ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:ICFI - US44925C1036 - Common Stock
77.2 USD
+0.55 (+0.72%)
77.2 USD
0 (0%)
ICFI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. ICFI has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. ICFI is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. With these ratings, ICFI could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ICFI was profitable.
ICFI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years ICFI has been profitable.
ICFI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ICFI has a Return On Assets of 4.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ICFI outperforms 57.47% of its industry peers.
ICFI has a Return On Equity of 9.65%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ICFI outperforms 55.17% of its industry peers.
ICFI has a Return On Invested Capital (7.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ICFI is significantly below the industry average of 22.56%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.90%) for ICFI is below the current ROIC(7.41%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 9.65% | ||
| ROIC | 7.41% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ICFI (5.13%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ICFI has a Operating Margin of 7.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: ICFI outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ICFI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of ICFI (37.23%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.96% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.13% | ||
| GM | 37.23% |
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ICFI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ICFI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
ICFI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ICFI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ICFI has an Altman-Z score of 2.65. This is not the best score and indicates that ICFI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
ICFI has a Altman-Z score (2.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.27. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ICFI would need 3.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ICFI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.27) than 62.07% of its industry peers.
ICFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ICFI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.45) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.05%
2.3 Liquidity
ICFI has a Current Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that ICFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ICFI has a Current ratio (1.41) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Quick Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that ICFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.41, ICFI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.71% over the past year.
ICFI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.73% yearly.
Looking at the last year, ICFI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.81% in the last year.
ICFI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.71%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-11.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-9.98%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.45% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, ICFI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.62% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.02%
EPS Next 2Y0.84%
EPS Next 3Y1.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.21%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.81, the valuation of ICFI can be described as reasonable.
81.61% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ICFI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.51. ICFI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.53 indicates a reasonable valuation of ICFI.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.98. ICFI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ICFI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ICFI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ICFI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
EPS Next 2Y0.84%
EPS Next 3Y1.45%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ICFI has a yearly dividend return of 0.71%, which is pretty low.
In the last 3 months the price of ICFI has falen by -22.91%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.28, ICFI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.71, ICFI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ICFI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.11%.
ICFI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As ICFI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
ICFI pays out 10.52% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of ICFI is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP10.52%
EPS Next 2Y0.84%
EPS Next 3Y1.45%
77.2
+0.55 (+0.72%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.59%
Inst Owner Change1.02%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change3.75%
Market Cap1.42B
Revenue(TTM)1.93B
Net Income(TTM)98.84M
Analysts83.64
Price Target106.59 (38.07%)
Short Float %2.81%
Short Ratio2.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
DP10.52%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.41%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.9%
Max EPS beat(2)1.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.9%
Max EPS beat(4)9.31%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.84%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.59%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.52%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.63%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.95%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.53 | ||
| P/S | 0.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.09 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.8 | ||
| P/B | 1.39 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.89 |
EPS(TTM)7.14
EY9.25%
EPS(NY)7.33
Fwd EY9.5%
FCF(TTM)7.65
FCFY9.91%
OCF(TTM)8.77
OCFY11.36%
SpS104.48
BVpS55.57
TBVpS-17.19
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
Graham Number94.48
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 9.65% | ||
| ROCE | 8.96% | ||
| ROIC | 7.41% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.43% | ||
| ROICexgc | 34.7% | ||
| OM | 7.96% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.13% | ||
| GM | 37.23% | ||
| FCFM | 7.32% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
ROICexc(3y)6.93%
ROICexc(5y)6.61%
ROICexgc(3y)39.19%
ROICexgc(5y)34.68%
ROCE(3y)8.35%
ROCE(5y)7.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y22.5%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 36.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.96 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 76.86% | ||
| Profit Quality | 142.64% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.65 |
F-Score5
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)41.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)48.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.21%
Profit Quality(3y)169.39%
Profit Quality(5y)183.54%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.71%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-11.17%
EPS Next Y-3.02%
EPS Next 2Y0.84%
EPS Next 3Y1.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.81%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-9.98%
Revenue Next Year-6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.21%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-7.82%
EBIT growth 3Y14.35%
EBIT growth 5Y10.34%
EBIT Next Year24.97%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-19.94%
FCF growth 3Y18.46%
FCF growth 5Y18.41%
OCF growth 1Y-19.68%
OCF growth 3Y15.9%
OCF growth 5Y13.42%
ICF INTERNATIONAL INC / ICFI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ICF INTERNATIONAL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ICFI.
What is the valuation status of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) stock?
The financial health rating of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ICFI stock?
The dividend rating of ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 10.52%.