HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HTGC • US4270965084
Current stock price
13.89 USD
-0.17 (-1.21%)
At close:
13.87 USD
-0.02 (-0.14%)
After Hours:
This HTGC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HTGC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HTGC had positive earnings in the past year.
- HTGC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years HTGC has been profitable.
- In multiple years HTGC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.35%, HTGC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.99% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.20%, HTGC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.00%. This is in the better half of the industry: HTGC outperforms 74.06% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HTGC is in line with the industry average of 7.28%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROIC | 6% |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
1.3 Margins
- HTGC has a better Profit Margin (63.24%) than 93.31% of its industry peers.
- HTGC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HTGC has a Operating Margin of 64.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HTGC outperforms 96.65% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HTGC has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 80.62%, HTGC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% |
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
2. HTGC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- HTGC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that HTGC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.05, HTGC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- HTGC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.03 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 50.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- HTGC has a Current Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that HTGC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.16, HTGC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that HTGC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HTGC has a Quick ratio (1.16) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. HTGC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HTGC have decreased by -4.48% in the last year.
- HTGC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.52% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HTGC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.44% in the last year.
- HTGC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.13% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
3.2 Future
- HTGC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.22% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y4.28%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HTGC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.23, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HTGC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.99% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.88, HTGC is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.87 indicates a rather cheap valuation of HTGC.
- HTGC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HTGC is cheaper than 85.36% of the companies in the same industry.
- HTGC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HTGC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HTGC is cheaper than 77.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.07 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of HTGC may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.36
PEG (5Y)1.11
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
5. HTGC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.38%, HTGC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- In the last 3 months the price of HTGC has falen by -25.68%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.76, HTGC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- HTGC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.38% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HTGC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.10%!
- HTGC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- HTGC pays out 96.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- HTGC's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP96.8%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
HTGC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
13.89
-0.17 (-1.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners29.27%
Inst Owner Change7.37%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change7.28%
Market Cap2.55B
Revenue(TTM)532.49M
Net Income(TTM)336.77M
Analysts82.67
Price Target20.2 (45.43%)
Short Float %6.64%
Short Ratio4.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.38% |
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
DP96.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-25 2026-02-25 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.39%
Max EPS beat(2)0.34%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.01%
Max EPS beat(4)4.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.56%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.19%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.82%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.91%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)-3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.77%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.77%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.87 | ||
| P/S | 4.79 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | 1.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.07 |
EPS(TTM)1.92
EY13.82%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY14.56%
FCF(TTM)-2.32
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.32
OCFYN/A
SpS2.9
BVpS12.06
TBVpS12.06
PEG (NY)1.36
PEG (5Y)1.11
Graham Number22.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROCE | 7.59% | ||
| ROIC | 6% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.08% | ||
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
ROICexc(3y)6.83%
ROICexc(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc(3y)6.85%
ROICexgc(5y)6.1%
ROCE(3y)8.44%
ROCE(5y)7.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.09%
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.68 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.09 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.05 |
F-Score1
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y4.28%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 3Y22.02%
EBIT growth 5Y16.82%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-260.58%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
HERCULES CAPITAL INC / HTGC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HTGC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HTGC.
What is the valuation status of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is HERCULES CAPITAL INC?
The financial health rating of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HTGC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is expected to grow by 5.31% in the next year.