47.16 USD
+0.69 (+1.48%)
47.45 USD
+0.29 (+0.61%)
HUBG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. HUBG is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. HUBG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HUBG was profitable.
In the past year HUBG had a positive cash flow from operations.
HUBG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HUBG has a better Return On Assets (3.62%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.17%, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Return On Invested Capital of 4.90% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
HUBG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.91%. This is below the industry average of 12.36%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.90%) for HUBG is well below the 3 year average (9.91%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HUBG had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROIC | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
HUBG has a better Profit Margin (2.82%) than 73.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
HUBG's Operating Margin of 3.92% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HUBG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HUBG is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
HUBG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.98 indicates that HUBG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG has a better Altman-Z score (3.98) than 69.57% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.25. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as HUBG would need 2.25 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HUBG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.25) than 86.96% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that HUBG is not too dependend on debt financing.
HUBG's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC8.33%
2.3 Liquidity
HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HUBG (1.47) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.47, HUBG is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HUBG shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -1.59%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.42% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -5.79% in the past year.
HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.62% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.89%
EPS Next 2Y7.48%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue Next Year-7.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y3.16%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, HUBG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.25, HUBG is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.37, HUBG is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.98, HUBG is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
78.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.91 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)10.49
EPS Next 2Y7.48%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.09%, HUBG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.14.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, HUBG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
5.2 History
HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
28.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HUBG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP28.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.48%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
47.16
+0.69 (+1.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.69%
Inst Owner Change0.08%
Ins Owners2.54%
Ins Owner Change5.44%
Market Cap2.88B
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)104.97M
Analysts75.65
Price Target42.14 (-10.64%)
Short Float %2.56%
Short Ratio2.14
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP28.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.69%
Max EPS beat(2)0.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)0.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.18%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.08%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.32%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.69%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.19%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.2%
PT rev (1m)3.72%
PT rev (3m)4.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.37 | ||
| P/S | 0.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.43 | ||
| P/OCF | 18 | ||
| P/B | 1.69 | ||
| P/tB | 4.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.91 |
EPS(TTM)1.86
EY3.94%
EPS(NY)2.21
Fwd EY4.68%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY3.93%
OCF(TTM)2.62
OCFY5.56%
SpS60.98
BVpS27.84
TBVpS10.34
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)10.49
Graham Number34.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROCE | 6.18% | ||
| ROIC | 4.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.86% | ||
| OM | 3.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.04% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 24.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.72 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 47.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 108.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.98 |
F-Score7
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
EPS Next Y-1.89%
EPS Next 2Y7.48%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
Revenue Next Year-7.7%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y3.16%
EBIT growth 1Y7.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year93.56%
EBIT Next 3Y31.55%
EBIT Next 5Y21.2%
FCF growth 1Y-56.91%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-62.77%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%
HUB GROUP INC-CL A / HUBG FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HUBG.
Can you provide the valuation status for HUB GROUP INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HUBG stock?
The financial health rating of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HUB GROUP INC-CL A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is expected to decline by -1.89% in the next year.