HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

Current stock price

6.82 USD
+0.13 (+1.94%)
Last:

This HPK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HPK Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years HPK has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HPK has a Return On Assets of 0.45%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 65.07% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 0.90%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 64.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HPK has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.72%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 22.52%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.97%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(3.72%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROIC 3.72%
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HPK has a worse Profit Margin (1.67%) than 60.77% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HPK has a Operating Margin of 17.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 55.02% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of HPK (75.92%) is better than 87.08% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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2

2. HPK Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
  • HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HPK is higher compared to a year ago.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.94, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.94) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.71, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.77% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.94
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.87%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.13, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.10 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Quick ratio of 1.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 55.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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2

3. HPK Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -90.91% in the last year.
  • HPK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -63.49% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -36.39% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 103.73% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -145.76% on average per year.
  • HPK is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -7.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.57%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2

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1

4. HPK Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 75.78, HPK can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit more expensive than 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. HPK is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 75.78
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HPK indicates a rather cheap valuation: HPK is cheaper than 96.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.27
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -145.76% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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4

5. HPK Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.56%, HPK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.22, HPK has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, HPK pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.56%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of HPK grows each year by 35.61%, which is quite nice.
  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 159.98% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • HPK's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP159.98%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HPK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (4/29/2026, 1:08:05 PM)

6.82

+0.13 (+1.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength82.61
Industry Growth73.91
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners21.03%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners18.42%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap861.78M
Revenue(TTM)863.36M
Net Income(TTM)14.38M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.03 (17.74%)
Short Float %40.05%
Short Ratio8.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.56%
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
DP159.98%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-185.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-173.04%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-58.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-36.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-36.72%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-39.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.72%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.96%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.71%
PT rev (1m)-7.35%
PT rev (3m)-14.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)900%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-800%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.75%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 75.78
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.68
P/B 0.54
P/tB 0.54
EV/EBITDA 3.27
EPS(TTM)0.09
EY1.32%
EPS(NY)-0.09
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.05
OCFY59.37%
SpS6.83
BVpS12.62
TBVpS12.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.0551 (-25.88%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROCE 5.12%
ROIC 3.72%
ROICexc 3.93%
ROICexgc 3.93%
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
ROICexc(3y)8.42%
ROICexc(5y)10.31%
ROICexgc(3y)8.42%
ROICexgc(5y)10.31%
ROCE(3y)10.99%
ROCE(5y)13.63%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.97
Cap/Depr 122.21%
Cap/Sales 59.7%
Interest Coverage 1.13
Cash Conversion 89.04%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 0.94
F-Score4
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)160.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)286.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)89.93%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%
Revenue Next Year-2.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.57%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-65.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-28.76%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year157.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-104.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y0.5%
OCF growth 5Y230.37%

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HPK stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -201% in the next year.