HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HUBG - US4433201062 - Common Stock
37.58 USD
+0.8 (+2.18%)
37.98 USD
+0.4 (+1.06%)
Taking everything into account, HUBG scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HUBG was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While HUBG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HUBG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HUBG has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HUBG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HUBG has a Return On Assets of 3.57%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.97%, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.71%, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.91%. This is below the industry average of 12.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.71%) for HUBG is well below the 3 year average (9.91%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HUBG had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.57% | ||
| ROE | 5.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
HUBG has a better Profit Margin (2.65%) than 73.91% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HUBG's Operating Margin of 3.57% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HUBG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.65% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HUBG is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HUBG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 3.83. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.83, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 1.85, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HUBG, only 1.85 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HUBG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.85. This is amongst the best in the industry. HUBG outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that HUBG is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HUBG (0.08) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.83 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.42 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio (1.42) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.42 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.42, HUBG is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.42 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.89% over the past year.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -5.37% in the past year.
HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.89%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.2%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.37% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.37%
Revenue Next Year-6.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.44%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.88, the valuation of HUBG can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.96, which indicates a correct valuation of HUBG.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HUBG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HUBG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 15.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)19.35
PEG (5Y)8.23
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HUBG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.33%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.75.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, HUBG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
5.2 History
HUBG does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HUBG pays out 30.01% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP30.01%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
37.58
+0.8 (+2.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.41%
Inst Owner Change0.98%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change-0.01%
Market Cap2.30B
Analysts73.91
Price Target40.69 (8.28%)
Short Float %1.93%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP30.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.49%
Min EPS beat(2)0.1%
Max EPS beat(2)0.88%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)6.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.59%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)10.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.83%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.73%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.32%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.96 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.11 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 3.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.27 |
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY5.03%
EPS(NY)2.51
Fwd EY6.69%
FCF(TTM)2.05
FCFY5.45%
OCF(TTM)2.87
OCFY7.63%
SpS61.77
BVpS27.36
TBVpS9.99
PEG (NY)19.35
PEG (5Y)8.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.57% | ||
| ROE | 5.97% | ||
| ROCE | 5.94% | ||
| ROIC | 4.71% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.97% | ||
| OM | 3.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.65% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.32% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.85 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.42 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.65% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.32% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 125.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.83 |
F-Score6
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.89%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.26%
EPS Next Y1.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.7%
EPS Next 3Y15.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.2%
Revenue Next Year-6.84%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5Y3.44%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year100.81%
EBIT Next 3Y34.89%
EBIT Next 5Y22.19%
FCF growth 1Y-55.2%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-63.35%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%