HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

5.09 USD
+0.47 (+10.17%)
Last: Feb 13, 2026, 08:15 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has an average financial health and profitability rating. HPK is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HPK's Return On Assets of 1.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 61.16% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a worse Return On Equity (2.81%) than 61.16% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.95%, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.00%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of HPK (27.59%) is better than 69.42% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 84.53%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 109.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • HPK's Debt to FCF ratio of 109.22 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 40.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HPK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 62.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 1.01
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC10.59%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HPK has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.65, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.58 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.58, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for HPK has decreased by -38.08% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, HPK shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -41.78% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -14.73% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.14, the valuation of HPK can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HPK is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.14
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 58.56
EV/EBITDA 2.53
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.46%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.57, HPK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, HPK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.46%

5.2 History

  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (2/13/2026, 8:15:09 PM)

5.09

+0.47 (+10.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners21.02%
Inst Owner Change-0.87%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap639.25M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.67 (70.33%)
Short Float %30.2%
Short Ratio7.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.46%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-10.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-55.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.14
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.73
P/FCF 58.56
P/OCF 1.15
P/B 0.39
P/tB 0.39
EV/EBITDA 2.53
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY7.07%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.71%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY87.29%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROCE 7.97%
ROIC 5.95%
ROICexc 6.29%
ROICexgc 6.29%
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
FCFM 1.24%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Debt/EBITDA 1.76
Cap/Depr 131.26%
Cap/Sales 62.06%
Interest Coverage 1.81
Cash Conversion 84.54%
Profit Quality 23.91%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 1.01
F-Score5
WACC10.59%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year92%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.