HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HRI • US42704L1044

Current stock price

96.87 USD
-3.47 (-3.46%)
At close:
96.01 USD
-0.86 (-0.89%)
After Hours:

This HRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HRI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HRI has been profitable.
  • HRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • HRI has a worse Return On Assets (0.01%) than 61.70% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.05%, HRI is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HRI has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.72%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HRI outperforms 46.81% of its industry peers.
  • HRI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.14%. This is below the industry average of 9.00%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.01%
ROE 0.05%
ROIC 3.72%
ROA(3y)2.53%
ROA(5y)3.63%
ROE(3y)14.14%
ROE(5y)19.02%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
HRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • HRI has a Profit Margin (0.02%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HRI has declined.
  • HRI has a better Operating Margin (15.31%) than 82.98% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HRI has grown nicely.
  • HRI has a better Gross Margin (57.20%) than 93.62% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HRI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.31%
PM (TTM) 0.02%
GM 57.2%
OM growth 3Y-9.14%
OM growth 5Y5.7%
PM growth 3Y-87.62%
PM growth 5Y-64.65%
GM growth 3Y-3.45%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
HRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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1

2. HRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • HRI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HRI has more shares outstanding
  • HRI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HRI Yearly Shares OutstandingHRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
HRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.72, we must say that HRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HRI has a Altman-Z score of 0.72. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HRI underperforms 82.98% of its industry peers.
  • HRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.17. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • HRI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 4.17. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HRI underperforms 85.11% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.72
ROIC/WACC0.44
WACC8.37%
HRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.31 indicates that HRI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.31, HRI is not doing good in the industry: 72.34% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.31 indicates that HRI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HRI (1.31) is better than 63.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.31
Quick Ratio 1.31
HRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -42.13%.
  • HRI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 20.06% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, HRI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 22.65%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 19.69% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.13%
EPS 3Y-12.87%
EPS 5Y20.06%
EPS Q2Q%-42.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.65%
Revenue growth 3Y16.91%
Revenue growth 5Y19.69%
Sales Q2Q%27.13%

3.2 Future

  • HRI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.08% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.24% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-7.09%
EPS Next 2Y18.9%
EPS Next 3Y38.66%
EPS Next 5Y25.08%
Revenue Next Year8.44%
Revenue Next 2Y7.29%
Revenue Next 3Y8.61%
Revenue Next 5Y8.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
HRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15 20

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5

4. HRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.99, which indicates a correct valuation of HRI.
  • HRI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HRI is cheaper than 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HRI to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.75), we can say HRI is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.98, HRI is valued correctly.
  • HRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HRI is cheaper than 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. HRI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.99
Fwd PE 13.98
HRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 95.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HRI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.54
HRI Per share dataHRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HRI's earnings are expected to grow with 38.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
EPS Next 2Y18.9%
EPS Next 3Y38.66%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. HRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.67%, HRI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • The stock price of HRI dropped by -36.42% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • HRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.84. HRI pays more dividend than 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HRI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%

5.2 History

  • HRI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HRI has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
HRI Yearly Dividends per shareHRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • HRI pays out 8700.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP8700%
EPS Next 2Y18.9%
EPS Next 3Y38.66%
HRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M
HRI Dividend Payout.HRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HERC HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:HRI (3/30/2026, 8:07:04 PM)

After market: 96.01 -0.86 (-0.89%)

96.87

-3.47 (-3.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-16
Inst Owners107.96%
Inst Owner Change12.3%
Ins Owners2.23%
Ins Owner Change7.98%
Market Cap3.23B
Revenue(TTM)4.38B
Net Income(TTM)1.00M
Analysts78.46
Price Target175.31 (80.97%)
Short Float %6.13%
Short Ratio3.3
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%
Yearly Dividend2.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP8700%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.32%
Max EPS beat(2)7.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.15%
Max EPS beat(4)20.95%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.79%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-4.05%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.54%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.19%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.12%
PT rev (1m)-3.17%
PT rev (3m)1.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-47.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-24.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.39%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.99
Fwd PE 13.98
P/S 0.74
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.98
P/B 1.66
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.54
EPS(TTM)7.46
EY7.7%
EPS(NY)6.93
Fwd EY7.16%
FCF(TTM)-5.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)32.51
OCFY33.56%
SpS131.14
BVpS58.38
TBVpS-77.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
Graham Number98.99
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.01%
ROE 0.05%
ROCE 5.14%
ROIC 3.72%
ROICexc 3.74%
ROICexgc 5.75%
OM 15.31%
PM (TTM) 0.02%
GM 57.2%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.53%
ROA(5y)3.63%
ROE(3y)14.14%
ROE(5y)19.02%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)6.58%
ROICexc(3y)6.2%
ROICexc(5y)6.65%
ROICexgc(3y)7.81%
ROICexgc(5y)8.17%
ROCE(3y)8.47%
ROCE(5y)9.08%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.24%
OM growth 3Y-9.14%
OM growth 5Y5.7%
PM growth 3Y-87.62%
PM growth 5Y-64.65%
GM growth 3Y-3.45%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.64
Cap/Depr 116.11%
Cap/Sales 28.66%
Interest Coverage 1.6
Cash Conversion 62%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.31
Quick Ratio 1.31
Altman-Z 0.72
F-Score3
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC0.44
Cap/Depr(3y)153.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)35.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)36.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.13%
EPS 3Y-12.87%
EPS 5Y20.06%
EPS Q2Q%-42.18%
EPS Next Y-7.09%
EPS Next 2Y18.9%
EPS Next 3Y38.66%
EPS Next 5Y25.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.65%
Revenue growth 3Y16.91%
Revenue growth 5Y19.69%
Sales Q2Q%27.13%
Revenue Next Year8.44%
Revenue Next 2Y7.29%
Revenue Next 3Y8.61%
Revenue Next 5Y8.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-9.83%
EBIT growth 3Y6.22%
EBIT growth 5Y26.52%
EBIT Next Year166.62%
EBIT Next 3Y49.04%
EBIT Next 5Y30.28%
FCF growth 1Y-1156.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.43%
OCF growth 3Y5.78%
OCF growth 5Y12.17%

HERC HOLDINGS INC / HRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HRI.


Can you provide the valuation status for HERC HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of HRI stock?

HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of HERC HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) is 12.99 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.66.


What is the expected EPS growth for HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) is expected to decline by -7.09% in the next year.