HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:HSY - US4278661081 - Common Stock
181.65 USD
-0.83 (-0.45%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to HSY. HSY was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While HSY has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. HSY is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HSY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
HSY had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
HSY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HSY (10.01%) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 29.79%, HSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.40% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of HSY (16.48%) is better than 95.40% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HSY is below the industry average of 28.38%.
The 3 year average ROIC (23.99%) for HSY is well above the current ROIC(16.48%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.01% | ||
| ROE | 29.79% | ||
| ROIC | 16.48% |
ROA(3y)15.94%
ROA(5y)15.2%
ROE(3y)47.46%
ROE(5y)50.64%
ROIC(3y)23.99%
ROIC(5y)22.85%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 11.84%, HSY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.95% of the companies in the same industry.
HSY's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HSY has a better Operating Margin (17.27%) than 95.40% of its industry peers.
HSY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 37.74%, HSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.36% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HSY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.84% | ||
| GM | 37.74% |
OM growth 3Y4.4%
OM growth 5Y4.06%
PM growth 3Y6.38%
PM growth 5Y6.61%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HSY is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for HSY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HSY has less shares outstanding
HSY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.46 indicates that HSY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HSY has a Altman-Z score of 4.46. This is amongst the best in the industry. HSY outperforms 88.51% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HSY is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take HSY, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.05, HSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.07 is on the high side and indicates that HSY has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HSY (1.07) is worse than 73.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.46 |
ROIC/WACC2.03
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.36 indicates that HSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.36, HSY is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that HSY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HSY's Quick ratio of 0.83 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HSY outperforms 43.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HSY have decreased strongly by -16.21% in the last year.
HSY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.11% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.71% in the last year.
HSY shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.21%
EPS 3Y9.28%
EPS 5Y10.11%
EPS Q2Q%-44.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.68%
Revenue growth 5Y7%
Sales Q2Q%6.49%
3.2 Future
HSY is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 1.55% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HSY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-35.65%
EPS Next 2Y-14.17%
EPS Next 3Y-4.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.55%
Revenue Next Year3.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.3%
Revenue Next 5Y3.19%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.92, HSY is valued on the expensive side.
HSY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HSY to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.47), we can say HSY is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.31, the valuation of HSY can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HSY.
HSY is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HSY is cheaper than 63.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of HSY may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as HSY's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.47
EPS Next 2Y-14.17%
EPS Next 3Y-4.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.08%, HSY has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
HSY's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.15.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, HSY pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.08% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of HSY grows each year by 12.83%, which is quite nice.
HSY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
HSY has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.83%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
HSY pays out 79.75% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
HSY's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP79.75%
EPS Next 2Y-14.17%
EPS Next 3Y-4.79%
NYSE:HSY (11/20/2025, 1:52:08 PM)
181.65
-0.83 (-0.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners92.52%
Inst Owner Change-0.46%
Ins Owners0.2%
Ins Owner Change1.31%
Market Cap36.82B
Revenue(TTM)11.49B
Net Income(TTM)1.36B
Analysts65.71
Price Target194.88 (7.28%)
Short Float %4.9%
Short Ratio4.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.08% |
Yearly Dividend5.33
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.83%
DP79.75%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.61%
Min EPS beat(2)20.39%
Max EPS beat(2)20.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.92%
Min EPS beat(4)6.26%
Max EPS beat(4)20.83%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)6.32%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.89%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)7.08%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.62%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.62%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.53%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.12%
PT rev (1m)1.45%
PT rev (3m)5.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.31 | ||
| P/S | 3.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.06 | ||
| P/B | 8.07 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.54 |
EPS(TTM)7.29
EY4.01%
EPS(NY)6.9
Fwd EY3.8%
FCF(TTM)8.72
FCFY4.8%
OCF(TTM)11.31
OCFY6.23%
SpS56.67
BVpS22.52
TBVpS-1.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.47
Graham Number60.77
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.01% | ||
| ROE | 29.79% | ||
| ROCE | 19.16% | ||
| ROIC | 16.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 39.09% | ||
| OM | 17.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.84% | ||
| GM | 37.74% | ||
| FCFM | 15.39% |
ROA(3y)15.94%
ROA(5y)15.2%
ROE(3y)47.46%
ROE(5y)50.64%
ROIC(3y)23.99%
ROIC(5y)22.85%
ROICexc(3y)25.42%
ROICexc(5y)24.68%
ROICexgc(3y)57.82%
ROICexgc(5y)56.6%
ROCE(3y)30.24%
ROCE(5y)28.38%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.23%
OM growth 3Y4.4%
OM growth 5Y4.06%
PM growth 3Y6.38%
PM growth 5Y6.61%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y0.85%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.99% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 92.48% | ||
| Profit Quality | 130% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.46 |
F-Score4
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACC2.03
Cap/Depr(3y)151.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)152.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.65%
Profit Quality(3y)93.33%
Profit Quality(5y)97.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.21%
EPS 3Y9.28%
EPS 5Y10.11%
EPS Q2Q%-44.44%
EPS Next Y-35.65%
EPS Next 2Y-14.17%
EPS Next 3Y-4.79%
EPS Next 5Y1.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.68%
Revenue growth 5Y7%
Sales Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue Next Year3.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.3%
Revenue Next 5Y3.19%
EBIT growth 1Y-21.53%
EBIT growth 3Y12.42%
EBIT growth 5Y11.34%
EBIT Next Year-7.45%
EBIT Next 3Y4.42%
EBIT Next 5Y5.01%
FCF growth 1Y8.78%
FCF growth 3Y6.4%
FCF growth 5Y5.9%
OCF growth 1Y-1.75%
OCF growth 3Y6.52%
OCF growth 5Y7.49%
HERSHEY CO/THE / HSY FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HSY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HSY.
What is the valuation status of HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of HSY stock?
HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the valuation of HERSHEY CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 24.92 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 8.07.
What is the financial health of HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) stock?
The financial health rating of HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 6 / 10.