ICF INTERNATIONAL INC (ICFI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:ICFI - US44925C1036 - Common Stock
100.58 USD
+0.88 (+0.88%)
100.58 USD
0 (0%)
Overall ICFI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ICFI against 82 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. ICFI has an average financial health and profitability rating. ICFI has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ICFI was profitable.
In the past year ICFI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ICFI has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ICFI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
ICFI has a Return On Assets of 5.20%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ICFI outperforms 59.76% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of ICFI (10.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.92%, ICFI is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
ICFI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.90%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.76%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.92%) for ICFI is above the 3 year average (6.90%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.45%, ICFI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ICFI has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 8.14%, ICFI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
ICFI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ICFI has a Gross Margin (37.12%) which is in line with its industry peers.
ICFI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% |
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ICFI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ICFI has less shares outstanding
ICFI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ICFI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
ICFI has an Altman-Z score of 2.92. This is not the best score and indicates that ICFI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.92, ICFI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ICFI is 3.97, which is a good value as it means it would take ICFI, 3.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ICFI (3.97) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ICFI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.47) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC8.12%
2.3 Liquidity
ICFI has a Current Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that ICFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ICFI (1.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ICFI has a Quick Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that ICFI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ICFI (1.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ICFI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.76%.
ICFI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.73% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.46% in the past year.
ICFI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
3.2 Future
ICFI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.79% yearly.
ICFI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.66% yearly.
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.68, which indicates a correct valuation of ICFI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ICFI indicates a rather cheap valuation: ICFI is cheaper than 80.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.20. ICFI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
ICFI is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.46.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.17% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.71, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ICFI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.63 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ICFI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)45.26
PEG (5Y)1.17
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ICFI has a yearly dividend return of 0.57%, which is pretty low.
ICFI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.07.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, ICFI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ICFI has a limited annual growth rate of 0.11%.
ICFI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
ICFI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
ICFI pays out 9.70% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
ICFI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP9.7%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
100.58
+0.88 (+0.88%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.75%
Inst Owner Change-1.03%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change3.55%
Market Cap1.85B
Analysts83.64
Price Target106.59 (5.98%)
Short Float %1.59%
Short Ratio1.6
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.11%
DP9.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.2%
Min EPS beat(2)1.08%
Max EPS beat(2)9.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)9.31%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)6.81%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)5.84%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.81%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.61%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.11%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.63%
PT rev (1m)1.21%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.46 | ||
| P/S | 0.94 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.5 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.85 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.63 |
EPS(TTM)7.35
EY7.31%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY7.43%
FCF(TTM)6.49
FCFY6.45%
OCF(TTM)7.59
OCFY7.54%
SpS107.28
BVpS54.28
TBVpS-18.9
PEG (NY)45.26
PEG (5Y)1.17
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.2% | ||
| ROE | 10.77% | ||
| ROCE | 9.57% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 40.95% | ||
| OM | 8.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.45% | ||
| GM | 37.12% | ||
| FCFM | 6.05% |
ROA(3y)4.17%
ROA(5y)3.93%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)8.79%
ROIC(3y)6.9%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
ROICexc(3y)6.93%
ROICexc(5y)6.61%
ROICexgc(3y)39.19%
ROICexgc(5y)34.68%
ROCE(3y)8.35%
ROCE(5y)7.95%
ROICexcg growth 3Y22.5%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.3%
OM growth 3Y4.76%
OM growth 5Y3.67%
PM growth 3Y6.01%
PM growth 5Y3.2%
GM growth 3Y-0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 36.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 64.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
F-Score6
WACC8.12%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)41.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)48.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.19%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.21%
Profit Quality(3y)169.39%
Profit Quality(5y)183.54%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.76%
EPS 3Y14.29%
EPS 5Y11.73%
EPS Q2Q%-1.78%
EPS Next Y0.3%
EPS Next 2Y1.79%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.46%
Revenue growth 3Y9.16%
Revenue growth 5Y6.44%
Sales Q2Q%-7.01%
Revenue Next Year-4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.66%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y5.73%
EBIT growth 3Y14.35%
EBIT growth 5Y10.34%
EBIT Next Year26.6%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-19.79%
FCF growth 3Y18.46%
FCF growth 5Y18.41%
OCF growth 1Y-20.41%
OCF growth 3Y15.9%
OCF growth 5Y13.42%