INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:IBM - US4592001014 - Common Stock
300.98 USD
+0.53 (+0.18%)
301.68 USD
+0.7 (+0.23%)
Overall IBM gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated IBM against 85 industry peers in the IT Services industry. IBM has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. IBM is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
IBM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year IBM had a positive cash flow from operations.
IBM had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years IBM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
IBM has a better Return On Assets (5.40%) than 68.24% of its industry peers.
IBM has a better Return On Equity (28.34%) than 89.41% of its industry peers.
IBM's Return On Invested Capital of 8.07% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. IBM outperforms 69.41% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for IBM is significantly below the industry average of 29.59%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.07%) for IBM is below the current ROIC(8.07%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.4% | ||
| ROE | 28.34% | ||
| ROIC | 8.07% |
ROA(3y)3.74%
ROA(5y)3.83%
ROE(3y)20.94%
ROE(5y)24.07%
ROIC(3y)7.07%
ROIC(5y)6.14%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of IBM (12.09%) is better than 83.53% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of IBM has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.06%, IBM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.53% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of IBM has remained more or less at the same level.
IBM has a better Gross Margin (57.81%) than 78.82% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of IBM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.09% | ||
| GM | 57.81% |
OM growth 3Y10.6%
OM growth 5Y0.28%
PM growth 3Y-1.4%
PM growth 5Y-10.1%
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so IBM is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for IBM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
IBM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
IBM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
IBM has an Altman-Z score of 3.54. This indicates that IBM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 3.54, IBM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of IBM is 5.27, which is a neutral value as it means it would take IBM, 5.27 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
IBM's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.27 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. IBM outperforms 51.76% of its industry peers.
IBM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.98, IBM is doing worse than 77.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.93 indicates that IBM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.93, IBM is doing worse than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that IBM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.89, IBM is not doing good in the industry: 83.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.71% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, IBM shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -4.21% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.51% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.69% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.71%
EPS 3Y1.19%
EPS 5Y-4.21%
EPS Q2Q%15.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.51%
Revenue growth 3Y3.05%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%9.11%
3.2 Future
IBM is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.07% yearly.
IBM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.12% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y9.19%
EPS Next 3Y8.11%
EPS Next 5Y6.07%
Revenue Next Year6.83%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y5.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.44, IBM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
IBM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of IBM to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.38), we can say IBM is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.44, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of IBM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as IBM.
IBM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.44 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of IBM is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of IBM is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates IBM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
IBM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.47
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.19%
EPS Next 3Y8.11%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
IBM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.24%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.45, IBM pays a better dividend. On top of this IBM pays more dividend than 91.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
IBM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.24% |
5.2 History
The dividend of IBM has a limited annual growth rate of 0.81%.
IBM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
IBM has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.81%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
78.75% of the earnings are spent on dividend by IBM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of IBM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP78.75%
EPS Next 2Y9.19%
EPS Next 3Y8.11%
300.98
+0.53 (+0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners64.13%
Inst Owner Change-0.37%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-1.27%
Market Cap281.34B
Revenue(TTM)65.40B
Net Income(TTM)7.91B
Analysts71.85
Price Target291.37 (-3.19%)
Short Float %2.1%
Short Ratio3.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.24% |
Yearly Dividend6.68
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.81%
DP78.75%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.08%
Min EPS beat(2)4.89%
Max EPS beat(2)7.28%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.18%
Min EPS beat(4)3.59%
Max EPS beat(4)12.97%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)5.75%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.17%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)4.03%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.34%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.35%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.51%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)1.8%
PT rev (3m)3.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.44 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.44 | ||
| P/S | 4.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.5 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.87 | ||
| P/B | 10.08 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.23 |
EPS(TTM)10.97
EY3.64%
EPS(NY)12.32
Fwd EY4.09%
FCF(TTM)12.81
FCFY4.26%
OCF(TTM)14.42
OCFY4.79%
SpS69.97
BVpS29.85
TBVpS-54.8
PEG (NY)2.47
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number85.84
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.4% | ||
| ROE | 28.34% | ||
| ROCE | 9.45% | ||
| ROIC | 8.07% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 52.18% | ||
| OM | 16.06% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.09% | ||
| GM | 57.81% | ||
| FCFM | 18.31% |
ROA(3y)3.74%
ROA(5y)3.83%
ROE(3y)20.94%
ROE(5y)24.07%
ROIC(3y)7.07%
ROIC(5y)6.14%
ROICexc(3y)8.07%
ROICexc(5y)6.94%
ROICexgc(3y)39.64%
ROICexgc(5y)31.12%
ROCE(3y)8.28%
ROCE(5y)7.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y23.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y15.29%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.67%
OM growth 3Y10.6%
OM growth 5Y0.28%
PM growth 3Y-1.4%
PM growth 5Y-10.1%
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.6 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 31.23% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.87% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.54 |
F-Score6
WACC8.4%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)39.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.91%
Profit Quality(3y)291.08%
Profit Quality(5y)263.12%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.71%
EPS 3Y1.19%
EPS 5Y-4.21%
EPS Q2Q%15.22%
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y9.19%
EPS Next 3Y8.11%
EPS Next 5Y6.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.51%
Revenue growth 3Y3.05%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%9.11%
Revenue Next Year6.83%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y5.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.12%
EBIT growth 1Y14.74%
EBIT growth 3Y13.97%
EBIT growth 5Y1.98%
EBIT Next Year73.84%
EBIT Next 3Y24.02%
EBIT Next 5Y17.21%
FCF growth 1Y3.97%
FCF growth 3Y5.46%
FCF growth 5Y-0.17%
OCF growth 1Y0.37%
OCF growth 3Y1.67%
OCF growth 5Y-1.86%
INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP / IBM FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for IBM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to IBM.
What is the valuation status for IBM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) stock?
INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP?
The financial health rating of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) is 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 78.75%.