4.4856 USD
+0.24 (+5.54%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HPK. HPK was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HPK has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HPK has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HPK had positive earnings in the past year.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HPK 4 years were profitable.
HPK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HPK (1.42%) is worse than 60.48% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.81%, HPK is not doing good in the industry: 60.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Invested Capital of HPK (5.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HPK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.09%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.14%) for HPK is well above the current ROIC(5.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HPK (5.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HPK has declined.
HPK has a better Operating Margin (27.59%) than 68.10% of its industry peers.
HPK's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 84.53%, HPK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HPK has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% |
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HPK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HPK has less shares outstanding
HPK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HPK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HPK has an Altman-Z score of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that HPK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.97, HPK is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HPK is 109.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take HPK, 109.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HPK has a Debt to FCF ratio of 109.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HPK outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
HPK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. This is a neutral value indicating HPK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.71, HPK is doing worse than 62.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.97 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC11.82%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that HPK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.65, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
HPK has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that HPK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.58, HPK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HPK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -77.36%.
HPK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.11% yearly.
HPK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -38.08%.
Measured over the past years, HPK shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 165.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -41.78% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
Based on estimates for the next years, HPK will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
HPK is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HPK is valued a bit cheaper than 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HPK to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.39), we can say HPK is valued rather cheaply.
HPK is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HPK is valued cheaper than 93.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HPK.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 51.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HPK's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.78% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HPK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.64%.
In the last 3 months the price of HPK has falen by -36.47%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
HPK's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.95.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, HPK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.64% |
5.2 History
HPK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of HPK decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
HPK pays out 49.59% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP49.59%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
NASDAQ:HPK (12/22/2025, 12:58:09 PM)
4.4856
+0.24 (+5.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners21.06%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners18.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap563.35M
Revenue(TTM)881.52M
Net Income(TTM)45.66M
Analysts46.67
Price Target9.44 (110.45%)
Short Float %30.26%
Short Ratio11.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.64% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP49.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(2)135.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.04%
Max EPS beat(4)135.15%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-11.71%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-23.61%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-28.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.82%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.94%
PT rev (1m)-2.63%
PT rev (3m)32.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-110.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-113.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-55.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 51.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.01 | ||
| P/B | 0.35 | ||
| P/tB | 0.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.37 |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY8.03%
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.94%
OCF(TTM)4.44
OCFY99.05%
SpS7.02
BVpS12.95
TBVpS12.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number10.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.42% | ||
| ROE | 2.81% | ||
| ROCE | 7.97% | ||
| ROIC | 5.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.29% | ||
| OM | 27.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 84.53% | ||
| FCFM | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)6.16%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)12.05%
ROE(5y)4.96%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)12.61%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.61%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.28%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.35%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.64%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-31.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.38%
GM growth 5Y8.6%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 109.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 62.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.97 |
F-Score5
WACC11.82%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)316.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)403.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)95.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)171.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-77.36%
EPS 3Y4.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-142.86%
EPS Next Y-65.31%
EPS Next 2Y-41.78%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-38.08%
Revenue growth 3Y69.37%
Revenue growth 5Y165.54%
Sales Q2Q%-30.46%
Revenue Next Year-19.98%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.7%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.03%
EBIT growth 3Y49.65%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.23%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y102.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.81%
OCF growth 3Y67.47%
OCF growth 5YN/A
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC / HPK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HPK.
What is the valuation status for HPK stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is expected to decline by -65.31% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) stock?
The dividend rating of HIGHPEAK ENERGY INC (HPK) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.59%.