INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:IBM • US4592001014

Current stock price

248.16 USD
+5.02 (+2.06%)
At close:
248.3 USD
+0.14 (+0.06%)
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This IBM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. IBM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year IBM was profitable.
  • IBM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years IBM has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years IBM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
IBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFIBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of IBM (6.97%) is better than 71.59% of its industry peers.
  • IBM's Return On Equity of 32.45% is amongst the best of the industry. IBM outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.68%, IBM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • IBM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.08%. This is below the industry average of 11.10%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.08%) for IBM is below the current ROIC(7.68%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.97%
ROE 32.45%
ROIC 7.68%
ROA(3y)5.64%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)29.27%
ROE(5y)25.13%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)6.41%
IBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICIBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • IBM's Profit Margin of 15.69% is amongst the best of the industry. IBM outperforms 93.18% of its industry peers.
  • IBM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 16.30%, IBM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of IBM has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.19%, IBM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • IBM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.3%
PM (TTM) 15.69%
GM 58.19%
OM growth 3Y10.55%
OM growth 5Y8.93%
PM growth 3Y79.59%
PM growth 5Y9.14%
GM growth 3Y2.52%
GM growth 5Y0.79%
IBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsIBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

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2

2. IBM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), IBM is destroying value.
  • IBM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for IBM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • IBM has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
IBM Yearly Shares OutstandingIBM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
IBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsIBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.28 indicates that IBM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • IBM has a Altman-Z score of 3.28. This is in the better half of the industry: IBM outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of IBM is 5.29, which is a neutral value as it means it would take IBM, 5.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 5.29, IBM is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.68 is on the high side and indicates that IBM has dependencies on debt financing.
  • IBM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.68. This is in the lower half of the industry: IBM underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.68
Debt/FCF 5.29
Altman-Z 3.28
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC9%
IBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFIBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

  • IBM has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that IBM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • IBM's Current ratio of 0.96 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. IBM is outperformed by 78.41% of its industry peers.
  • IBM has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that IBM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of IBM (0.92) is worse than 78.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.92
IBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesIBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. IBM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.00% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.94% on average over the past years.
  • IBM shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.62%.
  • IBM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12%
EPS 3Y8.25%
EPS 5Y5.94%
EPS Q2Q%15.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.62%
Revenue growth 3Y3.72%
Revenue growth 5Y4.12%
Sales Q2Q%12.15%

3.2 Future

  • IBM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.08% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.16%
EPS Next 2Y8.29%
EPS Next 3Y8.96%
EPS Next 5Y11.08%
Revenue Next Year6.17%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
IBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesIBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
IBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesIBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15 20 25

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3

4. IBM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.45, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of IBM.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as IBM.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.17. IBM is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.83, IBM is valued on the expensive side.
  • IBM's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of IBM to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.05), we can say IBM is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.45
Fwd PE 19.83
IBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsIBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • IBM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • IBM's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.11
EV/EBITDA 17.39
IBM Per share dataIBM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • IBM has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)3.61
EPS Next 2Y8.29%
EPS Next 3Y8.96%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. IBM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.84%, IBM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • IBM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.18. IBM pays more dividend than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • IBM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of IBM has a limited annual growth rate of 0.63%.
  • IBM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • IBM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.63%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
IBM Yearly Dividends per shareIBM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • IBM pays out 59.05% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • IBM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP59.05%
EPS Next 2Y8.29%
EPS Next 3Y8.96%
IBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendIBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B
IBM Dividend Payout.IBM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.IBM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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IBM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP

NYSE:IBM (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 248.3 +0.14 (+0.06%)

248.16

+5.02 (+2.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners65.54%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change6.92%
Market Cap232.78B
Revenue(TTM)67.53B
Net Income(TTM)10.59B
Analysts74.07
Price Target311.1 (25.36%)
Short Float %2.37%
Short Ratio3.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.84%
Yearly Dividend6.72
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.63%
DP59.05%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-10
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.44%
Min EPS beat(2)3.6%
Max EPS beat(2)7.28%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.19%
Min EPS beat(4)3.6%
Max EPS beat(4)12.97%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)6.03%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)5.55%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)4.22%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.37%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.12%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.46%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.09%
PT rev (1m)-2.88%
PT rev (3m)6.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.49%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.45
Fwd PE 19.83
P/S 3.45
P/FCF 20.11
P/OCF 17.64
P/B 7.13
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.39
EPS(TTM)11.57
EY4.66%
EPS(NY)12.51
Fwd EY5.04%
FCF(TTM)12.34
FCFY4.97%
OCF(TTM)14.06
OCFY5.67%
SpS72
BVpS34.8
TBVpS-49.53
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)3.61
Graham Number95.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.97%
ROE 32.45%
ROCE 9.72%
ROIC 7.68%
ROICexc 8.8%
ROICexgc 44.15%
OM 16.3%
PM (TTM) 15.69%
GM 58.19%
FCFM 17.14%
ROA(3y)5.64%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)29.27%
ROE(5y)25.13%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)6.41%
ROICexc(3y)8.17%
ROICexc(5y)7.26%
ROICexgc(3y)41.61%
ROICexgc(5y)34.84%
ROCE(3y)8.97%
ROCE(5y)8.11%
ROICexgc growth 3Y15%
ROICexgc growth 5Y27.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.25%
OM growth 3Y10.55%
OM growth 5Y8.93%
PM growth 3Y79.59%
PM growth 5Y9.14%
GM growth 3Y2.52%
GM growth 5Y0.79%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.68
Debt/FCF 5.29
Debt/EBITDA 3.42
Cap/Depr 32.2%
Cap/Sales 2.39%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 82.3%
Profit Quality 109.28%
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z 3.28
F-Score6
WACC9%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)36.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)38.74%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.22%
Profit Quality(3y)155.37%
Profit Quality(5y)231.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12%
EPS 3Y8.25%
EPS 5Y5.94%
EPS Q2Q%15.31%
EPS Next Y8.16%
EPS Next 2Y8.29%
EPS Next 3Y8.96%
EPS Next 5Y11.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.62%
Revenue growth 3Y3.72%
Revenue growth 5Y4.12%
Sales Q2Q%12.15%
Revenue Next Year6.17%
Revenue Next 2Y5.38%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y5.87%
EBIT growth 1Y20.21%
EBIT growth 3Y14.66%
EBIT growth 5Y13.42%
EBIT Next Year50.69%
EBIT Next 3Y18.76%
EBIT Next 5Y16.19%
FCF growth 1Y-1.57%
FCF growth 3Y11%
FCF growth 5Y-5.01%
OCF growth 1Y-1.88%
OCF growth 3Y8.13%
OCF growth 5Y-6.23%

INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP / IBM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for IBM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to IBM.


What is the valuation status of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP?

INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for IBM stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) is expected to grow by 8.16% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) stock?

The dividend rating of INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 59.05%.