ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ITW • US4523081093
Current stock price
271.05 USD
-1.63 (-0.6%)
At close:
271.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ITW fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ITW Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ITW was profitable.
- ITW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years ITW has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years ITW had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ITW (18.99%) is better than 98.47% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of ITW (95.07%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 26.75%, ITW belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ITW is significantly above the industry average of 10.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.99% | ||
| ROE | 95.07% | ||
| ROIC | 26.75% |
ROA(3y)20.4%
ROA(5y)19.52%
ROE(3y)99.48%
ROE(5y)94.2%
ROIC(3y)27.84%
ROIC(5y)25.87%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 19.11%, ITW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ITW has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 26.28%, ITW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- ITW's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.10%, ITW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- ITW's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.11% | ||
| GM | 44.1% |
OM growth 3Y3.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3Y0.12%
PM growth 5Y2.64%
GM growth 3Y2.61%
GM growth 5Y1.3%
2. ITW Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ITW is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ITW has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for ITW has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ITW has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 8.20 indicates that ITW is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- ITW's Altman-Z score of 8.20 is amongst the best of the industry. ITW outperforms 91.60% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ITW is 3.31, which is a good value as it means it would take ITW, 3.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.31, ITW is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47 is on the high side and indicates that ITW has dependencies on debt financing.
- ITW has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.47) than 87.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.2 |
ROIC/WACC2.66
WACC10.07%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.21 indicates that ITW should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ITW's Current ratio of 1.21 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ITW is outperformed by 81.68% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that ITW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, ITW is doing worse than 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. ITW Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.15% over the past year.
- ITW shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.61% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.92% in the past year.
- ITW shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.99% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.15%
EPS 3Y2.36%
EPS 5Y9.61%
EPS Q2Q%7.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.23%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%4.09%
3.2 Future
- ITW is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.86% yearly.
- ITW is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue Next Year3.39%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. ITW Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 25.84, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ITW.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ITW.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ITW to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.95), we can say ITW is valued inline with the index average.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.84, the valuation of ITW can be described as rather expensive.
- ITW's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- ITW is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ITW's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- ITW's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ITW does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of ITW may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.08
PEG (5Y)2.69
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
5. ITW Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ITW has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.42%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- ITW's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.08. ITW pays more dividend than 90.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, ITW pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.42% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of ITW grows each year by 7.19%, which is quite nice.
- ITW has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- ITW has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.19%
Div Incr Years30
Div Non Decr Years30
5.3 Sustainability
- 58.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ITW. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- ITW's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP58.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
ITW Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
271.05
-1.63 (-0.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners85.83%
Inst Owner Change-0.33%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-6.28%
Market Cap78.08B
Revenue(TTM)16.04B
Net Income(TTM)3.07B
Analysts52.31
Price Target277.62 (2.42%)
Short Float %3.33%
Short Ratio6.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.42% |
Yearly Dividend6.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.19%
DP58.22%
Div Incr Years30
Div Non Decr Years30
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (1.61)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.41%
Min EPS beat(2)0.34%
Max EPS beat(2)2.48%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.33%
Max EPS beat(4)2.48%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)1.43%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)1.64%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)2.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.27%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.56%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.75%
PT rev (1m)-0.6%
PT rev (3m)5.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.01%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.84 | ||
| P/S | 4.87 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.85 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.98 | ||
| P/B | 24.21 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.51 |
EPS(TTM)10.49
EY3.87%
EPS(NY)11.37
Fwd EY4.19%
FCF(TTM)9.4
FCFY3.47%
OCF(TTM)10.85
OCFY4%
SpS55.69
BVpS11.19
TBVpS-8.55
PEG (NY)3.08
PEG (5Y)2.69
Graham Number51.4029 (-81.04%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.99% | ||
| ROE | 95.07% | ||
| ROCE | 38.25% | ||
| ROIC | 26.75% | ||
| ROICexc | 28.73% | ||
| ROICexgc | 57.07% | ||
| OM | 26.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.11% | ||
| GM | 44.1% | ||
| FCFM | 16.87% |
ROA(3y)20.4%
ROA(5y)19.52%
ROE(3y)99.48%
ROE(5y)94.2%
ROIC(3y)27.84%
ROIC(5y)25.87%
ROICexc(3y)30.33%
ROICexc(5y)28.24%
ROICexgc(3y)63.03%
ROICexgc(5y)58.4%
ROCE(3y)38.38%
ROCE(5y)35.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.05%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.95%
OM growth 3Y3.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3Y0.12%
PM growth 5Y2.64%
GM growth 3Y2.61%
GM growth 5Y1.3%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.77% | ||
| Profit Quality | 88.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.2 |
F-Score5
WACC10.07%
ROIC/WACC2.66
Cap/Depr(3y)109.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.56%
Profit Quality(3y)91.37%
Profit Quality(5y)84.37%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.15%
EPS 3Y2.36%
EPS 5Y9.61%
EPS Q2Q%7.09%
EPS Next Y8.39%
EPS Next 2Y7.95%
EPS Next 3Y7.43%
EPS Next 5Y8.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y0.23%
Revenue growth 5Y4.99%
Sales Q2Q%4.09%
Revenue Next Year3.39%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.4%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.13%
EBIT growth 3Y3.61%
EBIT growth 5Y7.9%
EBIT Next Year15.25%
EBIT Next 3Y8.08%
EBIT Next 5Y7.1%
FCF growth 1Y-4.82%
FCF growth 3Y11.82%
FCF growth 5Y1.04%
OCF growth 1Y-4.72%
OCF growth 3Y10.01%
OCF growth 5Y2.18%
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS / ITW Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ITW.
Can you provide the valuation status for ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS?
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) stock?
The financial health rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ITW stock?
The dividend rating of ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS (ITW) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 58.22%.