HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HSY • US4278661081
Current stock price
182.34 USD
-3.4 (-1.83%)
At close:
182.34 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This HSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HSY was profitable.
- In the past year HSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years HSY has always been profitable.
- HSY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- HSY has a Return On Assets of 6.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: HSY outperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 19.05%, HSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.66% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.14%, HSY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.66% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HSY is significantly above the industry average of 7.69%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.14%) for HSY is well below the 3 year average (18.61%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HSY had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 19.05% | ||
| ROIC | 11.14% |
ROA(3y)13.08%
ROA(5y)13.69%
ROE(3y)37.19%
ROE(5y)43%
ROIC(3y)18.61%
ROIC(5y)19.34%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of HSY (7.55%) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- HSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HSY has a better Operating Margin (12.84%) than 86.21% of its industry peers.
- HSY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HSY's Gross Margin of 33.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HSY outperforms 77.01% of its industry peers.
- HSY's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.84% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.55% | ||
| GM | 33.55% |
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5Y-10.52%
PM growth 3Y-21.78%
PM growth 5Y-13.6%
GM growth 3Y-8.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.89%
2. HSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HSY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HSY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HSY has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for HSY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- HSY has an Altman-Z score of 4.26. This indicates that HSY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- HSY has a Altman-Z score of 4.26. This is amongst the best in the industry. HSY outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.09. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as HSY would need 3.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HSY's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.09 is amongst the best of the industry. HSY outperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.06 is on the high side and indicates that HSY has dependencies on debt financing.
- HSY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.06) than 70.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
ROIC/WACC1.35
WACC8.28%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that HSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- HSY's Current ratio of 1.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HSY is outperformed by 65.52% of its industry peers.
- HSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that HSY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.72, HSY is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 |
3. HSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HSY have decreased strongly by -21.69% in the last year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, HSY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.06% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.38% in the past year.
- HSY shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.49% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.69%
EPS 3Y-9.52%
EPS 5Y0.06%
EPS Q2Q%12.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.38%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.65%
3.2 Future
- HSY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.64% yearly.
- HSY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y34.97%
EPS Next 2Y25.8%
EPS Next 3Y19.78%
EPS Next 5Y13.64%
Revenue Next Year5.71%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- HSY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.75.
- HSY's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- HSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- HSY is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.26.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HSY.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, HSY is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HSY has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HSY's earnings are expected to grow with 19.78% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)436.98
EPS Next 2Y25.8%
EPS Next 3Y19.78%
5. HSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HSY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- HSY's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.28.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, HSY pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.13% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of HSY grows each year by 11.76%, which is quite nice.
- HSY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HSY has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- HSY pays out 122.87% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of HSY is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP122.87%
EPS Next 2Y25.8%
EPS Next 3Y19.78%
HSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
182.34
-3.4 (-1.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Industry Strength23.6
Industry Growth11.18
Earnings (Last)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-28 2026-07-28/bmo
Inst Owners88.6%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change-6.45%
Market Cap36.96B
Revenue(TTM)11.69B
Net Income(TTM)883.26M
Analysts67.59
Price Target229.41 (25.81%)
Short Float %6.39%
Short Ratio5.06
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.13% |
Yearly Dividend5.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.76%
DP122.87%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-17 2026-02-17 (1.452)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.5%
Min EPS beat(2)20.39%
Max EPS beat(2)20.62%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.02%
Min EPS beat(4)6.26%
Max EPS beat(4)20.83%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.59%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)7.54%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)8.15%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.73%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.73%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.59%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.46%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.73%
PT rev (1m)-2.92%
PT rev (3m)16.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.97%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.26 | ||
| P/S | 3.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.23 | ||
| P/B | 7.97 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.56 |
EPS(TTM)6.57
EY3.6%
EPS(NY)9.99
Fwd EY5.48%
FCF(TTM)8.63
FCFY4.73%
OCF(TTM)11.24
OCFY6.16%
SpS57.69
BVpS22.88
TBVpS-5.85
PEG (NY)0.79
PEG (5Y)436.98
Graham Number58.152 (-68.11%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 19.05% | ||
| ROCE | 13.99% | ||
| ROIC | 11.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 29.05% | ||
| OM | 12.84% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.55% | ||
| GM | 33.55% | ||
| FCFM | 14.96% |
ROA(3y)13.08%
ROA(5y)13.69%
ROE(3y)37.19%
ROE(5y)43%
ROIC(3y)18.61%
ROIC(5y)19.34%
ROICexc(3y)19.85%
ROICexc(5y)20.49%
ROICexgc(3y)42.97%
ROICexgc(5y)47.25%
ROCE(3y)25.08%
ROCE(5y)26.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.82%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.71%
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5Y-10.52%
PM growth 3Y-21.78%
PM growth 5Y-13.6%
GM growth 3Y-8.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.89%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.66 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 113.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 198.03% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.26 |
F-Score4
WACC8.28%
ROIC/WACC1.35
Cap/Depr(3y)140.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)143.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.47%
Profit Quality(3y)122.7%
Profit Quality(5y)117.24%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.69%
EPS 3Y-9.52%
EPS 5Y0.06%
EPS Q2Q%12.44%
EPS Next Y34.97%
EPS Next 2Y25.8%
EPS Next 3Y19.78%
EPS Next 5Y13.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.38%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y7.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.65%
Revenue Next Year5.71%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5Y3.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.96%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.82%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year63.4%
EBIT Next 3Y25.26%
EBIT Next 5Y15.68%
FCF growth 1Y-9.17%
FCF growth 3Y-1.1%
FCF growth 5Y7.01%
OCF growth 1Y-10.04%
OCF growth 3Y-0.73%
OCF growth 5Y6.17%
HERSHEY CO/THE / HSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HSY stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to HSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for HERSHEY CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) stock?
HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for HSY stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 27.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.97.
How financially healthy is HERSHEY CO/THE?
The financial health rating of HERSHEY CO/THE (HSY) is 5 / 10.