HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HPK - US43114Q1058 - Common Stock
5.51 USD
-0.05 (-0.9%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While HPK is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HPK has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HPK was profitable.
In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 3.55%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.63%, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.22%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 21.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(7.22%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.55% | ||
| ROE | 6.63% | ||
| ROIC | 7.22% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 11.37%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
HPK has a better Operating Margin (29.58%) than 71.90% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 85.64%, HPK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.37% | ||
| GM | 85.64% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HPK is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, HPK has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HPK has an Altman-Z score of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score of 1.12. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 48.10% of its industry peers.
HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 65.42. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 65.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK (65.42) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.62. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.62, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.12 |
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC11.59%
2.3 Liquidity
HPK has a Current Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HPK (0.87) is worse than 61.43% of its industry peers.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.82, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
HPK shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.77%.
HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.77%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -38.84% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -12.87% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-21.78%
EPS Next 2Y-38.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.06%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.87%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.31, HPK is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.56, HPK is valued a bit cheaper.
HPK is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.88.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HPK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.62, HPK is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: HPK is cheaper than 94.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HPK has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -38.84% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-38.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.72%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -27.70%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.86, HPK has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, HPK has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.72% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
20.09% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP20.09%
EPS Next 2Y-38.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
NASDAQ:HPK (11/18/2025, 9:35:51 AM)
5.51
-0.05 (-0.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.04%
Inst Owner Change0.14%
Ins Owners17.89%
Ins Owner Change0.3%
Market Cap694.98M
Revenue(TTM)1.07B
Net Income(TTM)109.63M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.69 (75.86%)
Short Float %28.95%
Short Ratio13.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.72% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP20.09%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)68.05%
Min EPS beat(2)0.95%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)34.6%
Min EPS beat(4)-51.7%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)2.29%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-9.68%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-19.98%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.12%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.35%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)35.71%
PT rev (3m)-50.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)35.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)103.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)41.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.88 | ||
| P/S | 0.72 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.13 | ||
| P/B | 0.42 | ||
| P/tB | 0.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.31 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY6.53%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)0.12
FCFY2.26%
OCF(TTM)4.88
OCFY88.48%
SpS7.64
BVpS13.11
TBVpS13.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.55% | ||
| ROE | 6.63% | ||
| ROCE | 9.67% | ||
| ROIC | 7.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.27% | ||
| OM | 29.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.37% | ||
| GM | 85.64% | ||
| FCFM | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.62 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.39 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 132.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.06 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 14.32% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.12 |
F-Score4
WACC11.59%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-21.78%
EPS Next 2Y-38.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.77%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.06%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.87%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.05%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year117%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-14.54%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
What is the valuation status for HPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -21.78% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 20.09%.