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HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:HPK - US43114Q1058 - Common Stock

5.67 USD
+0.28 (+5.19%)
Last: 12/9/2025, 3:05:36 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall HPK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HPK against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HPK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. HPK does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HPK was profitable.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

HPK's Return On Assets of 1.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 60.77% of its industry peers.
HPK has a Return On Equity of 2.81%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 60.77% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.95%, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 20.87%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
The Operating Margin of HPK (27.59%) is better than 67.94% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of HPK (84.53%) is better than 92.34% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
HPK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that HPK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK's Altman-Z score of 1.02 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 45.93% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio (109.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HPK's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.71 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 1.02
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC11.55%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.29% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.58, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.11% yearly.
The Revenue for HPK has decreased by -38.08% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.78% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.75, the valuation of HPK can be described as correct.
HPK's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
HPK is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.75
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500

4.2 Price Multiples

HPK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HPK is cheaper than 93.78% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HPK.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 65.23
EV/EBITDA 2.58
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.55%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -24.40%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.71, HPK has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.55%

5.2 History

HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (12/9/2025, 3:05:36 PM)

5.67

+0.28 (+5.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Inst Owners21.06%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap712.10M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (66.49%)
Short Float %29.57%
Short Ratio12.92
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.55%
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date12-01 2025-12-01 (0.04)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-2.63%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-110.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-55.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.75
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.81
P/FCF 65.23
P/OCF 1.28
P/B 0.44
P/tB 0.44
EV/EBITDA 2.58
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY6.35%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.53%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY78.36%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROCE 7.97%
ROIC 5.95%
ROICexc 6.29%
ROICexgc 6.29%
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
FCFM 1.24%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Debt/EBITDA 1.76
Cap/Depr 131.26%
Cap/Sales 62.06%
Interest Coverage 1.81
Cash Conversion 84.54%
Profit Quality 23.91%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 1.02
F-Score5
WACC11.55%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


What is the valuation status for HPK stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -65.31% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.