HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HTGC • US4270965084
Current stock price
14.17 USD
-0.25 (-1.73%)
At close:
14.15 USD
-0.02 (-0.14%)
After Hours:
This HTGC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HTGC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HTGC was profitable.
- HTGC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years HTGC has always been profitable.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: HTGC reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- HTGC has a better Return On Assets (7.35%) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
- HTGC has a Return On Equity of 15.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: HTGC outperforms 75.62% of its industry peers.
- HTGC's Return On Invested Capital of 6.00% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 75.62% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HTGC is in line with the industry average of 7.14%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROIC | 6% |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
1.3 Margins
- HTGC's Profit Margin of 63.24% is amongst the best of the industry. HTGC outperforms 93.80% of its industry peers.
- HTGC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HTGC's Operating Margin of 64.17% is amongst the best of the industry. HTGC outperforms 96.69% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HTGC has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of HTGC (80.62%) is better than 85.95% of its industry peers.
- HTGC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% |
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
2. HTGC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- HTGC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- HTGC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.07, we must say that HTGC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HTGC's Altman-Z score of 1.07 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HTGC outperforms 57.02% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03 is on the high side and indicates that HTGC has dependencies on debt financing.
- HTGC has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.07 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that HTGC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- HTGC has a Current ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HTGC outperforms 49.17% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that HTGC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.16, HTGC is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. HTGC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HTGC have decreased by -4.48% in the last year.
- HTGC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.52% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HTGC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.44% in the last year.
- HTGC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.13% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
3.2 Future
- HTGC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.22% yearly.
- HTGC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HTGC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.38, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HTGC is valued a bit cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. HTGC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.01, the valuation of HTGC can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HTGC is valued cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.28. HTGC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HTGC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HTGC is cheaper than 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HTGC's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- HTGC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.39
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
5. HTGC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HTGC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.10%, which is a nice return.
- In the last 3 months the price of HTGC has falen by -23.45%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- HTGC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.91.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, HTGC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.1% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HTGC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.10%!
- HTGC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- HTGC pays out 96.80% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of HTGC has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP96.8%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
HTGC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.17
-0.25 (-1.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners29.27%
Inst Owner Change7.38%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change7.27%
Market Cap2.60B
Revenue(TTM)532.49M
Net Income(TTM)336.77M
Analysts82.67
Price Target20.71 (46.15%)
Short Float %6.64%
Short Ratio4.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.1% |
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.1%
DP96.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date02-25 2026-02-25 (0.07)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.39%
Max EPS beat(2)0.34%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.26%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.01%
Max EPS beat(4)4.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.97%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.56%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.19%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.82%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.91%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)-3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.01 | ||
| P/S | 4.89 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.17 | ||
| P/tB | 1.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.26 |
EPS(TTM)1.92
EY13.55%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY14.27%
FCF(TTM)-2.32
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.32
OCFYN/A
SpS2.9
BVpS12.06
TBVpS12.06
PEG (NY)1.39
PEG (5Y)1.13
Graham Number22.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.35% | ||
| ROE | 15.2% | ||
| ROCE | 7.59% | ||
| ROIC | 6% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.07% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.08% | ||
| OM | 64.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 63.24% | ||
| GM | 80.62% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)7.97%
ROA(5y)6.77%
ROE(3y)15.61%
ROE(5y)13.42%
ROIC(3y)6.67%
ROIC(5y)5.93%
ROICexc(3y)6.83%
ROICexc(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc(3y)6.85%
ROICexgc(5y)6.1%
ROCE(3y)8.44%
ROCE(5y)7.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.09%
OM growth 3Y3.15%
OM growth 5Y3.25%
PM growth 3Y26.79%
PM growth 5Y-4.23%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.12
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.03 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.68 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 26.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.09 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.07 |
F-Score1
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y9.06%
EPS 5Y6.52%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
EPS Next Y5.31%
EPS Next 2Y3.42%
EPS Next 3Y-0.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.44%
Revenue growth 3Y18.29%
Revenue growth 5Y13.13%
Sales Q2Q%12.85%
Revenue Next Year8.54%
Revenue Next 2Y6.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 3Y22.02%
EBIT growth 5Y16.82%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-260.58%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
HERCULES CAPITAL INC / HTGC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HTGC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HTGC.
What is the valuation status of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) stock?
HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is HERCULES CAPITAL INC?
The financial health rating of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HTGC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HERCULES CAPITAL INC (HTGC) is expected to grow by 5.31% in the next year.