HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HTGC • US4270965084
Current stock price
14.04 USD
0 (0%)
At close:
14.1 USD
+0.06 (+0.43%)
After Hours:
This HTGC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HTGC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HTGC had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year HTGC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years HTGC has been profitable.
- In multiple years HTGC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.35%, HTGC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 15.20%, HTGC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC's Return On Invested Capital of 6.00% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 75.21% of its industry peers.
- HTGC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.67%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROIC | 6% |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of HTGC (63.24%) is better than 93.80% of its industry peers.
- HTGC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 64.17%, HTGC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.69% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 80.62%, HTGC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% |
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
2. HTGC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HTGC has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for HTGC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that HTGC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HTGC has a Altman-Z score of 1.05. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HTGC outperforms 58.68% of its industry peers.
- HTGC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- HTGC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.03 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 49.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- HTGC has a Current Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that HTGC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HTGC's Current ratio of 1.16 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 49.59% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that HTGC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of HTGC (1.16) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. HTGC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HTGC have decreased by -4.48% in the last year.
- HTGC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.52% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HTGC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.44% in the last year.
- HTGC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.13% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
3.2 Future
- HTGC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.22% yearly.
- HTGC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HTGC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.31, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
- HTGC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HTGC is cheaper than 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HTGC to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say HTGC is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.94, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HTGC is valued cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. HTGC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HTGC is valued a bit cheaper than 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HTGC's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- HTGC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.38
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
5. HTGC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HTGC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.18%, which is a nice return.
- The stock price of HTGC dropped by -25.44% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.94, HTGC has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, HTGC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.18% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HTGC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.10%!
- HTGC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 96.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HTGC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of HTGC has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP96.8%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
HTGC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.04
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners29.27%
Inst Owner Change7.38%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change7.27%
Market Cap2.58B
Revenue(TTM)532.49M
Net Income(TTM)336.77M
Analysts82.67
Price Target20.71 (47.51%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio3.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.18% |
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
DP96.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-25 2026-02-25 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.39%
Max EPS beat(2)0.34%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.01%
Max EPS beat(4)4.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.56%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.19%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.82%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.91%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)-3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.94 | ||
| P/S | 4.84 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.16 | ||
| P/tB | 1.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.06 |
EPS(TTM)1.92
EY13.68%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY14.4%
FCF(TTM)-2.32
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.32
OCFYN/A
SpS2.9
BVpS12.06
TBVpS12.06
PEG (NY)1.38
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham Number22.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROCE | 7.59% | ||
| ROIC | 6% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.08% | ||
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
ROICexc(3y)6.83%
ROICexc(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc(3y)6.85%
ROICexgc(5y)6.1%
ROCE(3y)8.44%
ROCE(5y)7.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.09%
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.68 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.09 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
F-Score1
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 3Y22.02%
EBIT growth 5Y16.82%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-260.58%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
HERCULES CAPITAL INC / HTGC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HTGC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HTGC.
What is the valuation status of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is HERCULES CAPITAL INC?
The financial health rating of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HTGC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is expected to grow by 5.31% in the next year.