HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HUBG - US4433201062 - Common Stock
35.09 USD
-0.61 (-1.71%)
35.09 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HUBG scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HUBG was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. HUBG has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. HUBG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HUBG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years HUBG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
HUBG has a Return On Assets of 3.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 6.17%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
HUBG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.91%. This is in line with the industry average of 11.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.91%) for HUBG is well above the current ROIC(4.90%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROIC | 4.9% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.82%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.92%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HUBG is still creating some value.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, HUBG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 3.64. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG's Altman-Z score of 3.64 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 2.25, which is a good value as it means it would take HUBG, 2.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG (2.25) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HUBG's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG's Current ratio of 1.47 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 43.48% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Quick ratio of 1.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HUBG outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HUBG have decreased by -1.59% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.42% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -5.79% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.47% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.76% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.87, the valuation of HUBG can be described as rather expensive.
69.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.51, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.74 indicates a correct valuation of HUBG.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HUBG to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.98), we can say HUBG is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
86.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
HUBG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of HUBG may justify a higher PE ratio.
HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.71% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.8
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%, HUBG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.54, HUBG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, HUBG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
5.2 History
HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
28.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HUBG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP28.59%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
35.09
-0.61 (-1.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.12%
Inst Owner Change0.21%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap2.15B
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)104.97M
Analysts73.91
Price Target40.12 (14.33%)
Short Float %2.1%
Short Ratio1.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP28.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.69%
Max EPS beat(2)0.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)0.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.18%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.08%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.32%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.69%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.19%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.2%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)-1.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.41 | ||
| P/B | 1.26 | ||
| P/tB | 3.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.84 |
EPS(TTM)1.86
EY5.3%
EPS(NY)2.23
Fwd EY6.35%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY5.28%
OCF(TTM)2.62
OCFY7.46%
SpS60.91
BVpS27.81
TBVpS10.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.8
Graham Number34.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROCE | 6.18% | ||
| ROIC | 4.9% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.86% | ||
| OM | 3.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.04% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 24.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.72 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 47.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 108.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.64 |
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
EBIT growth 1Y7.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year99.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.06%
EBIT Next 5Y21.26%
FCF growth 1Y-56.91%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-62.77%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%
HUB GROUP INC-CL A / HUBG FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HUBG.
What is the valuation status for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HUB GROUP INC-CL A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is expected to decline by -1.53% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
The dividend rating of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 28.59%.