HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

4.55 USD
-0.02 (-0.44%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
4.55 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has an average financial health and profitability rating. HPK does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HPK was profitable.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HPK has a Return On Assets of 1.42%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Return On Equity of 2.81%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HPK's Operating Margin of 27.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 68.60% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HPK has a better Gross Margin (84.53%) than 92.27% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.98, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio (109.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of HPK (0.71) is worse than 62.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 0.98
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC11.84%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HPK has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HPK's Current ratio of 1.65 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 70.05% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Quick ratio of 1.58. This is in the better half of the industry: HPK outperforms 73.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
  • HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.11% yearly.
  • The Revenue for HPK has decreased by -38.08% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

  • HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.78% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -14.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-20.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.64 indicates a correct valuation of HPK.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HPK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HPK is cheaper than 71.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • HPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.64
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HPK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HPK is cheaper than 97.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HPK.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 52.35
EV/EBITDA 2.43
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.11%, which is a nice return.
  • In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -31.58%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.73.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, HPK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.11%

5.2 History

  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • HPK pays out 49.59% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.