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HOCHTIEF AG (HOT.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:HOT - Deutsche Boerse Ag - DE0006070006 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

138.6  +0.2 (+0.14%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HOT. HOT was compared to 39 industry peers in the Construction & Engineering industry. HOT has an average financial health and profitability rating. HOT is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HOT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years HOT has been profitable.
HOT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HOT.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHOT.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

HOT has a Return On Assets (3.55%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 118.44%, HOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
HOT has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.54%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HOT outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HOT is significantly below the industry average of 11.05%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.54%) for HOT is above the 3 year average (4.87%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 118.44%
ROIC 8.54%
ROA(3y)2.23%
ROA(5y)1.83%
ROE(3y)37.11%
ROE(5y)34.47%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HOT.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHOT.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

HOT has a Profit Margin (2.26%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HOT has declined.
HOT has a Operating Margin of 2.93%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HOT underperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
HOT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HOT has a worse Gross Margin (25.52%) than 81.58% of its industry peers.
HOT's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.93%
PM (TTM) 2.26%
GM 25.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.88%
PM growth 3Y3.07%
PM growth 5Y-3.7%
GM growth 3Y0.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.97%
HOT.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHOT.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HOT is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for HOT remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HOT has more shares outstanding
HOT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HOT.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingHOT.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
HOT.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHOT.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

HOT has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that HOT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of HOT (2.00) is better than 60.53% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HOT is 5.86, which is a neutral value as it means it would take HOT, 5.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HOT's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HOT outperforms 55.26% of its industry peers.
HOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.57. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
HOT has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (10.57) than 97.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.57
Debt/FCF 5.86
Altman-Z 2
ROIC/WACC1.54
WACC5.56%
HOT.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHOT.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.13 indicates that HOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HOT (1.13) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.09 indicates that HOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of HOT (1.09) is better than 65.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.09
HOT.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHOT.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 68.25% over the past year.
HOT shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.47% yearly.
HOT shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 37.40%.
HOT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)68.25%
EPS 3Y4%
EPS 5Y-3.47%
EPS Q2Q%20.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)37.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%21.49%

3.2 Future

HOT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.88% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HOT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y30.93%
EPS Next 2Y15.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.88%
Revenue Next Year15.89%
Revenue Next 2Y11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y8.34%
Revenue Next 5Y8.95%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HOT.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHOT.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 10B 20B 30B
HOT.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHOT.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 6 8 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.00, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HOT.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HOT is valued a bit more expensive than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HOT to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.47), we can say HOT is valued slightly cheaper.
HOT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.99.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HOT is valued a bit more expensive than 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. HOT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20
Fwd PE 14.99
HOT.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHOT.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HOT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.53% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HOT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.68% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.4
EV/EBITDA 8.07
HOT.DE Per share dataHOT.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 200 300 400

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HOT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HOT's earnings are expected to grow with 13.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.8%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HOT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.17%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.72, HOT pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
HOT's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%

5.2 History

The dividend of HOT decreases each year by -4.33%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-4.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
HOT.DE Yearly Dividends per shareHOT.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y15.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.8%
HOT.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHOT.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

HOCHTIEF AG

FRA:HOT (2/5/2025, 10:42:41 AM)

138.6

+0.2 (+0.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryConstruction & Engineering
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/dmh
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst Owners5.94%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.77B
Analysts72
Price Target128.95 (-6.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.17%
Yearly Dividend3.55
Dividend Growth(5Y)-4.33%
DP0%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.43%
Min EPS beat(2)7.5%
Max EPS beat(2)81.37%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.12%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.12%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.98%
PT rev (3m)9.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20
Fwd PE 14.99
P/S 0.29
P/FCF 7.4
P/OCF 6.01
P/B 14.94
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.07
EPS(TTM)6.93
EY5%
EPS(NY)9.25
Fwd EY6.67%
FCF(TTM)18.72
FCFY13.51%
OCF(TTM)23.05
OCFY16.63%
SpS485.49
BVpS9.28
TBVpS-34.68
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.55%
ROE 118.44%
ROCE 11.23%
ROIC 8.54%
ROICexc 19.44%
ROICexgc 92.07%
OM 2.93%
PM (TTM) 2.26%
GM 25.52%
FCFM 3.86%
ROA(3y)2.23%
ROA(5y)1.83%
ROE(3y)37.11%
ROE(5y)34.47%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)18.5%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)50.36%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.41%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.79%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.88%
PM growth 3Y3.07%
PM growth 5Y-3.7%
GM growth 3Y0.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.57
Debt/FCF 5.86
Debt/EBITDA 4.73
Cap/Depr 66.74%
Cap/Sales 0.89%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 111.2%
Profit Quality 170.43%
Current Ratio 1.13
Quick Ratio 1.09
Altman-Z 2
F-Score6
WACC5.56%
ROIC/WACC1.54
Cap/Depr(3y)50.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)49.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.14%
Profit Quality(3y)179.76%
Profit Quality(5y)557.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)68.25%
EPS 3Y4%
EPS 5Y-3.47%
EPS Q2Q%20.25%
EPS Next Y30.93%
EPS Next 2Y15.51%
EPS Next 3Y13.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)37.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.54%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%21.49%
Revenue Next Year15.89%
Revenue Next 2Y11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y8.34%
Revenue Next 5Y8.95%
EBIT growth 1Y90.32%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-5.06%
EBIT Next Year87.64%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y28.47%
FCF growth 1Y282.26%
FCF growth 3Y53.64%
FCF growth 5Y3.14%
OCF growth 1Y244.61%
OCF growth 3Y23.59%
OCF growth 5Y-0.58%