HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HPK • US43114Q1058

Current stock price

6.37 USD
+0.03 (+0.47%)
At close:
6.36 USD
-0.01 (-0.16%)
After Hours:

This HPK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HPK Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years HPK has always been profitable.
  • HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HPK (0.45%) is worse than 65.07% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Return On Equity of 0.90%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 64.59% of its industry peers.
  • HPK has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.72%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HPK underperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.97%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(3.72%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROIC 3.72%
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 1.67%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HPK has a Operating Margin (17.70%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 75.92%, HPK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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3

2. HPK Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HPK has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has a worse debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.92) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.71, HPK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.92
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.89%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of HPK (1.13) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Quick ratio (1.10) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. HPK Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -90.91% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for HPK have been decreasing by -63.49% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue for HPK has decreased by -36.39% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing by 103.73% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -145.76% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -11.17% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.17%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2

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1

4. HPK Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 70.78, the valuation of HPK can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit more expensive than 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.18.
  • HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.78
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.19
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -145.76% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. HPK Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.54%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.23, HPK has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.54%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of HPK grows each year by 35.61%, which is quite nice.
  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • HPK has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • HPK pays out 159.98% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of HPK has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP159.98%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HPK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC

NASDAQ:HPK (4/13/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 6.36 -0.01 (-0.16%)

6.37

+0.03 (+0.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners21.03%
Inst Owner Change0.38%
Ins Owners18.42%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap804.91M
Revenue(TTM)863.36M
Net Income(TTM)14.38M
Analysts46.67
Price Target8.03 (26.06%)
Short Float %37.02%
Short Ratio7.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.54%
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)35.61%
DP159.98%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-185.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-173.04%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-58.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-197.03%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-36.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-36.72%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-39.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.72%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.96%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.71%
PT rev (1m)-7.35%
PT rev (3m)-14.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)233.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)900%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-800%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)14.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.78
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.93
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.57
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 3.19
EPS(TTM)0.09
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)-0.09
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.05
OCFY63.56%
SpS6.83
BVpS12.62
TBVpS12.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 0.9%
ROCE 5.12%
ROIC 3.72%
ROICexc 3.93%
ROICexgc 3.93%
OM 17.7%
PM (TTM) 1.67%
GM 75.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.21%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)6.3%
ROE(5y)9.45%
ROIC(3y)7.97%
ROIC(5y)9.89%
ROICexc(3y)8.42%
ROICexc(5y)10.31%
ROICexgc(3y)8.42%
ROICexgc(5y)10.31%
ROCE(3y)10.99%
ROCE(5y)13.63%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.66%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-31.85%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-58.98%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.79%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.97
Cap/Depr 122.21%
Cap/Sales 59.7%
Interest Coverage 1.13
Cash Conversion 89.04%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 0.92
F-Score4
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)160.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)286.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)89.93%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-90.91%
EPS 3Y-63.49%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-450%
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y-145.76%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.39%
Revenue growth 3Y4.54%
Revenue growth 5Y103.73%
Sales Q2Q%-29.37%
Revenue Next Year-7.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.17%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-65.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-28.76%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year157.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-104.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-25.9%
OCF growth 3Y0.5%
OCF growth 5Y230.37%

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HPK stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -201% in the next year.