 2.99
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.96
EV/EBITDA 8.08
EPS(TTM)11.28
EY10.65%
EPS(NY)12.17
Fwd EY11.49%
FCF(TTM)0.39
FCFY0.37%
OCF(TTM)35.4
OCFY33.42%
SpS80.79
BVpS110.29
TBVpS110.29
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)2.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.45%
ROE 10.28%
ROCE 4.79%
ROIC 3.34%
ROICexc 3.71%
ROICexgc 5.04%
OM 20.88%
PM (TTM) 14.03%
GM 43.39%
FCFM 0.48%
ROA(3y)2.07%
ROA(5y)1.99%
ROE(3y)8.85%
ROE(5y)8.6%
ROIC(3y)2.63%
ROIC(5y)2.52%
ROICexc(3y)2.88%
ROICexc(5y)2.77%
ROICexgc(3y)3.84%
ROICexgc(5y)3.72%
ROCE(3y)3.69%
ROCE(5y)3.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.79%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.79%
OM growth 3Y8.94%
OM growth 5Y2%
PM growth 3Y13.59%
PM growth 5Y-1.55%
GM growth 3Y5.22%
GM growth 5Y3.1%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.6
Debt/FCF 454.61
Debt/EBITDA 6.34
Cap/Depr 320.46%
Cap/Sales 43.34%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 127.37%
Profit Quality 3.42%
Current Ratio 0.48
Quick Ratio 0.43
Altman-Z 0.62
F-Score9
WACC5.66%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)304.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)295.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.87%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)37.62%
EPS 3Y24.25%
EPS 5Y3.36%
EPS Q2Q%49.9%
EPS Next Y18.51%
EPS Next 2Y13.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.52%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y2.94%
Sales Q2Q%1.86%
Revenue Next Year5.66%
Revenue Next 2Y6.28%
Revenue Next 3Y5.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.71%
EBIT growth 3Y16.64%
EBIT growth 5Y5%
EBIT Next Year12227.6%
EBIT Next 3Y435.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y107.51%
FCF growth 3Y-50.07%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y62%
OCF growth 3Y4.31%
OCF growth 5Y16.17%