HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HRI - US42704L1044 - Common Stock
137.28 USD
+0.84 (+0.62%)
137.28 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HRI. HRI was compared to 49 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While HRI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HRI is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HRI was profitable.
HRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HRI has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years HRI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.50%, HRI is doing worse than 63.27% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -3.58%, HRI is not doing good in the industry: 69.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.08%, HRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HRI is in line with the industry average of 9.22%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -3.58% | ||
| ROIC | 4.08% |
ROA(3y)4.38%
ROA(5y)4.04%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)21%
ROIC(3y)7.69%
ROIC(5y)7%
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HRI has grown nicely.
HRI has a better Operating Margin (17.31%) than 79.59% of its industry peers.
HRI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 58.30%, HRI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.88% of the companies in the same industry.
HRI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.31% |
OM growth 3Y4.56%
OM growth 5Y10.96%
PM growth 3Y-18.21%
PM growth 5Y20%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y3.11%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HRI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HRI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
HRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.76, we must say that HRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HRI has a worse Altman-Z score (0.76) than 89.80% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.28 is on the high side and indicates that HRI has dependencies on debt financing.
HRI's Debt to Equity ratio of 4.28 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HRI is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.76 |
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC9.75%
2.3 Liquidity
HRI has a Current Ratio of 1.22. This is a normal value and indicates that HRI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HRI has a Current ratio of 1.22. This is in the lower half of the industry: HRI underperforms 77.55% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.22 indicates that HRI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HRI has a Quick ratio of 1.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HRI outperforms 48.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HRI have decreased strongly by -28.53% in the last year.
HRI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 48.42% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 19.40% in the past year. This is quite good.
HRI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.53%
EPS 3Y19.73%
EPS 5Y48.42%
EPS Q2Q%-48.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.4%
Revenue growth 3Y19.84%
Revenue growth 5Y12.29%
Sales Q2Q%35.13%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HRI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.16% on average per year.
HRI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y-37.38%
EPS Next 2Y-16.06%
EPS Next 3Y0.56%
EPS Next 5Y11.16%
Revenue Next Year24.8%
Revenue Next 2Y19.75%
Revenue Next 3Y14.67%
Revenue Next 5Y13.47%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.30 indicates a correct valuation of HRI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HRI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HRI is cheaper than 77.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. HRI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.12, HRI is valued correctly.
71.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HRI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
HRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
81.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HRI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.58 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of HRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y-16.06%
EPS Next 3Y0.56%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.33%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
HRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.08. HRI pays more dividend than 89.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, HRI has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.33% |
5.2 History
HRI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HRI has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
HRI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-120.29%
EPS Next 2Y-16.06%
EPS Next 3Y0.56%
137.28
+0.84 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.39%
Inst Owner Change1.06%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change0.13%
Market Cap4.56B
Revenue(TTM)4.12B
Net Income(TTM)-69.00M
Analysts76.67
Price Target168.17 (22.5%)
Short Float %7.42%
Short Ratio5.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.33% |
Yearly Dividend2.72
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-120.29%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.32%
Max EPS beat(2)20.95%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.15%
Max EPS beat(4)20.95%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.73%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.07%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.53%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.87%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.48%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.18%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.25%
PT rev (1m)9.5%
PT rev (3m)9.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.66%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.12 | ||
| P/S | 1.11 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.14 | ||
| P/B | 2.37 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.58 |
EPS(TTM)8.97
EY6.53%
EPS(NY)9.08
Fwd EY6.62%
FCF(TTM)-5.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)33.12
OCFY24.13%
SpS123.89
BVpS58.03
TBVpS-79.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number108.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -3.58% | ||
| ROCE | 5.43% | ||
| ROIC | 4.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 17.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.31% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.38%
ROA(5y)4.04%
ROE(3y)24.04%
ROE(5y)21%
ROIC(3y)7.69%
ROIC(5y)7%
ROICexc(3y)7.77%
ROICexc(5y)7.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.25%
ROICexgc(5y)8.36%
ROCE(3y)10.24%
ROCE(5y)9.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.77%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.21%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.51%
OM growth 3Y4.56%
OM growth 5Y10.96%
PM growth 3Y-18.21%
PM growth 5Y20%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y3.11%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.89 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.68 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.76 |
F-Score2
WACC9.75%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)182.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)152.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)41.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)35.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.53%
EPS 3Y19.73%
EPS 5Y48.42%
EPS Q2Q%-48.97%
EPS Next Y-37.38%
EPS Next 2Y-16.06%
EPS Next 3Y0.56%
EPS Next 5Y11.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.4%
Revenue growth 3Y19.84%
Revenue growth 5Y12.29%
Sales Q2Q%35.13%
Revenue Next Year24.8%
Revenue Next 2Y19.75%
Revenue Next 3Y14.67%
Revenue Next 5Y13.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1.13%
EBIT growth 3Y25.3%
EBIT growth 5Y24.59%
EBIT Next Year149.71%
EBIT Next 3Y49.34%
EBIT Next 5Y31.49%
FCF growth 1Y61.15%
FCF growth 3Y-46.1%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1.06%
OCF growth 3Y18.08%
OCF growth 5Y14.02%
HERC HOLDINGS INC / HRI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HERC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HRI.
What is the valuation status of HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of HRI stock?
HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HRI stock?
The financial health rating of HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for HRI stock?
The dividend rating of HERC HOLDINGS INC (HRI) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -120.29%.