HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HUBG - US4433201062 - Common Stock
35.54 USD
-0.06 (-0.17%)
35.54 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to HUBG. HUBG was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. HUBG is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. HUBG has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HUBG had a positive cash flow from operations.
HUBG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.62%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a better Return On Equity (6.17%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HUBG (4.77%) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HUBG is in line with the industry average of 11.54%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.77%) for HUBG is well below the 3 year average (9.91%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HUBG had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROIC | 4.77% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
HUBG has a Profit Margin of 2.82%. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.81%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HUBG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HUBG is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HUBG has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HUBG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 3.65. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG has a Altman-Z score of 3.65. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 2.25, which is a good value as it means it would take HUBG, 2.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.25, HUBG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09 indicates that HUBG is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HUBG (0.09) is better than 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.15%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.47 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.47, HUBG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.47, HUBG is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HUBG shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -1.59%.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, HUBG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.79% in the last year.
HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
3.2 Future
HUBG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.76% yearly.
HUBG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.26% yearly.
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.11, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HUBG.
65.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
HUBG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.95 indicates a correct valuation of HUBG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HUBG indicates a rather cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, HUBG is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.95 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HUBG indicates a rather cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 86.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HUBG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HUBG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.9
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HUBG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.58.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.40, HUBG pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
5.2 History
HUBG does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
28.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HUBG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP28.59%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
35.54
-0.06 (-0.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.12%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0.11%
Market Cap2.18B
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)104.97M
Analysts73.91
Price Target40.12 (12.89%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio2.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP28.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.69%
Max EPS beat(2)0.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)0.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.18%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.08%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.32%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.69%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.19%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.2%
PT rev (1m)-0.56%
PT rev (3m)-1.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.95 | ||
| P/S | 0.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.58 | ||
| P/B | 1.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.01 |
EPS(TTM)1.86
EY5.23%
EPS(NY)2.23
Fwd EY6.27%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY5.21%
OCF(TTM)2.62
OCFY7.36%
SpS60.91
BVpS27.81
TBVpS10.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.9
Graham Number34.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROCE | 6.01% | ||
| ROIC | 4.77% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.59% | ||
| OM | 3.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.04% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 24.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 108.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
F-Score7
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
EBIT growth 1Y4.9%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year99.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.06%
EBIT Next 5Y21.26%
FCF growth 1Y-56.91%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-62.77%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%
HUB GROUP INC-CL A / HUBG FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HUBG.
What is the valuation status for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HUB GROUP INC-CL A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is expected to decline by -1.53% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
The dividend rating of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 28.59%.