HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA Nasdaq NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

5.065 USD
+0.42 (+8.92%)
Last: Feb 11, 2026, 12:03 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, HPK scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HPK was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HPK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HPK (1.42%) is worse than 60.68% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 2.81%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HPK has a Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 22.01%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) for HPK is well below the 3 year average (12.14%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HPK had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of HPK (5.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 27.59%, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HPK has declined.
  • HPK's Gross Margin of 84.53% is amongst the best of the industry. HPK outperforms 92.72% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • HPK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HPK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.99, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.99) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • HPK's Debt to FCF ratio of 109.22 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 40.78% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of HPK (0.71) is worse than 62.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 0.99
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC10.68%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HPK has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.65, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HPK's Quick ratio of 1.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 73.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -38.08% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -41.78% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -14.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.07, the valuation of HPK can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HPK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.03.
  • The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.07
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 98.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HPK, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 58.27
EV/EBITDA 2.44
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.55%.
  • In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -22.37%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.64.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%

5.2 History

  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (2/11/2026, 12:03:05 PM)

5.065

+0.42 (+8.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners21.02%
Inst Owner Change-5.49%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap636.11M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.67 (71.17%)
Short Float %30.2%
Short Ratio7.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-8.11%
PT rev (3m)-10.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-55.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.07
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.72
P/FCF 58.27
P/OCF 1.14
P/B 0.39
P/tB 0.39
EV/EBITDA 2.44
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY7.11%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.72%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY87.72%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROCE 7.97%
ROIC 5.95%
ROICexc 6.29%
ROICexgc 6.29%
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
FCFM 1.24%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Debt/EBITDA 1.76
Cap/Depr 131.26%
Cap/Sales 62.06%
Interest Coverage 1.81
Cash Conversion 84.54%
Profit Quality 23.91%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 0.99
F-Score5
WACC10.68%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year92%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.