HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HTGC • US4270965084

14.67 USD
-0.19 (-1.28%)
At close: Mar 9, 2026
14.74 USD
+0.07 (+0.48%)
Pre-Market: 3/10/2026, 4:02:42 AM

This HTGC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

HTGC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 242 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. While HTGC is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HTGC is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. HTGC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HTGC was profitable.
  • HTGC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years HTGC has always been profitable.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: HTGC reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
HTGC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHTGC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • HTGC has a Return On Assets of 7.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: HTGC outperforms 77.69% of its industry peers.
  • HTGC has a Return On Equity of 15.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: HTGC outperforms 76.03% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.00%, HTGC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HTGC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.67%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.06%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.35%
ROE 15.2%
ROIC 6%
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
HTGC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHTGC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 63.24%, HTGC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HTGC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HTGC has a Operating Margin of 64.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HTGC outperforms 96.69% of its industry peers.
  • HTGC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • HTGC has a Gross Margin of 80.62%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HTGC outperforms 85.95% of its industry peers.
  • HTGC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 64.17%
PM (TTM) 63.24%
GM 80.62%
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
HTGC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHTGC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

2

2. HTGC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HTGC has more shares outstanding
  • HTGC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HTGC Yearly Shares OutstandingHTGC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HTGC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHTGC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • HTGC has an Altman-Z score of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that HTGC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HTGC has a Altman-Z score of 1.08. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HTGC outperforms 58.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03 is on the high side and indicates that HTGC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.03, HTGC is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.08
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
HTGC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHTGC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that HTGC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HTGC has a Current ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HTGC outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • HTGC has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that HTGC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HTGC has a Quick ratio (1.16) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 1.16
HTGC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHTGC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

3

3. HTGC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HTGC shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -4.48%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, HTGC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.52% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, HTGC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.44% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HTGC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.13% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HTGC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.22% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HTGC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHTGC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M
HTGC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHTGC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

6

4. HTGC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.64, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HTGC is valued a bit cheaper than 74.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HTGC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.26, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
  • 85.54% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HTGC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.65. HTGC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.64
Fwd PE 7.26
HTGC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHTGC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 77.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HTGC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.4
HTGC Per share dataHTGC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HTGC's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of HTGC may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)1.17
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%

5

5. HTGC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.59%, HTGC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • The stock price of HTGC dropped by -22.09% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.64, HTGC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • HTGC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.59%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of HTGC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.10%!
  • HTGC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
HTGC Yearly Dividends per shareHTGC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • HTGC pays out 96.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of HTGC has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP96.8%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
HTGC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHTGC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
HTGC Dividend Payout.HTGC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HTGC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HTGC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HERCULES CAPITAL INC

NYSE:HTGC (3/9/2026, 8:10:27 PM)

Premarket: 14.74 +0.07 (+0.48%)

14.67

-0.19 (-1.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners29.27%
Inst Owner Change7.38%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change7.27%
Market Cap2.69B
Revenue(TTM)532.49M
Net Income(TTM)336.77M
Analysts82.67
Price Target20.71 (41.17%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio3.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.59%
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
DP96.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-25
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.39%
Max EPS beat(2)0.34%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.01%
Max EPS beat(4)4.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.56%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.19%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.82%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.91%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)-3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.64
Fwd PE 7.26
P/S 5.06
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.22
P/tB 1.22
EV/EBITDA 14.4
EPS(TTM)1.92
EY13.09%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY13.78%
FCF(TTM)-2.32
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.32
OCFYN/A
SpS2.9
BVpS12.06
TBVpS12.06
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)1.17
Graham Number22.83
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.35%
ROE 15.2%
ROCE 7.59%
ROIC 6%
ROICexc 6.07%
ROICexgc 6.08%
OM 64.17%
PM (TTM) 63.24%
GM 80.62%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
ROICexc(3y)6.83%
ROICexc(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc(3y)6.85%
ROICexgc(5y)6.1%
ROCE(3y)8.44%
ROCE(5y)7.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.09%
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.03
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.68
Cap/Depr 26.41%
Cap/Sales 0.02%
Interest Coverage 4.09
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 1.16
Altman-Z 1.08
F-Score1
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 3Y22.02%
EBIT growth 5Y16.82%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-260.58%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

HERCULES CAPITAL INC / HTGC FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HTGC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HTGC.


What is the valuation status of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?

HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is HERCULES CAPITAL INC?

The financial health rating of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HTGC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is expected to grow by 5.31% in the next year.