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HUB GROUP INC-CL A (HUBG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HUBG - Nasdaq - US4433201062 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

32.065  +0.42 (+1.34%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall HUBG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated HUBG against 22 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While HUBG has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. HUBG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HUBG had positive earnings in the past year.
HUBG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HUBG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years HUBG had a positive operating cash flow.
HUBG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHUBG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

HUBG's Return On Assets of 3.63% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Return On Equity (6.32%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HUBG has a Return On Invested Capital (4.82%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HUBG is below the industry average of 13.10%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.82%) for HUBG is well below the 3 year average (9.91%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HUBG had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.63%
ROE 6.32%
ROIC 4.82%
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
HUBG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHUBG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of HUBG (2.64%) is better than 72.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HUBG has declined.
HUBG's Operating Margin of 3.52% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
HUBG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.52%
PM (TTM) 2.64%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HUBG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHUBG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HUBG is still creating some value.
HUBG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HUBG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
HUBG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HUBG Yearly Shares OutstandingHUBG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
HUBG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHUBG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

HUBG has an Altman-Z score of 3.55. This indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
HUBG has a better Altman-Z score (3.55) than 68.18% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.85. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.85 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.85, HUBG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10 indicates that HUBG is not too dependend on debt financing.
HUBG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.10. This is in the better half of the industry: HUBG outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.1
Debt/FCF 1.85
Altman-Z 3.55
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.26%
HUBG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHUBG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that HUBG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HUBG's Current ratio of 1.33 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HUBG outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
HUBG has a Quick Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that HUBG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.33, HUBG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 1.33
HUBG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHUBG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for HUBG have decreased strongly by -26.68% in the last year.
HUBG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.42% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -6.10% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, HUBG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%4.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.1%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HUBG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.38% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.00% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.39%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue Next Year2.19%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y5.37%
Revenue Next 5Y5%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HUBG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHUBG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HUBG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHUBG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4 5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

HUBG is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.79.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HUBG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HUBG is cheaper than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HUBG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.63.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.07, HUBG is valued correctly.
77.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
HUBG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 20.85.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.79
Fwd PE 15.07
HUBG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHUBG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

HUBG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HUBG is cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
90.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HUBG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.68
EV/EBITDA 6.35
HUBG Per share dataHUBG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HUBG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)6.95
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HUBG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.55%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of HUBG has falen by -30.03%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.05, HUBG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
HUBG's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.55%

5.2 History

HUBG is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HUBG Yearly Dividends per shareHUBG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

29.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HUBG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP29.08%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
HUBG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHUBG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M
HUBG Dividend Payout.HUBG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HUBG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HUB GROUP INC-CL A

NASDAQ:HUBG (4/22/2025, 9:39:03 AM)

32.065

+0.42 (+1.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/amc
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08/amc
Inst Owners101.86%
Inst Owner Change0.11%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change6.79%
Market Cap1.96B
Analysts73.64
Price Target48.6 (51.57%)
Short Float %1.19%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.55%
Yearly Dividend0.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP29.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-18 2025-03-18 (0.125)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-2%
Max EPS beat(2)6.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.11%
Max EPS beat(4)11.39%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.69%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)11.61%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.74%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.07%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4%
PT rev (1m)-2.16%
PT rev (3m)-1.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.79
Fwd PE 15.07
P/S 0.5
P/FCF 13.68
P/OCF 10.11
P/B 1.19
P/tB 3.49
EV/EBITDA 6.35
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.96%
EPS(NY)2.13
Fwd EY6.64%
FCF(TTM)2.34
FCFY7.31%
OCF(TTM)3.17
OCFY9.9%
SpS64.41
BVpS26.85
TBVpS9.19
PEG (NY)1.47
PEG (5Y)6.95
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.63%
ROE 6.32%
ROCE 6.07%
ROIC 4.82%
ROICexc 5.03%
ROICexgc 9.94%
OM 3.52%
PM (TTM) 2.64%
GM N/A
FCFM 3.64%
ROA(3y)7.34%
ROA(5y)6.51%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)11.61%
ROIC(3y)9.91%
ROIC(5y)9.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.12%
ROICexc(5y)10.19%
ROICexgc(3y)20.96%
ROICexgc(5y)19.32%
ROCE(3y)12.5%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-24.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-24.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.49%
OM growth 5Y-3.28%
PM growth 3Y-13.36%
PM growth 5Y-2.04%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.1
Debt/FCF 1.85
Debt/EBITDA 0.5
Cap/Depr 26.41%
Cap/Sales 1.29%
Interest Coverage 9.52
Cash Conversion 58.63%
Profit Quality 138.06%
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 1.33
Altman-Z 3.55
F-Score6
WACC8.26%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)81.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.03%
Profit Quality(3y)124.47%
Profit Quality(5y)104.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.68%
EPS 3Y-8.88%
EPS 5Y2.42%
EPS Q2Q%4.35%
EPS Next Y11.39%
EPS Next 2Y19.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.42%
EPS Next 5Y11.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.1%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.31%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-1.17%
Revenue Next Year2.19%
Revenue Next 2Y4.53%
Revenue Next 3Y5.37%
Revenue Next 5Y5%
EBIT growth 1Y-32.32%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.46%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.86%
EBIT Next Year114.99%
EBIT Next 3Y38.4%
EBIT Next 5Y24.01%
FCF growth 1Y-49.1%
FCF growth 3Y6.19%
FCF growth 5Y-2.1%
OCF growth 1Y-53.95%
OCF growth 3Y-8.38%
OCF growth 5Y-5.24%