HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HUBG - US4433201062 - Common Stock
35.69 USD
+0.92 (+2.65%)
35.69 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HUBG scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HUBG was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While HUBG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HUBG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HUBG has always been profitable.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HUBG's Return On Assets of 3.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a better Return On Equity (6.17%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.77%, HUBG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HUBG is in line with the industry average of 11.58%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.91%) for HUBG is well above the current ROIC(4.77%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROIC | 4.77% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.82%, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
HUBG's Operating Margin of 3.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HUBG is creating some value.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HUBG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.62 indicates that HUBG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG's Altman-Z score of 3.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HUBG is 2.25, which is a good value as it means it would take HUBG, 2.25 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.25, HUBG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.09. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HUBG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.09. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC8.13%
2.3 Liquidity
HUBG has a Current Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HUBG has a Current ratio of 1.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HUBG outperforms 52.17% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.47, HUBG is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HUBG have decreased by -1.59% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.42% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, HUBG shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.79% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.47% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.76% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
HUBG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.19.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.83.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.01, the valuation of HUBG can be described as correct.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
HUBG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 32.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HUBG is valued cheaper than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HUBG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of HUBG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HUBG's earnings are expected to grow with 12.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.94
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.44%, HUBG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.62.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, HUBG is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.44% |
5.2 History
HUBG does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HUBG pays out 28.59% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP28.59%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
35.69
+0.92 (+2.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.12%
Inst Owner Change0.41%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0.11%
Market Cap2.18B
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)104.97M
Analysts73.91
Price Target40.12 (12.41%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio2.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.44% |
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP28.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.69%
Max EPS beat(2)0.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)0.88%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.18%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.08%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.32%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.69%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.19%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.2%
PT rev (1m)-1.39%
PT rev (3m)-0.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.38%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.01 | ||
| P/S | 0.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.64 | ||
| P/B | 1.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.86
EY5.21%
EPS(NY)2.23
Fwd EY6.25%
FCF(TTM)1.85
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)2.62
OCFY7.33%
SpS60.91
BVpS27.81
TBVpS10.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.94
Graham Number34.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 6.17% | ||
| ROCE | 6.01% | ||
| ROIC | 4.77% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.02% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.59% | ||
| OM | 3.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.82% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 3.04% |
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.09 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.25 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.49 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 24.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.53% | ||
| Profit Quality | 108.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.62 |
F-Score7
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.59%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%-5.77%
EPS Next Y-1.53%
EPS Next 2Y8.03%
EPS Next 3Y12.71%
EPS Next 5Y11.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.79%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-5.31%
Revenue Next Year-7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.26%
EBIT growth 1Y4.9%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year99.99%
EBIT Next 3Y34.06%
EBIT Next 5Y21.26%
FCF growth 1Y-56.91%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-62.77%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%
HUB GROUP INC-CL A / HUBG FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HUBG.
What is the valuation status for HUBG stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HUB GROUP INC-CL A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is expected to decline by -1.53% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) stock?
The dividend rating of HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 28.59%.