4.35 USD
-0.03 (-0.68%)
4.35 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HPK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. HPK is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HPK's Return On Assets of 1.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HPK is outperformed by 61.06% of its industry peers.
HPK has a worse Return On Equity (2.81%) than 61.06% of its industry peers.
HPK's Return On Invested Capital of 5.95% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 53.37% of its industry peers.
HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.
HPK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HPK's Operating Margin of 27.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 68.27% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 84.53%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HPK has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HPK has a Altman-Z score (0.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK (109.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HPK has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.71) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.97 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC11.6%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.67% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HPK's Quick ratio of 1.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 74.04% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.11% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -38.08% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -41.78% on average per year.
HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -13.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.08, HPK is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HPK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaper than 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 50.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.76%, HPK has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
The stock price of HPK dropped by -35.27% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.91.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, HPK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.76% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
HPK has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
HPK pays out 49.59% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
4.35
-0.03 (-0.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.02%
Inst Owner Change-1.42%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change2.55%
Market Cap546.32M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (117.01%)
Short Float %28.72%
Short Ratio9.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.76% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 50.05 | ||
| P/OCF | 0.98 | ||
| P/B | 0.34 | ||
| P/tB | 0.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.39 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY8.28%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY2%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY102.14%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROCE | 7.97% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% | ||
| FCFM | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.97 |
F-Score5
WACC11.6%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?
The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.