HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:HUBG - Nasdaq - US4433201062 - Common Stock
Overall HUBG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated HUBG against 21 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While HUBG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HUBG is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HUBG had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years HUBG has been profitable.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.83%, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a Return On Equity of 6.67%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Return On Invested Capital of 4.79% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 57.89% of its industry peers.
HUBG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.74%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.93%.
The 3 year average ROIC (11.74%) for HUBG is well above the current ROIC(4.79%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.83% | ||
| ROE | 6.67% | ||
| ROIC | 4.79% |
ROA(3y)8.48%
ROA(5y)6.86%
ROE(3y)15.12%
ROE(5y)12.34%
ROIC(3y)11.74%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.74%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HUBG has a Operating Margin of 3.43%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HUBG outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HUBG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y17.95%
OM growth 5Y7.34%
PM growth 3Y23.73%
PM growth 5Y-6.16%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HUBG is still creating some value.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HUBG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 4.02. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of HUBG (4.02) is better than 73.68% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 1.34, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HUBG, only 1.34 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.34, HUBG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 indicates that HUBG is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.12, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.34 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC8.65%
2.3 Liquidity
HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.30. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio of 1.30. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.30 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HUBG's Quick ratio of 1.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HUBG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -43.67%.
HUBG shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.28% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HUBG shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -12.11% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.67%
EPS 3Y29.3%
EPS 5Y12.28%
EPS Q2Q%7.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.11%
Revenue growth 3Y6.33%
Revenue growth 5Y2.67%
Sales Q2Q%-3.7%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.64% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-25.36%
EPS Next 2Y-2.95%
EPS Next 3Y4.92%
EPS Next 5Y2.64%
Revenue Next Year-5.1%
Revenue Next 2Y0.4%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y3.94%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.12, HUBG is valued on the expensive side.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
HUBG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.58, the valuation of HUBG can be described as rather expensive.
73.68% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HUBG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 94.74% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of HUBG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.96
EPS Next 2Y-2.95%
EPS Next 3Y4.92%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HUBG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.08%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.64, HUBG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, HUBG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.08% |
5.2 History
HUBG does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y-2.95%
EPS Next 3Y4.92%
HUB GROUP INC-CL A
NASDAQ:HUBG (1/21/2025, 8:06:15 PM)
Premarket: 46.9 +1.32 (+2.9%)45.58
+0.75 (+1.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.18%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners2.45%
Ins Owner Change6.03%
Market Cap2.80B
Analysts73.33
Price Target49.11 (7.74%)
Short Float %1.19%
Short Ratio1.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.08% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.38%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.11%
Max EPS beat(2)6.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.39%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.28%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)12.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)13%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-11.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.76%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.32%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.29%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.67%
PT rev (1m)0.3%
PT rev (3m)6.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.71 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.97 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.54 | ||
| P/B | 1.72 | ||
| P/tB | 4.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.82 |
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY5.38%
FCF(TTM)3.51
FCFY7.71%
OCF(TTM)4.78
OCFY10.49%
SpS64.5
BVpS26.5
TBVpS10
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.83% | ||
| ROE | 6.67% | ||
| ROCE | 6.12% | ||
| ROIC | 4.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.43% | ||
| OM | 3.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)8.48%
ROA(5y)6.86%
ROE(3y)15.12%
ROE(5y)12.34%
ROIC(3y)11.74%
ROIC(5y)9.69%
ROICexc(3y)13.22%
ROICexc(5y)10.87%
ROICexgc(3y)25%
ROICexgc(5y)20.45%
ROCE(3y)15.02%
ROCE(5y)12.39%
ROICexcg growth 3Y13.47%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.11%
ROICexc growth 3Y11.06%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.78%
OM growth 3Y17.95%
OM growth 5Y7.34%
PM growth 3Y23.73%
PM growth 5Y-6.16%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.4
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.34 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.57 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 40.19% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.22% | ||
| Profit Quality | 198.86% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
F-Score5
WACC8.65%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)106.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.29%
Profit Quality(3y)101.75%
Profit Quality(5y)107.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-43.67%
EPS 3Y29.3%
EPS 5Y12.28%
EPS Q2Q%7.22%
EPS Next Y-25.36%
EPS Next 2Y-2.95%
EPS Next 3Y4.92%
EPS Next 5Y2.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.11%
Revenue growth 3Y6.33%
Revenue growth 5Y2.67%
Sales Q2Q%-3.7%
Revenue Next Year-5.1%
Revenue Next 2Y0.4%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y3.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-51.83%
EBIT growth 3Y25.41%
EBIT growth 5Y10.21%
EBIT Next Year48.24%
EBIT Next 3Y22%
EBIT Next 5Y15.34%
FCF growth 1Y-1.39%
FCF growth 3Y67.85%
FCF growth 5Y91.17%
OCF growth 1Y-31.03%
OCF growth 3Y34.13%
OCF growth 5Y14.9%