4.1 USD
-0.34 (-7.66%)
4.14 USD
+0.04 (+0.98%)
Overall HPK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HPK against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HPK has a Return On Assets of 1.42%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 61.06% of its industry peers.
HPK has a Return On Equity of 2.81%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 61.06% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.95%, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.37% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 21.28%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HPK's Operating Margin of 27.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 68.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HPK has declined.
The Gross Margin of HPK (84.53%) is better than 92.31% of its industry peers.
HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
HPK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.98, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.98) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 109.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio (109.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HPK has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.71) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC11.73%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HPK's Current ratio of 1.65 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 70.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.58 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HPK's Quick ratio of 1.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 74.04% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.11% on average per year.
The Revenue for HPK has decreased by -38.08% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.78% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.39, the valuation of HPK can be described as reasonable.
HPK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HPK is cheaper than 64.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.92. HPK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaper than 95.19% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 47.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.38%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of HPK dropped by -37.97% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.96.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, HPK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of HPK decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
4.1
-0.34 (-7.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.02%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap514.92M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (130.24%)
Short Float %28.72%
Short Ratio9.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-2.63%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 47.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 0.92 | ||
| P/B | 0.32 | ||
| P/tB | 0.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.4 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY8.78%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY2.12%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY108.37%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROCE | 7.97% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% | ||
| FCFM | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score5
WACC11.73%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?
The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.