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HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:HPK - US43114Q1058 - Common Stock

3.89 USD
-0.38 (-8.9%)
Last: 1/22/2026, 8:00:02 PM
3.89 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/22/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has an average financial health and profitability rating. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year HPK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • HPK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HPK had a positive operating cash flow.
HPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHPK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 1.42%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HPK has a worse Return On Equity (2.81%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Return On Invested Capital of 5.95% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HPK outperforms 53.14% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HPK is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.95%) for HPK is well below the 3 year average (12.14%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HPK had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.42%
ROE 2.81%
ROIC 5.95%
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHPK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HPK has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
  • HPK has a better Operating Margin (27.59%) than 68.60% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of HPK (84.53%) is better than 92.27% of its industry peers.
  • HPK's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.59%
PM (TTM) 5.18%
GM 84.53%
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
HPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHPK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HPK is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
  • HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HPK Yearly Shares OutstandingHPK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHPK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.95, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK has a debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HPK would need 109.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio (109.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.71, HPK is doing worse than 62.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF 109.23
Altman-Z 0.95
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC11.88%
HPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHPK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, HPK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.58 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HPK has a Quick ratio of 1.58. This is in the better half of the industry: HPK outperforms 73.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.58
HPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHPK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HPK have decreased strongly by -77.36% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.11% on average over the past years.
  • HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -38.08%.
  • HPK shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 165.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%

3.2 Future

  • HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.78% yearly.
  • HPK is expected to show a very negative growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -13.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHPK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
HPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHPK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.81, the valuation of HPK can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than 79.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.32, HPK is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HPK. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.81
Fwd PE N/A
HPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHPK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HPK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HPK is cheaper than 96.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HPK's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.75
EV/EBITDA 2.3
HPK Per share dataHPK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.39%.
  • In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -44.27%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.75.
  • HPK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.39%

5.2 History

  • HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of HPK decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HPK Yearly Dividends per shareHPK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 49.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HPK. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHPK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M
HPK Dividend Payout.HPK Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HPK Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.


Can you provide the valuation status for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?

HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HPK stock?

The financial health rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.